Thursday, February 04, 2016
Currency Wars and a Job Gain Recession? / Economics / Currency War
By: Mike_Shedlock
I am entertaining the notion of a "Job Gain Recession".
A chart of year-over-year nonfarm employment shows that's nearly what happened in the 1970 and 1980 recessions.
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Thursday, February 04, 2016
Gold Prices Rise To 3 Month High As Investors Sell Risky Assets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Gold prices have continued to eke out further gains today. The very poor ISM data yesterday saw the dollar fall against all major currencies and particularly gold.
Bullion is seeing safe haven flows and gains due to increased concerns about the economic outlook. The narrative that the US economy is in recovery is coming into doubt. The weaker than expected ISM data showed a sharp slowdown in the services sector in the U.S. in January.
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Thursday, February 04, 2016
TPP is Economic Warfare, Trade Can Make Everyone Worse Off / Governments are Stupid / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Dylan_Waller
Professor Yoram Baumun’s comedic retake of the Principles of Economics appropriately translates “Trade can make everyone better off” to “Trade can make everyone worse off.” Moreover, he translates “Market are usually a good way to organize economic activity” to “Governments are Stupid”.
Thursday, February 04, 2016
Gold and Stock Markets Inflection Points Galore / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Rambus_Chartology
There is alot of action going on this week in all the different areas of the markets. The PM complex has been rallying, the US dollar tanking today and the stock markets trying to make up their mind which way they want to go in the short term. I have a ton of work to do on the side bar where all the trades are listed so I'm going to show you what I would like to see happen in regards to the HUI, gold and silver.
If the PM complex is bottoming in here it has to show us its hand. There is no way around it. Usually when a bottom or top is formed the first move out of the reversal pattern, after a possible backtest, should be very strong or impulsive in nature. The bigger and stronger the move is the better. Below is a weekly chart for the HUI with few annotations on it so you can see the clean picture. Most of the time you will either see some type of H&S reversal pattern or double top or bottom reversal pattern.
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Thursday, February 04, 2016
Putin Cries Dyadya (Uncle), Is Saudi Arabia Listening? / Commodities / Russia
By: OilPrice_Com
In recent days, signs of a possible breakthrough in the year-long stand-off between Russia and Saudi Arabia on crude production strategy have emerged. Saudi Arabia, OPEC's dominant member, has long insisted OPEC (read Saudi Arabia) would not reduce output to balance supply and demand absent corresponding cuts from non-OPEC members (read Russia), while Russia has consistently insisted harsh climactic conditions prevent Russian producers from reducing output and in any case Russia insists it could withstand low prices as well as any other country.
Thursday, February 04, 2016
Gold Price Golden Bottom? Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Savage
In today's video I’m going to cover stocks, currencies, oil and gold. This would normally be the nightly report on the premium website, but I’m going to make it public so everyone can get a taste for what is included in the premium reports.
Thursday, February 04, 2016
Look North for Value-Priced Growth in Healthcare Biotech Stocks / Companies / BioTech
By: TLSReport
Canada is a wellspring for natural resources and the industries built around them. But the country also encompasses healthcare-related businesses that are growing, generating cash flow and flourishing. Bruce Campbell of StoneCastle Investment Management has managed both U.S. and Canadian portfolios, and he knows both spheres. As a hedge fund and mutual fund manager concentrating on Canadian companies, he has made a specialty in acquisitions of cash-generating healthcare companies. In this interview with The Life Sciences Report, Campbell discusses seven small-cap growth names, all of which have reached share-price levels that do not reflect their capacity to grow. Some may offer rare opportunities to buy at risk-mitigated value prices.
Thursday, February 04, 2016
BrExit EU Referendum - Britain's FINAL Chance for Freedom From Emerging European Superstate / Politics / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Britain's Prime Minister, David Cameron emerged on Tuesday waving a piece of paper 'Chamberlain' style of a 'draft' deal that follows several months of negotiations that had the PM running around Europe begging the likes of Donald Tusk (former Polish Prime Minister) and former eastern block nations for some return of sovereignty to Britain. A piece of paper that whilst heavy on number of pages but is light on substance of anything that comes even close to matching the Conservative Manifesto pledges of a series of supposed red lines ahead of Britain's EU In / Out referendum.
Thursday, February 04, 2016
HUI Now Confirming Gold Price Move Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Dan_Norcini
The comatose mining stocks finally came to life today and showed signs of some determined buying, something that has been missing in the recent leg higher in the gold market.
From a technical analysis perspective, the fact that they were able not only to breach that stubborn band of resistance near 125 which has kept them in check, but also managed to soar through the mid-July 2015 low near 128 is very impressive.
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Thursday, February 04, 2016
Stock Market Sentiment Still Showing Fear... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The bear market almost took another turn down today as the S&P 500 threatened to blow through the last gap up at 1869, but after coming within three points the bulls kicked it in to high gear and blasted the market higher. There have been quite a few tests of this last gap up on the S&P 500 that remains open, but the bulls have taken over the market once the bears get close. The move down off the top needs more unwinding upward on those MACD's, before trying lower over time allowing for an eventual test of 1812, but that will take quite a bit of time from here. The MACD's over the past two days showed no inclination to trend lower as price-dove down on those key, daily index charts. I don't know that the MACD's have to get back to zero, but they are still quite compressed lower, thus, more up time seems right, even if it's nothing on the dramatic side of the ledger. It is possible for the S&P 500 to still get to the 50-day, exponential moving average at 1970, while the Nasdaq lags, but clears the 20's, and falls short of the 50's.
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Thursday, February 04, 2016
This Is Really Bad For Banks / Companies / Credit Crisis 2016
By: John_Rubino
Once upon a time, falling interest rates were great for banks. A lower cost of capital gave lenders access to cheap raw material while causing borrowers to clamber for what banks were selling. Large profits usually ensued.
Thursday, February 04, 2016
Crude Oil Price Forecast 2016 As Good As It Gets / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Joseph_Russo
In observing the enormous triple digit percentage gains achieved amid Crude Oil's northward thrusts versus its debilitating double digit losses during its major spills, it becomes rather clear why market participants prefer buying low in a newly forming bull market vs. selling short at the onset of a bear market.
On a relative basis, in the not too distant future, a cyclical bottom will form and the long-term trend in Crude will reverse to the upside - providing bullish speculators with yet another rare opportunity at the chance of humongous triple digit upside returns.
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Thursday, February 04, 2016
A Giga Breakout In A Mid-Sized Gold Miner / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: InvestingHaven
Gold has broken through its important resistance point at $1,130 USD/oz. That is an important price point, as it coincides with gold’s 200 day moving average and the midpoint in the trend channel that started in July of 2013 (see first chart).
We have published our gold price chart several times, but it remains a spot-on chart. Below is the latest version. As clearly seen, major resistance kicks in around $1,210 USD/oz, which is 6.1% above today’s closing price. If gold manages to break through that level, we believe a major trend change would be underway.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Gold and Silver More 'Flight To Safety' Active February / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jesse
Gold showed some strength today in an add on to the flight to safety trade, even though there was a midday hit on price that was pure antics. The dollar moved lower and silver wallowed.
I posted an update to the NAV of Precious Metals Funds and Trusts today. Sprott has successfully absorbed the Central Gold Trust. It raised some cash and added substantially to their bullion and shares under management, so its a good deal for them. Let's see if time shows if it is a good deal for the trust unit holders.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Raytheon Company: A Defensive Stock for a Defensive Market / Companies / Investing 2016
By: Sol_Palha
Company Background
Raytheon Company, together with its subsidiaries, is a technology Company that specializes in defense and other Government markets.
Wednesday, February 03, 2016
The Dethroning of Cash: Discouraged, Penalized, Even Banned? / Stock-Markets / War on Cash
By: MoneyMetals
Stefan Gleason writes: Stock market gyrations and deteriorating global economic conditions in the early goings of 2016 sent investors fleeing for safety. Or at least what is commonly thought to be safety.
Many in the financial media are now trotting out the bromide that “cash is king.” A sampling of recent headlines illustrates how pervasive the thinking is:
- “Cash Is King as China Sparks Market Turmoil” (MarketWatch, January 20, 2016)
- “Cash Is King in Times Like These” (Toronto Star, January 15, 2016)
- “Cash Is King as Europe Adapts to Negative Interest Rates” (Bloomberg, January 26, 2016)
- “Cash Is King as Disunity Reigns Within G20” (Barron's, February 1, 201)
Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Here’s How You Can End Up Losing All Your Money In The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
If you want to increase your wealth and make more money, you want to consider stock investments. This is quite obvious but there is no real guarantee that you are going to succeed. The statement is true even in the event that you use a perfect strategy. Unfortunately, problems happen. The real problem is that many do not actually know why they lose money. If you find yourself in such a situation and your friends figure out that they shouldn’t loan you more money to invest, consider the following mistakes.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Is Silver Really a Weak Link / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Submissions
Robert Alexander writes: I am not what many consider to be a Perma Gold Bull, but I do expect a 3rd phase of the 2000 Gold run to take place and end in a spectacular blow off top phase. That being the case, I also watch intently when we get these bear market lows for signs of a bigger picture change. Lately I am hearing that “Silver is weak”. “Silver cant get out of its own way. It is setting up to plunge now.” I’ve been discussing these lows and successfully trading them for weeks now. Is that the way I see current conditions? Is Silver really the weak link? Not the way I look at things. To the charts…
Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Gold to Beat Stocks 2016? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Axel_Merk
"Stocks beat gold in the long run!" is a 'rallying cry' to buy stocks we have heard lately that gets me riled up. It’s upsetting to me for two reasons: first, an out of context comparison, in my opinion, misguides investors. It might be the wrong assertion in the short to medium term.
Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Stock Market Seasonality Is Out of Season / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Chris_Vermeulen
A “rally” attempt is underway. Stocks are continuing to rebound and all is well with the World? Or is it? With each passing day, the United States plummets deeper and deeper into a “black hole” of debt, of which it will be almost impossible to repay. At the time, of this writing the national debt is $18,939,663,109,937!
To put this into perspective, the national debt is so bad that if every citizen (including children) were to help pay it off, each one of us would have to contribute $58,652.00.
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