Wednesday, April 01, 2020
From Global Virus Acceleration to Global Debt Explosion / Politics / Pandemic
By: Dan_Steinbock
The novel coronavirus is exploding in the US and Europe, due to complacency and inadequate preparedness. The escalation will translate to debt explosion, which will further complicate and prolong the fight against the virus globally.
As the COVID-19 challenge moved from imported cases to local transmissions, I warned in the briefing of March 9 that the rise of local transmissions was a game-changer in the coronavirus escalation. Here's what I projected then:
“Even though many observers expected virus challenges to ease toward April, the acceleration of new cases outside China is only beginning and likely grossly under-reported. The number of confirmed cases worldwide is set to climb in the future – even faster as tests are broadened in major affected countries.”
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Wednesday, April 01, 2020
UK Supermarkets Coronavirus Panic Buying Before Lock Down - Tesco Empty Shelves / Politics / Shopping
By: HGR
What it was like to try and shop at UK Supermarkets (Tesco) in the countdown to lock down and social distancing. after most of the shelves had been cleared by panic buying.
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Wednesday, April 01, 2020
Gold From a Failed Breakout to a Failed Breakdown / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The historic action of the precious metals sector over the past few weeks has continued.
The strong recovery in GDX, GDXJ, and Silver has potentially invalidated the technical breakdown that occurred during the crash. It appears to be a failed breakdown.
Furthermore, Gold was looking vulnerable on the weekly, and monthly chart yet was able to slingshot back to $1700/oz. It is currently up $88/oz or 5.6% this month, while the S&P 500 is down 14%.
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Wednesday, April 01, 2020
P FOR PANDEMIC / Politics / Pandemic
By: James_Quinn
“People should not be afraid of their governments. Governments should be afraid of their people.” – Alan Moore – V for Vendetta
“Authority, when first detecting chaos at its heels, will entertain the vilest schemes to save its orderly facade.” – Alan Moore – V for Vendetta
I wrote an article called V for Vendetta – 2011 just over nine years ago on the day after the Tucson shooting where congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords and eighteen others were shot by a psychologically disturbed lunatic, with six dying. At the time, I thought of the scene from the V for Vendetta movie where someone did something stupid and all hell broke loose. I expected a similar result from this act, but those in control of our society were successfully able to put a cork in the bottle, preserving their façade of order.
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Tuesday, March 31, 2020
The Past Stock Market Week Was More Important Than You May Understand / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Avi_Gilburt
On Thursday, we saw the worst jobless claims number in history (and by far). Yet, the S&P500 futures rallied over 200 points from their overnight lows. So, are we to believe that the “cause” of that rally was the jobless claims?
I can assure you that if the market dropped 200 points there would be no question in your mind that the drop was certainly caused by the jobless claim’s announcement. In fact, there is not a single one of you reading this that would have even doubted that as a “fact.” If we are going to be honest here, it is likely that all of you probably had the expectation that the market going to be down big when those numbers were announced.
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Tuesday, March 31, 2020
Coronavirus - No, You Do Not Hear the Fat Lady Warming Up / Politics / Pandemic
By: The_Energy_Report
Bob Moriarty of 321gold comments on where he believes the economy is heading.
Those who never predicted a financial collapse in the first place are now edging closer to the swamp to dip their toes into the water. Now they are suggesting, perhaps we could have a recession."
Forget that. You cannot have every supply chain in the world chopped in two and have a recession. A depression was baked into the cake before the Corona popped out of the six-pack. The US government dumping a $6 trillion dollar bailout for their buddies that has more pork in it than the butt of a two-ton pig is the proverbial pissing up a rope. We are in a depression. The entire financial system, education system, medical system, political system, hell, the entire artifice needs a total reset.
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Tuesday, March 31, 2020
Life, Religions, Business, Globalization & Information Technology In The Post-Corona Pandemics Age / Politics / Religion
By: Dr_R_M_Mathew
The outbreak of corona pandemics , spreading from China to Europe, Iran, GCC Countries, Africa, India and several other countries has brought a standstill in the Global Economy, affecting all economies of the world. Stock markets have practically collapsed, followed by similar collapses in trade, travel, tourism, education, religious practices, normal public governance, Information Technology, industrial and the service sectors.
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Tuesday, March 31, 2020
Three Charts Every Stock Market Trader and Investor Must See / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Understanding the stock market and its potential through the use of technical analysis and historical price events has been proven repeatedly to outperform all forms of fundamental trading styles. The following is a story that walks you through my experience, the shift in my mindset and how I came to the conclusion that the three charts I share in this article are critical to your understanding of to make money in today’s market!
When I first learned to trade, I got all caught up with researching companies and finding the ones with the best earnings and future growth. I did that for several years after studying and following many “professional traders” who said it was the best way to trade and invest long term. We lost our shirts during the 2000 bear market by continuing to trade on fundamentals as stocks fell in value week after week. Even the companies that showed quarterly earnings growth fell in value – none of it seemed to make any sense to me, and it was very frustrating.
Losing money when buying the best companies made no logical sense, making me step back from the markets and ask myself, ‘what am I doing wrong here‘. People today are asking themselves the same question given today’s dizzying markets:
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Tuesday, March 31, 2020
Coronavirus Stocks Bear Market Trend Forecast - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This in-depth analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the stock market was first made available to Patrons who support my work. And it was my intentions to post this extensive analysis in a series of videos. However that has not been possible therefore this video just contains my final stock market conclusion.
So if you want to read the full analysis behind the forecast that is to follow then do follow the link to the Patreon site. Coronavirus Dow Stocks Bear Market - March and April 2020 Trend Forecast.
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Tuesday, March 31, 2020
Coronavirus Dow Stocks Bear Market Into End April 2020 Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My full stock market analysis follows that was first made available to Patrons who support my work - Coronavirus Dow Stocks Bear Market - March and April 2020 Trend Forecast
Whilst my latest analysis in this series was posted yesterday (30th March) - US and UK Coronavirus Trend Trajectories vs Bear Market and AI Stocks Sector
Before you read this analysis, ask yourselves is it worth $3 for advance warning of one of the greatest AI stocks sector buying opportunities of our time? https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
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Tuesday, March 31, 2020
Is it better to have a loan or credit card debt when applying for a mortgage? / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans
By: Submissions
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Monday, March 30, 2020
US and UK Coronavirus Trend Trajectories vs Bear Market and AI Stocks Sector / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The world is increasingly going into LOCK DOWN, with the latest being India (a lock down mostly in all but name). Still Europe is in lock down, large swaths of the US are increasingly going into lock down that saw a fumbling in the dark President Trump first suggest a quarantine for the entire state of New York and neighbouring states, only to back track a few hours later when the adults in the White House had a quiet word with him thus saving the US from another 10% down trading day Monday!
What's just as worrying as the Coronavirus are the Gestapoesk powers being handed to the Police, it won't be long before the powers start going to their heads and abuse of power starts takes place. At least in the UK usually the worst ordinary citizens are going to face is being tasered, expect far worse in the US a case of shoot first test later policy!
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Monday, March 30, 2020
Are Gold and Silver Mirroring 1999 to 2011 Again? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research team continues to dig into underlying patterns and set up in the global markets to assist skilled technical traders in understanding the current Covid-19 virus event and other key technical data. Recently, we’ve authored a number of detailed research articles that we believe helped prepare traders for the events of the past 30 to 90+ days. If you missed them, please take a moment to review some of our critical market research posts:
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Monday, March 30, 2020
Stock Market Next Cycle Low 7th April / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the MarketSPX Long-term trend: An “official” bear market has now been declared.
SPX Intermediate trend: Intermediate low mid-year.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at anvi1962@cableone.net
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Sunday, March 29, 2020
United States Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Trend Forecasts Into End April 2020 / Stock-Markets / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the final part of my analysis that concludes in detailed trend forecasts for UK and US Coronavirus Infections and deaths into the end of April 2020. The importance of which being to act as indicators for the primary driver for stock market trend since Mid February. Where as was the case with my preceding forecasts into the end of March, deviations against the Coronavirus trend warned of worse prospects for stock prices as the UK and US FAILED to follow the South Korean model of containing the pandemic, instead either proved completely incompetent in doing nothing despite having had well over a months advance warning of what to expect. Or perhaps by design so as to allow the virus to infect the general population as it was deemed to be impossible to prevent in the long-run given the movement of people, goods and services and so a quick sharp deadly shock was deemed to be the most cost effective solution.
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Sunday, March 29, 2020
Fed President Declare: “No End in Our Ability to Print Money…and Congress Has Told Us To.” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: MoneyMetals
The roller coaster ride in markets took a sharp turn higher this week after the Federal Reserve and Congress together pledged over 6 trillion dollars to rescue the financial system.
Perhaps this week was an inflection point for the mass fear and panic that has cleared out bullion dealers of coins and grocery stores out of toilet paper. Although the number of coronavirus cases hasn’t yet peaked, there are some signs that the hysteria surrounding the deadly outbreak has.
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Sunday, March 29, 2020
Some Positives in a Virus Wracked World / Politics / Social Issues
By: John_Mauldin
It should be pretty obvious that we need to rethink how our supply chains are constructed. The U.S. is running out of something as simple as mouth-testing swabs. It seems the entire world supply is made by two companies.
When asked where I thought those were, I replied “China.” It is worse. They are both in Milan, Italy.
Milan is currently under siege in total lockdown, and the swabs are stranded on the docks in their own kind of quarantine. The link in that supply chain has snapped.
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Sunday, March 29, 2020
Expert Tips to Save on Your Business’s Office Supply Purchases / Companies / SME
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
Without a doubt, one of the most common overhead expenses that nearly all businesses share is that of office supply purchases. Chances are your business needs furniture, pens, paper, envelopes, checks, etc. in order to effectively operate. The problem with this is that these costs can quickly add up, and can have a stronger impact on your business’s bottom line than you might imagine.
Whether you’re a small business or a mid-sized regional vendor, you’re probably looking for ways to save on your monthly office supply costs. Overspending is a huge problem among small businesses (and mid-sized businesses alike). Luckily, there are many ways to counteract overspending.
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Sunday, March 29, 2020
An Investment in Life / Politics / Pandemic
By: Patrick_Watson
If you’re following the coronavirus news from home, thank you for helping society through this hard time. Home is where we should all be, except for medical, food, public safety and other such essential workers. Please be careful if you do have to run out for necessities.
None of us have seen anything like this. Even in wartime, there are rear areas and safe zones where people can breathe easily. In this situation, we’re all vulnerable everywhere.
Virus mitigation measures, while necessary, are severely straining the economy. Places like mainland China, Taiwan, South Korea and Singapore show that early, aggressive measures can work. But they come at tremendous cost.
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Sunday, March 29, 2020
Sheffield Coronavirus Pandemic Infections and Deaths Forecast / Politics / Sheffield
By: N_Walayat
So how bad are things about to get in the city of Sheffield which like London and Birmingham is coronavirus hotspot, so it's likely we'll be getting our own temporary Nightingale Hospital probably at the English Institute of Sport or Arena. The starting point for that is likely to happen next is my trend forecast of 22nd March, but first.
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