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Category: Gold & Silver 2019

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, March 26, 2019

Falling Yields a Catalyst for The Gold Catalyst / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Since last spring we’ve written over and over again about a Fed rate cut being the catalyst for a bull move in gold stocks.

The history is almost bulletproof. Many lows in gold stocks over the past 60 years coincided with the end of rate hikes.

At present the Federal Reserve is in pause mode and the market is on the cusp of pricing in a rate cut. Friday, Fed funds futures showed a 56% chance of a rate cut by January 2020.

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Commodities

Monday, March 25, 2019

What Do Air Plane Crashes and the Precious Metals Markets Have in Common? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Boeing and the Federal Aviation Administration worked closely together to hustle a new passenger jet through the safety certification process. The combined efforts to save time and cost, coupled with little sense of accountability, resulted in a tragic safety flaw.

Now hundreds of passengers are dead, albeit in other countries. The public is finding the enormous trust placed in the manufacturer and the agency tasked with monitoring safety was badly misplaced.

The regulator tasked with safety appeared more interested in protecting Boeing’s monopoly and bottom line.

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Commodities

Monday, March 25, 2019

20 Days Left to Find Buying Opportunities In Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our researchers have been glued to Gold, Silver and the Precious Metals sector for many months. We believe the current setup in Gold is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for skilled traders to stake positions below $1300 before a potentially incredible upside price move.  We’ve been alerting our members and follower to this opportunity since well before the October/December 2018 downside price rotation in the US markets.

October 5, 2018: Prepare for a gold and silver rally

December 9, 2018: Waiting for gold to erupt

Jan 25, 2018: Why everyone is talking about gold and silver

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Commodities

Saturday, March 23, 2019

Risk/Reward in Silver Favors Buying Now, Not Waiting for Big Moves / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up David Smith, Senior Analyst at The Morgan Report and MoneyMetals.com columnist joins me and reviews the key reasons why we ought to own precious metals -- and discusses the risks of NOT acting now when the price of silver is still cheap. He also discusses why he believes the set-up for the next bull leg higher in metals is going to be different than the false breakout we saw back in 2016. Don’t miss a fantastic interview with David Smith, coming up after this week’s market update.

Well, as bulls and bears battle for control of the gold and silver markets, doves have gained full control of monetary policy at the Federal Reserve. On Wednesday, the Fed announced no change in interest rates – a decision which was expected. But policy makers went further and suggested there would be NO rate hikes at all for the REST of the year.

Bloomberg News Anchor: Doves fly, the pause continues, no change in the Fed's target rate and they are done for the year. The Dot Plot now calls for no rate increase in 2019.

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Commodities

Friday, March 22, 2019

Two Most Important Recession Indicators and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

With everyone talking about recession, investors desperately need some clues to assess the state of the economy. This is what our today’s article provide you with. We invite you to read it and find out what are the two most important recession indicators – and what is the link between them and the gold prices.

With everyone talking about recession, investors desperately need some clues to assess the state of the economy. We have already discussed how the NBER determines recessions, pointing out that its indicators are not the best tools for forward-looking precious metals investors. We mean here that the real GDP, real income, industrial production, retail sales and employment are not close to flashing red, but even when they do, the recession will already be underway.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 21, 2019

Does Fed Know Something Gold Investors Do Not Know? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The Fed doubled down on its dovish stance. What card will gold play now?

Fed Remains Patient

Yesterday, the FOMC published the monetary policy statement from its latest meeting that took place on March 19-20th. In line with the expectations, the US central bank unanimously kept its interest rates unchanged. The federal funds rate remained at the target range of 2.25 to 2.50 percent:

The Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 2-1/4 to 2-1/2 percent.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 21, 2019

Gold …Some Confirmations to Watch For / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Rambus_Chartology

With the UUP ( US Dollar ETF) having a fairly large decline today lets update a few charts to see how they’ve been progressing. Back in August of last year the UUP began to build out a rising wedge formation with today’s price action completing the fourth reversal point when the UUP traded down to the bottom trendline. Sometimes when a stock fails to touch the top rail in a well defined pattern like the rising wedge the UUP is showing, it can be a warning sign that the energy just isn’t there and the stock has run out of gas. To complete the rising wedge we need to see the bottom rail give way which should usher in a strong move for the PM complex and I would think commodities in general.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 21, 2019

Silver Price is Cheap vs Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: readtheticker

Metal investors will be paying attention to how out of favor silver is relative to gold. And it is hard to wonder why with the well forecast boom of electric cars expected over the next 10 years. Who owns all the silver? JM Bullion has a series of charts here. Notice the stock pile held by JPM. They will do will if silver gets to $30 USD an once! Chart up to April 2017

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Commodities

Thursday, March 21, 2019

Gold Price To Continue To Base Below $1320 For Weeks / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team, at Technical Traders Ltd., believes Gold will continue to base below $1320 for at least another 3~5 weeks before setting up a momentum price base.  Our research suggests general weakness in the US stock market over the next few weeks/months as a Head-n-Shoulders pattern unfolds.  Interestingly enough, our research also suggests Gold may continue to base below $1320 (likely below $1300) for at least another 2~4 weeks before forming a rounded bottom type pattern as a base.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 20, 2019

A Message to the Gold Bulls: Relying on the CoT Gives You A False Sense of Security / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold stocks have repeated their decline once again yesterday while gold and silver soldier on. When will the miners take gold and silver down with them? Underperformance is a critical sign of weakness, there’s no denying that. Would today’s Fed policy pronouncements provide the spark? These are valid questions that we answer for our subscribers on an everyday basis. For you, dear visitor, we have explored everyone’s favorite subject: the CoT report. You won’t get a chance to get bored while waiting for the pieces of today’s puzzle to fall where they belong. While an evergreen, today from an angle you probably haven’t heard before anywhere else. Get wiser and benefit!

Having discussed the very recent developments, we would like to once again discuss the issue of the CoT reports and their predictive power. Once again, because we dedicated the very first analysis of this year to this matter. The bottom line is that CoT’s usefulness as a trading signal has decreased greatly over time and it’s not wise to read too much into it anymore. Our subscribers know the full reasoning already as we wanted to have something to link to whenever we receive more CoT-related questions and comments in order to put it all in the proper context. The thing that we will discuss today is what we recently received about the part of the CoT report – the money managers’ positions.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 20, 2019

Will the Fed Cut its Interest Rate Forecast, Pushing Gold Higher? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Some important pieces of the US economic reports, including the latest nonfarm payrolls, have disappointed recently. May indicators (including the leading ones) have hit a soft patch it seems. Will that push the Fed to downgrade its dot-plot or fine-tune the monetary policy mix anyhow? Can gold jump in reaction to the Wednesday’s FOMC policy meeting?

February Payrolls Disappoint

U.S. nonfarm payrolls plunged in February, falling way short of expectations. The economy added just 20,000 jobs last month, following a rise of 311,000 in January (after an upward revision) and significantly below 172,000 forecasted by the economists. The number was the smallest increase since September 2017, as one can see in the chart below. On an annual basis, the pace of job creation increased slightly last month to 1.8 percent.

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Commodities

Monday, March 18, 2019

Gold Price Confirmation of the Warning / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: P_Radomski_CFA

After gold’s plunge on Thursday, it made a comeback attempt on Friday. But that erased only half of Thursday’s vigorous decline. The situation in silver and gold miners doesn’t provide much ground for optimism either. The silent scream we wrote about in the Wednesday’s Alert for our subscribers brought serious repercussions. Both immediately and step-by-step as in a trainwreck in slow motion. Either way you look at it, just in time for our subscribers to reap the benefits. Today, we will devote extraordinary attention to the USD Index and the 2012-2013 – today link in gold.

In Thursday’s Part I, we shared with you the short-term check on precious metals sector health. In Friday’s Part II, we examined whether the most recent developments changed the long-term view anyhow. Those articles were a limited sample of exclusive care our subscribers get on an everyday basis. Today, we will follow up with even more of such a peek under the hood - another sample of what our subscribers already enjoyed on Thursday. Whether you are reading this article on our website or elsewhere on the Internet, we will now share today’s full picture with you, the visitor, on the USD Index including the Brexit tremors. On top, we will update you on the short-term implications of the 2012-2013 – today analogy. That will be the cherry on the cake. We’ll also treat you to Thursday’s summary that remains up-to-date also today.

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Commodities

Monday, March 18, 2019

Best Precious Metals Investment and Trades for 2019 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

It’s been years since the gold and silver topped out in 2011. We have been waiting for a new bottom form and a new bull market to emerge for nearly 8 years. In this article, I’m going to compare palladium, gold, platinum, and silver and show you which of these precious metals I feel is the best long-term investment and also the best trade for 2019.

The analysis presented below is based on technical analysis using previous significant highs, and Fibonacci extensions. Both of these techniques work exceptionally well for predicting price targets both to the upside and also price corrections to the downside. If you have never used Fibonacci retracement or extensions in your trading I highly recommend learning more about them. I have no doubt it will improve your market price projection targets for your investments. I have found this technique to be the number one best trading tool for projecting future price movements in all asset classes.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, March 18, 2019

Pento: Coming QE & Low Rates Will Be ‘Rocket Fuel for Gold’ / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies joins me for a must-hear conversation on why he believes central bankers must perpetually keep interest rates near zero -- and the massive inflationary bubble economy that will likely result. Also, find out how Michael is approaching gold and gold related investments for his clients right now. Don’t miss a tremendous interview with Michael Pento, coming up after this week’s market update.

Precious metals markets are trading mixed this week as gold struggles to regain the $1,300 level. Gold prices pushed higher mid week but got pulled back down on Thursday. As of this Friday recording, the yellow metal comes in just above that key physiological level at $1,303 an ounce, up a very slight 0.3% for the week.

Silver looks lower by just a couple cents or 0.3% this week to bring spot prices to $15.36 an ounce. The platinum market shows a weekly gain of 1.6% to trade at $834. And finally, palladium is leading the precious metals pack once again – advancing 2.4% this week to trade at $1,559 per ounce.

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Commodities

Saturday, March 16, 2019

Gold Final Warning: Here Are the Stunning Implications of Plunging Gold Price / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold has turned vigorously lower yesterday. And not only gold at that. Red, red, everywhere in precious metals you looked. The silent scream we wrote about in the Wednesday’s Alert for our subscribers brought serious repercussions. Immediately and just in time to reap the benefits. Today, we will devote extraordinary attention to the long-term view of the PMs complex.

In yesterday’s Part I, we shared with you the short-term check on precious metals sector health. That article was a limited sample of exclusive care our subscribers get on an everyday basis. Today, we will follow up with more of such a peek under the hood - another sample of what our subscribers already enjoyed yesterday. Whether you are reading this article on our website or elsewhere on the Internet, we will now share today’s full picture with you, the visitor, on the long-term charts and signals. Let’s examine whether the most recent developments changed the long-term view.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, March 15, 2019

Countdown to The Precious Metals Gold and Silver Breakout Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

If you have been following our research over the past few months, you already know that we’ve called just about every major move in Gold over the past 14+ months.  Recently, we called for Gold to rally to  $1300 area, establish a minor peak, stall and retrace back to setup a momentum base pattern.  We predicted this move to take place back in January 2019 – nearly 30+ days before it happened.

Now, we are publishing this research post to alert you that we are about 15~30 days away from the momentum base setup in Gold which will likely mirror in Silver.  Thus, we have about 20+ days to look for and target entry opportunities in both Gold and Silver before this momentum bottom/base sets up.

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Commodities

Friday, March 15, 2019

Gold Warning - Here Are the Stunning Implications of Plunging Gold Price - Part 1 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold is turning vigorously lower. And not only gold at that. Red, red, everywhere in precious metals you look. The silent scream we wrote about yesterday brought serious repercussions. In this article, we devote extraordinary attention to the short-term picture throughout the PMs complex. Stay tuned as in the coming day(s) we’ll explain here how it affects the long-term charts and the 2012-2013 – now link in gold. That will be so much more than a great and actionable summary.

Yesterday’s Alert was quick and timely as it was important to keep our subscribers informed as gold and silver approached their resistance levels. Today, both metals are moving lower in the pre-market trading- silver erased more than 48 hours of gains and gold more than 24 hours of gains.

Let’s being with a look at the overnight performance. It’s important because it shows prices are already much lower than it might appear based on the daily charts.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 14, 2019

Gold in the Age of High-speed Electronic Trading / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Michael_J_Kosares

“The best thing you can do is know how to have a balanced portfolio.” Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates

“The Flash Boys story put in jeopardy billions of dollars of Wall Street profits and a way of financial life.” Michael Lewis

What’s the line in that popular song. . . .  “Are you happy in this modern world?”

In an article headlined Robots conquered stock markets/Now they’re coming for bonds and currencies, Bloomberg finance reporter Lananh Nguyen tells us: “In the most liquid equity markets, more than 90 percent of trades are executed electronically, according to estimates from Greenwich Associates. That compares with 79 percent in global foreign exchange, 44 percent in U.S. Treasuries and 26 percent in U.S. corporate bonds, with the most room for growth in the latter two markets, according to [Kevin] McPartland at Greenwich.” [Link]

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 13, 2019

NBER’s Recession Indicators and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The question is not ‘if’ but ‘when’. This is what more and more analysts think about the US recession. We invite you to read our today’s article about the NBER’s recession indicators and find out whether the economic slump is really coming soon – and what it all means for the gold market.

Talks about a possible economic slump are getting louder. More and more analysts forecast the US recession by 2020. For example, according to December JP Morgan’s “real-time quant monitor”, the risk of a recession jumped to 35 percent , the highest in series history and up from 16 percent back in March 2018. Similarly, the respondents to the January CNBC Fed Survey put the probability of a recession in the next 12 months at 26 percent, the third straight increase and the highest since January 2016. And according to the February 2019 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey, the odds of recession starting within the next 12 months was about 25 percent, the highest level (with the exception of January 2019) since October 2011 and up from just 13 percent last year. In Reuters poll, the median probability of a recession in the next year rose from 20 percent in January to 25 percent in February. The outlook for 2020 is even dimmer, as the odds of recession over the next two years is 40 percent. Last but not least, the Philadelphia Fed’s Survey of Professional Forecasters puts the odds that economy will be shrinking in a year’s time at 23 percent, the highest level since 2008.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 12, 2019

3 Things That Don’t Affect Price of Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

It’s important to understand Gold’s fundamentals as it will help us confirm a new bull market.

To this point, Gold’s rallies have failed to make higher highs and higher lows because, although there has been improvement in fundamentals, the fundamentals have not turned bullish yet.

The technical trigger will be Gold and gold stock outperformance of the stock market which will likely precede the fundamental catalyst of Fed rate cuts. The start of rate cuts will indicate declining real interest rates which is the key driver of bull markets in Gold.

With that said, here are some things that do not impact the price of Gold.

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