Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, June 03, 2010
Countdown to U.S. Economic Collapse / Economics / US Economy
Michael Snyder writes: So just how bad is the U.S. economy? Well, the truth is that sometimes it is hard to put into words. We have squandered the great wealth left to us by our forefathers, we have almost totally dismantled the world's greatest manufacturing base, we have shipped millions of good jobs overseas and we have piled up the biggest mountain of debt in the history of mankind.
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Wednesday, June 02, 2010
The Economic Impact of the Horrific Gulf Oil Spill / Economics / US Economy
As I watch from a distance the great catastrophe in the Gulf of Mexico, I think with great concern what the impact will be above and beyond the monumental environmental impact for the immediate areas.
Beyond the corporate and governmental blunders, blaming and dithering, we have to recognize what must be done and also what we face as a society.
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Wednesday, June 02, 2010
Trending Towards The Inflationary Economic Depression / Economics / Great Depression II
We believe an inflationary depression began in February of 2009, and little has changed. Since then factory output has increased, as have inventories and other outward signs, such as retail sales. We believe that one-year spurt is ending, unless a new stimulus program is put in place. This past week we saw a $78 billion addition to unemployment benefits and Larry Summers has said they need an additional $200 billion.
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Wednesday, June 02, 2010
Canada Leads Developed Nations in Emerging From the Great Recession / Economics / Canada
Don Miller writes: The Bank of Canada (BOC) today (Tuesday) raised its key interest rate, becoming the first Group of Seven (G7) central bank to raise rates since the global recession started in 2007.
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Monday, May 31, 2010
The Kondratiev Cycle: Where Are We Now? / Economics / Economic Theory
In one of the early issues of my newsletter, I wrote an article about the Kondratiev Cycle, an economic cycle which was first identified by Nikolai D. Kondratiev (1892-1938) an eminent Russian economist. The famous economist, Joseph Schumpeter, once said that the Kondratiev Wave is “...the single most important tool in economic forecasting.”
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Monday, May 31, 2010
Marc Faber on the Coming Economic Catastrophe Triggered by the Next AIG to Fall / Economics / Great Depression II
An hour long Presented by Marc Faber at "Austrian Economics and the Financial Markets," the Mises Circle in Manhattan in New York, New York. Includes an introduction by Mises Institute president Douglas E. French. We ain' t seen nothing' yet, says Marc Faber.
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Sunday, May 30, 2010
China’s Currency Manipulation About to Cause an Global Economic Trade War? / Economics / Global Economy
Tim Geithner, Hillary Clinton and 200 other American bigwigs visited China this week.
First on the agenda: China’s position on the rising tensions between North and South Korea.
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Saturday, May 29, 2010
European and U.S. Economies Falling Dominoes / Economics / Great Depression II
Attempting to fix an unfixable problem can create new problems. Why is the global economy unfixable in the current context? For one, the cause of the depression is never mentioned in the mainstream media or politicians. And when a disease is misdiagnosed, a prescribed medication creates new afflictions.
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Saturday, May 29, 2010
Amid the Financial Turmoil One Economic Indicator is Soaring / Economics / Global Economy
The financial world is coming unglued again. Greece has pushed the E.U. to the brink. Global stock markets are tumbling.And yet, at the same time at least one economic indicator is soaring. The Baltic Dry Index.
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Saturday, May 29, 2010
U.S., Canada, Germany and Japan Back to Pre-2003 Industrial Production Levels / Economics / Global Economy
An interesting chart from the Bank of Japan's latest monthly economic report.
Japanese capacity utilization is way down. Around 20% of manufacturing facilities are standing idle.
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Saturday, May 29, 2010
China – The Next Economic Ill-Wind? / Economics / China Economy
It’s been one world economically, a global village, for years now.
The competition between major countries is no longer fought on the high seas, or on land with vast armies, but in board rooms and markets. That China is a communist country politically is no longer a concern. The competition is economic, for instance whether China’s semi-capitalistic economy, having already surpassed France and Germany, will soon surpass Japan to become the world’s second largest economy behind the U.S.
Friday, May 28, 2010
ECRI Leading Economic Indicators Pointing to a Double-Dip Recession Coming? / Economics / Double Dip Recession
Inquiring minds are investigating leading indicators of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI). Here are a couple of charts.
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Friday, May 28, 2010
Gerald Celente Clash of the Economists - What's Next For Our Economy? / Economics / US Economy
ABC6 News Anchor John DeLuca sat down with two prominent economists, with two drastically different outlooks for the nation's economy.
Gerald Celente, Director of the Trends Research Institute, sees a very bleak future for the United States, and a major collapse coming soon for the entire nation, maybe the entire world.
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
Greece, Portugal and Spain Are the Least of Our Economic, Financial Challenges / Economics / Global Economy
After hitting a cycle high of 1217.28 on April 23, 2010, the S&P 500 stock market index fell by 10.65% in the following 20 trading days. The media would have you believe that the ongoing "official" correction in the U.S. equities market is all about the southern member states of the Euro-zone - Greece, Portugal and Spain (GPS). Although concern about the economically-weak and highly-indebted Euro-zone states have played a role in the U.S. equities market correction, we think there is more to the correction than GPS. Moreover, we believe that the problems of these challenged Euro-zone members will not have a significant effect on U.S. or global economic activity in the foreseeable future. China might, but not Greece, Portugal and Spain.
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
The Deflationary Consequences of M3 Money Supply / Economics / Money Supply
Given the fact that we sit on the precipice of a holiday weekend, every attempt will be made to keep this short and to the point. M3 growth has collapsed. We had pointed this out several months ago and again more recently amidst a barrage of protest emails that the printing press always wins the battle with the deflationary black hole. To date, the black hole is winning hands down. The reasons are nebulous and complex, but the point is that our broadest monetary aggregate is now shrinking. This does not bode well for our economic prospects moving forward.
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
The Path to Hyperinflation / Economics / HyperInflation
As we’ve discussed recently, persistent deflationary forces do not augur for a repeat of Japan circa 1990s or the US in the 1930s. Instead, because of the inability of government’s to finance their current and future debt burden (there is a dearth of domestic savings and global capital), deflationary forces will ultimately lead to severe inflation or hyperinflation. In today’s missive, we explain how this will happen but in various stages.
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
Global Economic Recovery Gaining Momentum, but Obstacles Remain / Economics / Economic Recovery
Kerri Shannon writes: The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) announced yesterday (Wednesday) that it has lifted its economic growth outlook, but warned that governments must enforce strict fiscal policies to sustain the global recovery and balance global expansion.
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
Europe on the Verge of a Liquidity Crisis? / Economics / Euro-Zone
Jason Simpkins writes: The euro's recent struggles have done more than bring the currency's viability into question. They've put the European Central Bank (ECB) on a collision course with a liquidity crisis.
The ECB is running low on dollars, and that problem could escalate when the U.S. Federal Reserve closes swap lines that were temporarily reinstated as the Greek debt crisis escalated. Additionally, more deposits are being yanked from the central bank as holders question whether or not the ECB has enough juice to stop a classic bank panic.
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Wednesday, May 26, 2010
What is the Underground Economy? / Economics / Economic Theory
Danny LeRoy writes: What is the underground economy?
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Wednesday, May 26, 2010
U.S.A Drops From 1st to 3rd Most Competitive Country / Economics / US Economy
The United States of America has, for the first time in a decade, fallen from first place to third in the ranking of the Most Competitive Countries, according to the World Competitiveness Yearbook 2010, drawn up by the Institute for Management Development in Switzerland.
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