Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Eggertsson Theory, Armstrong, Timing and the Economic Confidence Model / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Mick_Phoenix
Who's that knocking on the door? Who's that ringing the Bell?
It's time for another visit by your friendly Collection Agency to offer timely advice and to remind you of his previous excellent record. You should all know by now that the Collection Agency doesn't pull any punches and has ensured that subscribers have been well ahead of developments in the global macro economy.
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Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Japan's Economy Caught In Deflationary Downward Spiral; Exports Plunge, Prices To Follow / Economics / Japan Economy
By: Mike_Shedlock
Recessions have taken their toll on Asia exporters. Inquiring minds are reading Japan Exports Drop Record 49% as Global Slump Deepens . Japan's exports plunged a record 49.4 percent in February as deepening recessions in the U.S. and Europe sapped demand for the country's cars and electronics.
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Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Save the Big Banks, Trash the U.S. Dollar / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: LewRockwell
Gary North writes: Timothy Geithner's plan to save the big banks will be a success. This success will come at a cost. The plan will hurt taxpayers, and it will lead to severe price inflation. It will not revive the faltering economy in 2009. It will not restore the housing market. Family wealth will continue to decline. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
Roadmap to Inflation And How to Protect Your Investments / Economics / Inflation
By: John_Mauldin
What happens when inflation once again returns. As this week's Outside the Box writer, James Montier, writes, we may want to start thinking now about inflation insurance and he mentions a few ways to do so. But this letter is a must read for his bringing to light a speech by Fed chairman Ben Bernanke in 2000 given to the Japanese, where he suggest inflation targeting: Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
When the United States Ruled the World / Economics / US Economy
By: James_Quinn
I used to rule the world Seas would rise when I gave the word
Now in the morning I sleep alone
Sweep the streets I used to own
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Monday, March 23, 2009
The Great Depression- Then and Now and Mainstream Journalists / Economics / Mainstream Media
By: Gerard_Jackson
The economic crisis and the debate -- what there is of one -- about the alleged anti-recessionary effects of big government spending policies has once again raised the spectre of the Great Depression and once again our commentators get it wrong, particularly journalists, that pesty brood of pseudo intellectuals for whom honest research appears to be an anathema. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 22, 2009
Economic Crisis "The Worst Is Yet To Come!” / Economics / Inflation
By: David_Vaughn
What's happened to gold? Is it still out there? You better believe it is still out there and will continue to be “out there” and for a very long, long, time. What are the banking gurus predicting for gold? Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 22, 2009
Fed Planning Inflationary Dollar Destroying 15-Fold Increase In US Monetary Base / Economics / HyperInflation
By: Eric_deCarbonnel
The fed is planning moves that would more than double its balance-sheet assets by September to $4.5 trillion from $1.9 trillion. Whether expressing approval or concern over the fed's intentions, most commentators fail to understand the real magnitude of the projected expansion of the US monetary base because they don't take into account the amount of dollars circulating abroad. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 20, 2009
The Great American Banking Experiment with Fiat Currency / Economics / Fiat Currency
By: Andy_Sutton
One of the most common questions that folks who are becoming newly acquainted with terms like ‘fiat money' and ‘fractional reserve banking' are asking is “How did we get here?” For sure, the recent publicity of 21 st Century Tea Parties along with the occurrence of the worst financial crisis in recorded history has people asking questions. In terms of the American obsession with central banking and fiat currency, 1913 is generally identified as the point where the country went wrong. In truth, however, our obsession with funny money has transcended all; including even, the birth of the nation. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 20, 2009
Recession Light at the End of the Tunnel or an Oncoming Freight Train? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
With regard to the economy, we believe there are faint signs of light at the end of the tunnel. Real consumer spending increased by 0.4% in January (and is likely to be revised up) and the decline in February nominal retail sales of 0.1% suggests that the decline in real consumer spending that month will not be severe. For the first quarter as a whole, we now expect a contraction in consumer spending much less severe than last year's fourth-quarter contraction of 4.3%. Although we do not expect to see outright growth in real consumer spending until the fourth quarter of this year, we believe the deepest quarterly contraction is behind us. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 20, 2009
Inflation- Central Banks Making Sure It Happens Everywhere / Economics / Inflation
By: Adrian_Ash
"Gold and the Euro just hooked up together again. But for how long depends on central-bank policy..."
SO BEN BERNANKE SAYS the United States has plunged into a deflationary depression.
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Friday, March 20, 2009
Consumers A Paycheck Away From Ruin / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
New surveys show that Consumers are Just a Paycheck or Two Away From Ruin .
The results of a bevy of surveys found a growing number of consumers are only a couple paychecks away from a household collapse even as many scramble to shore up savings. Rainy-day funds appear to be a distant memory as households burn cash to cover food and energy bills as well as mortgage and car payments.
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Thursday, March 19, 2009
U.S. Economy Hits the Toxic Pothole / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: James_Quinn
We're riding on the escalator of life We're shopping in the human mall
We're dancing on the escalator of life
Won't be happy 'til we have it all
We want it all
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Tuesday, March 17, 2009
Long-Term Economic Forecast: Slow Growth And Deflation / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment ideas, all of which were profitable by the end of the year. It is not unusual for Gary to give us over 75 charts and tables in his monthly letters along with his commentary, which makes his thinking unusually clear and accessible. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 16, 2009
Monetary and Fiscal Failure, Fraud, and Fear of What's Next / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Stephen_Lendman
Even the powerful are worried with the IMF on February 7 saying advanced economies are in "depression (and) the worst cannot be ruled out." Forecasting a 2010 recovery is "very uncertain" at this time as further financial turmoil may disrupt it regardless of policies adopted, and trouble is outpacing resources to alleviate it. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 16, 2009
United States Economic Collapse Facing Its Weimar Moment / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Submissions
Robert Freeman writes: In early 1919, Germany put in place a new government to begin rebuilding the country after its crushing defeat in World War I. But the right-wing forces that had led the country into the War and lost the War conspired even before it was over to destroy the new government, the "Weimar Republic." They succeeded.
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Sunday, March 15, 2009
The Deflation Myth / Economics / Deflation
By: Mike_Stathis
This is another myth I want to clear up. For some strange reason, economists, and those who actually give credence to what they say seem to think that a single period eighty years ago set a precedent cast in stone for what to expect from this depression. As a result, the masters of propaganda continue to insist that you cannot have a depression without deflation. Apparently, these “experts” have never heard of data points. You cannot expect to make credible conclusions based on one period. You need several periods at minimum in order to transpose similar conclusions. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Japan's Economic Depression Deepens, Protectionism Could Trigger Global Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
By: John_Mauldin
- Where Have My Earnings Gone?
- The Land of the Setting Sun
- The Swiss Start Their Engines
- My One True Nightmare
This week we look at the Land of the Rising Sun. Japan is going through major upheavals, and they will have consequences all over the world. And what are those wild and crazy Swiss central bankers up to? It's time for another round of competitive devaluation. And of course I have to look at the recent Barron's cover story, about how stocks are cheap. There's a lot to cover.
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Saturday, March 14, 2009
California's Imploding Economy as Billions Disappear into the Budget Black hole / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
California is imploding faster than expected. Let's take a look starting with a flashback to something I wrote on February 16, 2009: California One Vote Shy On Budget Impasse . Here is the key snip. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2009
Consumer Demand For Everything Crashes: Trade Deficit At 6 Year Low / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Many were of the belief that the trade deficit would widen as the US recession strengthened. The only way that could have happened is if oil prices stayed stubbornly high. While the price of oil may have bottomed, odds of it shooting up towards $100 again in the near future are slim. Read full article... Read full article...