Tuesday, September 11, 2018
ALERT: Gold-to-Silver Ratio Spikes to Highest Level in 27 Years! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jason_Hamlin
The gold-silver ratio has been one of the most reliable technical ‘buy’ indictors for silver, whenever the ratio climbs above 80. The gold-to-silver ratio has now spiked above 85, which is the highest level of this entire 18-year bull market! In fact, you have to go back 27 years to 1991 for the ratio to be higher than it is today. Amazingly, the ratio is currently higher than it was at the depths of the 2008-09 financial crisis (circled in the chart below).
Tuesday, September 11, 2018
Obama's Zombie Followers / Politics / US Politics
By: BATR
Barack Hussein Obama has emerged from his crypt. One of the time-honored practices when a President leaves office has been that they fade into the obscurity of retirement. As witnessed with George W. Bush, the public has not been burdened with his political involvement or wisdom of his years as commander and chief. The same cannot be said about Obama, the perpetual narcissist former head of state. This globalist CIA President caused severe damage to the Republic that any rational citizen would readily admit. Yet, this failed X-President has never shed his vision of grandeur. If anyone doubts about this assessment just reflect on his latest 64-minute speech. President Barack Obama Rips President Donald Trump: Full Speech 9/7/2018.
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Tuesday, September 11, 2018
Stock Market Trend Forecast Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
It's now nearly 2 months since I published my stock market trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018 on the 21st of July 2018 which was first made available to Patrons who support my work. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
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Tuesday, September 11, 2018
Transportation Index Leads Stock Market Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The recent upside breakout seen in the US Transportation Index is a very important signal for traders. Our research team has been following these moves for many months and we believe the recent upside breakout in the $TRAN is a strong sign of future US Equities price moves and all traders should be paying very close attention.
The Transportation Index typically leads the US Equities markets by about 3 to 6 months. Transportation is one of the core elements of economic activity. Items entering the US or distributed throughout the US must rely on transportation to ship/deliver these goods to resellers, wholesalers, and ports. When the Transportation Index rises, one should expect the economic activity to continue to increase.
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Tuesday, September 11, 2018
What Personality Traits Do You Need to Be a Successful Trader? / InvestorEducation / Trader Psychology
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
When you first start trading, you’ll find there are tons of resources out there. While this can be a good thing, it can also become quite overwhelming. In order to be a successful trader, you need a mix of knowledge and the right personality traits to succeed. All the knowledge in the world won’t help you if you’re impatient and blow your money quickly. In this article, we’re going to look at the personality traits you need to become a successful trader.
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Monday, September 10, 2018
Stock Market Upward Reversal or Just Rebound? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
The broad stock market slightly extended its short-term downtrend on Friday, as investors continued taking profits off the table after the recent record-breaking rally. However, the S&P 500 index remains relatively close to its record high. Is this a topping pattern or just a pause before another leg up?
The U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.2-0.3% on Friday, slightly extending their short-term downtrend, as investors reacted to the monthly jobs data release. The S&P 500 index has reached the record high of 2,916.50 on August the 29th. It currently trades 1.5% below that high. Both, Dow Jones Industrial Average and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 0.3% on Friday.
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Monday, September 10, 2018
How Trump Could Fire Powell and Rebuild the Fed / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : In recent weeks, Trump criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell several times. He doesn’t like that Powell is leading the Fed to raise interest rates.Past presidents avoided such comments so they wouldn’t appear to be interfering. But Trump doesn’t care about appearances.
The Fed is somewhat insulated from electoral politics. The chair and board members have fixed terms. Its composition changes slowly... but it doesn’t have to.
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Monday, September 10, 2018
Why the US Navy Is the Best Sector to Invest in Now / Companies / US Military
By: John_Mauldin
BY ROBERT ROSS : Defense stocks are booming big time.The iShares US Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) just hit an all-time high last week:
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Monday, September 10, 2018
Should You be Worried About the Rising U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Troy_Bombardia
The U.S. Dollar Index has been going up over the past 5 months, driven higher by Trump’s trade war.
This has some stock market traders worried, because economic theory states that “a rising U.S. Dollar is bad for the economy and stock market”.
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Monday, September 10, 2018
The Coming Global Liquidity Crisis…The Kick Off of the Post Bubble Contraction / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018
By: Plunger
We have seen how the PBC has now begun and is making itself felt around the world starting at the periphery of the global economy, next moving to the senior markets of the world and eventually being transmitted to the core of the financial system. As of now the US markets do not reflect any impact of the PBC, however there are signs it is fast approaching.
Tesla- Canary in the coal mine
So far US markets don’t seem to care what is happening in other markets around the world. US Markets seem impervious. A few months ago I pointed out that as long as Tesla stays elevated the US market should remain fine. Call Tesla the canary in the coal mine. Tesla continues to operate for one reason only- easy money. Remove the liquidly spigot and Tesla ceases to exist. This company is so obviously a fraud on stock holders, yet it whistles past the graveyard with each outrageous act of its “nut job” CEO. Simply put, as long as stock holders suspend reality in Tesla they are willing to believe anything.
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Monday, September 10, 2018
Will Stock Market Support Hold? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – Another correction has started which could conceivably continue into mid-October.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Monday, September 10, 2018
Gold Price 2018 Trend - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
In this series of 5 videos I will conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018. However the whole of this analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work on the 9th of September. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
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Monday, September 10, 2018
Lehman and Normalcy Bias / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018
By: Andy_Sutton
It is now September. The time of year that the fright forecasters live for. Their dispatches grow more and more desperate. Tragedy lies just on the horizon. ‘Buy our products now’ they say or ‘reap the whirlwind’. We are now just a few days from the 10th anniversary of the Lehman Weekend Extravaganza which was the official start date of what stuffed shirts in media and politics call the ‘Great Recession’.
On the US side of the Atlantic, the goings on since have edged people into what is called normalcy bias. How can that be you might ask; the Dow has quadrupled since 3/6/2009. That’s an average annual return over double the market’s average annual return over the prior 100 years. The sad thing is there is not a single average investor we know of who has seen their paper stocks quadruple in the last ten years. Those types of gains are reserved for hedge funds, and JP Morgan’s trading desk, not the average person. The idea that the playing field is level is so ludicrous it is actually funny.
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Monday, September 10, 2018
U-Turn or Perfect Storm? Globalization a Decade after the Financial Crisis / Economics / Global Economy
By: Dan_Steinbock
A decade ago, globalization peaked. Today, it remains in the doldrums. Consequently, the Trump trade wars take place at a historical moment, when globalization may further stagnate or even fall apart.On Friday September 7, President Donald Trump threatened to impose tariffs on $267 billion in Chinese goods, on top of the additional $200 billion that he said will likely be hit with import taxes in a matter of days.
If the tariff stakes would increase close to $500 billion, it could penalize Chinese GDP by 1.0%, but the US GDP, which is relatively more vulnerable, would suffer a net impact of 2.0% of GDP.
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Monday, September 10, 2018
Cadbury Easy to Win Premier League Match Football Prize EVERY Week! / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps
By: Anika_Walayat
Here's another heads up the Cadbury's current "Match and Win" promotion in conjunction with the Premier Football League which features well over 1 million prizes that range from the top prize of a pair of VIP match day tickets (X10), all the way to 1 million Cadbury FC Goodies. Watch our latest video on this promo for why this is a must enter promo for compers as the probability for a win EVERY week is very high!
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Sunday, September 09, 2018
Gold Price Balanced on a Knife Edge at $1200 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Gold price that began 2018 strongly continuing it's bull run from a Mid December 2017 swing low of 1238, rising to a February peak of $1365 before correcting to a March low of $1309 that set the scene for a trading range of $1365 to $1309 pending a breakout higher. Then two further attempts at breaking above $1365 failed to materialise, instead resulting in the Gold price breaking below $1309 support during May which put the Gold price on a decidedly downwards trend trajectory where each rally off each subsequent low failed to follow through, thus resulting in a relentless downtrend all the way to what at the start of the year would have seemed a completely unimaginable price for Gold to trade down to by Mid year of $1167.
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Sunday, September 09, 2018
The Gold Price Rally is Finally Here! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Austin_Galt
Pattern – price looks to have capitulated into a low at $1162 and I am now looking for price to trade down and set up a higher low.
Bollinger Bands – price fell just short of the upper band and is now back at the middle band which has been providing support. I expect this support to give way with price pushing into the lower band to set up the higher low.
Sunday, September 09, 2018
Witty Teen, With the Help of His Parents, Steals from a Maltese Online Casino / ConsumerWatch / Gambling
By: John_York
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Saturday, September 08, 2018
Long Term Gold and Currency Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Rambus_Chartology
Today I would like to update some of the PM charts we’ve been following to see how they’ve been progressing starting with the massive ten year H&S top on gold. Since the price action broke below the neckline several weeks ago it’s a week to week observation to see how the backtest is playing out. The backtest to the neckline comes in around the 1225 area with this weeks high at 1212.70 so the backtest held for another week. What we need to see next for the current move lower to continue is to see a new weekly close below the previous weekly low.
Saturday, September 08, 2018
Stock Market Weak September Start Like 1987, 1991, and 2001? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Earlier this week I said that September would probably be weak. So far this weakness has played out, with the S&P falling every day this past week.
There are only 3 other historical cases in which the S&P started September by falling 4 days in a row.
- September 1987
- September 1991
- September 2001