Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, May 18, 2010
The "Eurozone Coup d’Etat", Trend Towards Global Systemic Economic Crisis / Economics / Euro-Zone
By: Global_Research
Just as anticipated by LEAP/E2020 in issues N°40 (December 2009) and N°42 (February 2010), spring 2010 really marks a tipping point of the global systemic crisis, characterized by a sudden expansion due to the intolerable size of public deficits (see issue N° 39, November 2009) and the inexistence of the recovery, so often announced (see issue N°37, September 2009). Besides, the dramatic social and political consequences of this development clearly reflect the beginning of the process of global geopolitical dislocation as anticipated in issue N°32 (February 2009).
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Tuesday, May 18, 2010
Inflation Destroys Savings / Economics / Inflation
By: MISES
Everything that is done by a government against the purchasing power of the monetary unit is, under present conditions, done against the middle classes and the working classes of the population. Only these people don't know it. And this is the tragedy. The tragedy is that the unions and all these people are supporting a policy that makes all their savings valueless. And this is the great danger of the whole situation.
Tuesday, May 18, 2010
Rationality and the Free Market Economy / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Douglas_French
People seem to do the craziest things when it comes to money. Whether it's chasing stock-market bubbles or paying good money after bad on a home that's hopelessly underwater, the idea of individuals acting as homo economicus seems far-fetched. Only in the ivory-tower world of rational-expectations theory does one find perfectly rational humans making judgments using all available information to satisfy their subjective ends.
Tuesday, May 18, 2010
UK Inflation Hits New High of CPI 3.7%, RPI 5.3%, Mervyn King Writes Another Excuses Letter / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK Inflation has yet again hit a new high of CPI 3.7% up from last months inflation peak of 3.4%, with RPI rocketing even higher to an eye watering 5.3%, a level not seen since 1991. The academic economists were again taken by surprise. The Bank of England's failure in its primary duty of targeting inflation has prompted the Governor Mervyn King to write another letter to this time the new Chancellor George Osbourne that will again state for the fifth time this year that the rise in inflation above 3% was temporary and not to worry, it should come down, eventually (fingers crossed).
Monday, May 17, 2010
U.S. Economic Recovery is Strengthening the Global Economy Against Europe’s Debt Turmoil / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks scattered across the capital markets last week like the unwanted children of a terrible divorce, as a blunted rally following a global margin call put a hex on every sector and most commodities - but a U.S. recovery marched on.
So far in the ten sessions of May, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 3.6%, the Nasdaq 100 is -4.7%, the S&P SmallCap 600 is -3.1% and overseas large-caps are down 8.6%.
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Monday, May 17, 2010
The World Has No Money, And The Emperor Has No Clothes / Economics / Global Economy
By: Pravda
Most of us are aware of the very old fairly tale by Hans Christian Andersen in which two weavers promise an emperor the finest suit of clothes imaginable, but from a fabric invisible to anyone who is unfit for his position or "just hopelessly stupid". Well, in the fairy tale it turns out that nobody wants to admit that they are "unfit" or "stupid", so when the emperor parades before his subjects in his imaginary new suit of clothes, it takes a child to cry out: "But he isn't wearing anything at all!" Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 16, 2010
The Driving Force of the Market / Economics / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Peter_G_Klein
Entrepreneurship is one of the fastest growing fields within economics, management, finance, and even law. It's also becoming a popular subject at colleges and universities. Entrepreneurship courses, programs, and activities are springing up not only in business schools, but also in colleges of arts and sciences, engineering, education, social work, and even fine arts.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 14, 2010
Signs of Economic Deflation You Might Not be Able to See Clearly / Economics / Deflation
By: EWI
Signs of Deflation You Might Not be Able to See Clearly
The following market analysis is courtesy of Bob Prechter's Elliott Wave International. Elliott Wave International is currently offering Bob's recent Elliott Wave Theorist, free.
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Friday, May 14, 2010
Max Keiser Report: Can China Save Western Economies From Collapse? / Economics / China Economy
By: Submissions
This week Max Keiser and co-host Stacy Herbert look at whether or not, as Western economies collapse under the weight of all their debt, China can save the world economy. In the second half of the show, Max interviews Paul Midler, author of "Poorly Made in China", about China's $300 billion rail projects; how restricting liquidity in a command and control economy actually accentuates misallocation of resources; and about having to hire lawyers to find out what is in his shampoo.
Thursday, May 13, 2010
India's Future Is In Its Mega Cities Signally Huge Economic Growth Potential / Economics / India
By: Frank_Holmes
McKinsey Global Institute (MGI) believes India is on the verge of the second-greatest urban migration the world has ever seen. In their new report India’s Urban Awakening, MGI says India’s urban population could balloon to 590 million—nearly twice the size of the United States—by 2030.
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Crisis Economics In USSR: Roubini Keeps His Dead Cat In The Bag / Economics / Stock Markets 2010
By: Andrew_Butter
I noticed two links to Professor Roubini today. The first one was from February when he said that the S&P 500 will drift sideways for most of 2010 which is a marked change from his opinion fourteen months ago when he was saying that the nascent rally in March 2009 was a dead-cat bounce sucker rally.
Wednesday, May 12, 2010
U.S. Budget Deficit and Debt Landmines Dead Ahead! / Economics / US Debt
By: Casey_Research
By Chris Wood, Jake Weber, and Vedran Vuk, The Casey Report write: Hearing President Obama’s economic peptalks, you might be under the impression that the U.S. needs to keep spending for just a little while longer to stimulate the economy – but then will swear off big deficits.
Reinforcing the point, to address concerns stirred by a Congressional Budget Office (CBO) forecast that the U.S. government will accumulate total deficits in excess of $6 trillion over the next decade, in February President Obama issued an executive order to create a bipartisan fiscal commission. The commission’s task is to deliver recommendations to the president by December 1 for limiting future deficits to 3% of GDP. (The FY 2009 deficit approached 10% of GDP. The FY 2010 deficit will probably go even higher.)
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Wednesday, May 12, 2010
European Bailout A Typical Response To An Atypical Debt Crisis Problem / Economics / Euro-Zone
By: Victoria_Marklew
The past two months have seen a fairly typical - if dramatic - example of the European Union response to a policy dilemma. First comes an extended period of trying to avoid the problem, paying some lip-service to the issue but with each leader ultimately more focused on any domestic political dimension. Then comes a final deadline that forces the collective hand of the Union members, resulting is some last-minute deal-making to avert a (real or imagined) crisis. The result is also typical - a deal that both creates a shift in the parameters of the Union and leaves an awful lot of unfinished business swept under the carpet.
Wednesday, May 12, 2010
Euro Zone Bailout is a Greek Tragedy in the Making / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: Ganesh_Rathnam
The recently approved eurozone bailout package, designed to buy more time for fiscally troubled nations such as Greece, Spain, and Portugal, is nothing short of a global Greek tragedy in the making. Of course, quite contrary to this, judging by the response of global stock markets, one would get the impression that happy times are around the corner. However, those of us who understand Austrian economics and believe in free markets and sound currencies can see one more nail driven into the coffin of paper fiat currencies such as the euro, US dollar, British pound, and Japanese yen.
Wednesday, May 12, 2010
HyperInflation or HyperDeflation? The Quantity Theory of Money / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Professor_Emeritus
James Turk's article Hyperinflation Looms dated April 20, 2010, is based on Quantity Theory of Money (QTM). It draws an analogy between Weimar Germany of 1923 and the United States of 2010. Both precepts are invalid. As far as the QTM is concerned, it suffices to point to the very fact, admitted by Turk, that it is possible to have a shortage of money simultaneously with the overworking of the printing presses. Hyperinflation is not the same as the ultimate inflation of the money supply. It is the ultimate depreciation of the currency unit. The two concepts are far from being the same, QTM notwithstanding.
Wednesday, May 12, 2010
E.U. Debt Bailout Delays the Inevitable Economic and Market Crash / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
It took absolutely nothing to bring the stock markets to their knees, but nearly $1 trillion to give them piece of mind. Yes, the European bailout may solve temporary woes, but in the end, it is nothing more than a temporary solution.
Wednesday, May 12, 2010
Using the Same Economic Recipe means getting the Same Tragic Results / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: Paul_Mladjenovic
As we all watch from a distance, Greece is crumbling under the weight of its own spending and statist profligacy. It is important to highlight why Greece is where it is and what it means for the United States:
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Monday, May 10, 2010
Is the US Economy Recovering or Isn't It? / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Gerard_Jackson
The Democrats' media pals are breathless with reports of a growing recovery. Only political bigots could possibly dispute the trend. As readers know, I tend to take a very strong historical perspective. Unlike physics or chemistry economics cannot perform laboratory-like experiments. However, the discipline does have a tremendous amount of historical evidence on which to draw. We should consider these events as economic case studies.
Monday, May 10, 2010
April U.S. Jobs Report, Should We Be Upbeat on Unemployment? / Economics / US Economy
By: Douglas_French
The April jobs report was described as "upbeat," with the reported 290,000 positive job gain the best in four years. "It clearly shows that this economic recovery can no longer be seen as a jobless one," said Bart van Ark, chief economist of research firm The Conference Board. "Companies apparently are finding they can't squeeze out any more output without adding workers."
Saturday, May 08, 2010
Economic Green Shoots Taking Root in Labor Market for Sustained Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
Civilian Unemployment Rate: 9.9% in April vs. 9.7% in each of the first three months of the first quarter. The unemployment rate was 5.0% in December 2007 when the recession commenced. Cycle high for recession is 10.1% in October 2009 and the cycle low for the expansion that ended in December 2007 is 4.4% in March 2007. Payroll Employment: +290,000 in April vs. +230,000 in March, net gain of 121,000 jobs after revisions of payroll estimates for February and March. Private sector hourly earnings: $22.47 in April vs. $22.46 in March, 1.6% yoy increase, slightly lower than 1.7% gain of March.