Monday, January 25, 2016

Leading indicator “Bonds” Suggests More Time before Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Every crash was preceded with the 10 year minus the 3 month Bond Yields dropping towards the zero line. Although the equity markets have crashed, the bond markets are still not displaying any signs of panic. This tells us the market must continue to fall until the percent return is around the zero mark.

Thinking of this logically, it makes sense. Investors when scare start moving more and more of their capital in to safer investments, like bonds. Eventually there is a change in this perception, which occurs when bonds are not paying anything in return. That is when investors say enough is enough, and start taking risk and start moving back into the stock market.

Monday, January 25, 2016

Counter Trend Rally in a Stocks Bear Market, GDX Low Near? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

January 20th may have been an important intermediate bottom in the stock market, but the bear market is still growling. January 20th was exactly 100 trading days from the August 24th low. The 100 trading low has a variance of 15%. Oddly, the 16 TD low, which arrived on January 11 is still due in early February along with a Bradley turn (Feb 3-5). The next top of import is due January 25 with the moon in Leo/Virgo. It is also the 16 trading top +1 TD. Last moon cycles saw the market run down 8 TD's to the moon in Sag/Cap (due Feb 4th). January 26 and 27 have the moon in Virgo, so at least those days should be down. Feb 1 is another day which should be down based on the negative astros on Jan 29 and over the weekend.

Monday, January 25, 2016

Where Is The Stock Market Turmoil Taking Us? - Audio / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: John_Rubino

On Monday, stocks tanked around the world and so did oil, breaking $27. On Tuesday things looked better. Central banks were jawboning, with Mario Draghi making noises about intervening. The Chinese were also busy buying stocks. The true test is when the banks really start intervening and whether they will be able to reflate another cycle. At some point this strategy is bound to fail. Will it be now or the next time? That past couple of weeks have seen a very brutal bear market. If you look at the average stock, it has lost more than 20 percent. Sounds like a bear market in the making with tech stocks leading the way.

Sunday, January 24, 2016

Stock Market Counter Trend Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.

SPX: Intermediate trend - counter-trend rally!

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, January 24, 2016

Is the Stock Market Bottom In? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

Stocks are rallying this morning.

They are not rallying because of a change in fundamentals.

They are not rallying because of a significant debt restructuring.

Sunday, January 24, 2016

Financial Collapse 2016 - Could This Be “The Big One”? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Mike_Whitney

Everyone take a deep breath. This isn’t 2007 again.  The banks aren’t loaded with $10 trillion in “toxic” mortgage-backed securities, the housing market hasn’t fallen off a cliff wiping out $8 trillion in home equity, and the world is not on the brink of another excruciating financial meltdown.  The reason the markets have been gyrating so furiously for the last couple weeks is because stocks are vastly overpriced, corporate earnings are shrinking, and the Fed is threatening to take away the punch bowl. And to top it all off, a sizable number of investors have more skin in the game than they can afford, so they had to dump shares pronto to rebalance their portfolios.

Sunday, January 24, 2016

Charting The Stock Market Crash - How Far Will The Bounce Get?... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Clive_Maund

The purpose of this update is to define exactly where we are on the market clock, because if we know where we are, broadly speaking we will know where we are going.

Before going any further I want to point out that so far we have tracked this nascent market crash well, first looking for the market to cave in last Summer, in the Preparing for the Crash series, calling for the Biotech sector to plunge before Christmas in Biotech Inverse ETFs update – Perfect Entry Point for New Shorts, for China to crater at the end of December in the China update and more recently calling for a waterfall decline in the US stockmarket right at the start of the year in Broad US Stockmarket Still Perched Atop a Cliff

Sunday, January 24, 2016

Teflon Donald Trump Could Shoot Somebody and Still Not Lose Voters / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Mike_Shedlock

At an Iowa rally earlier today, Donald Trump made the arrogant claim "I could stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn't lose voters."

CNN reported Trump refused to clarify what he meant.

Donald Trump boasted Saturday that support for his presidential campaign would not decline even if he shot someone in the middle of a crowded street.

Sunday, January 24, 2016

High Food Pricing Killing Benefits of Low Energy Prices / Commodities / Food Crisis

By: Richard_Mills

Lesson Learned

One of the places the decline in the Canadian dollar is most evident is in our grocery stores.

The University of Guelph's Food Institute estimates the average Canadian household spent an additional $325 on food in 2015 with meat rising 5% and fruit and vegetable prices rising between 9.1-10.1%.

Sunday, January 24, 2016

Regenerative Medicine’s Fountain of Youth / Companies / BioTech

By: Richard_Mills

Aubrey de Grey a biomedical gerontologist, predicted that the first person to live to a thousand has already been born. According to de Grey the key may lie in the field of regenerative medicine.

The Webster dictionary defines biological regeneration as “the restoration or the growth by an organism of organ or tissue, that have been lost, removed or injured.”

Dr. William Haseltine CEO of Human Genome Sciences, believes thatregenerative medicine is about assisting the body to heal itself. Dr. Haseltine coined the term "regenerative medicine," to describe the expected medical revolution that, in his view, could lead to human immortality.

Sunday, January 24, 2016

Sarah Palin’s Quixotic Quest for Relevance / Politics / US Politics

By: Walter_Brasch

She’s back and tightly holding Donald Trump’s coattails.

That’s right, Sarah Palin, having again found the media spotlight, is casting her shadow across the more thoughtful conservatives.

This past week she declared her undying love and support of Trump’s attempt to seize the presidency from the more experienced and knowledgeable candidates in the Democratic, Republican, and Green parties, and is blathering her way throughout Iowa, New Hampshire, and several early primary states to stir up Trump’s far-right base.

Sunday, January 24, 2016

First Uptrend of Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started off at SPX 1880. After a Monday holiday the market gapped up to SPX 1901 on Tuesday, and then immediately headed lower. On Wednesday the market gapped down at the open, hit a new low for the downtrend at SPX 1812, and then began to rally. The rally continued through Thursday and Friday with the SPX clearing 1900, and ending the week at 1907. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.05%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.60%, and the DJ World gained 0.90%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the uptick: existing homes sales and the Q4 GDP estimate. On the downtick: the NAHB, CPI, housing starts, building permits, leading indicators, the WLEI, the Philly FED, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week the FED meets Tuesday and Wednesday, and we get our first look at Q4 GDP.

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Gold And Silver - Chart Facts Are Market's Message / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

We keep reiterating that one need not be expert, nor even conversant, in reading a chart to be able to read and appreciate how charts "talk" and reveal very clear information. Opinions are of no consequence, regardless of how strong or otherwise "informed" one is about a market.

A fact is something upon which people of diverging opinions can agree, at least within reason. Each of the following charts contains facts, and it has always been our position that the market has its own message[s] contained in price volume behavior that has a convincing element of reason, no matter what the skill level of one's ability, or lack of, to read a chart.

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Fourth Industrial Revolution: Robots, Artificial Intelligence Will Destroy 5.1 Million U.S. Jobs by 2020 / Economics / Technology

By: Mike_Shedlock

Fourth Industrial Revolution Coming

A new study on the "Future of Jobs " by the World Economic Forum at Davos claims a Fourth Industrial Revolution is Coming.

The Fourth Industrial Revolution includes developments artificial intelligence, robotics, nanotechnology, 3-D printing, genetics, and biotechnology.

Although no industrial revolution has ever destroyed jobs, the study concludes a net 5.1 million jobs will vanish in the world's 15 leading countries. Those countries account for roughly two-thirds of the global workforce.

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Will Crude Oil Prices Rebound in 2016? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Oilprice.com recently spoke with Carl Larry, Director of Oil and Gas at Frost & Sullivan, a consultancy that conducts research on oil and gas markets, to get his thoughts on the state of oil in 2016.

Oilprice.com: I saw that you were on Bloomberg in December, and you said that you thought oil would go to the low $30s per barrel, which was a good call at the time, before OPEC would sort of relent. Do you see any chance that OPEC can actually coordinate any production cuts?

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Finally, Some Stock Market Buying....What Is It Telling Us?......Scenarios Discussed... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

What's unique about the stock market is its unpredictable nature. We're always trying to understand the message being sent through the oscillators along with price action. What is it saying! It can be very confusing and always emotional. Is it only a correction within a bigger picture bull market that's still on going? Is this a counter-trend rally that will fail on a weekly basis below the uptrend line at 1935? Will it head fake well above 1935 only to close back below on a weekly basis? It's really hard to know what's taking place when the move off then top has never shown classic bear-market distribution on any of the key daily index charts.

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Chronicle Of A Debt Foretold - When Central Banks Buy Equities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: John_Rubino

Critics of today’s fiat currency/fractional reserve banking world have (for what seems like forever) made the common sense point that when debt rises faster than cash flow, bad things are bound to happen. In every cycle since 1980 this has been dismissed by the vast majority who benefit from inflating bubbles — until the bubble bursts.

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Gold Could Lose Safe-Haven Bid as Equities Rebound / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold and Silver have held up well during the recent selloff in equities. From December 28 through Wednesday the broad NYSE lost 10.4% while the S&P 500 lost 9.6%. Precious Metals gained strength during that period. Gold advanced 3.0% while Silver gained 1.7%. Gold relative to the NYSE broke its downtrend and touched an 11-month high. Gold relative to global equities (excluding the US market) reached a 2-year high. Precious metals have clearly benefitted from the equity selloff but therefore figure to lose strength as the equity market begins a relief rally.

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Gold Will Go to $5,000 In Next Cycle... Best Time in History to Buy Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

Ed Bugos is one of the most renowned gold mining analysts in the world, with billionaires often consulting with him on prospective mines.

He’s also one of the most reclusive.  While he has been writing online since the early 2000s, he has never been recorded in an interview.  Until now!

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Emerging Markets Running Scared with Capital Controls / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: EconMatters

This has not been a good year for emerging markets. Since many of the emerging economies are commodity-reliant (mainly crude oil), the oil price plunge has also crashed their currencies, which prompted money fear and flight.

WSJ quoted the Institute of International Finance that emerging markets suffered record net outflows of $732 billion in 2015, with China accounting for the bulk of that. The Russian ruble, Mexican peso and Colombian peso all hit record lows against the dollar. Overall, emerging-market currencies fell 3% in the first two weeks of 2016.