Thursday, February 01, 2018
Stocks Went Sideways, No Quick Reversal Means Trouble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
The main U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.1-0.3% on Wednesday, as they fluctuated following recent move down. Investors were uncertain ahead of quarterly earnings, FOMC Rate Decision, economic data releases. The S&P 500 index remained below its Tuesday's relatively big daily gap down. It currently trades around 2.1% below its January 26 record high of 2,872.87. Yet, it remains 4.7% above its December 29 close of 2,673.61. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.3% on Wednesday, as it bounced off support level at 26,000, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.1%.
The nearest important level of support of the S&P 500 index is at 2,790-2,810, marked by the January mid-month consolidation. The next level of support remains at 2,770-2,780, marked by some previous local lows. On the other hand, the nearest important level of resistance is at 2,840-2,850, marked by Tuesday's daily gap down of 2,837.75-2,851.48. The next resistance level remains at around 2,870-2,875, marked by Friday's record high of 2,872.87. The resistance level is the price level at which the selling interest is strong enough to overcome buying pressure and push the price lower. It usually refers to previous high or highs, gap downs, trend lines, retracement levels etc.
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Thursday, February 01, 2018
Will the Threat of a Bear Market in Bonds Finally Get Stocks Attention? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Graham_Summers
The single most important bond in the world is the US 10-Year Treasury bond.
According to modern financial theory, this bond, with a duration that is meant to cover a full economic cycle, is generally considered the “risk free” rate of the return for the entire financial system.
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Thursday, February 01, 2018
US Treasury Yields Inflating? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Submissions
FundamentalsThe Herd is running into one direction. It is from bonds into stocks. The latest BAML Fund Manager report showed an intresting picture. Extreme flows have been recorded over the past couple of months relative to the past 12 years. That came on top of the fact that flows were at elevated levels throughout the past 14 months already.
The investment reasoning behind that gets confirmed by economic fundamentals. The US economy is expanding, retail sales have risen to all-time highs, unemployment is at a multidecade low, and new home sales look as good as they have never looked for the past 10 years.
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Thursday, February 01, 2018
How To Identify The Right Forex Broker / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Kavinesh_A
Those who have been into forex market would certainly understand that your success or failure in the trading market would depend to a large extent on the kind of broker you choose. In a real life situation, you will be giving all your trading capital the forex dealer. You will trust him fully and expect that he will trade well with it and give you some handsome profits at the end of the day. You could be an expert in forex with the best of experience and strategies. However, if you have a dubious forex dealer, you could end up losing your hard earned money and you could be in dire straits. Hence you must be careful when it comes to choosing the right forex dealer. This is not an easy task given the fact that there are dozens of forex dealers. We give below the list of a few tips to be kept in mind when it comes to choosing the right broker.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 31, 2018
Stocks Bull Market or Hyperinflationary Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Raymond_Matison
More than a decade ago several insightful people recognized that the bond market as it related to the then AAA rated mortgage backed bonds was a well-crafted illusion. The eventual default in these bonds fostered a market meltdown which was within hours of totally freezing up markets, creating a global financial crisis. The stock market reflected this crisis by the Dow Industrial Index declining from 16,437 in October of 2007 to 8,207 in February of 2009, a 50% decline in less than a one and half year period.
Wednesday, January 31, 2018
The Most Important Bond In the World Just Broke a 25 Year Downtrend / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Graham_Summers
The single most important bond in the world is the US 10-Year Treasury bond.
According to modern financial theory, this bond, with a duration that is meant to cover a full economic cycle, is generally considered the “risk free” rate of the return for the entire financial system.
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Wednesday, January 31, 2018
Bitcoin’s $10,000 "Line in the Sand" / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: EWI
The cryptocurrency's trends continue to be fueled by investor psychology
On January 23, Bitcoin fell below $10,000. That's the second time in recent days that prices dipped below this psychologically important threshold. The headlines picked up on the drama:
"Bitcoin tumbles below $10,000 and is now down 25% on the year..." (CNBC, Jan 23)
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Wednesday, January 31, 2018
Panic Selling On New York Stock Exchange – Get Ready! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In this short conversation, we talk about Palladium and how it topped last week, and this metal has already dropped 5.5% in value since then.
We also mentioned a few days ago when gold was testing key resistance that traders should expect a correction in gold and mining stocks. This week we already locked in a quick 11% profit with DUST inverse ETF for gold miners and there is likely more selling to come!
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Wednesday, January 31, 2018
Plunging Stocks to Push Gold Higher? Fat Chance! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The bearish case for gold continues as fresh new bearish confirmations have just emerged. You have already read about gold’s huge weekly volume, gold stocks’ underperformance and many other factors. Yesterday’s session provides us with even more bearish details. But, there’s one thing that looks promising for gold bulls – the possibility of a big and sharp decline in the stock market. Some expect money coming out of the stock market to flow into precious metals, thus pushing their prices higher. As much as we love gold (and silver even more) as a very long-term investment, in today’s analysis, we dismiss the above stock-based hope.
Wednesday, January 31, 2018
How Will The S&P 500 Reach 4000? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
There is no real secret to the market. In fact, it is rather simple. But, that does not mean the specific smaller degree moves in the market will be just as simple.
You see, markets are no different wherever you look. Whether that be metals, equities, Forex, crypto-currencies, etc, they all react in the exact same way. Markets simply move from one extreme to another. And, we need to be able to identify where those extremes can cause a turn.
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Wednesday, January 31, 2018
Investors Can Make Huge Money Through Forex Trade / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Kavinesh_A
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Wednesday, January 31, 2018
Kalifornia Open Warfare on Business / Politics / US Politics
By: BATR
The People's Republic of Kalifornia is a prime example of centralized technocratic planning under the protection of a monolithic legislature that is entirely rooted in a Marxist "global warming" climate of totalitarian collectivism. Business in this cage of redistribution exists to support the extortion demands of the Sacramento commissars. Decades of reporting definitively conclude that the Golden State has depleted their wealth creation resources because of persistent disincentives and outright penalties for conducting legitimate business. The citadel of punitive regulations has been claimed by California, the undisputed champion of anti-capitalism.
Wednesday, January 31, 2018
Crises and Opportunity – Possible End of the Line for Stocks! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Enda_Glynn
There is not one person living today that has seen a period of overvaluation such as the onewe are living through right now.
And there are few people still alive who witnessed a crash similar to the one we are about to experience.
The market hit such an extreme level last week
that it brought the long term valuation metrics I follow
To a level higher than the property bubble highs of 2007,
the DOTCOM bubble highs of 1999,
the cocaine highs of 1987,
the space age highs of 1966,
and the roaring 20's highs of 1929.
Wednesday, January 31, 2018
Stock Market Short-term Support May Come Into Play / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is getting some lift at the Short-term support level at 2815.25. It suggests that may be the downside limit for this decline. If so, it may have its work cut out for it at the gap, which refused to be filled this morning. My best estimate is that SPX may make a probe (lower) to the Short-term support level before attempting a bounce.
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Wednesday, January 31, 2018
USD/CHF – C Is for Consolidation / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Nadia_Simmons
Looking at the daily chart of USD/CHF we can summarize the recent days in one word: boredom. But behind the current consolidation there may be something more than we think at first glance. Read today's alert and you'll find out what we mean.
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Wednesday, January 31, 2018
Land Rover Discovery Sport ECO Mode Real MPG Fuel Economy Test / ConsumerWatch / Motoring
By: N_Walayat
In this video I answer the question of just how closely Land Rover Discovery Sports fuel economy compares against Land Rovers 53.3 MPG sales pitch, as knowing what a car will actually do under real driving conditions is a very important consideration when buying any new car. This test is of real world driving done wholly in ECO Mode so as to maximise fuel economy of what to expect from a 15 month old Land Rover Discovery Sport that has done about 13,000 miles from new.
Tuesday, January 30, 2018
US Treasury Bonds: Fuse to Light the Bonfire / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Jim_Willie_CB
Many are the metaphors used to describe the agent that initiates a major crisis. Light the fuse, or pull the trigger, pull the rug out from under the room, or pull on the string for unraveling the sweater, these are commonly heard. What comes soon is the Bonfire of the Vanities, a term the Jackass prefers since irony is thick. Hardly the burning of objects deemed as tempting toward occasions of sin as in the 15th Century. In the present-day case, the burning would be of the massive piles of paper assets the US Federal Reserve has been illicitly supporting for the past several years. The bonfire would be of falsely valued heaps of paper. If truth be known, the Quantitative Easing was put in place in 2012 when the big US banks were all in danger of failures. They required amplified liquidity infusions in order to prevent these giant silos of insolvency from entering financial failure. Their huge bond holdings were supported. Generally, when insolvency meets illiquidity, big failures occur. The USGovt and USFed colluded to prevent the entire set of Wall Street banks from failing like Lehman Brothers did. They all had the same ugly insolvent traits. Few tell the story correctly, but Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan suffocated Lehman to death. Lehman did not fail without help. Like Chief Justice Scalia, Lehman was suffocated in a bed of unpaid bond sales. What comes next is a nasty corrosive dangerous sequence of financial market crises, where pumped paper assets suffer notable declines. It will include the stock, bond, and currency markets. The last times all three suffered simultaneous declines was 1979 and 1987. Add soon 2018.
Tuesday, January 30, 2018
Illinois’ Debt Crisis Foreshadows America’s Financial Future / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: MoneyMetals
Those wanting a glimpse into the future of our federal government’s finances should have a gander at Illinois. The state recently “resolved” a high-profile battle over its budget. Taxpayers were clubbed with a 32% hike in income taxes in an effort to shore up massive underfunding in public employee pensions, among other deficiencies.
But, predictably, it isn’t working. People are leaving the state in droves.
In fact, Illinois now leads the nation in population collapse. Statistics show people leaving the state at the rate of 1 every 4.3 minutes and the state dropped from 5th place to 6th in terms of overall population.
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Tuesday, January 30, 2018
Why Is The Shale Oil Industry Still Not Profitable? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Echoing the criticism of too much hype surrounding U.S. shale from the Saudi oil minister last week, a new report finds that shale drilling is still largely not profitable. Not only that, but costs are on the rise and drillers are pursuing “irrational production.”
Riyadh-based Al Rajhi Capital dug into the financials of a long list of U.S. shale companies, and found that “despite rising prices most firms under our study are still in losses with no signs of improvement.” The average return on asset for U.S. shale companies “is still a measly 0.8 percent,” the financial services company wrote in its report.
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Tuesday, January 30, 2018
Stock Market Sell Signal Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has a substantial gap down this morning. It is likely that there will be an attempt to fill the gap. However, should this be the beginning of Super Cycle Wave (C), the gap may not be filled. Find the best level you can to place your short positions, but don’t try to outguess what happens next. You are likely to beat the crowd by being early and let the market do the rest.