Wednesday, May 09, 2018
The 20 Cities Most at Risk in US Real Estate Market / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Harry_Dent
Guess where the greatest real estate gains have been since the Great Recession and the massive QE surge?Florida and California… surprise, surprise!
California real-estate prices have exploded because there’s very limited supply there and Florida prices shot to the moon thanks to that states high domestic and international migration.
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Wednesday, May 09, 2018
What’s the Real Problem with Tesla? / Companies / Electric Cars
By: Rodney_Johnson
Bonds are an interesting financial animal.With stocks, investors become part owners of a company, albeit usually at a very, very small level. We benefit as the company earns more revenue and profit, hopefully sending some of the cash back to us in the form of dividends, or using the funds to grow the company or, these days, buy back stock.
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Wednesday, May 09, 2018
Stock Market Cycle Inversion... Watch Out Below! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures were as high as 2684.50, possibly completing Wave [v] of C of (2). Wave [v] is equal to Wave [i] at 2700.00. Wave C may go as high as 2717.00 in a flat Wave (2).
You can see that I have penciled in the upper trendline of a Triangle formation. However, Triangles are corrective affairs and neither Wave [1] nor (1) are corrective. This is setting up to be a bull trap of major proportions.
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Wednesday, May 09, 2018
Stock Market Study: Falling Initial Claims is Medium-long term Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Initial Claims made a new low for this economic expansion in April 2018. This is a medium-long term bullish sign for the stock market. Initial Claims leads the economy, which leads the stock market.
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Wednesday, May 09, 2018
Universal Guaranteed Income / Politics / Social Issues
By: BATR
What is next from the egalitarian socialists? A guaranteed income is becoming the new catch concept that is a desired destination for the limousine liberals. If you ask the tax payer, It's time for America to embrace guaranteed income, their first response will be how do you pay for such a benefit? Intuitively they know they will most likely not be included in the scheme and when the obligation burden befalls on those dreaded 1%, you just know that class warfare is doing well on the two-hundredth birthday of Karl Marx. Based upon a recent SF gate poll, Majority of Millennials now favor universal basic income. Amazing the level of economic insanity that comes out of the asylums of higher learning.
Wednesday, May 09, 2018
A Bottom in GOLD and a Top in CRUDE! / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Enda_Glynn
UPCOMING RISK EVENTS:
USD: PPI m/m, Core PPI m/m.
EUR: N/A.
GBP: N/A.
JPY: N/A.
Wednesday, May 09, 2018
Supercycle May Be Setting Up for Higher Commodity Demand / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: The_Gold_Report
Conditions may be in place for increased demand and increased prices for a number of commodities. In this interview with Streetwise Reports, Frank Holmes, CEO of U.S. Global Investors, discusses the commodity supercycle and the factors behind it, why some commodities may get more of a boost than others, and ways investors can profit.
The Gold Report: Frank, thank you for joining us today. Let's talk about the commodity supercycle. Would you explain what the supercycle is?
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Tuesday, May 08, 2018
Study: Does the year-over-year change in Corporate Earnings Lead the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
I concluded that the absolute value of corporate earnings does not consistently lead the stock market in a previous study. I.e. sometimes corporate earnings fall before the stock market falls, sometimes the stock market falls before corporate earnings fall.
But what about the rate of change in corporate earnings? Does the change in corporate earnings GROWTH (i.e. second derivative of corporate earnings) lead the stock market? It appears to be the case from 1990-present.
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Tuesday, May 08, 2018
Gold’s Fundamentals are Not Bullish…Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Ask some gold bugs why Gold has not broken out yet and you will probably get the usual answers. Some will say it’s due to manipulation or price suppression. Others will mention the current rally in the US Dollar (while neglecting that the previous decline in the greenback was unable to take Gold to a new high). Few would say the fundamentals are not in place. No one can know for certain but Gold’s fundamentals have not improved over the past year and are not where they need to be to support a breakout.
Tuesday, May 08, 2018
Bitcoin is Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Submissions
Mike Jarmuz writes: Someone once tried to sell me a used Rolex for $500 when the fair market value of this “Rolex” would be around $4,500. The watch said Rolex, it definitely looked like a Rolex and for someone who never had worn a Rolex before….. I guess it also felt like a Rolex. But… this watch was definitely NOT a Rolex and I thankfully did not make this purchase. This is pretty much the analogy for anyone buying Bitcoin Cash today and thinking it’s Bitcoin. It looks like Bitcoin, it may feel like Bitcoin and somehow there are people out there who refer to it as “the real Bitcoin.” I mean after all, Bitcoin.com has multiple PSA references and warnings about it. Unfortunately, they aren’t warning you (to your benefit) at all. They are one of the biggest proponents in the spreading of misinformation. The whole damn website is lousy with inaccurate and downright factually incorrect information. But why? Why would Bitcoin.com along with a handful of other “bad actors” try and doup the public?
Tuesday, May 08, 2018
From Trumped Equities to Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Dan_Steinbock
Despite misguided economic policies and rising geopolitical tensions, the long market expansion has prevailed. But times may be changing. With the Trump fiscal policies and rearmament, America is taking more debt than in decades, even though its sovereign debt now exceeds $21.2 trillion, or 106 percent of the GDP. As fiscal stimulus kicks in (read: Trump’s tax cuts), the deficit will widen.
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Tuesday, May 08, 2018
Aussie Between the RBA Interest Rates and Trade War Talks / Currencies / Austrailia
By: Submissions
Australia’s central bank has kept their benchmark interest rate at record low 1.5%, and many Wall Street analysts believe that interest rates will remain on hold during 2018 and 2019. We are currently in the 19th consecutive month where interest rates have been held steady.
This continued hold on interest rates is why the AUD rate has continued to remain under pressure. The bearish trend established in 2011 is still intact despite the short rallies that have interrupted the trend.
Even though the RBA expects the Australian economy to grow faster, it also acknowledges that the weakening housing sector and the deflationary pressure themes are going to delay any prospects of normalizing the interest rates.
Tuesday, May 08, 2018
Do Corporate Earnings Lead the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
By: Troy_Bombardia
I’ve been building more quantitative trading models recently. I know that some hedge funds calculate the stock market’s “fair value” and then trade around that fair value. For the record, this is not what I do with the Medium-Long Term Model.
This “fair value” is usually “the stock market’s average P/E ratio during certain market environments”. Here’s an example of how the stock market’s average valuation (P/E ratio) – aka “fair value” – changes based on changes in interest rates.
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Tuesday, May 08, 2018
The Secret Play Earning Oil Investors Billions / Companies / Oil Companies
By: OilPrice_Com
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Monday, May 07, 2018
Global Synchronized Economic Slowdown / Economics / Global Economy
By: Michael_Pento
Not too long ago the overwhelming consensus from the perennial Wall Street Carnival Barkers was that investors were enjoying a global growth renaissance that would last for as far as the eye can see. Unfortunately, it didn’t take much time to de-bunk that fairy tale. After a lackluster start to 2018, the market's expectations for global growth for the remainder of this year is now waning with each tick higher in bond yields.
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Monday, May 07, 2018
Understanding Technical Analysis In Currency Trading / InvestorEducation / Forex Trading
By: Submissions
There are many different things you will learn when you start forex trading. One of the things that will have an impact on your entire trading career however, is learning technical analysis. Forex trading is not just about reading the charts and observing the signs. It is also about a deep understanding of the forex trading strategies (for example fibonacci trading strategy) through logical means. Calculations and forecasts are thus an essential part of the trade. One of the best ways of getting deep insights about the market is by carrying out technical analysis. By using technical charts and technical data, you can have better prospects in the trade.
Monday, May 07, 2018
The Stock Market Is Going To Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
Well, everyone else has been calling for a market crash, so I thought maybe I should too. But, while I think the market will likely crash again, I don’t think it is going to happen just yet, as I still believe this bull market has several more years to run.
When I peruse the articles on Seeking Alpha, it seems to be en vogue today to be bearish. The headline articles discuss how the market has now moved into being a bear market, or that the VIX is about to skyrocket, or the market is overvalued, discussions of black swans, the impending debt crisis, etc.
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Monday, May 07, 2018
Stock Market Still Range Bound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should continue until about mid-May.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, May 07, 2018
US Stock Market Indexes Setup Bottom Confirmation Pattern / Stock-Markets / Articles
By: Chris_Vermeulen
On Wednesday, May 2, we issued a research post supporting our position that the markets were nearing an apex breakout and that critical support and resistance levels had established within the market. We indicated that volatility is usually quite high throughout these apex breakout moves with the potential for a “wash-out” price rotation in the works. In other words, as these apex breakouts happen, price can sometimes, falsely, break to one side or the other and rotate very quickly to the other side – creating what we call a “wash-out” price reversal.
Closing out this week, prices broke lower on Thursday, May 3, and reversed sharply before the end of the trading session to create a “wash-out” low formation which is indicative of a price bottom. We felt strongly that our ADL price modeling system’s analysis as well as this bottom formation are strong evidence that the US majors will enter a new upside price trend very quickly.
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Sunday, May 06, 2018
How to Deal With a Suspended Driving License / Personal_Finance / Motoring
By: Anwar_Hossain
If you have a suspended driving license, it means your driving rights have been withdrawn temporarily, because of driving under the influence of drugs (DUIs) or having no car insurance.It is a crime to drive a vehicle when your driving license has been revoked according to the California Vehicle Code 14601 VC. Besides, you can face severe suspensions from both federal courts and the California Department of Motor vehicles (DMV). The good news is that there are ways to reinstate your driver’s license.
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