Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Can Japan Avoid Another Lost Economic Decade? / Economics / Japan Economy
By: RGE_Monitor
Deleted.
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
The Coming Great Government Debt Default / Economics / US Debt
By: LewRockwell
Gary North writes: Have you ever heard this argument? "The national debt is too high. We are laying an enormous burden onto our children."
It is misleading. In what way? Because our children, like Atlas in Ayn Rand's novel, will shrug. They will send Congress a message: "No more."
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Wednesday, July 22, 2009
The Case for Economic Depression, Demographics / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Moses_Kim
If I were a forecaster of economic trends and had access to only one piece of data, it would probably be demographics. The forecasting power of demographic trends is underappreciated even though cycles of booms and busts have historically mirrored the age characteristics of the population.
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
No Magical Elixir of Hope for Our Debt Based Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Sharon_Kayser
(Dirty banking secrets: our perpetual debt-based economy is generated by a global breakdown of semantic. 'Worldwide Ground Zero' will not be an Hollywood release.)
Insanity is doing the same thing over and over, and expecting a different result - A. Einstein
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Are Emerging Market Economies Leaving Us in the Dust? / Economics / Emerging Markets
By: Kurt_Kasun
Nassim Taleb, author of The Black Swan, co-authored an editorial which appeared in the July 14th edition of the Financial Times, titled “Time to tackle the real evil too much debt”. The dirty little secret is that there is no avoiding the necessary pain and sacrifice that must occur in the aftermath of what can only be described as a period of the greatest overindulgence in the history of the world. Debt was the drug of choice and now we will continue to experience the inevitable hangover. Looking at the two jaw-dropping charts below, it should be quite obvious that it will take quite some time to burn off the excess debt that was created.
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Economic Growth Never More Needed, Never More Misunderstood / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Michael_Pento
What should be clear to all Americans is that the need to grow the economy has never been more critical. But what constitutes real growth and the pathway to achieve it, has never before been more confused.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Credit Crunch Crisis Part2 / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Axel_Merk
Green Shoots Everywhere! The credit crisis is over; an economic recovery is just around the corner! Hold your horses – there may not be enough water to nourish them at the next pit stop. Hold on – isn’t a bad decision supposed to turn into good policy when you back it by trillions of freshly printed U.S. dollars?
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Obama Helps Banksters Loot the U.S. Economy / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Paul_Craig_Roberts
There is no economy left to recover. The US manufacturing economy was lost to offshoring and free trade ideology. It was replaced by a mythical "New Economy."
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Fiscal Ruin of the Western World Beckons, a Bigger Financial Crisis Brewing / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
This week I offer two short essays for your reading pleasure in Outside the Box. The first is from Ambrose Evans-Pritchard writing in the London Telegraph. He gives some more specifics about the situation in Europe I wrote about this weekend.
He ends with the following sober quote: "My awful fear is that we will do exactly the opposite, incubating yet another crisis this autumn, to which we will respond with yet further spending. This is the road to ruin." This is a must read.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Inconvenient Truth About Government Economic Statistics / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Adrian_Ash
Larry Summers: I'm Feeling Lucky - Type "rubbish economist" into Google. Then hit "I'm Feeling Lucky"...
The INCOVENIENT TRUTH about statistics, as Al Gore would no doubt confess if you threatened to stop him flying, is they look backwards, not forwards – and not even quite to the present.
Sunday, July 19, 2009
1.5 Million U.S. Unemployed Exhausting Unemployment Benefits / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
The Emergency Unemployment Compensation (EUC) program began in June 30,2008. Benefits under the act have now been extended twice. Unless Obama extends the program a third time, it's the end of the line for many receiving unemployment benefits.
Sunday, July 19, 2009
Marc Faber on the Next Bubble, It's Government Spending and Debt / Economics / Liquidity Bubble
By: LewRockwell
Julie Crawshaw writes: Some economists think that another bubble is what’s needed to get the economy moving again.
Gloom, Boom and Doom publisher Marc Faber said this is ridiculous, and that the Federal Reserve – which he holds responsible for creating the housing bubble – wants to do it all over again.
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Sunday, July 19, 2009
Cooking the Economy, the Great Government Bread Machine / Economics / Government Intervention
By: LewRockwell
David Calderwood writes: "Throughout history, poverty is the normal condition of man. Advances which permit this norm to be exceeded – here and there, now and then – are the work of an extremely small minority, frequently despised, often condemned, and almost always opposed by all right-thinking people. Whenever this tiny minority is kept from creating, or (as sometimes happens) is driven out of a society, the people then slip back into abject poverty. This is known as ‘bad luck.’" ~ Robert A. Heinlein
Sunday, July 19, 2009
Russia to Stay in Recession Until 2011 / Economics / Russia
By: Pravda
Russian economists consider the current economic crisis will last long. Almost all experts predict that the Russian economy will continue to decline this year. Optimistic specialists expect this recession to stop in 2010.
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Saturday, July 18, 2009
American Economic Dream or American Nightmare? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Here is an email from JMI that I would like to share. Jeff writes:
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Saturday, July 18, 2009
Has Paul Krugman Become an Austrian Economist? Not Quite…. / Economics / Economic Theory
By: LewRockwell
William L. Anderson writes: Paul Krugman has looked at Austrian Theory of the Business Cycle and found it wanting. First, he mistakenly calls it a "hangover theory" when, in fact, it is a theory of easy credit leading to malinvestments. Second, he really does not understand that government cannot sustain a boom once the financial wave has crested. Third, he has no understanding of the heterogeneity of assets, assuming that capital and other assets are homogeneous for the purposes of economic policy.
Friday, July 17, 2009
NO Chance of Inflation on Near Horizon / Economics / Deflation
By: The_Gold_Report
Unlike many of his colleagues in the world of investment analysis, Discovery Investing pioneer Dr. Michael Berry doesn't expect inflation to enter the economy for two or three years, after considerably more deleveraging takes place and real recovery begins. In this exclusive interview, he tells The Gold Report this is a great time for contrarians to do some bargain hunting. (7/17/09).
Friday, July 17, 2009
Expect Seven Years of Subpar Economic Growth and High Unemployment / Economics / US Economy
By: Mike_Shedlock
BLS data shows Unemployment Rate Tops 10% In 15 States.
Thursday, July 16, 2009
Nouriel Roubini Forecasting Recession 2009, No Economic Growth Until 2010 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: RGE_Monitor
Deleted.
Thursday, July 16, 2009
Keynesian Economics, the Usual Suspects / Economics / Economic Theory
By: MISES
Fred Buzzeo writes: In 1977, the prolific economic writer Henry Hazlitt wrote, [T]here has been a profound change in the economic reputation of Keynes' General Theory. It is no longer accepted as the new gospel. Professors of economics can openly declare themselves to be non-Keynesians and even anti-Keynesians and still be treated with respect.[1]