Friday, February 22, 2019

Stock Traders Must Be Cautious Part III / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Welcome back, If you’ve missed any part of this multi-part research post, please visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com/FreeResearch/ to review and read our previous posts.  This, Part III, of our multi-part research post where we are attempting to rationalize the continued bearish analysis of some other analysts as well as review some key data that may support our interpretation that the global markets are transitioning through a “revaluation phase” right now – headed for a breakout rally eventually will continue with more detailed information.  Our premise is that global investors and traders should stay cautiously optimistic at the moment and prepare for some volatility as this “revaluation phase” continues to play out.  Our overall analysis suggests that the US Federal Reserve and global central banks have “primes the cylinders” of the global economic engine sufficiently and that a spark is all that is needed to see massive new valuation and GDP increases within the next 10~20+ years.

Friday, February 22, 2019

Stock Traders Must Stay Optimistically Cautious II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

This Part II of our research post regarding the future potential of any very deep market correction and/or a potential new-age market rally based on our presumption that the global market dynamics have changed dramatically over the past 20+ years.  Are the market gurus correct in thinking the next big move will be to the downside?  Or are they missing key aspects of the global market dynamics that point to a massive upside rally that is setting up for the future.  Today, we continue to explore some of the key elements that we believe present a total scope of the potential for the global markets.

In Part I of this article, we highlighted how globalization changed the planet and increased inter-dependence across the globe for economies and governments.  The point we wanted to make from the first segment was to highlight the fact that the current world economies are vastly different than the global economy prior to 1980 or 1970.  Over the past 20+ years, the world’s economies have become more and more connected and interdependent on one another.  Additionally, global investors and financial institutions have become heavily interconnected and reliant on the global market economies of the world.  The reality is, the world is vastly different than it was 40+ years ago in terms of finance, banking, and investment objectives.

Friday, February 22, 2019

Sheffield FlyPast Footage - "Mi Amigo" US Bomber Crash Memorial Endcliffe Park / Local / Sheffield

By: Anika_Walayat

Here is footage of the 10 planes that took part in todays "Mi Amigo" Sheffield Memorial Fly Past.

The fly past was the culmination of 3 hours of commemorations for the 10 brave air men who died when their B17 Flying Fortress bomber crashed on 22nd Feb 1944, the crew of the "Mi Amigo". In commemoration of which the fly past was arranged by BBC presenter Dan Walker after talking to Tony Foulds who has looked after the memorial site for decades. The fly past which took place at 8.45am includes an 4 F15 Strike Eagle fighter jets from RAF Lakenheath, other aircraft included a KC-135 Stratotanker, a MC-130J Commando II, a CV-22 Osprey from RAF Mildenhall, and a Typhoon and a Dakota from RAF Coningsby.

Friday, February 22, 2019

This Money-Destroying Policy Could Soon Become a Reality / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: John_Mauldin

It was my first encounter with what I thought was economic insanity.

More than 10 years ago, I came across the ideas of economist Bill Mitchell of the University of Newcastle in New South Wales.

He was teaching what he called Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). I looked into it and quickly dismissed it as silly.

Actually printing money as an economic policy? Get serious.

Fast forward to today, the idea is adopted by new socialist-like movements in the US and abroad. It’s cited by politicians and mainstream media.

There’s a growing number of rationales for adopting MMT into our philosophical base.

Friday, February 22, 2019

This Simple Investing Formula Is All That Most Investors Need / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: John_Mauldin

“Buy and hold” is a great, time-tested investment strategy. It works on two conditions, though.

You have to allow it sufficient time. And you have to stick with it. The problem is very few investors can stick with it.

They see their net worth shrinking, get scared, and bail out. And they do so at the wrong time. Then they re-enter at the wrong time. And the cycle repeats.

Asset diversification doesn’t help here. Because it still leaves you at risk of making a mistake on emotions.

Thursday, February 21, 2019

Sheffield "Mi Amigo" Memorial Fly Past , BBC Crew Setting Up Stage for Breakfast TV Endcliffe Park / Local / Sheffield

By: Anika_Walayat

Here's what it was like at Endcliffe park and memorial site as the BBC crews were busy setting up their cameras and stage which includes a BBC breakfast sofa for tomorrow live broadcast from 6am to 9.15am to cover the memorial to the US B17 Flying Fortress bomber that crashed in the park 75 years ago costing the lives of the 10 air crew of the "Mi Amigo". In commemoration of which a fly past arranged by BBC presenter Dan Walker after talking to Tony Foulds who has looked after the memorial site for decades, will be taking place at 8.45am that will include an F15 Strike Eagle fighter jet from RAF Lakenheath, other aircraft to include a KC-135 Stratotanker, a MC-130J Commando II, a CV-22 Osprey from RAF Mildenhall, and a Typhoon and a Dakota from RAF Coningsby (weather permitting).

Thursday, February 21, 2019

Gold Weakens After FOMC Minutes / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The recent minutes show that the Fed is divided over future rate hikes. How should gold investors react?

To Hike, or not to Hike, That Is The Question

As Chairman Powell has been good at communicating the US central bank’s plans, the recent FOMC minutes do not contain too many surprises. In January, the Fed took investors by surprise, saying that it could be patient on interest rates. The minutes elaborated on this, explaining that a patient approach offers many benefits – additional data would shed some light on the recent softness in inflation, would enable the Fed official to observe effects of past rate hikes and would allow time for a clearer picture of trade and fiscal policy, and the state of the global economy – and only few risks, as inflationary pressure is muted, while asset valuations less stretched:

Thursday, February 21, 2019

Stocks Closer to Medium-Term Resistance Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Paul_Rejczak

Wednesday's trading session was virtually flat, as investors hesitated following the recent run-up. Will the broad stock market continue higher despite some clear short-term technical overbought conditions?

The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between 0.0% and +0.2% on Wednesday, as investors sentiment remained bullish despite some clear short-term technical overbought conditions. The S&P 500 index retraced more of its October-December downward correction of 20.2% (2,713.88) recently. It got closer to the previous local highs along the 2,800 level. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite was unchanged on Wednesday.

The nearest important resistance level of the S&P 500 index remains at around 2,785-2,800, marked by the previous medium-term local highs. On the other hand, the support level is at around 2,760, marked by the Friday's daily gap up of 2,757.90-2,760.24. The support level is also at 2,720, marked by the last Tuesday's daily gap up of 2,718.05-2,722.61.

Thursday, February 21, 2019

The Stock Market’s Momentum is Extremely Strong. What’s Next for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500’s nonstop rally continues, and is nearing several resistances at the 2800-2813 level. Meanwhile, the stock market is overbought for the first time in a long time.

Thursday, February 21, 2019

QE Forever: The Fed's Dramatic About-face / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Ellen_Brown

“Quantitative easing” was supposed to be an emergency measure, but the Federal Reserve is now taking a surprising new approach toward the policy. The Fed “eased” shrinkage in the money supply due to the 2008-09 credit crisis by pumping out trillions of dollars in new bank reserves. After the crisis, the presumption was the Fed would “normalize” conditions by sopping up the excess reserves through “quantitative tightening” (QT)—raising interest rates and selling the securities it had bought with new reserves back into the market.

Thursday, February 21, 2019

Gold Technical Perspective – Why So Bullish? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Kelsey_Williams

Does technical analysis need to be so convoluted?  Here are a couple of definitions from different sources:

1) Convoluted: (especially of an argument, story, or sentence) extremely complex and difficult to follow. (source)

2) Convoluted sentences, explanations, arguments, etc. are unreasonably long and difficult to understand.

Thursday, February 21, 2019

Why Is Central Bank Buying Of Gold So Important? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Avi_Gilburt

There is an old Yiddish expression called a bubbe meise (pronounced my-seh). I guess the closest English interpretation of this expression would be a grandmother’s tale, or in the common vernacular, an old-wives' tale.

Of late, I am seeing a bubbe meise about the importance of central bank buying of gold, and it is making its rounds on websites all over the internet.

We have been hearing for many years about how gold is supposed to soar because countries and central banks are buying the precious metal. Most of the fundamentalists in this market are convinced that this is a bullish signal. In fact, one article I read explained that central bank buying “is significant, as central banks are the 'smart money' given their influence on global economics and access to non-public information.”

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

Sheffield "Mi Amigo" Memorial Fly Past at 8.45am on 22nd Feb 2019 / Local / Sheffield

By: Anika_Walayat

February 22nd is the 75th anniversary of the crash of a US B17 Flying Fortress bomber in Endcliffe Park Sheffield costing the lives of the 10 air crew of the "Mi Amigo". In commemoration of which a fly past arranged by BBC presenter Dan Walker after talking to Tony Foulds who has looked after the memorial site, will take place on Friday 22nd Feb at 8.45am at Endcliffe Park that will include an F15 Strike Eagle fighter jet from RAF Lakenheath, other aircraft to include a KC-135 Stratotanker, a MC-130J Commando II, a CV-22 Osprey from RAF Mildenhall, and a Typhoon and a Dakota from RAF Coningsby (weather permitting).

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

Here’s The Real Reason You Stress About Money / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans

By: Jared_Dillian

People get really stressed out about money.

Money makes people cry. Money causes people to lose sleep. Money causes marriages to hit the skids.

So how to not stress about money? Drink decaf? Yoga? Meditation? None of the above.

Having more money is not the solution either. Lots of times, more money causes more stress, not less.

In the sage words of The Notorious B.I.G., “Mo’ money, mo’ problems.” The people who stress about money with $10,000 in the bank would be stressed with $1,000,000 in the bank.

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

Five Online Marketing Predictions that will Matter in 2019 / Companies / Marketing

By: Dylan_Moran

The beginning of the year is a busy time for marketers. Online marketing trends are constantly shifting, after all, which means that not everything that mattered last year may still carry over now. As a marketer, it’s very important to know which trends are worth incorporating into your system and which ones to pass up. To make thing easier for you, we rounded up five online marketing predictions that will matter for 2019—and even beyond:

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

Olympus TG-5 Video Audio Sound Quality Tests, TG5 Camera Review / Personal_Finance / Technology

By: HGR

In this video we test the quality of Olympus Tough TG-5's sound / audio recordings, what you get when you hit the record button in various locations under various conditions from nosey to quiet, even underwater! And what it's like when first emerging from a plunge in the sea. So you understand what to expect from this camera's two microphones positioned on the top left side of the camera body.

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

Has Gold Price Reached Upside Resistance Near $1340-1360? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research has indicated that precious metals should be setting up for a period of rotation and sideways trading over the next 20~30 days.  We issued a research post on January 28, 2019 warning that precious metals would be consolidated over a 30~45 day period before setting up for a massive upside price move, here.  This research was based on our Adaptive Dynamic Learning price modeling system and from our Adaptive Learning Cycles system.  We believe this research is still very valid and want to alert metals traders that resistance in GOLD can be easily identified near $1340-1360.

The Weekly gold chart, below, highlights the resistance channel that originates in 2016 and continues with multiple peaks in 2017, 2018 and now.  We believe this resistance will act as a price ceiling over the next few weeks before metals prices attempt an upside breakout as we suggested in our January 28 research post.

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

So Many Things are Not Confirming Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

A lot of things are not “confirming” the stock market’s rally right now.

Standard traders look for “non-confirmations” in the market. They typically plot a fundamental/technical indicator ontop of the S&P 500, demonstrate how the 2 lines have mostly had a strong correlation over the past 2 years, and then demonstrate how the S&P has “diverged” from the indicator recently and how the indicator is not “confirming” the stock market’s rally.

Then, they come to the conclusion that the stock market is going to reverse because “DIVERGENCE!”

In reality, most divergences don’t amount to anything and are not much better than a 50/50 coin toss. These correlations are optical illusions, and work until they don’t.

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

Gold and the Great Global Wealth Grab / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Graham_Summers

Gold continues to soar, up 14% in the last six months and now challenging its 2018 highs.

If you’re looking to understand why Gold continues to rally, you don’t have to look any further than the political arena where more and more politicians are calling for wealth taxes and cash grabs.

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

HUI Update…A Treat for Long Suffering Gold Traders / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: Rambus_Chartology

Below is the combo chart which has the HUI on top, the UUP in the middle and GLD on the bottom. Everything looks fine.