Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, June 02, 2009
Mexico Economic Crisis, Fiat Peso Currency Skating on Thin Ice / Economics / Mexico
By: Covington_M_Wall
From the onset of the world's II GREAT DEPRESION the fiat Mexican peso has been on a roller coaster ride. Mexico officials have gone to great lengths to attribute the performance of the fiat peso to economic fundamentals. To assume such nonsense would be to believe “the tail wags the dog.” The México economy no doubt is in a tailspin along with the peso. Without vital monetary reform both will suffer greatly.
Monday, June 01, 2009
Economic Crisis in Australia / Economics / Austrailia
By: Global_Research
Peter Murray writes: As growth stalls in China and the West, the so-called “lucky country” suffers the effects
Monday, June 01, 2009
Russia to be Hit by Inevitable Second Wave of Banking Crisis / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Pravda
A number of economists are seriously concerned with the second wave of the bank crisis. According to the forecast from ACB’s head, the share of overdues in credit organizations will soar up to 20 percent by the year end. However, today’s banking statistics proves the opposite: the level of overdue indebtedness is declining and the level of deposits influx is rising day by day. Where will that second wave come from?
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Saturday, May 30, 2009
No Green Shoots, Rail, Truck Traffic Down; Air Cargo Hoping For a Bottom / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Green shoots are not yet showing up in cargo statistics. Let's take a look starting with AAR: Rail freight traffic down from a year ago.
Friday, May 29, 2009
Obama Economic Stimulus May do More Harm than Good / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: Could the massive Obama stimulus plan end up hurting the U.S. economy?
It's long been a worry, and now it's beginning to seem possible.
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Friday, May 29, 2009
Obamanomics Reflating the U.S. Economy Out of Depression / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Ty_Andros
Fingers of Instability, Part II:
The Definition of Depression
Obamanomics
The Bomb, er…Bond Market
The Dollar
As the GREAT REFLATION kicks into a higher gear, we are learning the TRUE power of G7 Central Bank printing presses; and the fact that it is awash on a sea of liquidity, the size of which NO ONE actually knows, is making analysis very challenging. Those green shoots about which the media has been talking are nothing more than US Dollars, Japanese Yen, British Pounds, Swiss Francs and now Euros being tossed about and printed like confetti. This newsletter has previously projected the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve would climb from its current level of approximately $2 Trillion plus to over $10 Trillion.
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Friday, May 29, 2009
The Deflation/ Depression Economic Recovery Plan / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mick_Phoenix
Well, well, well. Here at the Agency we have spent a couple of years waiting for the US economic establishment to go public with the Deflation / Depression Recovery Plan, what we call The Eggertsson Theory and this week we got it.
Thursday, May 28, 2009
The Deeper Origins of the Economic Crisis / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Global_Research
Shamus Cooke writes: For all the horror the global economic crisis has caused for so many people, one progressive consequence has emerged: many of these people are becoming politically conscious — searching for information to better understand their political and economic system. They want to know how things got the way they did and what can be done about it. Unfortunately, much of the resulting analysis has focused too little on actual causes, and too much on abstract financial details and other consequences of deeper economic problems.
Thursday, May 28, 2009
Growing Accustomed to Fed Stupidity / Economics / Central Banks
By: LewRockwell
Richard Daughty writes: I knew that gold was doing okay, but I did not know how well exactly, although I knew that gold bullion was up about 3.5% from this time last year, which is better, and by a long shot, than almost anything else you can name, but which is not, I admit, very much.
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Thursday, May 28, 2009
Financial Version of the Swine Flu Infects German Economy / Economics / Euro-Zone
By: Michal_Matovcik
Month ago we posted article German 1 Trillion Toxic Assets Problem, where a report by Sueddeutsche Zeitung cites an internal paper by the banking regulator that puts the total of bad assets in the German banking system at €816bn. This report caused outrage among German officials, as always when someone uncovers the truth. The above mentioned number includes toxic securitized assets, and also bad loans, and unlike previous lists, this report named the banks. In one case, half of all assets of a particular Landesbank are classified as toxic, Commerzbank was also on the list with a huge depot of toxic waste. This is now past.
Thursday, May 28, 2009
Rebooting the Global Economy / Economics / Global Economy
By: HRA_Advisory
The greatest economic realignment since Genghis Kahn took over Eurasia’s trade routes is continuing apace. The west remains mired in an assets contraction of its own making, and the east is refocused on channeling its growth engines into domestic consumption. The resource sector, which is our focus and which has been governed by those growth engines for a decade and half, is indicating at least the expectation of continuing gains in the east. That does not mean we ignore what is going on the developed west, plus Japan.
Thursday, May 28, 2009
Trade Protectionism and Global Economic Contraction / Economics / Global Economy
By: Global_Research
Prof. Rodrigue Tremblay writes: “I almost went down on my knees to beg [President] Herbert Hoover to veto the asinine Hawley-Smoot Tariff.”... “That Act intensified nationalism all over the world.” Thomas Lamont, banker and economic adviser, June 1930
Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Consumers Will Lead the Way to Economic Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Hans_Wagner
In recent recessions, consumer spending led the economy in the recovery. Many investors are counting on the same thing, taking place during this recovery. They will be disappointed.
Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Economic Depression: Anatomy of a Lost Decade / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: If you want a real look at what's headed this way, ask Hideko Toyotomi.
When Japan's so-called "Lost Decade" began with a bang in the early 1990s, she was an "OL" - an office lady - working in one of Japan's mightiest corporations and she kept her job, despite the downturn.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Are the US Consumers Ready to Go Shopping Again? / Economics / US Economy
By: Mark_OByrne
The recent Consumer Confidence survey conducted in the US revealed a surprising increase in consumer confidence for the month of May. In marked contrast to the previous few months, May's figure was the highest it has been since September 2008. However, while better than at the start of the year, the figure remains at historically depressed levels. Furthermore, US house prices have dropped over 18% in March from the same period last year.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Jobless Graduates Face Dismal Jobs Market / Economics / Employment
By: Mike_Shedlock
With unemployment rates soaring towards 9% and poised to hit 11% by the end of the year, college graduates are facing the toughest job market in years.
Monday, May 25, 2009
Labour Attempts to Ignite UK Consumer Mini Boom as ONS Revises Retail Sales Methodology / Economics / UK Economy
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The ONS finally came clean to confirm that the retail sales statistics are inaccurate and that it had revised the methodology in the way it calculates retail sales data, the data revision has ironically resulted in a better than expected boost to retail sales for a rise of 0.9% for April 09. The boost in retail sales data is inline with other observed trends in many areas of the economy which are feeding through towards a summer bounce in sectors of the economy such as for house prices in response to unprecedented actions of zero interest rates, 12% budget deficit spending and printing £150 billion out of thin air to buy government bonds and thus force down longer term interest rates.
Sunday, May 24, 2009
Global Debt Deleveraging Recession Gets Worse as Government Deficit Grows / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
Things That Go Bump in the Night
A Trillion Dollars as Far as the Eye Can See
The Global Recession Gets Worse
Where Will the Money Come From?
The Paradox of Deficits
From ghoulies and ghosties, And long-leggedy beasties, And things that go bump in the night, Good Lord, deliver us! --Old Scottish Prayer
There is something that is bumping around in my worry closet. The bond market is not behaving as if there is deflation in our future, and the dollar is getting weaker. Unemployment keeps rising, but most of all, the US government deficit looks to be spinning out of control. This week we look at all of this and take a tour around the world to see what is happening. There is a lot of interesting material to cover.
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Saturday, May 23, 2009
Deflation Hits Direct Mail Industry / Economics / Deflation
By: Mike_Shedlock
On May 1, 2009 the US Postal Service issued a Notice of Market-Dominant Price Adjustment.
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Saturday, May 23, 2009
Depressed America No Longer the Safe Harbor It Was For Investors / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Global_Research
Bob Chapman writes: Excuses from Wall Street and Washington DC, we have not hit the bottom with job losses, Currency crisis coming in the fall, IMF a creditors cartel,
we find ourselves faced with major growing unemployment, falling wages and via inflation and ever lower purchasing power, Most major banks and brokerage houses are insolvent, Finances at the state and local levels are a mess.