Monday, January 15, 2018

Will USD Fall to New Lows in 2018? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

Markets are starting to return to full strength again, now that the holiday period has officially come to a close.  The next moves in the US Dollar Index (DXY) could be significant in terms of their possibility to define the broader market trends seen for the remainder of this year.  As we will see here, this did happen in 2017 and this does match the historical averages that develop in the USD when its value is compared to a basket of heavily traded currency counterparts.

Monday, January 15, 2018

Some Fascinating Stock Market Fibonacci Relationships... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

You may recall that I had mentioned in December that I was looking to see whether the INDU would make 27521.00 by year end. Since it took to January 12 to make that target may be telling us that Social Mood may be making a reversal. We may pin the reversal on an event, but the fact is, the fruit doesn’t fall from the tree until it is ripe. What I mean to say is that the conditions for a fall must be there. Hopefully I will be able to guide you through the process until the fruit actually falls. We know from the indicators on the SPX that the fruit is ripe. Here are some of the reasons why.

Sunday, January 14, 2018

How to Know If This Stock Market Rally Will Continue for Two More Months? / Stock-Markets / Articles

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research has been “spot on” with regards to the markets for the first few weeks of 2018.  We issued our first trade on Jan 2nd, plus two very detailed research reports near the end of 2017 and early 2018.  We urge you to review these research posts as they tell you exactly what to expect for the first Quarter in 2018.

Continuing this research, we have focused our current effort on the Transportation Index, the US Majors, and the Metals Markets.  The Transportation Index has seen an extensive rally (+19.85%) originating near November 2017.  This incredible upside move correlates with renewed US Tax policies and Economic increases that are sure to drive the US Equity market higher throughout 2018.

Sunday, January 14, 2018

Did China Just Burst the Everything Bubble? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

The biggest news today comes from China, which has announced it will “slow or halt” US Treasury purchases.

This is the so-called NUCLEAR option: the threat by China to stop buying US debt. And it’s an absolute game-changer.

Sunday, January 14, 2018

Bubble Watch: Both the Currency Markets and Bonds Markets See Inflation Coming / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

If you want to make money investing, you first need to understand the structure of the asset classes in our current financial system,

Everyone likes to go bonkers over stocks, but the reality is that the stock market is in fact one of the smallest and least liquid markets on the planet. All told, US stocks are roughly $26 trillion in market cap.

Sunday, January 14, 2018

Oprah for President, Really? / Politics / US Politics

By: Mike_Whitney

Being president isn’t like hosting a talk show or running a media brand. Oprah’s success in her field is no more indicative of her potential to be a good president than Trump’s success in real estate was. You can’t criticize Trump for having no relevant experience or evident understanding of public policy, then say that the solution for Democrats is just to throw up their hands and find their own celebrity to promote.— Paul Waldman, “Get a Grip, People. Oprah should not run for President”, Washington Post

Sunday, January 14, 2018

Is This The Long-Awaited Gold Break-Out – Or Just Another Paper Market Head Fake? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: John_Rubino

That was fun. Since mid-December gold has behaved like a tech stock, jumping from $1,240/oz to $1,337 and carrying a long list of gold mining stocks along for the ride.

Sunday, January 14, 2018

Everything SMIGGLE from Pencil Cases to Water Bottles, Pens and Springs! / Personal_Finance / Shipping

By: Anika_Walayat

SMIGGLE must be commended for being an A1 first class business, for their marketing and product line very strongly appeals to children. However, SMIGGLE's success comes at a price, and that price is paid for by parents. Our latest video illustrates how the SMIGGLE craze manifests itself that has gone far beyond pencil cases and stationary. Even the ordinary water bottle has turned into an must have accessory for parents to pay for, and not just one bottle but the crazy situation of the need for multiple bottles!

Sunday, January 14, 2018

Land Rover Discovery Sport Very Bad MPG Fuel Economy! Real Owner's Review / ConsumerWatch / Motoring

By: N_Walayat

Here's my first full week update of owning an Approved Used Land Rover Discovery Sport of what to expect if your considering buying. For it takes at least a week before one is fully aware of what one needs to know BEFORE buying one as the various flaws become apparent, such as the pretty feeble plastic trim that tends to surround Discovery Sport, the knocking sound from again poor quality trim for though the Discovery Sport looks great and general drives well. However, in many respects my 11 year old Zafira was better! And what's worse of all is Land Rovers sales pitch of 53mpg fuel economy that in no way matches real world driving experience as my latest video in this buying and owning a Land Rover series illustrates.

Saturday, January 13, 2018

Gold Miners’ Status Updated / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

After a positive year-end with the expected precious metals rally we noted on Dec. 31, in NFTRH 480:

“With HUI dwelling just under the 195 resistance parameter, a pullback can come at any time. But there are enough other factors still in line to expect a resumed rally after any grind at resistance comes into play.”

and then on Jan. 7, in NFTRH 481:

“What HUI actually did was immediately push up into the 195-200 resistance zone, become overbought and hang around there all week in consolidation. Here is the noisy daily chart once again. Let’s focus on how the most recent RSI oversold condition in December did indeed spring a tradable rally. As chartists saw the October/November shelf of support break down and then the July lows breached the call was ‘BEARISH!’ far and wide. Shorts were taken on the say so of people who know how to look laterally and see one thing lower than the other thing.

Saturday, January 13, 2018

Gold And Silver – Review of Annual, Qrtly, Monthly, Weekly Charts. Reality v Sentiment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Michael_Noonan

Usually we have a commentary of some kind as a back story to what is going on in the PMs. Our commentaries have become fewer and farther between because of the absurdity of government control, which in turn is controlled by the ruling elite. Not a day goes by that the president elect, Donald Trump, is not severely criticized by mainstream media, both televised and in print. We have never seen this kind of maltreatment toward a president, ever. It is the Deep State exposing its ugly tentacles to keep Trump from gaining any traction in popularity, and it speaks to the bitter disappoint that Deep State favorite, and one upon whom they could depend, Hillary Clinton lost.

Sadly, Trump has been overwhelmed by the shadow powers and turned into yet another presidential puppet that will disappoint perhaps even more than turncoat Obama. Many of Trump’s promises of reform have been cast aside in favor of bowing to the dictates of the ruling elites. the swamp creature have survived the draining attempt and are back stronger than ever.

Saturday, January 13, 2018

Gold GLD ETF Update.. Bear Market Reversal Watch / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Just a quick update on GLD which is showing the price action approaching the top rail of its triangle trading range which should be around the 127.50 area. Many times during the formation of a 5 point triangle reversal pattern the price action will fail to make it all the way down to the 5th reversal point which suggests the bulls are eager to get positioned. A touch of the top rail will complete the 5th reversal point technically putting the triangle into the reversal category to the upside.

What we have to do now is to see how the price action interact with the top rail. Most likely we should see a reaction backdown initially that could be very shallow if it’s time for the triangle to complete. If the bulls are really fired up we could see a gap above the top rail which would be very bullish.

Saturday, January 13, 2018

Stock Market Leadership In 2018 To Come From Oil & Gas / Stock-Markets / Oil Companies

By: WMA

The thirty-three (33) Oil & Gas companies of the S&P 500 will lead that important benchmark, maybe not during January, but through 2018 and beyond. The reason is simple. It’s all about revenue, cash flow and earnings growth on account of higher Crude Oil prices, rising to the level where this crucially important industry is now achieving sustainable economics.

The Oil narrative is changing. No longer is the industry full of doom and gloom.

Investors who study a company’s fundamentals before taking positions in stocks got on board early. Trend followers have now gotten the message and are becoming invested. At some point this year, the public will follow. Oil stocks will lead the S&P 500 by the end of 1Q2018. 

Saturday, January 13, 2018

Stock Market Primed for a Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Wave 5 counts well as an Ending Diagonal at all the lesser degrees of trend. All three Fibonacci targets were met. The Cycles Model call for a turn over the weekend. What more can we ask for?

To answer that question we need an unequivocal decline. Friday afternoons are not good times to start a bear market, since the status quo is so strong.

Saturday, January 13, 2018

Live Trading Webinar: Discover 3 High-Confidence Trade Set-Ups / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

Dear Trader,

The new year is full of new market opportunities. We'd like to help you capture them.

On Wednesday, January 17, at 11 AM Eastern, our friends at Elliott Wave International (elliottwave.com) are hosting a live, free webinar for traders looking for an edge:

Friday, January 12, 2018

Optimum Entry Point for Gold and Silver Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund discusses why he believes a massive new sector bull market is about to begin in gold and silver.

When you are following the markets closely day after day it can be easy to lose sight of the big picture. So with the "everything bubble" getting closer to bursting, leading to universal mess and mayhem, there could not be a better time to look at the long-term picture for gold and silver, in order to see whether they are going to salute and go down with the ship, as they did in 2008, or constitute a lifeboat and a profitable means of escape for more fortunate investors.

I am therefore pleased to be able to report that it will almost certainly be the latter, for reasons that we will now elucidate on the respective long-term charts for gold, then silver.

Friday, January 12, 2018

Stock Selloffs Great for Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The stock markets have rocketed higher since Trump’s election win on hopes for big corporate tax cuts.  This extreme rally has left stocks exceedingly overvalued and overbought today.  A major selloff is long overdue and likely imminent.  When stocks inevitably roll over and mean revert lower to rebalance away euphoric sentiment, gold is the main beneficiary.  Gold investment demand soars when stocks materially slide.

Two trading days before the November 2016 presidential election, I published an essay that explored how stock-market action leading into elections really sways their results.  Its conclusion based on long market history was “The stock markets overwhelmingly and conclusively predict Donald Trump will win!”  That was a hardcore contrarian stance before Election Day, when such an upset seemed impossible to most.

Friday, January 12, 2018

These 3 Facts Show Gold Is Set to Surge in 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldSilver

Jeff Clark : Crypto and stock prices grabbed most of the investment headlines in 2017. But by the end of 2018, a different asset class is bound to spark investor’s attention.

There are multiple reasons for that, starting with the fact that no trend or bull market lasts forever. But it’s about more than just the prolonged run in equities and runaway prices in cryptos.

Friday, January 12, 2018

How China is Locking Up Critical Resources in the US’s Own Backyard / Politics / China US Conflict

By: Richard_Mills

In the 1800’s the United States under President James Monroe invoked the Monroe Doctrine, which stated that any effort by European nations to control any independent state in North or South America would be viewed as “an unfriendly disposition towards the United States.”

The intent of the Monroe Doctrine was to free the newly independent colonies of Latin America from mostly Spain and Portugal, so that the States could exert its influence undisturbed.

“The Monroe Doctrine, first articulated in 1823 as a means of blocking external interference in the Western Hemisphere, was the central pillar of US policy toward Latin America until Barack Obama’s secretary of State, John Kerry, told a roomful of Latin American diplomats in 2013 that “the era of the Monroe Doctrine is over.”  The statement was part of an effort to rehabilitate the US image in a region long accustomed to seeing the United States as seeking to control it through persuasion when possible, and force when necessary. In a policy paper published last December, Craig Deare, a dean at the US National Defense University and now Mr. Trump’s top Latin America advisor on the National Security Council staff, denounced Kerry’s statement “as a clear invitation to those extra-regional actors looking for opportunities to increase their influence. He specifically mentioned China.” Is Trump resurrecting the Monroe Doctrine? Max Paul Friedman

Friday, January 12, 2018

Stock Market January Rally May Be Taken Out in January / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The recurring 20 week low is due within this general time frame. Last seen on August 21, 2017, it generally runs about 100 trading days. For it to sync with the 16 TD low due around Jan 24 it needs to be topping this week. Ideally, the low should hit about January 25th and top out on Friday, January 12.  I’m thinking we could easily be due for about a 100 SPX point pullback taking out the entire January rally from 2673.