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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

ElectionOracle

Thursday, October 10, 2019

Who’s Eyeing Up 2020? Warren or Sanford? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Rodney_Johnson

In a recent interview with MSNBC, Representative Adam Schiff (D-CA) said that his House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence had no knowledge of the UkraineGate whistleblower claim before notification from the Inspector General.

That statement was eventually proven false. As the first whistleblower approached staffers for Schiff’s committee before going to the IG. For the falsehood, the Washington Post awarded Schiff “four Pinocchios.”

Although, as my Millennial kids would tell me, if we’re counting falsehoods, the Washington Post would probably award Trump “all the Pinocchios.”
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Commodities

Thursday, October 10, 2019

3 Tips for Picking Junior Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

As the correction in gold stocks continues and as it’s likely to endure for the time being, we take a step back and share some tips for selecting individual junior gold companies.

The current correction may provide the last chance to buy before the bull market in Gold is confirmed and capital pours into the junior sector and pushes up prices.

Here are three of our best tips to help you spot the big winners before the crowd.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 10, 2019

How Does Inflation Affect Exchange Rates? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submissions

Consumers are always worrying about the rising cost of basic needs, products, and services. Whether we like it or not, the global economy affects all of us.

When we hear the word inflation, we often think about the increase in the prices of the things we buy. But how important is it to understand inflation and the factors that influence it?

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Commodities

Thursday, October 10, 2019

Employment Data, Rate Cut Speculations and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

If you look at the manufacturing data only, the relative strength of the jobs figures surprised. Another positive development were the upward revisions for August and July. The unemployment rate again dropped, this time to 3.5 percent. What will that mean for the Fed and gold?

September Payrolls Slow Down, but Unemployment Rate Drops Anyway

The U.S. created only 136,000 jobs in September, following an increase of 168,000 in August (after an upward revision). The nonfarm payrolls were short of the analysts’ forecast of 150,000. The gains were widespread, spearheaded by education and health services (+40,000) and professional and business services (+34,000). Manufacturing, which is in recession, and retail trade, which faces overcapacity, cut jobs.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 10, 2019

Monetary Madness Puts U.S. Dollars Holders in Jeopardy / Currencies / US Dollar

By: MoneyMetals

We’re in uncharted territory. Never before have U.S. fiscal and monetary policy been leveraged so heavily to boost an economy that wasn’t even in recession.

Something will break – and it could be the value of U.S. currency. The Federal Reserve Note now faces devaluation pressures on multiple fronts.

With the federal government running a trillion-dollar budget deficit and an election year approaching, fiscal restraint is a dead letter in Washington, D.C. Politicians are fighting over who can promise to borrow and spend the most.

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Companies

Thursday, October 10, 2019

This Is the Best Time to Load Up on These 3 Value Stocks / Companies / Investing 2019

By: Robert_Ross

Have you checked the returns on your dividend-paying stocks lately?

If so, you should like what you see.

See, most value stocks also pay dividends. And value stocks have been on an incredible run over the last month. They’ve outperformed growth stocks by 9%, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

This isn’t normal. Value stocks haven’t outpaced growth stocks by this wide of a margin since 2010. And this is probably just the start.

Once they break ahead like this, value stocks usually outperform growth stocks for another nine months. This pattern has held up around 75% of the time since 1986.

Those are pretty good odds, making now the perfect time to load up on value stocks. Three in particular…

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Commodities

Thursday, October 10, 2019

What Makes this Gold Market Rally Different From All Others / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Michael_J_Kosares

1.  It is led by institutions and funds, not private investors. Global quantitative easing created a huge and mobile pool of capital in constant need of a place to call home. As the need for a safe haven became apparent among the stewards of that capital, the demand for gold flourished. The consistent presence of funds and institutions as buyers in this rally, as represented by the growth in ETF stockpiles, is one of its hallmarks and represents one of the major differences between this gold rally and rallies of the past. Though private investors have been late to the game, the rapid development of the physical market for gold coins and bullion in the United Kingdom is testament to the fact that sentiment can change quickly.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 09, 2019

Stock Market US Presidential Cycle  / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The US Presidential cycle pattern has continued to prove REMARKABLY ACCURATE in terms of flagging future stock market price action as the charts over the past 15 months illustrate, where the basic pattern for the US Presidential cycle is for a strong election year and post election year, followed by weak Mid-term then a strong pre-election year. 

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 09, 2019

The IPO Market Is Nowhere Near a Bubble / Stock-Markets / IPOs

By: John_Mauldin

Justin Spittler : Who remembers Pets.com?

It launched one of the world’s first online pet stores. It never did sell many dog collars or cat treats. But its witty branding made it a cultural phenomenon in America.

Maybe you remember its goofy mascot from the late 1990s.

The dog sock puppet appeared on Good Morning America. He floated down the streets of New York City during the 1999 Thanksgiving Day Parade. He even got on TV during Super Bowl XXXIV. 
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Commodities

Wednesday, October 09, 2019

Is Bill Gates Right On Energy Investing? / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: OilPrice_Com

Not long ago, Bill Gates offered some investment advice. That, in itself, constitutes news, but the content and the reactions make up a more interesting story.

Gates told the Financial Times, in essence, that investors who want to do something about climate change should stop making up lists of companies they do not want in their portfolios based on involvement in fossil fuel production or use. They should, instead, invest in disruptive technologies that will provide actual solutions to climate change.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 09, 2019

US Stock Markets Trade Sideways – Waiting on News/Guidance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our researchers believe the global concerns centered around Banking and Debt within the Emerging Markets and Asia/Europe are very likely to become major issues over the next 3+ months.  These potentially dangerous issues could have far-reaching pricing ramifications for almost all of the world’s financial markets.  This weekend, we received first-hand information from an associate in Hong Kong about banks limiting ATM withdrawals and very limited transportation services.  Our source stated the biggest issue was the lack of transportation right now.

We also followed the news of the Bank collapse in India this weekend and the aftermath for Indian banking customers – PMC Bank

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ConsumerWatch

Wednesday, October 09, 2019

Amazon Selling Fake Hard Drives - 4tb WD Blue - How to Check Your Drive is Genuine / ConsumerWatch / Amazon

By: HGR

This video was supposed to be a review of a 4tb WD Blue drive bought from Amazon for £95. However, that's not how things turned out during the course of the review when it become apparent that the drive was a FAKE, a cheaper drive that had a WD Blue stuck onto it.

So watch this video for the necessary checks to perform on ALL New hard drives to ensure that your not unwittingly buying and using a FAKE Hard drive, and thus putting your valuable data at risk.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 09, 2019

Whatever Happened to Philippines Debt Slavery?  / Interest-Rates / Phillippines

By: Dan_Steinbock

In early 2017, a Forbes contributor claimed President Duterte will bankrupt the Philippines economy in five years. Half of the period is gone. Will the country default in 2022?

In May 2017, Forbes released a column, which claimed that “New Philippine Debt of $167 Billion Could Balloon To $452 Billion: China Will Benefit.” It was written by Anders Corr, who was portrayed as an independent geopolitical risk analyst. He predicted that the Philippines would be in debt slavery at the end of the Duterte era.

Now that half of that prediction period has passed, let’s see whether Corr was right.
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Commodities

Wednesday, October 09, 2019

USO United States Oil Fund Longer Term Cycles & Elliott Wave / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ElliottWaveForecast

Firstly the USO instrument inception date was 4/10/2006. CL_F Crude Oil put in an all time high at 147.27 in July 2008. USO put in an all time high at 119.17 in July 2008 noted on the monthly chart. The decline from there into the February 2009 lows was in three swings. An a-b-c in red although it was a very steep pullback.

The bounce from the 2009 lows is a complex double three combination with a triangle “y”. This is w-x-y in red to end the blue wave (x). In either a bullish or bearish market this particular structure always makes a high or low in the initial wave “w”. Structures like this will be followed by a contracting or running triangle. In this case the structure ended in June 2014. The decline from those highs were very sharp again. However, this was in three swings again a-b-c in red to end the blue wave (y). This completed a three swing correction  (w)-(x)-(y) in blue from the July 2008 highs. That is labeled ((b)) in black at the February 2016 lows.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 09, 2019

Gold in the Negative Real Interest Rates Environment / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Many believe that negative interest rates will never arrive to the United States. This can’t possibly happen here. The discussions of their theoretical benefits almost remind you of the not-in-my-backyard mentality. But this is not true – they are already present in America. Hard to believe it? Hiding in plain sight, let’s take it a step further and look at gold in the negative real interest rates environment.

Many people believe that negative interest rates are the ailment of Europe and Japan, and that they will never materialize in the United States. But this is not true. They are already present in America. Can’t believe it? Please take a look at the chart below.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 09, 2019

The Later United States Empire / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Richard_Mills

In 1917, the United States created the federal debt limit (or ceiling) to make it easier to finance World War One, essentially allowing Congress to borrow money to pay for the war effort by issuing bonds. 

By 1939 with World War Two looming, Congress passed the first aggregate debt limit, but it meant little. For nearly 60 more years the debt ceiling caused nary a ripple, until 2011 when Congress delayed approval of the annual budget, nearly causing a government shutdown. Then a minority in the House of Representatives, Republicans balked at the $1.3 trillion deficit, the third largest in history, so Democrats suggested a $1.7 billion cut in defense spending, since the war in Iraq was winding down. The GOP wouldn’t agree to that, instead offering $61 billion in non-defense cuts including Obamacare. Finally the two sides agreed on $81 billion worth of cuts. 

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 08, 2019

Is There Life Left In Cannabis / Commodities / Cannabis

By: Joshua_Rodriguez

...

 


ElectionOracle

Tuesday, October 08, 2019

Elizabeth Warren Charts Wealth-Raiding Warpath to the White House / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Despite the gravity of an impeachment inquiry that threatens to bring down the presidency of Donald J. Trump, markets have largely shrugged it off.

The reason? Odds of a two-thirds majority in the Republican-controlled Senate voting to remove Trump from office are slim.

What has Wall Street more concerned are the rising odds of Elizabeth Warren becoming the Democrat nominee for president. Her surge (and Joe Biden’s weakness) in the polls may have even contributed to some of last week’s stock market volatility.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 08, 2019

Gold It’s All About Real Interest Rates Not the US Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Michael_Pento

The Federal Reserve’s recent need to supply $100’s of billions in new credit for the overnight repo market underscores the condition of dollar scarcity in the global financial system. This dearth of dollars and its concomitant strength has left most market watchers baffled.

Since 2008, the Fed has printed $3.8 trillion (with a “T”) of new dollars in an effort to weaken the currency and boost asset prices--one would then think the world should now be awash in dollar liquidity. Yet, surprisingly, there is still an insatiable demand for the greenback, leading many to wonder what is causing its strength.  And importantly for precious metals investors, there is a need to understand why this dreaded dollar strength has not served to undermine the bull market for gold.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 08, 2019

A Trump Impeachment Would Cause The Stock Market To Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Avi_Gilburt

As the media highlights the potential impeachment process in the coming weeks, many are so concerned that this will be the “cause” of the market drop we are expecting. Yet, history suggests otherwise.

The narrative will certainly play out as follows: The market likes certainty and stability within our government. (Please ignore that this was the same reason many claimed that the market was going to crash if Trump was elected – yet we were pounding the table in expectations of a large rally). However, an impeachment proceeding places us into a very uncertain and unstable situation within our government. Therefore, the market will react negatively to that uncertainty.

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