Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Should We Believe the GDP Economic Data? / Economics / Market Manipulation
By: Douglas_French
Third quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures were announced recently with that index rebounding to reflect that the US economy is growing again at a 3.5 percent rate. The financial talking heads rejoiced and investors continue to power the stock markets higher. Fed Chair Ben Bernanke even predicted that the recession was over when he told the Brookings Institute in mid-September, "From a technical perspective, the recession is very likely over at this point."
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Inflation and Deflation; Inflationism and Deflationism / Economics / Economic Theory
By: MISES
The services money renders are conditioned by the height of its purchasing power. Nobody wants to have in his cash holding a definite number of pieces of money or a definite weight of money; he wants to keep a cash holding of a definite amount of purchasing power. As the operation of the market tends to determine the final state of money's purchasing power at a height at which the supply of and the demand for money coincide, there can never be an excess or a deficiency of money.
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Global Economic Stimulus, The Surety Referee / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Michael_Pento
Our Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner told us this weekend that global stimulus needs to be in place until a recovery is “assured.” This government--which has consistently displayed the foresight and navigation skills of a deaf bat—is now telling us that the wealth redistribution and inflationary policies of the Fed and Administration will be in effect until they have complete confidence this crisis has ended.
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Monday, November 09, 2009
What Is Inflation and How Does One Measure It? / Economics / Inflation
By: Mike_Shedlock
To understand inflation, one must first understand what money is and how to measure it. Please read What is Money and How Does One Measure It? before attempting to understand what follows.
Unfortunately there is no general agreement as to the definition of inflation. Here are some of the widely used definitions as noted in Inflation: What the heck is it?
Monday, November 09, 2009
U.S. Debt Explosion Sets in Motion Massive Revolutionary Changes / Economics / US Debt
By: Martin_D_Weiss
I’ve just returned from Munich, Germany, where Claus Vogt and I addressed the 8th Annual Conference of Sicheres Geld subscribers.
Here are the highlights of my side of the presentation. (Claus will give you his side in a future issue).
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Monday, November 09, 2009
Commodities Rich Australia Leads the West’s Economic Recovery / Economics / Austrailia
By: Money_Morning
Bob Blandeburgo writes: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) last month became the first Western economy to raise its key interest rate since the financial crisis began almost two years ago. It proceeded to raise the rate for a second time in a month last week, just before it published its quarterly report on Friday, which says bottlenecks obstructing exports of its vast resources such as iron ore and coal are about to be relieved.
Monday, November 09, 2009
U.S. Real Unemployment Hits Depression Level Numbers of 17.5% / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Whitney
This is bad. Double-digit unemployment. In October, unemployment soared to 10.2%. 16 million people are out of work. The average work week is down to 33 hours. Payrolls have contracted 22 months straight. The "real" jobless rate (underemployment) is now 17.5% and rising. These are Great Depression numbers. The country is in a Depression. So, why is there no talk of federal work programs? Why no WPA?
Sunday, November 08, 2009
U.S. U3 Unemployment Going To 13%, Link To Summers And The Russian Mafia? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Andrew_Butter
There is a theory that Government Stimulus can create jobs. There have been a lot of theories banded around recently; the more they are proven to be totally wrong, the faster they come.
Saturday, November 07, 2009
What the #@!!*&# am I Doing Out Here in Indonesia? / Economics / Asian Economies
By: Tony_Sagami
Before I arrived in Jakarta, my pre-trip research unearthed a little known Indonesian construction supply company. Everything looked good on paper — but then a lot of companies look good on paper … such as Enron … so I made arrangements to do some of my unorthodox-but-enriching, boots-on-the-ground research.
Saturday, November 07, 2009
Risk Trade Collapse Could Trigger Global Economic Depression / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Bryan_Rich
A lot of focus was given to the central banks’ meetings this week.
That’s because a lot of people would really like to see target rates start moving up from their low levels.
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Saturday, November 07, 2009
Fed Signals “All Systems Go” for More Inflation / Economics / Quantitative Easing
By: Mike_Larson
I have been adamant recently in saying that the Federal Reserve would not … would NOT … signal an end to the easy money environment at this week’s policy meeting. These guys simply lack the political willpower and the inclination to do what’s right. They want to keep the booze flowing to inflate assets, the long-term consequences be darned.
Saturday, November 07, 2009
Fed Attempts to Export Inflation Will Fail / Economics / Fiat Currency
By: Gary_North
If you think people are confused about monetary affairs inside the borders of the nation they live in, you should listen to their explanations of money outside the country, beginning with the idea of "money outside the country."
If you read the financial press, you will run across this phrase: "exported inflation." We never hear the terms "imported deflation" or "exported deflation."
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Saturday, November 07, 2009
U.S. Budget Deficit Debt Crisis, Austrian, East European or Glide Option Solution? / Economics / US Debt
By: John_Mauldin
The Present Contains All Possible Futures
The Ugly Unemployment Numbers
Argentinian Disease
The Austrian Solution
The Eastern European Solution
Japanese Disease
The Glide Path Option
The present contains all possible futures. But not all futures are good ones. Some can be quite cruel. The one we actually get is dictated by the choices we make. For the last few months I have been addressing the choices in front of us, economically speaking. Today I am going to summarize them, and maybe we can look for some signposts that will tell us which path we're headed down. For those who are new readers and who would like a more in-depth analysis, you can go to the archives at http://www.2000wave.com/ and search for terms I am writing about. And I will start out by briefly touching on today's ugly unemployment numbers, with data you did not get in the mainstream media.
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Friday, November 06, 2009
How Important Was the October U.S. Jobs Report? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Sy_Harding
The Labor Department reported on Friday that 190,000 more jobs were lost in October, only slightly worse than the consensus forecast of 175,000 lost jobs, and job losses for August and September were revised to fewer losses than previously reported. Good news. The negative surprise was that the unemployment rate shot up from 9.8% in September to 10.2% in October, considerably worse than expectations that unemployment would rise to 9.9%.
Friday, November 06, 2009
U.S. Unemployment Soars to 10.2% / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Peter_Schiff
Two dissatisfied customers comment about a restaurant. One says, "The food here is terrible." The other replies, "I know, and such small portions!" In many ways, they could be describing our current employment picture. Not only are the portions shrinking, but the jobs themselves are steadily losing quality.
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Friday, November 06, 2009
Freaking Out over Global Warming / Economics / Climate Change
By: Robert_Murphy
One of the ugliest battles in the blogosphere climate wars has involved the newly released Superfreakonomics, sequel to the best-selling Freakonomics. In their new book's final chapter, economist Steven Levitt and journalist Stephen Dubner set out to challenge the view that massively restricting carbon emissions is the only hope for averting planetwide catastrophe. Some of the most outspoken advocates for immediate "carbon legislation," such as Joe Romm and Paul Krugman, were appalled by the chapter.
Friday, November 06, 2009
The Path To Runaway U.S. Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Ganesh_Rathnam
"I see green shoots," said Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke on 60 Minutes back in March, doing his best rendition of Haley Joel Osment from the movie The Sixth Sense. Since then, every poor economic headline in the lapdog media has been preceded with the word "unexpected," as if the clueless chairman's pronouncements were suddenly the Gospel, and the economy had indeed recovered.
Friday, November 06, 2009
Flashback: Bernanke on Unemployment: ‘we don’t think it will get to 10 percent’ / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mac_Slavo
Today’s unemployment report from the Bureau of Labor and Statistics is anything but a green shoot. The official U-3 unemployment number is 10.2%. The broader and more comprehensive official unemployment number, the U-6, is at 17.5%. The U-6 counts all the people that want a job but gave up, all the people with part-time jobs that want a full-time job, and all the people who dropped off unemployment benefits because their unemployment benefits ran out. John Williams at Shadowstats.com suggests that real unemployment is actually running at 22%, which, by our calculation, is approaching Great Depression unemployment numbers.
Friday, November 06, 2009
October Unemployment Report to Spark Financial Market / Economics / Financial Markets 2009
By: LiveCharts
Friday (November 6), the Labor Department is expected to release date on October unemployment. Forecasts call for 175,000 job cuts during the month, according to a poll of analysts by Reuters.
Experts predict that unemployment climbed to 9.9 per cent in October as it sits just on the fringe of an inevitable surge past ten per cent in the coming months. If the October estimate holds true, this would mark the 22nd month in a row of job losses, though the pace of losses has slowed significantly.
Friday, November 06, 2009
The Ultimate Conditions For Economic Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Jim_Willie_CB
With the steady stream of claims toward an economic recovery, one must do a reality check from time to time. The Gross Domestic Product for 3Q2009 reflected a solid temporary push from the absurdly inefficient and costly Clunker Car Program, and an inventory drawdown that finally arrived. Both factors contributed to a lift in GDP that in no way testify to a recovery. The Productivity at 9.5% for Q3 is the latest story of a supposed recovery. Well, if the truth be told, the combination of business liquidation and significant worker cuts adds to output with the advantage of the negative incremental workers.