Saturday, March 23, 2019
US Dollar Breakdown on Fed Was Much Worse Than It Looks / Currencies / US Dollar
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund explains why the dollar breakdown after the Fed's rate announcement is good news for precious metals.
The Fed statement that it won't be raising rates again this year had a dramatic effect on both the dollar and the precious metals sector. The dollar had been struggling to make further progress for some time and the Fed statement kicked the crutches out from under it, and it broke sharply lower, as we can see on its latest 1-year chart below. It broke below its 200-day moving average, the 1st time it has been below it for almost a year, and it also broke it down below its uptrend. This was a development made all the more serious and decisive by the fact that it is currently tightly bunched with its moving averages, which means that it is at a key inflexion point—it could have broken either way, but the Fed has decided its direction with its stated policy not to raise rates this year.
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Saturday, March 23, 2019
Gold Mid-Tier GDXJ Stocks Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: Zeal_LLC
The mid-tier gold miners’ stocks have been rallying on balance in recent months, carving a solid young upleg. They’ve mostly finished reporting their latest fourth-quarter results, revealing how they are faring fundamentally. Their operating and financial performance is very important for investors, as the mid-tier realm is where most of the gold-stock sector’s gains accrue. They fared really well in a challenging quarter.
Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports. Required by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, these 10-Qs and 10-Ks contain the best fundamental data available to traders. They dispel all the sentiment distortions inevitably surrounding prevailing stock-price levels, revealing corporations’ underlying hard fundamental realities.
While 10-Qs with filing deadlines of 40 days after quarter-ends are required for normal quarters, 10-K annual reports are instead mandated after quarters ending fiscal years. Most gold miners logically run their accounting on calendar years, so they issue 10-Ks after Q4s. Since these annual reports are larger and must be audited by independent CPAs, their filing deadlines are extended to 60 days after quarter-ends.
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Saturday, March 23, 2019
Which Currency Pairs Stand to Benefit from Prevailing Risk Aversion? / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: P_Radomski_CFA
After the Fed’s surprise move, the dust is getting settled. We are seeing serious reprising across many currency pairs. Sharp movements practically anywhere you look today. Where to start? With the euro, the yen or the Canadian dollar? It’s hard to choose the winner among all the moves in our favor. Let’s shine more light into every pair covered so that you are as prepared for what lies ahead as we are. Our subscribers already are.
Friday, March 22, 2019
If You Get These 3 Things Right, You’ll Never Have to Worry About Money / Personal_Finance / Financial Education
By: Jared_Dillian
You have some money. Do you pay down the mortgage, or do you invest in the stock market?
You can use math to make this decision, but math is not much help because there is uncertainty.
- The stock market allegedly returns 8%, but sometimes a lot less.
- Your house will hopefully appreciate, but by how much? Nobody knows.
- And what are interest rates going to do?
- It also mostly depends on where you live in the country.
- There are tax implications to residential mortgages.
- Your own behavior is also uncertain—it depends on your risk tolerance and fear of the downside.
Friday, March 22, 2019
Stock Market Russell 2000 Leads The Way For Technical Analysts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The Russell 2000 ETF continues to deliver critical technical and longer-term price patterns for skilled technicians. Combining the IWM chart with the Transportation Index, Oil, Gold, and others provide a very clear picture of what to expect in the immediate future.
Recently, we posted a research article about the Head-n-Shoulders pattern setting up in the $INDU. Again, the IWM chart is also showing a very clear Head-n-Shoulders pattern with critical resistance near $159.50 and support near $144.25. Our researchers, at Technical Traders Ltd., believe this right Shoulder will prompt a downside market move towards support near $144.25 before a downward sloping wedge pattern sets up. This first downward price leg will setup and congesting wedge formation that will, eventually, break to the upside and drive market prices higher.
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Friday, March 22, 2019
Two Most Important Recession Indicators and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
With everyone talking about recession, investors desperately need some clues to assess the state of the economy. This is what our today’s article provide you with. We invite you to read it and find out what are the two most important recession indicators – and what is the link between them and the gold prices.
With everyone talking about recession, investors desperately need some clues to assess the state of the economy. We have already discussed how the NBER determines recessions, pointing out that its indicators are not the best tools for forward-looking precious metals investors. We mean here that the real GDP, real income, industrial production, retail sales and employment are not close to flashing red, but even when they do, the recession will already be underway.
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Friday, March 22, 2019
March 2019 Cryptocurrency Technical Analysis / Currencies / BlockChain
By: Umer_Mahmood
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Friday, March 22, 2019
Turkey Tourist Fakes Market Bargains Haggling Top Tips / / Shopping
By: HGR
If your going on holiday this year to Turkey and similar North African holiday destinations then you'l likely visit one of the bustling local open air markets with plenty of bargains to be had if your upto the haggling challenge! It's a experience in its out right and its FREE, apart from the shopping. You get to see and experience a different side of the world, markets usually full of tourists from all over the world of all types and ages, a true melting pot.
The markets sell virtually everything under the sun, food, fruit, sweets, electronics, bags, all sorts of bags, trinkets, shoes, jewellery and clothes, tons of clothes, from the mainstay for tourists t-shirt's tons and tons of t-shirts to the local traditional garments.
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Friday, March 22, 2019
Elliott Wave: Fed Follows Market Yet Again / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: EWI
By Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall
Back in December, we wrote an article titled "Interest Rates Win Again as Fed Follows Market."
In the piece, we noted that while most experts believe that central banks set interest rates, it's actually the other way around—the market leads, and the Fed follows.
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Friday, March 22, 2019
Next Recession: Finding A 48% Yield Amid The Ruins / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Dan_Amerman
In a previous analysis we examined how to create a 21% yield, as the incidental byproduct of the Fed's plans for the cyclical containment of recession.
In this analysis, we will deepen that examination and visually illustrate the financial mathematics that would create a potential 48% yield from what the Federal Reserve plans to do in the event of another recession.
This analysis is part of a series of related analyses, an overview of the rest of the series is linked here.
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Friday, March 22, 2019
Your Future Stock Returns Might Unpleasantly Surprise You / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: John_Mauldin
Every investor knows that “past performance is not indicative of future results.” Yet many embrace century-long averages as a reasonable guess for future returns.
Back in the late 1990s, we were told that the long-term average return (~10%) was a reasonable long-term assumption. Instead, the S&P 500 Index has only gained about 3% annually since 1999—just over half the historical average.
This forced Baby Boomers to work longer and harder to retire, as well as save more of their income.
Friday, March 22, 2019
Fed Acknowledges “Recession Risks”. Run for the Hills! / Forecasts / Financial Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
Today’s biggest news was that the Fed predicts no more rate hikes this year. Given that we are extremely late in this economic expansion cycle, this probably means that the Fed is also done hiking rates for this economic expansion cycle.
Of course, the news outlets and social media took this as “the Fed now acknowledges ‘recession risks’, so it’s time to run for the hills!”
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Friday, March 22, 2019
Will Bridging Loans Grow in Demand and Usage in 2019? / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
Bridging loans are often seen as commercial loans to cover a temporary funding shortfall or a delay in funding. They’re also useful for a variety of other situations like a delayed mortgage closing or buying a home at auction too.
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Thursday, March 21, 2019
Does Fed Know Something Gold Investors Do Not Know? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The Fed doubled down on its dovish stance. What card will gold play now?
Fed Remains Patient
Yesterday, the FOMC published the monetary policy statement from its latest meeting that took place on March 19-20th. In line with the expectations, the US central bank unanimously kept its interest rates unchanged. The federal funds rate remained at the target range of 2.25 to 2.50 percent:
The Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 2-1/4 to 2-1/2 percent.
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Thursday, March 21, 2019
Gold …Some Confirmations to Watch For / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Rambus_Chartology
With the UUP ( US Dollar ETF) having a fairly large decline today lets update a few charts to see how they’ve been progressing. Back in August of last year the UUP began to build out a rising wedge formation with today’s price action completing the fourth reversal point when the UUP traded down to the bottom trendline. Sometimes when a stock fails to touch the top rail in a well defined pattern like the rising wedge the UUP is showing, it can be a warning sign that the energy just isn’t there and the stock has run out of gas. To complete the rising wedge we need to see the bottom rail give way which should usher in a strong move for the PM complex and I would think commodities in general.
Thursday, March 21, 2019
The Stock Market Chart No One of CNBC Wants You to See / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Graham_Summers
In the last two months every single Fed Hawk has given up on normalization.
Every. Single. One.
Throughout 2018 Fed Chair Powell maintained that he was focused EXCLUSIVELY on normalizing Fed policy by:
1) Reducing its Balance Sheet to pre-crisis levels of ~$1 trillion, a whopping $3.5 trillion lower than the $4.5 trillion it was when Powell took the helm at the Fed.
2) Raising interest rates to the neutral rate (the rate of GDP growth/ inflation).
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Thursday, March 21, 2019
Silver Price is Cheap vs Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: readtheticker
Metal investors will be paying attention to how out of favor silver is relative to gold. And it is hard to wonder why with the well forecast boom of electric cars expected over the next 10 years. Who owns all the silver? JM Bullion has a series of charts here. Notice the stock pile held by JPM. They will do will if silver gets to $30 USD an once! Chart up to April 2017
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Thursday, March 21, 2019
Gold Price To Continue To Base Below $1320 For Weeks / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research team, at Technical Traders Ltd., believes Gold will continue to base below $1320 for at least another 3~5 weeks before setting up a momentum price base. Our research suggests general weakness in the US stock market over the next few weeks/months as a Head-n-Shoulders pattern unfolds. Interestingly enough, our research also suggests Gold may continue to base below $1320 (likely below $1300) for at least another 2~4 weeks before forming a rounded bottom type pattern as a base.
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Thursday, March 21, 2019
This Formula Will Tell You How Much You Need to Retire—and It May Be More Than You Think / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement
By: Jared_Dillian
How much money do you need to retire? Ask Google!
The first page gives you a wide range of numbers, mostly between $1 million and $2 million.
Of course, most people retire with less than that. They make it work.
Here’s my advice: stop thinking about retirement in terms of absolute numbers. It is all relative.
One of my longtime readers, Neile Wolfe, of Wells Fargo Advisors in Austin, TX has an elegant solution to the problem.
Thursday, March 21, 2019
Green New Physics / Politics / Environmental Issues
By: Raul_I_Meijer
You could probably say I’m sympathetic to the schoolchildren protesting against climate change, and I’m sympathetic to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and her call for a Green New Deal. Young people are the future, and they deserve a voice about that future. At the same time, I’m also deeply skeptical about their understanding of the issues they talk about.
In fact, I don’t see much understanding at all. I think that’s because they base their comprehension of the world they’ve been born into on information provided by the very people they’re now protesting against. Look kids, your education system sucks, it was designed by those destroying your planet, you need to shake it off and get something better.
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