Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, March 05, 2009
China's Economy Recovers as Stock Markets Turn Bullish / Economics / China Economy
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
China's manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) strengthened for a third consecutive month in February, climbing to 49.0% from 45.3% the previous month. Li & Fung Research Centre reports that there were some encouraging signs: all sub-indices were higher than their respective levels in the previous month though many were still lower than the critical level of 50% (i.e. still contracting). Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 04, 2009
When Debt Securitization Blew Up So Did the Economy / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Mike_Whitney
"Nothing we do for banks is for banks. It's all for the benefit of the people that depend on banks -- the businesses, the families, the students -- that require credit in order to do things that are important to their future." Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner PBS Jim Lehrer News Hour
One thing is certain, this isn't a normal recession. In a normal recession aggregate demand declines, economic activity slows, and GDP shrinks. While those things are taking place now, the reasons are quite different. The present slump wasn't brought on by a downturn in the business cycle or a mismatch in supply and demand. It was caused by a meltdown in the credit system's central core.
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Wednesday, March 04, 2009
Iron Law Of The Burden Of Debt / Economics / US Debt
By: Professor_Emeritus
In my article Growth and Debt: Is There a Trade-off? (February 12, 2009) I have stated the "Iron Law of the Burden of Debt": The liquidation value of total debt doubles every time the rate of interest is halved.
I have received several comments from thoughtful readers.
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Wednesday, March 04, 2009
Deflationary Depression or Hyperinflation? / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Brian_Bloom
In summary, the following analysis / argument concludes that Depression is a far more likely outcome than Hyperinflation.
The mathematics of inflation is as follows:
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Wednesday, March 04, 2009
The Old Consumer Economy Faces A New Era Of Thrift / Economics / US Economy
By: Guy_Lerner
The troubles in the financial markets over the last year will lead to a new era of thrift, and this will be radically different than the past 20 years of excesses as consumers change their habits. Consumers are already retrenching and increasing their savings amongst the economic uncertainty, but I think these changes portend an even deeper shift in personal behavior. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 03, 2009
The End of the Consumer Credit Empire: Stairway to Retail Heaven / Economics / US Economy
By: James_Quinn
There's a lady who's sure All that glitters is gold
And she's buying a stairway to heaven
When she gets there she knows
If the stores are all closed
With a word she can get what she came for
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Tuesday, March 03, 2009
U.S. Economic Crisis Replay of Japan's Lost Decade Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: If you want a real look at what's headed this way, ask Hideko Toyotomi. When Japan's so-called “Lost Decade” began with a bang in the early 1990s, she was an “OL” - an office lady - working in one of Japan's mightiest corporations and she kept her job, despite the downturn. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 02, 2009
U.S. ISM Manufacturing Sector Contracts 13th Consecutive Month / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
The Institute for Supply Management February 2009 Manufacturing ISM Report On Business shows "Economic activity in the manufacturing sector failed to grow in February for the 13th consecutive month, and the overall economy contracted for the fifth consecutive month." Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 02, 2009
U.S. Lost Decade as Record Job Losses to Continue / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_Morning
William Patalon III writes: T.G.I.M (Thank goodness it's March). Unfortunately, that's what investors were saying when they closed the books on January and times have only gotten worse. The economy is weaker; the markets are lower; consumers are more frightened; and businesses of all shapes and sizes continue to struggle. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 01, 2009
Global Recession Deepens as No End to Financial Collapse / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Reuters: Soros sees no bottom for world financial “collapse” “Renowned investor George Soros said on Friday the world financial system has effectively disintegrated, adding that there is yet no prospect of a near-term resolution to the crisis.
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Sunday, March 01, 2009
Saving America From Further Crisis In The Age Of The Great Depression II / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Submissions
Dr. Raju M. Mathew writes:
The Great Depression II
America is in the grip of the Great Depression II of 2009. It is in crisis for a minimum period of five years. Its economy is weak and sick. It is not at all competitive for its cost of production is the highest as its cost of living. The American thinks tanks and lobbyists of big corporations, especially of the defense industry and arm traders have made everything complex without any simple solution with their wrong projections and ill-advices.
Saturday, February 28, 2009
World Economy Faces Credit Catastrophe, Eastern Europe in Meltdown / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson Writes: Three market developments keeping me up at night - I'm a worrier by nature. I can't help it. My job is to peer around the corner, figure out what's next, and most importantly, discern what can really go WRONG in the economy and the markets.
And right now, I see three troubling developments that are keeping me up at night. These problems aren't front-page news … yet. But they are circling in the background and threatening to explode into the headlines — derailing the market in the process. I suggest you sit up and take notice. I sure am.
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Saturday, February 28, 2009
Electricity: How to Tell When the Recession is Over / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Q1_Publishing
Government economists must be nice folks. They've had to break a lot of bad news to us since this recession started over a year ago. But they're nice. They're breaking it to us as gently as possible.
They ask, “Do you want the bad news first? Or the really bad news?”
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Friday, February 27, 2009
The Great Financial Crisis / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Mike_Whitney
Interview of John Bellamy Foster - John Bellamy Foster is editor of Monthly Review and professor of sociology at the University of Oregon. He is the coauthor with Fred Magdoff of The Great Financial Crisis: Causes and Consequences, recently published by Monthly Review Press.
MW :Do you think that the American people have been misled into believing that the current financial crisis is the result of subprime loans and toxic assets? Aren't these merely the symptoms of a deeper problem; financialization? Can you explain financialization and how the economy became more and more detached from productive activity and more and more dependent on the accumulation of paper wealth?
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Friday, February 27, 2009
A Crisis of Confidence / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Andy_Sutton
A scan of the financial and economic landscape of any society during solid, genuinely prosperous times will always reveal a populace brimming with confidence. Confidence in their ability to make a living, confidence in the ability of their leaders, confidence in the workings of their financial markets to whatever extent they exist, and ultimately confidence in the strength of their money. These factors are all interlocking directorates - take any one of them away and you'll witness an economy that is no longer efficient and begins to stumble. Take them all away and you'll witness unbridled economic chaos. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 27, 2009
Old fashioned Leverage as China takes out its Wallet / Economics / China Economy
By: HRA_Advisory
One of our earliest editorials (in what was then a monthly only publication) was entitled “ China Beckons”. This was after David's first trip to China in 1995, at which time the stirrings of the country's boom economy was evident in major city core areas, but highway travel still often involved a slow progression around ox-cart and foot traffic. During that trip the central government's mining ministries made it plain they were expected to make their own way while government funds were directed elsewhere. A more appropriate title these days would be “China Buys”. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 26, 2009
How Credit Unions Survived the Crash of Casino Capitalism / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Submissions
Ralph Nader writes: While the reckless giant banks are shattering like an over-heated glacier day by day, the nation?s credit unions are a relative island of calm largely apart from the vortex of casino capitalism. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 26, 2009
How Business can cope with Contraction during Economic Depression / Economics / Deflation
By: EWI
This article is part of a series about deflation from market analyst Robert Prechter, the world's foremost expert on and proponent of the deflationary scenario. For more on deflation and how you can survive it, download Prechter's FREE 60-page Deflation Survival eBook , part of Prechter's NEW Deflation Survival Guide. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 26, 2009
NO Economic Depression, Time to Jump into Stock Market Investments? / Economics / Investing 2009
By: Andrew_Butter
Ten Reasons why it won't be a Depression or an "L": So is this the time JUMP IN? - Alarmist stories sell newspapers (and advertising). That's why the Big "D" and the Big "L" words are almost as good for that as pretty girls; (which is the formula the Sun Newspaper uses so well in UK ). Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 26, 2009
Japan's Economic Crash as Exports Halve / Economics / Japan Economy
By: Money_Morning
Jason Simpkins writes: Japan's exports were cut nearly in half last month as the global downturn crushed demand for the country's electronics and automobiles, a development that increases the odds that the Japanese yen could be poised for a tumble. Read full article... Read full article...