Saturday, July 25, 2015
Immigrants Aren’t the Only Ones Who Shouldn’t Be Voting / Politics / Social Issues
Ryan McMaken writes: Much of the current immigration debate in the United States centers around the issue of “amnesty,” which is a vague term that may mean anything from “we won’t deport you” to “let’s fast-track you to citizenship and voting rights.”
From a laissez-faire perspective, the deportation aspect of amnesty — an increase in federal inaction — is one thing. The extension of voting privileges, though, is something else entirely.
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Saturday, July 25, 2015
Central Banks and Our Dysfunctional Gold Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Marcia Christoff-Kurapovna writes: Many investors still view gold as a safe-haven investment, but there remains much confusion regarding the extent to which the gold market is vulnerable to manipulation through short-term rigged market trades, and long-arm central bank interventions. First, it remains unclear whether or not much of the gold that is being sold as shares and in certificates actually exists. Second, paper gold can theoretically be printed into infinity just like regular currency — although private-sector paper-gold sellers have considerably less leeway in this regard than central banks. Third, new electronic gold pricing — replacing, as of this past February, the traditional five-bank phone-call of the London Gold Fix in place since 1919 — has not necessarily proved a more trustworthy model. Fourth, there looms the specter of the central bank, particularly in the form of volume trading discounts that commodity exchanges offer them.
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Saturday, July 25, 2015
Gold And Silver - The US Dollar Does Not Exist, Part II / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Truth does not exist in the world of politics.
It is reasons such as these, below, that drives the importance of owning and holding physical silver and gold. The fundamental reasons everyone already knows exists but do not apply are important, but the power of the elites to rule over all [at least Western] governments, write the laws, deceive everyone, and now with the evidence of how much influence the bankers can exert over the manipulation of PM prices, is why you need to protect yourself from the evil nature of their control.
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Saturday, July 25, 2015
How Wall Street Put Apple Stock in Animal House / Companies / Apple
MoneyMorning.com Michael A. Robinson writes:I bet you don’t know about the connection between tech investing and that 1978 comedy classic Animal House.
It has something to do with the very recent history of Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL) stock.
And for investors like you, there’s a very powerful lesson to be learned.
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Saturday, July 25, 2015
Corporate Earnings No Help.... Stock Market Breadth On The Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last night we saw a strong move higher out of Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), everyone's favorite, all-time froth stock. They reported earnings. Yes, it can happen. The stock blasted higher, and so did the futures, but that wasn't the only reason the stock futures shot up. There were other solid reports wrapped around one bad report from TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP). Visa Inc. (V), Starbucks Corporation (SBUX), and others were great, so the combination of good reports had the Nasdaq futures exploding higher by nearly fifty points. Everything was set up to reverse the recent move lower on the indexes off the top. The futures held somewhat overnight, but started to give it up some when biotechnology leader, Biogen Inc. (BIIB), came in with a dud for their report on earnings.
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Friday, July 24, 2015
How to Trade Markets Using the Stochastic Oscillator - Video / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
A lesson from EWI's Jeffrey Kennedy
The stochastic oscillator is a technical tool that was popularized by George Lane. It is a momentum indicator based on the idea that in an uptrending market the close tends to be near the high of the price bar, and in a downtrending market the close tends to be near the low of the price bar.
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Friday, July 24, 2015
Don’t Be Fooled by the “Quiet Season” for Biotech Stocks / Companies / BioTech
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: My favorite time to work is on weekend mornings before the rest of the house gets up.
I wake up, quietly go down the stairs and turn on the computer. While I’m waiting for it to boot up, I enjoy the peaceful scenery of the marsh outside my living room window. There are always amazing birds out there like sandhill cranes and egrets that are just a few feet from my window.
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Friday, July 24, 2015
A Bond Market Crisis Is Coming... Here's What to Do / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
Dr. David Eifrig writes: Wall Street is already sending warning signals about the next financial cataclysm. Analysts are using phrases like "liquidity crunch" and "crisis situation."
It could happen next week... or next month...
Predicting exactly how a crisis will happen is difficult. Predicting exactly when is impossible.
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Friday, July 24, 2015
Why There's Resistance to the Iran Nuclear Deal / Politics / Iran
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: Years ago, when I was doing monthly analysis on Iran's oil and gas industry, one of the biggest quandaries was trying to make market sense out of what came from the leadership in Tehran.
Well, the past 72 hours and the July 14 Iran nuclear deal have brought me back to those days.
Back then, it was not unusual for Iran's religious and political heads to shoot themselves in the foot economically every time they opened their mouths on policy matters. And Iran remains one of the most convoluted webs of power relationships and brokerages anywhere.
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Friday, July 24, 2015
Does Jewelry or Central Bank Demand Drive the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
We have already shown that neither mining production, nor technological demand drives gold prices, since gold – thanks to its uniquely high stock-to-flows – resembles an asset rather than commodity. Before we look at the drivers of gold investment demand, we have to analyze the role of jewelry demand and central bank buying in the gold price formation. These two categories are often considered as important drivers for the gold price, but are they really?Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 24, 2015
Absurd Gold Stock Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Gold stocks suffered a full-blown panic this past week! This exceedingly-rare magnitude of selloff was triggered by extreme futures shorting intentionally executed to force a flash crash in gold. After gold’s major multi-year support failed in this Machiavellian onslaught, gold stocks plummeted. The levels of fear were so epic that this entire sector was slammed much deeper into fundamentally-absurd price territory.
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Friday, July 24, 2015
Not Your Father’s Inflation / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015
“Profound ignorance masquerading as wisdom - all the worse from the mouths of the prestigious, the PhD, the Nobel Prize winner….” - UnknownIt’s time to revisit British economist Peter Warburton’s April 2001 classic tome “The debasement of world currency: It’s inflation but not as we know it“.
Our friend from GATA, Ed Steer brought it to attention once again.
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Friday, July 24, 2015
Gold Mining Stocks Nearing Rebound / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Recently we've been writing about the downside potential in precious metals and the danger for precious metals bulls. The gold miners and Silver have led the rout while Gold finally cracked support ($1140-$1150/oz) last week. That led to a severe selloff across the complex. As we pen this on Thursday evening it appears Friday could be a nasty day if Gold breaks below $1080/oz. Nevertheless, the odds now favor a rebound in the weeks ahead and especially in the gold miners.
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Friday, July 24, 2015
Gold Stock Carnage Continues Unabated / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
There is still no sign of any serious buying occurring in the gold mining sector. The HUI continues to plummet lower and has fallen to levels last seen in October and November of 2002! This is simply astonishing for its ferocity.
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Friday, July 24, 2015
Misperceptions Create Significant Bond Market Value / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
In today’s Outside the Box, my good friend Lacy Hunt of Hoisington Investment Management reminds us that since the 1990-91 recession, the 30-year Treasury bond yield has dropped from 9% to 3%, a downward move nearly identical to the decline in the rate of inflation, which fell from just over 6% in 1990 to 0% today. Therefore, Lacy says, “(I)t was the backdrop of shifting inflationary circumstances that once again determined the trend in long-term Treasury bond yields.”
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Friday, July 24, 2015
Commodities Distressed Investing / Commodities / Investing 2015
When most people think of distressed investing, they think of buying CCC-rated bonds at 20 or 30 cents on the dollar, then maybe sitting in bankruptcy court to divvy up the capital structure, making healthy risk-adjusted returns in the end. You just need to hire a few lawyers.
Distressed investors are a different breed of cat. It’s one of those countercyclical businesses, like repo men, who do well when everyone else is getting hammered.
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Friday, July 24, 2015
What Blows Up Next? Part 1: Resource-Based Economies / Economics / Brazil
MoneyMorning.com The Great Recession and its aftermath was actually the best of times for countries with natural resources to sell. The US, Europe and Japan ran record deficits and cut interest rates to zero or thereabouts, sending hot money pouring into mining and energy projects around the world, while China borrowed (as it turned out) $15 trillion for an epic infrastructure build-out.
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Friday, July 24, 2015
OPEC Shorts Are Driving Down the Crude Oil Price / Commodities / Crude Oil
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: The conflict between OPEC and U.S. shale/tight oil producers has entered a new phase. And the result has been an accelerated decline in oil prices.
Last November (on Thanksgiving no less), Saudi Arabia led an OPEC decision to hold production stable, followed by a later significant increase in volume. For the first time, the cartel had opted to protect market share rather than price.
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Friday, July 24, 2015
USD Index Rebounds / Currencies / US Dollar
Earlier today, the U.S. Department of Labor showed that the initial jobless claims in the week ending July 18 dropped by 26,000 to 255,000, beating analysts' expectations for a 1,000 drop. In this environment, the USD Index bounced off session's lows and came back above 97. What impact did this move have on the euro, pound and Swiss franc?
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Friday, July 24, 2015
If You’re Worried About a Tech Bubble, You’re Focusing on the Wrong Thing / Companies / Tech Stocks
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Google Inc. (Nasdaq: GOOGL) made major headlines Friday when an upbeat “read” of the search giant’s earnings report ignited a 16% surge in the company’s stock price.
That single-session bump added a whopping $65 billion to Google’s market value. And this came just one day after shares of Netflix Inc. (Nasdaq: NFLX) – another tech darling – zoomed 18%.
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