Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, May 01, 2010
European Debt Crisis Spiraling Out of Control, Will Greece Be Europe’s Lehman Brothers? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: Justice_Litle
The Greek debt crisis now threatens to spiral out of control - in spite of IMF rescue efforts - and the fate of the entire eurozone is at stake.
The Greek debt crisis is serious... deadly serious. Those who still think the situation will turn out okay - that it will "blow over" - are clinging to foolish hopes, just as they have done at great cost in the past.
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Saturday, May 01, 2010
V-Shaped Economic Recovery? Don’t Bet On It / Economics / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Money_Morning
Jason Simpkins writes: Corporate profits appear to have returned in full, manufacturing is picking up around the world, commodities prices have rallied and the Standard & Poor's 500 Index is up about 60% since last March.
That makes a pretty compelling case for what some analysts are calling a "V-shaped" recovery. But even with all the momentum the economic recovery has accrued, that kind of talk may be a bit premature.
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Saturday, May 01, 2010
Economics: How to Cure a Sick Discipline / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Ian_Fletcher
America’s financial mess and our festering trade crisis were both caused by bad policies that mainstream economics told us were OK. This has made the public cynical about economists, but has produced few specific suggestions on how to actually fix the discipline. So—what should we do to restore its ability to give sound advice?
Saturday, May 01, 2010
A Hyper-Inflationary Great Depression Is Coming / Economics / HyperInflation
By: The_Gold_Report
ShadowStats' John Williams has done his math and believes his numbers tell the truth. He explains why the U.S. is in a depression and why a "Hyper-Inflationary Great Depression" is now unavoidable. John also shares why he selects gold as a metal for asset conversion in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report.
Saturday, May 01, 2010
Where'd the Greek Money Go? How to Flee the Worst Currency Crisis in Three Decades... / Economics / Euro
By: Adrian_Ash
THERE IS NO last mover advantage in fleeing a debt default. Not least when it's so clearly flagged in advance.
So whether or not the Greek government has to restructure its finances – screwing one set of creditors or another – you can't blame Greek savers for moving a chunk of their money out of the country since New Year.
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Saturday, May 01, 2010
Debt, A Simple, but Painful Economic Lesson / Economics / US Debt
By: Doug_Wakefield
Two years ago, Jim Grant, ofGrant’s Interest Rate Observer, mentioned a book he had just read by physicist Mark Buchanan titled, “Ubiquity: The Science of History…or Why the World is Simpler Than We Think.” I purchased a copy of the book for my own library and have referenced it in several of my writings. The theme, “the world is simpler than we think”, seems to defy the very modern world we live in. Just look at the picture below. Is this a group of college students learning how scientists have solved a complex physics problem, or a group of citizens trying to understand how the billions in TARP (Troubled Asset Relief Program) funds were created and used?
Friday, April 30, 2010
Robert Prechter Points Out The Many Signs Of Deflation / Economics / Deflation
By: EWI
Everywhere you look, the mainstream financial experts are pinning on their "WIN 2" buttons in a show of solidarity against what they see as the number one threat to the U.S. economy: Whip Inflation Now.
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Friday, April 30, 2010
Reconnecting Wall Street to Main Street / Economics / US Economy
By: Peter_Schiff
Hemant Kathuria writes: Much has been made about how the massive bailouts of Wall Street firms have come at the expense of US taxpayers. And after having posted record profits during the peak of the real estate boom, it is easy to understand Main Street's anger at picking up the multi-trillion dollar tab - especially as Wall Street's bonus machine is spinning once again.
Thursday, April 29, 2010
Declining Bank Loans – Write-Downs or Pay-Downs? / Economics / Credit Crisis 2010
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
We mentioned in our April 2010 U.S. Economic and Interest Rate Outlook [It's Been A While] that the ongoing contraction in commercial bank lending was an important factor curbing our enthusiasm about near-term growth in U.S. aggregate demand. But we did acknowledge that our lack of optimism might be misplaced if the cause of the continued contraction in bank lending was due more to write-downs of loans gone sour rather than of pay-downs of loans. We argued that if bank loans were falling because the dollar amount of write-downs exceeded the dollar amount of new loans being granted, the write-downs were immaterial with respect to new spending.
Thursday, April 29, 2010
Greece Financial Markets and Economic Collapse Sinking Euro Zone Economy / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: John_Mauldin
This is a special Outside the Box. I got this letter from my good friend Greg Weldon last night and got permission to pass it on to you. I think it illustrates the problems that the world is facing from the sovereign debt crisis that is building in Europe.
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Greece's Bill Is Now Due - And Others Will Be Next, Debt Denial and the Five Stages of Greece / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: Justice_Litle
The phenomenon of "debt denial" has gripped not only Greece and the eurozone, but the entire roster of rich Western nations. When the smoke finally clears, you'll want to own gold coins...
The eurozone is slowly but surely imploding under an unsustainable debt load. Greece is still center stage, but the woes will soon spread. Ultimately, Greece is the first domino in a long chain of looming debt defaults... and at the end of that chain lies the United States.
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Wednesday, April 28, 2010
How Much Is This Economic Recovery Going to Cost? / Economics / Government Spending
By: Justice_Litle
The perception of stimulus-driven recovery that has so lifted the Federal Reserve’s reputation has not been purchased without cost… and that cost may prove too much for us to bear.
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
UPDATE: America’s Second Great Depression (Part 1) / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Mike_Stathis
Overview - Washington, Wall Street and their partners in crime, the media, have continued to spread the myths of an economic recovery since late summer 2009.
In response to the propaganda, the stock market has continued to rally. But most individual investors have been left out of this tremendous rally.
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
The “V” Shaped Recovery in Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Michael_Pento
A viable “V” shaped recovery in the economy and markets has now become the accepted view. My view, however, is that the economic recovery will be ephemeral in nature, whereas the real and lasting recovery will be unfortunately found in the rate of inflation. While nearly everyone on Wall Street remains unconcerned about inflation, the cornerstone for increasing prices has already been laid and the foundation is nearing completion.
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
China's Nonexistent Economic Rebalancing Act / Economics / China Economy
By: Mike_Shedlock
In March, China's trade surplus turned into a deficit, prompting some pundits to proclaim that China's economy was rebalancing. Others pointed to a surge in auto buying as proof consumer demand in China was picking up steam.
I did not buy either of those arguments, and instead proposed the numbers were indicative of collapse in US demand for Chinese goods coupled with massive surge in Chinese buying of commodities at ever increasing prices.
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Bailouts, Stimulus Packages and Jobless Recovery, Crisis of Wealth Destruction / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Henry_CK_Liu
The financial crisis that broke out in the United States around the summer of 2007 and crested around the autumn of 2008 had destroyed US$34.4 trillion of wealth globally by March 2009, when the equity markets hit their lowest points.
Tuesday, April 27, 2010
Russian Economy From Recession to Recovery / Economics / Russia
By: Pravda
In his annual report to the Russian Parliament on the Government’s handling of the economy, Prime Minister Vladimir Putin declared on Tuesday that the recession is over, that healthcare reforms are on the way, promising to restructure the financial management of the financial sector, while stating that optimism is fuelled by the provisional forecasts after Q1 of 2010.
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Monday, April 26, 2010
China Imports Boom / Economics / China Economy
By: Frank_Holmes
Just as the U.S. consumer is key for Chinese exporters, so too is the Chinese consumer key as an export destination for the rest of emerging Asia.
Monday, April 26, 2010
U.S. Economy Could Be Facing More of a Downturn Than a Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Gerard_Jackson
All is well. Reuters declared that the US is experiencing a "sturdy recovery". This is the same phony news agency that used to choke on the word recovery when used by the Bush administration. Now some American conservatives are warning that Republicans are being dangerously bearish on the economy, that there are signs, weak as they are, that a recovery is underway. Matthew Continetti of the conservative Weekly Standard states that the "natural tendency of economies is to grow". Nevertheless, he seriously questions whether Obama would now benefit from a recovery.
Monday, April 26, 2010
Washington Detached From Reality Producing Phony Inflation Statistics / Economics / Inflation
By: Larry_Edelson
Our leaders in Washington are so detached from reality, I am thoroughly convinced that they are smoking something.
And I’m not talking about the insane amounts of spending that’s going on in our capital, or even about the patently unpayable debts and promises they’re making to all of us and our foreign creditors. Although I think these things, too, result from whatever drugs they’re on inside the beltway.
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