Saturday, October 19, 2019
The Gold Stocks Correction and What Lays Ahead / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
What’s In Play Now
It has been about 2 months since the gold stock sector, as represented by the HUI index, topped out. The ensuing correction has been a whipsaw affair of ups and downs, but smoothing that volatility out we find an ongoing correction in time and price that has not been too difficult to manage.
The pattern that some would call a “complex H&S” (TA-speak for a freakish pattern with too many shoulders) held a key lower high on the recent bounce to the daily chart’s SMA 50 (blue line). The neckline has been tested (and held) twice since it was created in September and the negative RSI divergence that began last summer has been guiding Huey downward.
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Saturday, October 19, 2019
Gold during Global Monetary Ease / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
Another round of global monetary easing has just begun! More than 30 central banks around the world have cut interest rates this year so far. The Fed and the ECB are certainly among them. Should gold investors look forward to these policies playing out? Let’s find out how gold tends to behave during such an extraordinary period!
Ladies and Gentlemen! Another round of global monetary easing has just begun! More than 30 central banks around the world have cut interest rates this year amid trade wars and slowing economic growth and subdued inflation. The Fed cut the federal funds rate twice this year, each time by 25 basis point. In September, the ECB cut its deposit rate from minus 0.4 percent to minus 0.5 percent and reintroduced its quantitative easing, while the People’s Bank of China cut the reserve ratio by 50 basis point to 13 percent for large banks, the third time this year, releasing about $126 billion in liquidity to support the slowing economy. In August, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand surprised investors with 50-basis point interest rate cut. The central banks of Hong Kong, Thailand, Mexico, Turkey and Russia also have cut rates recently, while the Bank of Japan may join the club soon.
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Friday, October 18, 2019
US Treasury Bonds Pause Near Resistance Before The Next Rally / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
Our research team believes the US Treasuries and the US Dollar will continue to strengthen over the next 2 to 6+ weeks as foreign market and emerging market credit and debt concerns outweigh any concerns originating from the US economy or political theater. Overall, the major global economies will likely continue to see strength related to their currencies and debt instruments simply because the foreign market and emerging markets are dramatically more fragile than the more mature major global economies.
We believe the US Treasuries may surprise investors by rallying from current levels, near price resistance, to levels above $151 on the TLT chart.
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Friday, October 18, 2019
Federal Reserve’s New QE Transfers Wealth to Its Owner Banks / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Metals investors are positioning themselves for rapidly developing political and geopolitical events, as well as a rapidly expanding Federal Reserve balance sheet.
What started out as a limited intervention to provide temporary liquidity to overnight lending markets has morphed into a massive $60-billion-per-month Treasury-buying campaign. By some measures, it’s even bigger than the last Quantitative Easing program.
The Fed has yet to fully explain why this is all necessary given the lack of an immediate crisis in the real economy. Last week, Fed chair Jerome Powell took great pains to insist that their expanded repo market operations are “not QE” – only to announce a massive new Treasury bill buying program on Friday.
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Friday, October 18, 2019
The Biggest Housing Boom in US History Has Just Begun / Housing-Market / US Housing
Bill Brame edited Star Trek films before he took up “house flipping.”
During the housing boom, Bill was often “turning around” 14 houses at once with three crews of renovators working full time.
In 2004, he paid $400,000 for a house in Hollywood, California. A year later he flipped it for $1.2 million.
Back then, flipping houses was the most profitable side-job in America. Buy a house, fit it with a new kitchen, sell it for a big mark-up, repeat.
In 2006, one in every 10 homes was bought to flip!
Friday, October 18, 2019
British Pound Brexit Chaos GBP Trend Forecast / Currencies / British Pound
The Pound fell sharply following the announcement that Parliament would be suspended so as to enable a hard Brexit. However subsequent chaos of the Governments loss of control of Parliament with Remainer's taking control of business of the house has seen a sharp bounce in sterling which is contrary to what one would expect given extreme chaos and uncertainty.
Taking a look at the British Pound since Theresa May took office July 2016 against key Brexit events paints a different picture of what is driving the British Pound where the Brexit factor is concerned.
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Thursday, October 17, 2019
Stocks Are Preparing For a Blow Off Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
Stocks broke the all-important level of 3,000 on the S&P 500 yesterday. The market is now forming a triangle formation.
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Thursday, October 17, 2019
Stocks Don’t Care About Trump Impeachment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
“Would Trump’s impeachment crash the market?”
A reader asked me after House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced a formal impeachment inquiry into President Trump’s dealings with Ukraine.
A lot of people have a vague sense that impeaching Trump is bad for stocks. Political chaos means stocks go down, right?
Well, no—not necessarily. If history is any guide, fundamentals and not politics drive the stock market.
Thursday, October 17, 2019
Currencies Show A Shift to Safety And Maturity – What Does It Mean? / Currencies / Forex Trading
Recent rotation in multiple foreign currencies hints at the fact that a new stage of the “Capital Shift” process is taking place and that skilled technical investors need to pay very close attention to how these currencies continue to react over the next 3 to 6+ months. In the recent past, most of the world’s foreign currencies were declining in value while the US Dollar continued to strengthen. In fact, we authored many research articles about these trends and how weakness in foreign currencies will drive new foreign investment into the US stock markets for two simple reasons; strength and security.
Now that a few of the world’s most mature economies, and some that may surprise you, are starting to change directions, we may be beginning a new stage of the “capital shift” process that may open up multiple new opportunities for skilled technical traders. As the old saying goes, “follow the money”. At this point, if our research team is correct about these price trend changes, following the money may mean opening our eyes to new investment opportunities across the Pacific and Atlantic – as well as very near to the US.
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Thursday, October 17, 2019
Stock Market Future Projected Cycles / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
I mentioned this already so just ignore if you are not interested, but just a reminder that you registered to get my weekly free analysis, you have likely read my articles or watched the analysis videos which we have been nailing nearly every market move this year, but for some reason, you stopped?
Why did you stop? This is IT! This is the ONE THING…that SINGLE trading and investment newsletter that’s going to turn into the greatest decision you’ve ever made.
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Thursday, October 17, 2019
Signs Still Point To Lower Levels In Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
Originally published on Sat Oct 12 for our ElliottWaveTrader members: While we have been tracking the metals market for the next rally set-up, we have seen some signs that the market may attempt to begin that rally sooner rather than later. However, I have to be honest in noting that I am seeing more signs that lower levels may still be struck before we are ready for that rally.
So, as I have been saying for the last few weeks, I am going to still treat the market as likely needing more of a corrective downside structure before we begin the next rally phase – until the market is able to prove otherwise.
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Thursday, October 17, 2019
Weekly SPX & Gold Price Cycle Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
Today I want to talk to you about the SP500 because it’s on the verge of making a very significant move. We could experience a 15% rally or a 15% decline and it could be just around the corner.
Let me recap on both the short-term top this month, and then a look at the bigger picture of what happened last October through December and if we are going to see that happen again. There is the possibility we get a massive rally if the market breaks to new highs. The market is loaded and ready for action. Whichever way it breaks will have a strong impact on precious metals and bonds. Make sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter.
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Thursday, October 17, 2019
What Makes United Markets Capital Different From Other Online Brokers? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
In recent times, there seems to be a strategic shift from the small shady market environment to a more controlled and fully developed ecosystem. One company that is doing so well, especially with the continuous growth in the independent broker market generally is United Markets Capital. United Markets Capital is a fast-growing online broker that has been under the radar for some time now. People seem to want to find out what makes the company different from other online brokers out there. David Goldberg, the co-CEO of the company, answers this question in details in a recent interview he granted.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 16, 2019
Stock Market Dow Long-term Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
Long-term Trend Analysis
The past 2 years have seen repeated failures to decisively breakout to new highs resolving in significant corrections. Last year's failure resolved in a major downtrend from 27k to 21.7k. Are we in for a similar fate this year?
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Wednesday, October 16, 2019
This Is Not a Money Printing Press / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Rene Magritte's 1929 painting "The Treachery of Images," depicts a tobacco pipe with a caption that reads "Ceci n'est pas une pipe," (French for "This is not a pipe"). Everyone who has taken a course in modern art knows that Magritte's exercise in contradiction was meant to draw a distinction between a real thing and a representation of that thing. Perhaps we should send Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell a beret and an easel as he is attempting a similarly surrealistic take on monetary policy.
Early last week, the Chairman announced a new, as yet unnamed, Fed program through which the bank will now buy regular amounts of short-term U.S. government debt. Seeking to counter the rumblings that a new form of quantitative easing would be seen as an admission that the economy may be in trouble, Chairman Powell asserted during the annual meeting of NABE on October 8, "This is not QE. In no sense is this QE". In other words, "Ceci n'est pas QE."
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Wednesday, October 16, 2019
Online Casino Operator LeoVegas is Optimistic about the Future / Companies / Gambling
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Wednesday, October 16, 2019
Stock Market Dow Elliott Wave Analysis Forecast - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
ELLIOTT WAVES
My analysis of Feb 2019 concluded in expectations for a 5 wave bull run during 2019 targeting new all time highs of around 28k.
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Wednesday, October 16, 2019
$100 Silver Has Come And Gone / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
In January 1980, the price of silver peaked at just under $50.00 per ounce. From its low in October 1971 at $1.27, silver had risen thirty-nine fold in little more than eight years.
There was talk about higher silver prices, as much as $100.00 per ounce and more. Yet, only a few months later, silver was down to $10.00 per ounce. That amounted to a decline of nearly eighty percent from its peak.
Silver bulls were not deterred, however. They continued to stress the “fundamentals” which would lead to higher silver prices, but their dreams turned into nightmares. The price of silver continued to fall.
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Wednesday, October 16, 2019
Stock Market Roll Over Risk to New highs in S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
As global risks continue to rise and collect, equity markets rise as wave of bond market flows lift the risk markets globally. As the old saying goes, buy equities when there is blood on the streets. With Turkey fighting in Syria, risks are tilted to the downside for equity markets.
we remain in a fragile period where the possibility of a phased trade deal may not be enough to bring buyers into the markets. With earnings season due to start next week, anxious investors will soon have even more to worry about.
We analyse some charts and key fundamental data points.
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Wednesday, October 16, 2019
Where Next for Oil After Its Double Reversal? / Commodities / Crude Oil
Crude oil bounced from its yesterday’s lows, and the oil bulls rebuffed another attempt to move lower earlier today. Does that mean that the upswing can continue now, or a cautious approach would win the day?
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