Friday, April 27, 2018

Hold Dividend Payers To Weather Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Dividends

By: WMA

So far in 2018, equities have swung wildly, leaving market participants with whiplash. Consider that the S&P 500 rose +7.5% in January, fell -11.5% in early February, jumped back +10.5% in March, fell back -8.2% at the end of March, rallied +5.4% in early April only to give back -3.7% since last week. Phew! Investors who have relied on the “trend is your friend” investment strategy have gotten absolutely crushed so far this year. Those who have made money in 2018 are the algorithmic and high-frequency traders, as well as the courageous (and lucky) day traders willing to stand in front of apparent run-away moves. 

For most of us, trying to “trade” a volatile market, guessing which way a squiggly line will turn, is most often a losing proposition. Instead of buying rallies on optimism and selling after the market drops on fear -- a game that won’t last long no matter what the size of your portfolio – a much better strategy for most investors in a volatile market is patience. Hold high quality companies which pay a regular dividend (preferably with a high dividend yield), don’t fret about market swings, and patiently collect your dividend payments.   

Friday, April 27, 2018

Gold: Pricing vs. Value and Fundamental Look on Technicals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Gold behaves like a currency. This has extremely important consequence: gold cannot be valued like assets which generate cash flows or even as commodities whose value can be at least estimated looking at the balance of demand and supply. Does it mean that gold is a mere speculation play? No! You have to remember that gold belongs to the currencies. As they have no cash flows, they cannot be valued, but they can be priced against other currencies.

The same applies to gold. It has no “true” which value we can estimate and to which it should converge. On the contrary, the price is the only real number we have and can act on. We see lot analysts who try to estimate the value of gold based on some links – which are allegedly set in stone – between the price of gold and the money supply or the level of the federal debt. And they estimate the “fair” value of gold at either $500 or $20,000. It’s a pure nonsense.

Friday, April 27, 2018

Currency Wars: The Race to the Bottom has Begun / Currencies / Currency War

By: Richard_Mills

As a general rule, the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information.
If trade wars and actual shooting wars (Syria, Yemen) weren't enough for the world economy to worry about, pressuring stock markets and threatening to derail robust global economic growth, there is another elephant in the room looking to stomp on traders, investors and everyday consumers, and that is a currency war.

What is a currency war?

A currency war is what happens when countries intentionally devalue their currencies through their central banks. Increasing the money supply lowers interest rates and the value of the currency, thereby depressing the exchange rate. The best example of this type of expansionary monetary policy is that of the United States Federal Reserve. The Fed buys Treasury notes from its member banks, giving them more money to lend. To do this, the Fed must print more US dollars. The idea is to stimulate demand by reducing lending rates and therefore entice businesses and individuals to borrow and spend more money. Until last September, when the Fed wound up its last round of quantitative easing, this policy led to rock-bottom interest rates and has been behind the record-setting highs hit on US stock markets. Low interest rates mean companies can borrow, expand and grow, thus boosting profits and share prices.

Friday, April 27, 2018

NASDAQ NDX Was Amazon'd / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures are bouncing along just under yesterday’s closing price. The structure of the decline (circled) is fractally similar to the initial decline from the 2801.90 peak. Wave [a] of 1 of (3) is approximately double the size of Wave [a] of 1 of (1). Should it maintain a similar dimension, Wave [c] should break the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge. Remember, fractals are self-similar and repetitive. The Elliott rule of alternation offers enough variation within each structure to appear different from the last.

Friday, April 27, 2018

Stock Market Waterfall Decline Ahead - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: David_Morgan

David Morgan says the U.S. stock market is in a downtrend. A waterfall decline is possible.

Gold and silver are still in consolidation. However, the gold/silver ratio is coming down. And both metals continue to make higher lows. Morgan expects a move to the upside.

Is silver in a deficit? This depends on your definition of “deficit.” The truth is, the above ground inventory of silver is growing.

Friday, April 27, 2018

How to Trade Stock Indexes with Fibonacci / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

One very important component of the continued research we, www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, conduct into price, price patterns and price rotation is the study and application of Fibonacci price modeling.  As you have seen with some of our other charting and modeling tools, we have invested a great deal of time and energy to create useful price modeling tools to assist us in our daily research and analysis.

Our Fibonacci price modeling tool is another adaptive learning model that is capable of adapting to price rotation by learning from past and current price variances as well as repeated price pattern formations.  This tool is a one of a kind type of project that we covet with a great deal of respect.

Friday, April 27, 2018

Will Tree Protests Fell Sheffield Labour City Council? Local Election Results Forecast 2018 / ElectionOracle / UK Local Elections

By: N_Walayat

The local elections will be held in less than 1 weeks time on the 3rd of May 2018 when 1/3rd of Sheffield's city council seats will be up for election, that's 28 out of a total of 84 seats. The current make up of the council has the Labour party on 56 seats resulting in an commanding majority of 28. Which means that the Labour council can do whatever it wants regardless of electoral consequences, and when criticised for some of their crackpot actions such as signing a contract with a Spanish owned contractor to fell HALF of Sheffield's street trees, tends to respond with the fact that the people of Sheffield voted for them.

Friday, April 27, 2018

Blockchain Thrives in Online Gambling / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Thursday, April 26, 2018

The Inflation-Driven Stocks Rally To All Time Highs Has Begun / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

As I predicted three weeks ago, stocks have begun their move to new all-time highs.

The reason?

Inflation. Stocks LOVE inflation at first. But that relationship quickly goes sour once inflation results in rising operational costs that eat into profits.

Thursday, April 26, 2018

US Dollar Soaring With Gold Eagles, What Does it Mean? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

• Natural gas making a quick, unexpected setup and move.
• Equities finally show fear and panic today for a pivot low to be in place.
• The dollar continues to climb while all other currencies fall.

Thursday, April 26, 2018

Market Minute: Bond Yields and Bank Stocks / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks

By: Donald_W_Dony

Interest rates are starting to rise. What industry group likes that? The banks.

Interest rates are set by the FOMC and reflect a number of factors.

They are a tool to control inflation and maintain healthy economic growth.

Thursday, April 26, 2018

Have You Not Yet Learned - Just Buy The Dip! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

One of the main benefits of understanding Elliott Wave analysis is that it places the market into a larger degree objective context from which you can make your major decisions about your investments.

While most analysis is either strongly bullish or strongly bearish for years on end (as I am sure many of you read perma-bears and perma-bulls alike), markets do not work like that. They are not always moving up or always moving down. While the last 5 years have certainly seen some tremendous market gains, there were clear periods of time which chopped traders up before the market continued higher.

Thursday, April 26, 2018

Gardening Money Saving by Reseeding Spent Flower Baskets for New Summer Growth / Personal_Finance / Gardening

By: Anika_Walayat

Here's how Anika's flower baskets that she bought from Tesco at a bargain price of just 50p each grew from May right through to February of the following year when it was time to reseed them. It's really child's play to reseed flower baskets, so don't bin last years spent flower baskets because you could literally get years of new growth out of them at little extra expense.

Thursday, April 26, 2018

What to Expect at a Critical Stock Market Point: End of a Wave 2 Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI

"Most investors are convinced that the bull market never went away."

The great game of Wall Street -- where huge amounts of money are at stake every trading day.

Many speculators play this game by watching for events outside of the stock market that they believe will "trigger" the next big move in prices.

Thursday, April 26, 2018

A New Lithium War Is About To Begin, Modern Gold Rush! / Commodities / Lithium

By: OilPrice_Com

It’s the modern gold rush. Around the world, the most sought-after mineral isn’t a precious metal, nor is it oil and gas…it’s lithium.

Lithium, or “white petroleum” as some call it, has become a crucial element in today’s high-tech economy.

Demand for lithium is soaring, and producers are frantically searching for new sources of supply. Prices have doubled in the last two years, rising as high as $16,500 per ton.

Thursday, April 26, 2018

Silver, silver, and silver! There’s More Than Silver, People! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Silver, silver, and silver – that’s all there seems to matter to the more short-term oriented investors. But, there’s so much more that’s going on than just the rally in the white metal that just got invalidated! The dynamics in the precious metals market extend well beyond the above and the signal that’s coming from silver – as important as it is for the short run – is just one of many puzzles that create the entire precious metals picture. In today’s analysis, we’ll discuss the less popular, but still important factors that are worth considering whether one is investing in gold, silver or mining stocks, or just considering it.

This article is based on numerous questions that we received in the past several days from our subscribers. It’s quite likely that they represent the questions and doubts of many other gold and silver investors, so we thought that you’d appreciate getting to know replies and insights from those, who’ve been investigating this exciting and promising market for more than a decade. Let’s move right to them.

Thursday, April 26, 2018

How to be Financially Prepared When Purchasing Your First Home / Housing-Market / How to Guides

By: Submissions

Getting ready to purchase your first house can seem like a daunting task. You need to take into account credit scores, mortgages, and down payments. Below is a simple guide that will ensure you are ready to make one of the most significant purchases in your life.

Thursday, April 26, 2018

What Is Gold: Asset, Commodity, Currency or Collectible? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

What is Bitcoin? Is it just a payment system, money or investment asset? Nobody knows for sure – it generates enormous definition and classification problems. But it’s understandable, as Bitcoin in a new player in town. However, people also cannot agree on what gold really is. Let’s solve this problem once and for all. It will enable us later to adopt the right gold investing philosophy.

Wednesday, April 25, 2018

Is a Stock Market Crash Imminent or Does this Stock Market Bull Still Have Legs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Sol_Palha

Adopt the pace of nature; her secret is patience.
Ralph Waldo Emerson

For a long time, we have been stating sharp pull-backs should be viewed through a bullish lens. In this article published in Nov 2017, we stated the following; 

View strong corrections through a bullish lens. This game plan will remain valid until the masses turn bullish or the trend turns negative.  The stronger the deviation, the better the opportunity. Tactical Investor

Wednesday, April 25, 2018

Gold Price Focusing on May Cycle Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jim_Curry

Through my cycle work in the market, there is a current focus on the month of May to end up as our next decent swing low for the Gold market, with several mid-term cycles pinpointing this timeframe for a potential market bottom.

One of the more widely-followed cycles in the Gold market is the 20-week (approximately 100 trading days) cycle, which last bottomed back on December 12, 2017, doing so at the 1249.30 figure (continuous contract numbers). In using our cycle detrend, we can isolate this particular wave, which is shown on the chart below: