Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, October 01, 2011
Real Pro-growth Tax Incentives to Save America / Economics / US Economy
By: Barry_Elias
There is a better way to optimize our scarce resources.
Six weeks ago, the following information and graphic of mine were published by Moneynews regarding government expenditures as a percentage of GDP.
Saturday, October 01, 2011
The Economy’s Real Problems! / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Sy_Harding
Some of this week’s economic reports provided at least small sparkles in the dark shadows that have dominated economic reports so far this year.On Thursday, the Commerce Department reported the economy grew at an annualized rate of 1.3% in second quarter, a bit better than the 1.0% it had previously reported. The Labor Department reported new weekly unemployment claims fell by 37,000 last week to 391,000, the first time new weekly claims have been under 400,000 a week since April. And the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index ticked up to 59.4 in September after tumbling to near a three-year low of 55.7 in August.
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Saturday, October 01, 2011
U.S. Economy is 'Tipping Into a New Recession' / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Bloomberg
Lakshman Achuthan of the Economic Cycle Research Institute told Bloomberg Radio's Tom Keene and Ken Prewitt this morning on "Bloomberg Surveillance" that the "U.S. economy is tipping into a new recession."
Achuthan said that "you have wildfire among leading indicators across the board," which is a "deadly combination" and "not reversible."
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Friday, September 30, 2011
Emerging Markets Provide Blueprint for Sustained Growth / Economics / Emerging Markets
By: Money_Morning
David Zeiler writes:
The United States should look at emerging markets for clues on how to sustain economic growth, according to U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke.
While the advanced economies of the world have stagnated since 2008, countries like China, Brazil and parts of Southeast Asia have enjoyed growth rates in the 7% to 9% range. Although several have slowed this year, they're still faring better than the economies of the United States and Europe.
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Friday, September 30, 2011
U.S. Q2 Real GDP Growth Revised Up, Jobless Claims Decline Partly Due to Technical Issues / Economics / US Economy
By: Asha_Bangalore
Real GDP of the U.S. economy increased at an annual rate of 1.3% in the second quarter, slightly higher than the earlier estimate of a 1.0% gain. The main reasons for the larger gain in GDP were stronger growth of structures, consumer service sector outlays, exports, and residential investment expenditures.
Thursday, September 29, 2011
More Signs China Is Going Bust / Economics / China Economy
By: Justice_Litle
While the world fixates on Europe, signs of a China crash are mounting behind the scenes.
Imagine you run a business with 3,000 employees. Your factories churn out 20 million pairs of sunglasses per year -- the best-selling brand in China. You are a celebrated businessman in your region, with expanded interests in real estate and solar energy.
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Thursday, September 29, 2011
We’re in a Recession Right Now / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Trader_Mark
My posts today seem to have a Negative Nelly tone - I am looking very hard for some positive stories to offset what I'm posting. ;)
WSJ's Dealbook has an interview with one of the smartest men in the room - Doubeline's Jeffrey Gundlach. Many would consider this guy the best bond investor on planet Earth, alough PIMCO's Bill Gross gets all the press. His Total Return Fund is once again smacking its index year to date.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Marc Faber Sectors of China's Economy May Crash / Economics / China Economy
By: Videos
A Chinese economic slowdown is on the horizon, says Marc Faber, with property prices in some cities facing significant decreases.
Saturday, September 24, 2011
World is Edging Towards Global Depression, Give Collapse a Chance / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Bill_Bonner
A big sell-off yesterday. The Dow down 283 points. The 10-year T-note yields only 1.87%. And the price of gold barely budged.
In our opinion all three should be going down. Because the world is edging towards a global depression…
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Saturday, September 24, 2011
Dr Doom Roubini and Soros Say The U.S. Already in A Double Dip Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: EconMatters
Dr. Doom Roubini has grown even more pessimistic since he put a 60% probability of a U.S. double dip in 2012 just about three weeks ago. Business Day reported that speaking at a press conference in Johannesburg on Sep. 20, Roubini now says, "The US is already in a recession although it will not admit it." and that the rest of the world would not be insulated from the effects of another global meltdown. (Clip Below)
Friday, September 23, 2011
Freedom and Economic Growth in the Poorest Countries / Economics / Emerging Markets
By: MISES
Ken Zahringer writes: I just finished the first draft of a paper exploring some of the factors influencing economic growth in poor countries. I put together a sample of 37 countries that were at the bottom of the income scale in 1970 and traced their economic performance over the ensuing 40 years, trying to discern some of the reasons for the differences in growth among countries. One of the measures I used was the Fraser Institute's Economic Freedom (EF) Index. The following simple table speaks volumes about why some countries prosper and others don't. (The chart divisions allow class mobility.)
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Wednesday, September 21, 2011
Deflation, What You Can do to Survive the Economic Depression / Economics / Deflation
By: EWI
Governments across the world have adopted "Quantitative Easing" aka "Printing Money" to fight against Deflation that was threatening to push global economies into a downward deflationary spiral towards a prolonged period of economic depression. The question now is will printing money coupled with ZERO interest rates work ?
Money printing in the first instance takes the form of governments instructing their respective central banks to buy government bonds in an effort to artificially drive longer term interest rates lower and fund huge budget deficits and therefore artificially stimulate economic activity.
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Wednesday, September 21, 2011
Why the IMF's Warnings About Slower Growth for the U.S. and Europe Will Be Ignored / Economics / Global Economy
By: Money_Morning
David Zeiler writes:
In lowering its growth forecast for the United States and Europe, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned of "severe repercussions" unless drastic measures are taken soon.
But don't expect the warning to spawn any real action.
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Wednesday, September 21, 2011
China's Economic Growth Won't Last; Chanos on Chinese Property Bubble and Growth / Economics / China Economy
By: Mike_Shedlock
Fund manager Jim Chanos spoke to Bloomberg TV’s Carol Massar about China's economy, debt and real estate market.
Chanos said that growth in China may be zero and that China has “European kind of numbers” when it comes to debt.
Wednesday, September 21, 2011
The Case for Hyperinflation in the US / Economics / HyperInflation
By: Jeff_Berwick
Earlier this month, Gary North penned an article on LewRockwell.com entitled, "Mass Inflation, Yes; Hyperinflation, No".
In it he stated the following:
"The United States is not going to get hyperinflation unless Congress nationalizes the Federal Reserve System.
It will get mass inflation at some point: anywhere from 15% per annum to 30%. But it is not going to get 50% or 100% or more.
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Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Bursting of the Debt Bubble, Evaporation of Wealth on a Vast Scale / Economics / Deflation
By: EWI
The bursting of the "debt bubble" which started in 2008 is far from over. It's the financial story of our age and it's happening before our eyes. The full scope is hard to keep up with because it's unfolding at various levels. The top level is the sovereign debt crisis:
Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Fed is Measuring U.S. Economic Health by the Wrong Number / Economics / US Economy
By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson
Mark Twain once said, “To a man with a hammer, everything looks like a nail.” To the Federal Reserve — an institution employing an army of economists and academics — everything looks like an economic problem that needs to be quantitatively eased. As a result, the Fed is killing the economy.
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Monday, September 19, 2011
Another Round Of Consumer Price Increases On The Way / Economics / Inflation
By: Clif_Droke
The ongoing economic depression has the middle class behind the proverbial eight ball. Not only has it resulted in the deflation of housing values but the stimulus efforts of the last two years have resulted in increased retail prices. This is one of the important signs that the depression has a lot longer to run, for until we see a substantial drop in consumer prices deflation's work isn't done.
Sunday, September 18, 2011
World's Declining, Graying Population Doesn't Spell Economic Growth / Economics / Demographics
By: Bill_Bonner
The Lehman bankruptcy was a much more important event than 9/11. It marked the end of a 60-year credit expansion. Maybe it marked the high water mark for the US Empire, too. And the beginning of the end for the US dollar-based world monetary system.
But the occasion went by yesterday without much notice.
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Sunday, September 18, 2011
Paymaster Germany and the Endgame Back to the 1930's? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: Gary_North
I did a Google search for "paymaster Germany." I got over 34,000 hits. They refer mostly to the Eurozone crisis over Greek government debt, and the German government's willingness to tax Germans in order to keep bailing out the Greek government.
I got the phrase from a pro-gold standard German economist, Paul C. Martin. He wrote a book with this title in 1991. Its subtitle is as relevant today as it was two decades ago: "Thus they dissipate our money." When he wrote "they," he meant "German politicians." The phrase has stuck. It is correctly being applied to the on-going program of the Merkel government to provide fresh injections of government money – taxpayers' money – into the Greek government, so that the government can pay 70% per annum to investors.
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