Wednesday, April 03, 2019

Euro Dollar Price Bottoming Setup / Currencies / Euro

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The Euro Futures chart is highlighting recent support and our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling systems are suggesting that a current support zone may be setting up for a decent upside move to near 1.15.  Momentum has stalled to the downside after the Brexit kerfuffle.  It is our opinion that this move to near 1.125 will likely hold as support and prompt an upside price move towards the 1.15 price level.

Volatility within the ZE is normal and this type of price rotation appears to continue.  An upside bottom/base near 1.125 may prompt a larger upside price swing in the Euro Futures because it relates a “higher low” price formation following Fibonacci Price Theory.  This set would indicate that a “lower low” attempt has failed and would suggest that the Euro Futures price would now attempt a new Higher High (above 1.155).

Wednesday, April 03, 2019

Trump Readies Shake-up of Fed Banking Cartel / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MoneyMetals

Establishment journalists, establishment economists, and establishment politicians are freaking out. It seems they can’t cope with the prospect of an outspoken monetary reformer potentially becoming the next member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

President Donald Trump announced recently he would nominate longtime free-market advocate and close political ally Stephen Moore to a currently vacant seat at the Fed.

“Trump’s choice of former campaign adviser Stephen Moore to serve on the Federal Reserve Board is stirring misgivings among some bankers,” reports Politico.

“Economists are furious,” according to QZ. “The news has been met with a heady combination of derision, bafflement, and general hullaballoo, with Moore variously described as ‘a loyalist, not an expert’.”

Wednesday, April 03, 2019

Avoid This Dividend Trap That Can Cut Your Portfolio in Half / Companies / Dividends

By: John_Mauldin

By Robert Ross : In its last meeting, the Fed made it clear it would keep interests rates low for a while.

That’s good news for dividend investors.

You see, when interest rates are low, so are government bond yields.

That forces income investors to look for higher yields elsewhere. And history shows that many will flock into dividend stocks.

But in the search for higher yields, many investors fall prey to what I call the “dividend trap.”

Wednesday, April 03, 2019

Gold, Silver, Palladium, Platinum Relative Strength Ratios Hit Rare Extremes / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

It’s possible last week’s cascading selling rout in palladium ended its multi-year bull market. The formerly white-hot metal lost more than $200/oz (but is beginning to rebound).

For now, however, palladium prices remain in a long-term uptrend above the bullishly aligned 20-week and 50-week moving averages – and physical supply remains tight.

Wednesday, April 03, 2019

Cash Usage Down, Gold Correspondingly Up? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In February, the World Gold Council released the newest edition of Gold Investor. What can we learn from the report? Let’s discuss gold’s role in the onslaught of the cashless society, its role as a portfolio diversifier, reverse asset and source of liquidity.

Rogoff Wants Cashless Society, but Appreciates Gold

As a lot has happened recently, we didn’t have time to analyze the latest Gold Investor edition. Let’s do it today, starting with the cover article about Rogoff’s call for cashless society!

Wednesday, April 03, 2019

Credit-impaired Mortgage Decline, but so Have Shorter-term Interest Rates / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

The latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the number of credit-impaired residential mortgages has decreased by 261 to 590 products over the past six months. However, although choice is becoming more limited overall, the average credit-impaired two-year fixed rate mortgage has fallen by 0.13% to 4.36% since October last year while the average three-year rate has fallen by 0.30% over the same period.

Wednesday, April 03, 2019

GDX, GDXJ Gold Fundamentals Continue to Improve / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Stop me if you’ve heard this before. Precious Metals disappointed again.

The miners were leading the metals but the metals broke down from bear flag patterns and that took the miners lower, suggesting an interim top is in place.

The technicals suggest weakness could be ahead for the sector but the fundamentals are finally turning bullish.

Before we get to fundamentals, let’s look at the technicals. The weekly candle chart of GDX and GDXJ is below.

Wednesday, April 03, 2019

eBook - Three Ways To Become a Superior Trader / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Submissions

Tuesday, April 02, 2019

Waiting for the Russell 2000 to Confirm The Next Big Stock Market Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

While we have recently suggested the US stock market is poised for further upside price activity with a moderately strong upside price “bias”, our researchers continue to believe the US stock markets will not break out to the upside until the Russell 2000 breaks the current price channel, Bull Flag, formation.  Even though the US stock markets open with a gap higher this week, skilled traders must pay attention to how the Mid-Caps and the Russell 2000 are moving throughout this move.

Tuesday, April 02, 2019

Progressives in Denial as Mueller Clears Trump / Politics / US Politics

By: BATR

All the fanfare with the release of the Mueller Report three page summaries has the corporatist and defiance media in a tizzy. The deranged progressive zombies that follow every word that Rachel 'MAD' Maddow, bleeds out are wiping their own tears that the preordained narrative to bury the Trump movement is premature. Sorry, no celebration for the duped, delusional dregs in search of the most dangerous obstacle to their Marxist redistribution wonderland. The hate machine that trashes all things Trump has perfected the 'Big Lie'. Accepting all the news that is unfit to print or the social media trolls which reinforce the 'Fake News' propaganda that the enlightened leftist cable toadies read off their Teleprompters, is like overdosing on a feel good drug before the inevitable crash.

Tuesday, April 02, 2019

Why Is the Fed Paying So Much Interest to Banks? / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Ellen_Brown

“If you invest your tuppence wisely in the bank, safe and sound, Soon that tuppence safely invested in the bank will compound, And you’ll achieve that sense of conquest as your affluence expands In the hands of the directors who invest as propriety demands.” — “Mary Poppins,” 1964

When “Mary Poppins” was made into a movie in 1964, Mr. Banks’ advice to his son was sound. The banks were then paying more than 5% interest on deposits, enough to double young Michael’s investment every 14 years.

Now, however, the average savings account pays only 0.10% annually—that’s one-tenth of 1%—and many of the country’s biggest banks pay less than that. If you were to put $5,000 in a regular Bank of America savings account (paying 0.01%) today, in a year you would have collected only 50 cents in interest.

Tuesday, April 02, 2019

Inverted Yield Curve Fears Are Early / Interest-Rates / Inverted Yield Curve

By: John_Mauldin

Last week, the yield curve inverted for the first time since 2007. The yield for 10-year Treasuries fell below the yield for the 3-month T-Bill.
The inversion set off alarm bells and US stocks fell sharply. While concerns are reasoned, the alarm bells may be premature.

Inversion is an historically reliable but early recession indicator. The yield curve isn’t saying recession is imminent, although it’s likely.

Tuesday, April 02, 2019

The 3 Best ETFs to Profit from the Global Slowdown / Companies / Investing 2019

By: John_Mauldin

By Robert Ross : “We haven’t seen our sales drop this quickly since 2008.”

That’s a quote from a top sales and marketing executive at one of the largest companies in the world. I met her a couple of months ago in Argentina.

I can’t share the company name, but every one of you has bought one of their products.

Their outlook for sales is rough. In fact, she told me that they are seeing a major slowdown globally. And the economy is slowing rapidly.

This company is a perfect barometer for economic health. But you don’t have to have my contact’s word for it.

Monday, April 01, 2019

How to Invest in Artificial Intelligence Stocks to Profit from the Machine Intelligence Mega-trend / Companies / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is my latest analysis in my machine intelligence investing mega-trend series that warns to prepare for EVERYTHING to change EXPONENTIALLY when cutting edge machine intelligence surpasses average human intelligence following which it will be off to the races. When the pace of change will leave everything that has happened before far behind. And in my opinion that key date will occur sometime during 2022, i.e. in less than 4 years time! Which means if you have not already got your act together by getting onboard this investing gravy train then you really need to take action or kick yourself many years down the road, when you will be asking yourself why I did not invest in those AI stocks before they went stratospheric!

If you've not already done so then watch my following video from November 2016 which illustrates why everything will start to change exponentially by 2022.

Monday, April 01, 2019

Can Stock Market See an Encore Performance to Q1? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Mike_Paulenoff

After performance results for the record books in the first quarter of 2019, the stock market is entering a very challenging period in April.

To be sure, the success and presumed benefit from a US-China Trade Deal remains a big economic and geopolitical carrot stick for the markets in the days ahead. How much of the anticipated trade deal dividend already has been discounted by the impressive Q1 gains is anyone’s guess at this point. Certainly, both the adjustment of the Fed’s interest rate trajectory and the prospect of renewed growth once the trade dispute is resolved combined to support the market during Q1.

Monday, April 01, 2019

UK Savings Market Boosted by Islamic Banks - Top Fixed Rate Bonds / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

Savers searching for a safe home for their cash may have noticed a change in the companies offering the top deals over the past decade, not only seeing new faces of challenger banks, but also that many more market-leading positions are being held by Islamic banks.

Two sectors within the savings market to gain special attention have been the one and two-year fixed bond sectors. Indeed, the latest analysis by Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the current Best Buy deals within each of these two sectors are dominated by Islamic banks offering market-leading returns, and this has led to more competition from other brands looking to maintain a prominent position within the charts.

Monday, April 01, 2019

Stock Market Is Stunned By The Bond Rally - But It Has Higher To Go / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Avi_Gilburt

One of my members laughingly posted an article in our chatroom entitled "Riding the Bond Rally No One Saw Coming." Were you one of the many who did not see this rally coming? The point my member was trying to make was that while we were preparing for this rally since October of 2018, it seems most of the market was surprised by the rally.

Before I address how we have handled the bond market in 2018 and 2019, let me take you back through the last 3 years within the bond market.

As the bond market rallied on for decades, one analyst after another attempted to “call the top.” Yet, the bond market continued higher and higher.

Monday, April 01, 2019

Stock Market Congestion Top Forming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Is the long-term trend resuming? Is this a B-wave?  Too early to tell!

Intermediate trend –  The trend which started at 2346 appears to be decelerating and forming a top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Sunday, March 31, 2019

UK Population Growth Trend Forecast and Housing Market Consequences / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This analysis directly continues on from (UK Population Growth - Latest ONS Immigration Statistics and Consequences) which is part of a series that aims to conclude in a new multi-year trend forecast for UK house prices. But first a recap of my analysis to date that so far suggests to ignore mainstream press hysteria that warns of impending doom for Britains housing market, encouraged no less than the Government and Bank of England which warn to expect a 30% CRASH in UK house prices should the UK LEAVE the EU without a deal.

Instead my analysis so far (first made available to patrons) continues to paint a picture for UK house prices to remain on an overall upward trend trajectory.

Sunday, March 31, 2019

Warning: Central Banks CANNOT Normalize Policy… Ever / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates

By: Graham_Summers

As I have been warning for years, Central Banks CANNOT normalize the Everything Bubble they created between 2008 and 2016.

Yesterday, yet another major Central Bank confirmed that I was correct. In this particular case, it was the European Central Bank (ECB).

The ECB first cut interest rates to NEGATIVE in 2014. It then lowered them an additional three times to -0.4% in 2016.