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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

ElectionOracle

Thursday, November 10, 2016

How Terminator Donald Trump Won the US Presidency and What He Will Do in Office / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

How Terminator Donald Trump Won the US Presidency and What He Will Do in Office

Shock and horror on the faces of Democrats and many republican establishment politicians is real and so is that which the Donald Trump Terminator Presidency represents for them. For Donald really is the TERMINATOR, this guy does NOT know how to stop, How to back down, he is NOT a politician. Those who think he will calm down and it will be business as usual are deluding themselves.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 10, 2016

And Of Course, No One is Talking About the US National Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Rodney_Johnson

I’m beaten down.

Worn out.

Punch drunk.

I’m not moonlighting as a cage fighter. I’m a registered voter in a swing state.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Trump Win and Brexit - What the Two Biggest Events of 2016 Are All About / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Harry_Dent

Like Brexit, Trump staged a surprising win last night, proving every poll wrong.

This is a sign of an underlying trend more massive than the winter economic season that began in 2008. It’s clear evidence of the end of globalization (at least for now). And that’s an important point to take away from the election… and from Brexit.

People are angry. They’re discontent. They’re sick and tired of how small the world has become and they’re ready to revolt. This brings us to the heart of my 250-Year Revolution Cycle.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 10, 2016

After the U.S. Election, Where is the Stock Market Strength? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Donald_W_Dony

The surprise U.S. presidential victory of Donald Trump caused shock waves through the futures markets last night. However, as the next trading day opens, there are clearly sectors that are winning and those that are losing.

The biotech, drug, banks and broker/dealer sectors are the strongest performers out of the gate with a 7.50%, 4.70%, 4.60% and 5.40% leap respectively.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Carl Icahn left Trump victory party to bet $1B on US Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Bloomberg

Carl Icahn, Founder and Chairman of Icahn Enterprises, told Bloomberg TV that he left Donald Trump's victory party early Wednesday morning to bet about $1 billion on U.S. equities.

"I thought it was absurd that the market, the S&P was down 100 points on Trump getting elected," Icahn said in a phone interview. "I tried to put a lot more to work, but I couldn’t put more than about a billion dollars to work," he said.

Icahn, one of Trump's earliest supporters, spoke to Erik Schatzker this afternoon and weighed in on the market reaction to the U.S. presidential election results and the economic plans of President-Elect Trump. Icahn said Trump's victory was "a positive for our economy, not a negative" but noted that the U.S. economy is not out of the woods just yet.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

Bill Gross: Trump Election Victory Won't Lead to More Economic Growth / Economics / US Economy

By: Bloomberg

Bill Gross of Janus Capital was interviewed by Erik Schatzker on Bloomberg Markets this morning.

Gross discussed market reaction to the U.S. presidential election, telling Schatzker that Trump's victory won't lead to more economic growth.

SCHATZKER: "Well, let's consider those things for a moment.  Let's consider demographics. Let's consider some of the structural obstacles. Can you envision a scenario, all of those things considered, in which the economy grows four percent a year, and in which we add 25 million jobs over who knows what period?"

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

Dow Futures Down 777 Points As Trump Is Selected During Jubilee Time Period / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

Donald Trump was selected as the new President of the US tonight and, just as we warned, markets are crashing.

As I write, Dow futures are currently down 777 points, the Japanese Nikkei is currently down 5%, bitcoin is up 3% to $730, gold is up 4% to near $1330 and silver is up 3% to nearly $19.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

Financial Markets were caught flat-footed. Will there be a recovery? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The markets woke up this morning to President-elect Trump.

ZeroHedge reports, “As it dawned on markets that they had been caught flatfooted for the second time in half a year, first with Brexit and then with the historic election of Donald Trump which nobody except a few fringe websites had anticipated, their reaction was identical: a slow selloff at first, followed by a furious dump, which led to a limit down halt in NASDAQ and Emini future trading. However, it was not meant to last, and after realizing that Trump's economic plan of flooding the economy with debt, coupled with fiscal stimulus, and that his policies would likely be much more moderate than his initial framing, U.S. stock-index futures trimmed about two-third of their declines as investors reassessed Trump stunning victory.”

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

Gold Surges 5% After America Votes Trump President / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

  • Gold surged over 5% – from $1,270/oz to $1,335/oz prior to profit taking
  • Gold jumped to its highest level in six weeks on early reports that Trump had won the race to the White House; Largest gains since Brexit shock
  • For the next few days, we can expect to follow the “Brexit playbook”
  • “We are looking at very real prospects that the Fed would defer that rate hike into 2017…”

Gold has surged more than 3% to over $1,300/oz today after the shock election of Donald J. Trump as the next President of the United States of America. At one stage gold was 5% higher having risen from $1,270/oz to $1,335/oz as the dollar and stocks globally saw sharp falls.

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Politics

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

After The Trump Election Triumph / Politics / US Politics

By: Dan_Steinbock

The Trump victory was a "stunning surprise" to Washington and mainstream media.  But it was very much in line with voter distrust in both Clintons and Washington’s ruling class.

Politically, Americans are fed up. In cooperation with the Democratic National Committee, the Clinton campaign had far too cozy ties with Wall Street, neoconservatives and Pentagon contractors, as well as mainstream media organizations; from CNN and New York Times to Huffington Post and Google.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

Stock Market US Election Day Follow-Through / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices on election day decided to follow through on yesterday’s rally. The day started out with a pullback, they tested support, and when they failed to take any action to the downside, they took off. The S&P 500 went from the 2123-4 zone all the way up to 2147. The Nasdaq 100 jumped from 4757 to 4825. In the afternoon the pulled back and formed wedges, but when they failed to take out secondary support, they headed back up again,tried to retest the highs, but fell short, and pulled back in the last ten minutes. Still, it was a positive session.

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Companies

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

The Cannabis Sector after the Vote – Boom or Bust?? / Companies / Healthcare Sector

By: TLSReport

Technical Analyst Clive Maund takes a look at the cannabis sector, and how the the election results for eight states, including California, might facilitate a massive boom.

Not only do we have the US elections today, we also have voting in eight states on the legalization of cannabis, including the all-important State of California, which just by itself is one of the biggest economies in the world. The outcome of this vote is of crucial importance to the future of this fledgling industry, although all the indications are that it will be favorable.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

Uncertainty about OPEC and US Election Leads to Oil Price Drop / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Jason_Hamlin

During the third quarter of 2016, global gold production dropped by 0.5%. Miners brought 846.8t onto the market versus 851.2t during Q3 of 2015. While this isn’t a huge decline, it marks the second consecutive quarter that gold production was down versus the previous year. The overall trend of plateauing output remains in place and has increased the odds that we are approaching, or have already reached, peak gold. The chart of annual mine production is shown below.

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Politics

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

America is The Poisoned Chalice / Politics / US Debt

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Neither candidate in the US presidential election has had many specifics to offer on their economic ideas and projected policies, and that may be a smart move for both. If only because none of the two has indicated any real understanding of what awaits America as per November 9. And I don’t mean where the stock markets will be tomorrow morning, or the price of gold, though short term volatility is obviously certain.

The November 7 rally on Wall Street made plenty clear where everyone’s bets are placed -on Hillary-, so much so that there’s not much of a rally left if she wins. A Trump win could well see some panic, downward pressure for the dollar and stocks, upward pressure for gold, but there’s no telling how long that would last.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

BrExit Swing States Win Donald Trump the Presidential Election 2016 As Forecast / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

BREXIT! The pollsters, mainstream press pundits, analysts, markets and bookies ALL Got the US Presidential Election badly WRONG. This is the second time this year that they ALL got a major election badly wrong. Not even coming close to forecasting this election from the New York Times to Nate Silver downwards, thousands writing reams and reams of garbage presenting the view that Donald Trump cannot possibly win, right up to the close of the polls.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

Betting Markets Confirm Donald Trump Has Won / Wins U.S. Presidential Election 2016 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The betting markets that following the close of the polls leapt to discount a Hillary Clinton win who by 1am (UK) Polls+1hr, had Trump trading on an impossible to win 12 with Hillary Clinton on 1.09 as illustrated below, that had the mainstream media pundits, pollsters and other analysts on the likes of CNN slapping themselves on the back for having correctly called the election as the results appeared to be turning out as they expected would, well.....

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

US Presidential Election Betting Markets Odds Now Forecast Trump Could WIN - BrExit Factor! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Observing extreme volatility on Election night as we countdown to the critical too close to call Florida result! For instance the betting markets an hour before the US polls closed had Trump trading at 6.6 - That's at about 11pm UK Time.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

Hillary Clinton Wins US Election 2016 According to Pollsters, Bookies and Stock Market, BrExit? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

As we count down the close of the polls virtually every opinion pollster analyst, book makers and the financial markets are strongly discounting a Hillary Clinton election win. So is America ripe for its very own BrExit moment? When the polls turn out to be WRONG as they were for Brexit.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

This Election Marks the Beginning of Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : Volatility is high going into this election (because nobody knows what will happen, and there is a lot at stake). People think that after the election, the uncertainty will be out of the way, and volatility will subside.

Will it?

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

US Election 2016 - Small-town America Will Decide the Fate of Everyone / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: John_Mauldin

One congressional district in a state that nobody pays attention to could find itself at the center of American politics. That district’s single electoral vote could spell the difference between a razor-thin win and a tie. Seriously.

Maine is one of just two states that apportion electoral votes by congressional district and not by the total state count. The state has four total votes. Two go to the statewide winner, and one each goes to the winners in the two congressional districts.

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