Sunday, September 16, 2018
Stock Market Correction Ahead, But When? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Harry_Dent
The broader stock market via the S&P 500 finally broke to new highs in August, while they drifted insignificantly lower on Wednesday.And as Adam O’Dell recently commented, that typically means substantially higher highs ahead… like 13% plus.
What does this mean for my great crash forecast?
Well, my favored scenario right now, with the strong tax cuts Trump handed us, is that the great bubble peak comes in late 2019, not now.
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Sunday, September 16, 2018
Investing - Look at the Facts to Find the Truth / Stock-Markets / Investing 2018
By: Rodney_Johnson
The truth is…
I can’t stand sentences that start with that.
Typically, the author or speaker is discussing a controversial topic and trying to lay the groundwork for his or her position, casting everyone else as a liar or simpleton.
Paul Krugman of The New York Times comes to mind.
Sunday, September 16, 2018
Flowering Bird of Paradise Plant's Life Cycle (UK) / Personal_Finance / Gardening
By: Anika_Walayat
Anika's Bird of Paradise Plant has finally flowered after 3 long years, so here is the life cycle of of what to expect from a Bird of Paradise Plant Flower, right from when it first appears, blossoms and then very slowly dies back over a good 6 months to reveal it's final secret when the spent flower is cut from the plant.
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Sunday, September 16, 2018
How to Add Zoom to SmartPhone Cameras - MUIO Telescope 12X55mm Review / Personal_Finance / Mobile Technology
By: HGR
The cameras in today's smartphone's such as the Samsung Galaxy S7,S8 and S9 are better than today's compact cameras costing in the region of £200. For instance better slow motion and higher resolution 4K footage when the compacts are still carrying HD specs. So why do most amateur photographers and film makers still rather prefer a cheaper lower quality compact camera than a smartphone? Well its the lack of zoom on smartphone's, so here after much searching on Amazon I settled on the 12X50mm telescope by MUI that cost £30 at the time of review (Amazon UK £30 https://amzn.to/2QErj2y).
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Saturday, September 15, 2018
Gold Stocks Forced Capitulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold miners’ stocks suffered a rare capitulation selloff over the past month or so. Selling cascaded to extremes as stop losses were sequentially triggered, battering this contrarian sector to exceedingly-low levels. While very challenging psychologically, capitulations are super-bullish. They rapidly exhaust all near-term selling potential, leaving gold stocks wildly oversold and undervalued which births major new uplegs.
Capitulations are quite rare which makes them inherently unpredictable. The vast majority of selloffs end normally well before they snowball into capitulation-grade plummets. But very seldomly heavy selling just continues to intensify rather than abate like usual. The word capitulation means “the act of surrendering or giving up”. That’s exactly what happens in these extraordinary selling events, traders stampede for the exits.
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Saturday, September 15, 2018
Elliott Wave Analysis of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: WavePatternTraders
There have been a lot of mentions about this stock on social media and in the media in general such as CNBC etc. I am not surprised as it’s been on a mission the last few weeks; however the recent peak could well have put in a significant peak, especially considering the media attention this stock has got recently.Whenever a stock or market gets highlighted, it’s generally very close to a turn and usually close to high or low; in this case I can make a solid claim that there are enough gyrations to suggest the advance from the April 2018 lows has ended an impulse wave (5 wave rally).
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Saturday, September 15, 2018
Hindenburg Omen & Consumer Confidence: More Signs of Stock Market Trouble in 2019 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Our Long Term Risk Model suggests that the U.S. economy & bull market are almost at the point at which “things can’t get much better”, but we’re not completely there yet.
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Saturday, September 15, 2018
Trading The Global Future - Bad Consequences / Economics / Global Economy
By: Dan_Steinbock
The Trump administration’s ‘America First’ policies come at a critical time in the global economy. These bad policies will have adverse consequences in international trade. In the absence of countervailing forces, they could unsettle the post-2008 global recovery and undermine postwar globalization.This summer, the Trump administration’s tariff war penalized $50 billion worth of goods traded between the US and China.
The next stage of White House escalation will impact up to $200 billion of Chinese imports, and result in proportionate Chinese retaliation.
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Saturday, September 15, 2018
Central Banks Have Gone Rogue, Putting Us All at Risk / Politics / Central Banks
By: Ellen_Brown
Excluding institutions such as Blackrock and Vanguard, which are composed of multiple investors, the largest single players in global equity markets are now thought to be central banks themselves. An estimated 30 to 40 central banks are invested in the stock market, either directly or through their investment vehicles (sovereign wealth funds). According to David Haggith at Zero Hedge:
Read full article... Read full article...Central banks buying stocks are effectively nationalizing U.S. corporations just to maintain the illusion that their “recovery” plan is working. … At first, their novel entry into the stock market was only intended to rescue imperiled corporations, such as General Motors during the first plunge into the Great Recession, but recently their efforts have shifted to propping up the entire stock market via major purchases of the most healthy companies on the market.
Friday, September 14, 2018
Gold Price Seasonal Trend Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is my third article in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
- Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
- Trend Analysis
- Seasonal Analysis
- US Dollar
- Forecast Conclusion
Friday, September 14, 2018
Growing Number of Small Businesses Opening – and Closing – In the UK / Companies / SME
By: Anwar_Hossain
Last year, the Financial Times reported a record number of new start ups in the UK. It is a beacon of light in what have otherwise been difficult economic times over recent years, ones that will only get tougher as Brexit looms closer. However, there are two sides to every coin, and while the number of new businesses is nothing less than laudable, there is also the worrying statistic that around 20 percent of them survive less than a year.
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Friday, September 14, 2018
Bitcoin Price Is About To Bottom / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Avi_Gilburt
The painful nine month bear market that began when Bitcoin topped in the mid $19,000’s is now the second longest bear market in crypto history; second in rank to one that began after the Mt. Gox sent Bitcoin down nearly 90% in 18 long months.
As is typical in a bear market, the investing public passes blame. Those trapped in the ensuing downtrend look for reasons they are losing money, as if the market owes them something. For cryptos, the opening of CME Bitcoin futures trading, which began trading shortly before the top, is the chief target. I’ve heard that it said that paper futures always ruin markets. Other targets of blame include regulation in the states and abroad, and the plethora of ‘crap’ coins on the market. The general and age old cry that the markets are manipulated also abound.
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Friday, September 14, 2018
Elliott Wave Analysis of Dow Jones Trucking Index (DJUSTK) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: WavePatternTraders
This index has been strong recently and is one of the components of the Dow Transportation Average (DJT). I am closely watching the Dow Jones Trucking Index (DJUSTK) for clues to when the DJT will end its advance from the 2016 lows and reverse lower, as it seems that the recent fuel that is driving the Dow Transportation Average (DJT) higher is coming from the rail road and trucking stocks.Looking at DJUSTK I can make a solid case that it’s close to ending an impulse wave from the 2016 lows and current advance is in a 5th wave, although it may still push a little higher as some of the major stocks in the DJUSTK would look better if new highs were seen, stocks just as SAIA & XOP etc. Once we see new highs or some evidence of a reversal I am expecting the DJT to reverse lower.
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Friday, September 14, 2018
My Goodness, What Is Happening to Platinum? / Commodities / Platinum
By: MoneyMetals
You may have noticed the platinum price has fallen well below gold’s price and it continues to underperform the other precious metals. What is happening in the platinum market?
We see a handful of factors driving the recent declines in platinum. For starters, it is facing the same challenges we find in the gold and silver markets.
Friday, September 14, 2018
Gold Price Trend Analysis - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the second video in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
- Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
- Trend Analysis
- Seasonal Analysis
- US Dollar
- Forecast Conclusion
Thursday, September 13, 2018
Low Volatility Has Returned to the Stock Market. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
As you’ve probably noticed, the U.S. stock market’s volatility has been notably low over the past 2 months. It’s been 55 consecutive days without a >1% daily change!
*This is surprising because volatility is typically higher during August and September (more bearish seasonality).
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Thursday, September 13, 2018
Esports Is Exploding—Here’s 3 Best Stocks to Profit From / Companies / Investing 2018
By: Stephen_McBride
57 million people tuned in to watch a recent professional video-gaming (esports) match. That’s almost 3x more than the 2018 NBA finals.Maybe you’re thinking it’s a stretch to call video gaming a “sport.” Call it whatever you want, so long as you understand that massive sums of cash are pouring into this booming sector.
There are now American video-gaming leagues modeled after the NBA and NFL.
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Thursday, September 13, 2018
The Four Steel Men Behind Trump’s Trade War / Economics / Protectionism
By: Dan_Steinbock
In few months, the Trump administration has undermined more than seven decades of U.S. free trade legacies. Who are the policymakers behind this reversal. Wat is their agenda? And why is steel their common denominator?Recently, the Trump administration hammered a revised North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) by pressuring Mexico and then strong-arming Canada to the tentative deal. The White House’s objective is either to redefine the terms on the basis of U.S. economic leverage and unipolar geopolitics or - if that is not acceptable to other parties - to withdraw the U.S. from such FTAs. It is not “either you are with us or against us,” as in the Bush years, but “America First - or nothing.”
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Thursday, September 13, 2018
How Trump Tariffs Could Double America’s Trade Losses / Economics / Protectionism
By: Dan_Steinbock
Trump tariffs are based on flawed doctrines, which could penalize the US as much as its trade deficits. Last Friday, President Trump threatened to impose tariffs on $267 billion in Chinese goods, on top of the additional $200 billion that he said will likely be hit with import taxes in a matter of days.
If the tariff stakes will increase up to $500 billion, it could penalize Chinese GDP by 1%, but the US GDP, which is relatively more vulnerable, would suffer a net impact of 2% of GDP. In dollar terms, the consequent tariff damage could prove even higher than the current U.S. trade deficit with China and thus double the damage.
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Thursday, September 13, 2018
Next Financial Crisis Is Already Here! John Lewis 99% Profits CRASH - Retail Sector Collapse / Stock-Markets / Retail Sector
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This week the mainstream press has been busy focusing on remembering the 'start' of the financial crisis of September 2008 "Lehman's Brother Collapse" that most of whom never saw coming. In act the financial crisis actually began much earlier than September 2008 with the first obvious signs of a credit crisis brewing being the collapse of two Bear Stearns hedge funds during July 2007, but it would take the mainstream financial press another year before they started to connect the dots for the train wreck well in motion.