Most Popular
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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Personal_Finance

Tuesday, May 16, 2023

How Social Media Can Improve Older Adults' Social Lives / Personal_Finance / Social Media

By: Sumeet_Manhas

Maintaining meaningful relationships in later life is more important than ever as the world's population ages. One of the most accessible and versatile tools for staying connected in today's world is social media.

Internet platforms such as Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram have opened up unprecedented channels of communication between people of diverse backgrounds and locations.

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Politics

Monday, May 15, 2023

Humanity Dancing to Extinction as AI Mega-trend Goes Parabolic With GPT LLM's / Politics / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Musk says halt work on Large Language models, primarily so he can play and catch up to the runaway train sparked by the GPT Large Language Models that this video acts to chart where we are heading along on a Machine Intelligence curve that is now going parabolic as illustrated by the fact that even those who have been part of this trend for over a decade can no longer keep pace with the rate of change so what hope do ordinary folks have hence this video will act to shine a light much as my 2016 video did that laid the grounds for the Quantum AI Mega-trend so see this video as Part 2 of a 7 year arc.

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Housing-Market

Monday, May 15, 2023

The Ultimate Guide to Luxury Property Investment in Turkey / Housing-Market / Turkey

By: Sumeet_Manhas

Are you a high-net-worth individual considering an investment in foreign luxury real estate but need to know which country would be a great fit? We invite you to consider Turkey, a popular destination for investors from all around the world. In this article, we will share knowledge about the steps of buying a property in Turkey and tips on making an excellent choice for your investment portfolio.

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Personal_Finance

Monday, May 15, 2023

How to Get Budgies to Use Nesting Box Top Tips - Breeding Budgies for Beginners UK / Personal_Finance / Animals & Pets

By: N_Walayat

How to breed budgies for absolute beginners! - So we've put the box in place but budgies are skittish so how to get the budgies to actually go inside the breeding box so that they can get going and lay some eggs, find out in this video of how we did it.

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InvestorEducation

Monday, May 15, 2023

Online Trading Bootcamp: Essential Skills for Every Trader / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Submissions

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 09, 2023

Stock Market Swings Analysis Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Swings Analysis

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 09, 2023

More US Banks Could Collapse -- A Lot More / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2023

By: EWI

This ETF "continues to make lower lows"

It's sobering to reflect on the fact that the second, third and fourth largest bank failures in U.S. history have all occurred in just the past few months.

They are First Republic, Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank of New York. The failure of Washington Mutual in 2008 still ranks first.

And here's an interesting factoid from the New York Post (May 1):

This year's 3 bank failures held $532B in assets -- more than all lenders that collapsed in 2008 crisis

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 09, 2023

What Should Forex Traders Know About the Ross Hook Pattern? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Sumeet_Manhas

Trading experts note the great rivalry level in the global FX market nowadays. Specialists explain such a situation because of the intensive development of this investment sector. Reuters analysts state that the specified trading branch increased by 14% from 2019 to 2022. Intense rivalry forces investors to seek effective ways to make deals. And skilled traders consider the Ross Hook pattern one of today's most efficient trading strategies.
Specialists claim that the RH tactic only gives great results if you cooperate with trustworthy brokers (for instance, FBS), though. That's because unchecked brokerage sites often freeze and lag. That's especially true for peak hours. In this case, you can't make deals exactly at the right time. As a result, investors sell assets at lower prices or even have losses. And now, let's view the primary features of the RH strategy.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 05, 2023

Current State of the Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Ray Kurzweil was WRONG the SINGULARITY is NOW!

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Companies

Friday, May 05, 2023

Your Bank: "Use This as an Early Warning Signal" / Companies / Banking Stocks

By: EWI

First Republic Bank "customers had pulled $100 billion in deposits in the first quarter"

More dramatic news on the banking front.

On April 25, investors in the shares of First Republic Bank were hit hard (The New York Times):

First Republic Bank Enters New Free Fall as Concerns Mount
The bank's shares fell by about 50 percent on Tuesday, a day after it said customers had pulled $100 billion in deposits in the first quarter.

As of this writing on April 26, shares are down another 20% intraday.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 05, 2023

How "Insane Optimism" is at Work in the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: EWI

"Stock investors are so bullish that they are..."

Many technical indicators are highly useful, yet the price moves of the stock market really boil down to two things: optimism and pessimism.

Major trend turns tend to occur when extremes are reached in either optimism or pessimism.

Most recently, optimism has been in charge. The question is: Has an extreme been reached?

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Commodities

Sunday, April 30, 2023

Silver Doesn’t Care, but You Should / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: Submissions

While calling the top is a process that plays out over time, silver’s momentum has fizzled, and the next major move should be to the downside. To explain, we wrote on Apr. 21:
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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 30, 2023

QE-Light Forestalls Crisis…For Now / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Michael_Pento

First Quarter GDP increased at only a 1.1% seasonally adjusted annual rate. That was down from 2.6% in Q4 of last year, which was down from 3.2% during Q3. Despite the clear slowdown in economic growth, there still exists a battle between Wall Street's soft-landing narrative, where inflation comes down in the context of robust growth. And the other, and more accurate scenario, where inflation falls because of a recession.

You just can't get the ROC of inflation and growth to increase when money supply growth plunges from 27% in 2021 to one that is contracting by 4%, as of the latest March data. 
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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 29, 2023

Banking Crisis is Stocks Bull Market Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's CPI Tuesday! We usually get a fake out move going into CPI then a reversal soon after which given that the market has been falling since the 6th of March into CPI data release then we should be setting up for a reversal higher some time after release of CP LIE which chimes with my end of the correction expectations given that both primary (3900) and secondary (3820) correction targets have been fulfilled.

Last month my CPI forecast table suggested to expect 6.28% vs actual of 6.4%. For February the table expects a sharp drop to 5.66% vs consensus of 6%, actual is probably going to be somewhere between 5.66% and 6%, so a net positive CPI data release should give weight to the next Fed rate hike being 0,25% instead of 0.5%, with the really big CPI drop coming on April's data release after which I expect inflation will become more sticky.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, April 29, 2023

Corporate Bonds: "The Next Shoe to Drop" / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: EWI


"The neckline has been broken over the last few days"

A "calamity" is likely ahead for corporate bonds, says our head of global research, Murray Gunn.

Some of Murray's analysis involves the head and shoulders, a classic technical chart pattern. In case you're unfamiliar with it, here's an illustration along with an explanation from one of our past publications:

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Commodities

Saturday, April 29, 2023

Could the Debt Ceiling Drama Uplift Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: Submissions

While the 2011 analog paints an optimistic portrait for gold, silver and mining stocks, a re-enactment of the last debacle is unlikely to unfold this time around. Back then, gold soared amid the debt ceiling chaos, while the USD Index was a major casualty. And while it’s possible lawmakers could ignite a similar event, most learn from their past mistakes.

For example, while bloated stock valuations were the Black Swan in 2000, the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC) was a housing market phenomenon, while the 2020 pandemic was a health scare. As a result, different catalysts often cause distress, and when this recession arrives, it will likely be driven by something investors least expect.

So, with the debt ceiling drama highly anticipated, it reduces the odds of the event unfolding in line with investors’ expectations. Therefore, it’s likely more semblance than substance, and the bulk of the PMs’ rallies should be in the rearview. 
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Commodities

Saturday, April 29, 2023

Gold Price Erased Its April Rally – What’s Next? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: P_Radomski_CFA

April had started with gold at $1,990, then gold moved as high as $2,063.40, and yesterday, it closed at $1,999. At the moment of writing these words, gold futures (because that’s what you see on the above chart) are trading at $1,993.

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Companies

Friday, April 28, 2023

Quantum AI Tech Stocks Portfolio / Companies / Investing 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Despite the stock market falling as expected many target stocks have stubbornly resisted correcting to any significant degree which is probably due to flight to safety to AI tech stocks, the likes of Nvidia, AVGO, TSMC whilst others appear to have fully embraced the panic and fallen hard such as GPN where I was already over invested to 128% going into the correction but now after the free fall below $100 stand at 150% invested, Further across the board mostly small buys have lifted my exposure to 87.8% invested 12.2% cash accumulating into Google, Amazon, Qualcom, Micron, IBM, JNJ Pfizer, and higher risk stocks - GPN, KLAC, CARA, ULH. amongst others.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 27, 2023

Stock Market Trend to New Bull Market High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Current Trend

The S&P remains in a downtrend i.e. lower highs and lows and thus continues to target a break of 3800 on the short-term basis. In terms of swings the correction could extend to as deep as 3745 though I doubt it will go that low, more likely will bounce around between 3890 and 3780 for a few days.

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Companies

Thursday, April 27, 2023

Are you invested in 4D printing? / Companies / 3d Printing

By: Stephen_McBride

What happened to 3D printing stocks?... This major upgrade breathes new life into 3D printing… “Smart materials” could unlock 4D printing… Plus, an easy way to profit from this megatrend…

  1. Is 3D printing dead?

A decade ago, “3D printing” was the hottest buzzword on the planet. Investors piled in… and 3D-printing stocks took off like a rocket.

3D Systems (DDD)—a leading 3D-printing company at the time—soared 1,000% between late 2011 and early 2014.

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