Thursday, March 02, 2017

Have Central Banks Finally Achieved the Unthinkable, Inflation Unleashed? / Economics / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

Globally inflation is on the rise.

On Monday Spain reported a year over year 7.5% jump in its PPI reading (a measure of inflation). Take a look at that chart.

Thursday, March 02, 2017

SPX Rally Appears Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

We can now say that the Wave structure is complete with a throw-over above the Cycle Top. We have round number resistance at the top as well. The reversal begins with the re-entry back beneath the Cycle Top, which appears to be happening now.

Wednesday, March 01, 2017

Gold Pressured By Increasing Odds of March FED Rate Hike / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jason_Hamlin

The gold price has corrected by roughly $25 over the past few days. This pullback has been driven by increased odds of a Fed rate hike during March. Federal Reserve officials have been making hawkish comments lately, which has been supportive of the USD index and thus bearish for precious metals. After hitting a 2017 high of $1,265 on Monday, the gold price has since dropped back to $1240 today.

On Monday the odds of a March rate hike were around 40%, but they have since increased to around 70% to 80% today. New York Fed President William Dudley told CNNMoney on Tuesday that the case for raising interest rates is growing.

Wednesday, March 01, 2017

US Drives Global Economic Growth / Economics / Global Economy

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The US is back in the driver seat again as a sustained and growing economic powerhouse – the Trump Economy.  Since the November 2016 elections, the US economic data and outlook have been driving investment in US equities as well as select foreign investment opportunities.  The reduction in regulations and business friendly Trump administration seems to have unleashed the hoard of cash and opportunity of the past 7+ years.  US and foreign business are, again, “wheeling and dealing” with the intent of generating greater profits and more opportunities.

Wednesday, March 01, 2017

Stocks are higher, but the Fed trumps Trump / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

President Trump’s speech appeared to be his most “presidential,” but was short on details.

The surging dollar and rising SPX futures give some indication that Trump is still getting the benefit of the doubt.

Wednesday, March 01, 2017

Art Market Bubble Bursting – Gauguin Value Collapses 74% To $22 Million / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Art Market Bubble Bursting?
– Russian Billionaire Takes 74% Loss On “Investment”
– $85 Million Gauguin Bought By Dmitry Rybolovlev in 2008
– Christie’s auctioned the work at its evening sale in London
– Global art sales plummet, but China rises as ‘art superpower’
– China soon to dominates global art and gold market
–  Art price volumes doubled since 2009
– As currencies debase super rich seek out stores of value
– Gold remains accessible store of value for all
– Stocks, bonds and many assets at record prices
– Gold half it’s real price in 1980

Wednesday, March 01, 2017

Stock Market Delayed Correction Means Bigger Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Gary_Savage

At some point the stock market needs to break the price trend line to confirm a daily cycle decline. The longer they prevent the natural profit taking correction from occurring the bigger the crash will have to be to break that trend line.

Wednesday, March 01, 2017

Next Crude Oil Price Rally? Futures Say Market Is Tightening / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

U.S. oil inventories are at record levels, but there are a few glimmers of hope that the glut could be starting to subside.

Storing crude oil for sale at a later date is no longer profitable, as the futures curve has flattened out in recent weeks, depriving traders of a strategy that has served them well over the past few years. The market “contango,” in which front-month oil contracts trade at a discount to oil futures six months or a year out, has all but vanished. The differential must be large enough to cover the cost of storage, and for many time spreads that is no longer the case. After three years of a steep contango, storing oil simply to take advantage of the time spreads is increasingly uneconomical.

Wednesday, March 01, 2017

Gold – It’s Still All About The US Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Kelsey_Williams

The US dollar is the world’s reserve currency.  And that isn’t likely to change in any radical way, anytime soon.  Unless there is some kind of calamitous implosion of the dollar.  I am talking about outright rejection and repudiation.  And that could happen.  The problem is that there isn’t another currency that could likely take its place.  

By the time that possibility becomes a reality, any possible candidates would likely be in worse shape. This includes the Euro and Chinese Yuan.

Wednesday, March 01, 2017

NEW UNCOVERED INFORMATION: Why Central Banks Were Forced To Rig The Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Steve_St_Angelo

According to newly uncovered information in the gold market, it provides additional evidence of why the Fed, Central Banks and the IMF were forced to RIG the gold market.  Actually, looking at this new information, I had no idea of the amount of Fed, Central Bank and IMF gold market intervention until I put all the pieces together.

Now, when I say “new information”, it pertains to new information and data that I dug up from older official documents.  While most of the folks in the precious metals community realize that the Fed and Central Banks have sold gold into the market to depress the price, this new evidence puts the gold market it in an entirely DIFFERENT LIGHT. 

Wednesday, March 01, 2017

Trump Ramps Up US Military Debt Spending In Preparations for China War / Politics / US Military

By: Nadeem_Walayat

President Trump's announcement to request Congress to increase annual US 'defense' spending by $54 billion (10%) to over $650 billion, some ten times that of the likes of Russia or Britain and approximately 40% of total global military spending. Which underscores the reality that there is nothing defensive about the scale of US military spending as the US is a global military empire that far out spends any other nation, where whilst the establishment media makes much of the Russian military threat in reality is a mere smoke and mirrors propaganda exercise as my 'Trump Reset' series of articles illustrates :

Wednesday, March 01, 2017

The Rise and Decline of Four Little Dragons - Taiwan, South Korea, Hong Kong, and Singapore / Economics / Asian Economies

By: Dan_Steinbock

After a stunning growth performance, all four dragons are slowing and aging. In the absence of drastic policy changes, they are facing relative stagnation, says Dan Steinbock.

In The Four Little Dragons (1992), U.S. academic Ezra Vogel argued that the four little dragons—Taiwan, South Korea, Hong Kong, and Singapore—were the newly-industrialized economies, which had followed Japan's export-led growth model to prosperity. Unlike major advanced economies, which established their position in a century or two, the four dragons made their mark in just a few decades.

Wednesday, March 01, 2017

Stock Market Good Close, but Negative Finish to the Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a soft session today. The day started out with a little 3-wave corrective down move that held the trendlines and bounced, but then they rolled over, and rolled over sharply. The Nasdaq 100 dropped from 5344 down to 5317, and the S&P 500 dropped from 2367 down to 2359. They bounced back sharply, failed at resistance, backed off to retest, and at the very end of the day in the last 15 minutes, they came on sharply, and parred back a lot of the losses, but still closed negative on the day.

Tuesday, February 28, 2017

Global Inflation Surges, Central Banks Losing Control and Triggered the Wage Price Spiral? / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst in Britain, inflation focus is on the surge in prices following the BrExit vote that triggered a 20% drop in sterling which is slowly but steadily feeding its way through the supply chain and heralds a nightmare 2017 for already distressed retailers such as Tesco, Britain's biggest retailer that is literally facing a crisis which I have been covering in a series of videos the latest of which follows a BBC investigation into its 'fake' shelf prices duping customers into buying products at expired offer prices.

Tuesday, February 28, 2017

Stock Market Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has declined beneath its trendline and made a 47-66% retracement of its initial decline. It appears that it is now entering a third wave at a sub-minute or Micro degree. There is a lot of empty space to Short-term support at 2321.87. We may add a short position here.

A further decline beneath its earlier low at 2358.96 gives us further confirmation.

Tuesday, February 28, 2017

Gold Stocks Enormous Daily Slide / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Yesterday was just another period of back-and-forth movement for gold, silver, the USD Index and even the general stock market – but not for precious metals mining stocks. Gold stocks and silver stocks plunged very visibly - there are very important implications of this move and they are not bullish.

Let’s take a closer look at the charts (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com), starting with the GDX ETF (proxy for both gold and silver stocks).

Tuesday, February 28, 2017

Stock Market Correction Coming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The correction in the markets is coming.  The markets will correct in the short term, which will allow them to move much higher in 2017. The short-term indicators of market momentum are overbought. The trend indicators are clearly still BULLISH!

President Trump’s cuts and his pro-business attitude have been sending U.S. stocks into new record high territory.  This is a clear indication that investors are looking to the White House for inspiration. The SPX Index, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite Index are trading at all-time highs. They are extending the rally that began when President Trump was elected.

Tuesday, February 28, 2017

Peak Wealth and Peak Energy / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Raul_I_Meijer

You could perhaps say that this is part 4 in a series on -America’s- peak wealth, even if it was never intended to be such a series; it just happened. First, in a February 18 essay about declining economic growth, “Not Nearly Enough Growth To Keep Growing”, I said “..the Automatic Earth has said for many years that the peak of our wealth was sometime in the 1970’s or even late 1960’s”.

That prompted a reply from long-time Automatic Earth reader Ken Latta, which he turned into an article a few days later which I published on February 23 as “When Was America’s Peak Wealth?” Ken reasoned that America’s peak wealth was sometime in the late ’50s to early 60’s.

Tuesday, February 28, 2017

Trump Speech a Dollar Bust? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The USD is in the limelight again today. It has failed to better the February 15 high at 101.75, giving USD a sharp Wave 2 correction last week. Yesterday it bounced off Intermediate-term support at 100.73, but was unable to even match its 50-day Moving average at 101.37. This morning’s high was 101.22. The Cycles Model suggests the next Master Cycle low may be due on March 8, but could extend as much as another week beyond. A Pi date occurs on March 13, which matches up with a possible low in SPX as well.

Tuesday, February 28, 2017

Market Forecasting - Want to "Get Ahead of the Game"? Try This / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

How to breach limitations of conventional market forecasting

In this new interview, Wayne Gorman, the head of our Educational Resources department, explains -- based on his 30-year experience as a Wall Street risk manager, trader and analyst -- how Elliott waves help you get "ahead of the game."