Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.The Brexit War! EU Fearing Collapse Set to Stoke Scottish Independence Proxy War - Nadeem_Walayat
2.London Terror Attack Red Herring, Real Issue is Age of Reason vs Religion - Nadeem_Walayat
3.The BrExit War, Game Theory Strategy for What UK Should Do to Win - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Goldman Sachs Backing A Copper Boom In 2017 - OilPrice_Com
5.Trump to Fire 50 US Cruise Missiles To Erase Syrian Chemical Attack Air Base, China Next? - Nadeem_Walayat
6.US Stock Market Consolidation Time - Rambus_Chartology
7.Stock Market Investors Stupid is as Stupid Goes - James_Quinn
8.Gold in Fed Interest Rate Hike Cycles- Zeal_LLC
9.The BrExit War - Britain Intelligence Super Power Covert War With the EU - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Marc Faber: Euro to Strengthen, Dollar to Weaken, Gold and Emerging Markets to Outperform - MoneyMetals
Last 7 days
Google Panics and KILLS YouTube to Appease Mainstream Media and Corporate Advertisers - 25th Apr 17
Gold Price Is 1% Shy of Ripping Higher - 25th Apr 17
Exchange-Traded Funds Make Decisions Easy - 25th Apr 17
Trump Is Among The Institutionally Weakest National Leaders In The World - 25th Apr 17
3 Maps That Explain the Geopolitics of Nuclear Weapons - 25th Apr 17
Risk on Stock Market French Election Euphoria - 24th Apr 17
Fear Campaign Against Americans Continues Nuclear Attack Drills in New York City - 24th Apr 17
Is the Stock Market Bounce Over? - 24th Apr 17
This Could Be One Of the Biggest Winners Of The Electric Car Boom - 24th Apr 17
Le Pen Shifts Political Landscape- The Rise of New French Gaullism  - 24th Apr 17
IMF Says Austerity Is Over - Surplus or Stimulus - 24th Apr 17
EURUSD at a Critical Point in Wave Structure - 23rd Apr 17
Stock Market Grand Super Cycle Overview While SPX Correction Continues - 23rd Apr 17
Robert Prechter Talks About Elliott Waves and His New Book - 23rd Apr 17
Le Pen, Melenchon French Election Stock, Bond and Euro Markets Crash - 22nd Apr 17
Why You Are Not An Investor - 22nd Apr 17
Gold Price Upleg Momentum Building - 22nd Apr 17
Why Now Gold and Silver Precious Metals? - 22nd Apr 17
4 Maps That Signal Central Asia Is at Risk of War - 22nd Apr 17
5 Key Steps For A Comfortable Retirement From Former Wall Street Trader - 22nd Apr 17
Can Marine Le Pen Win? French Presidential Election Forecast 2017 - 21st Apr 17
Why Stock Market Investors May Soon Be In For A Rude Awakening - 21st Apr 17
Median US Household’s Wealth Has Declined by 40% Since 2007 - 21st Apr 17
Silver, Platinum and Palladium as Investments – Research Shows Diversification Benefit - 21st Apr 17
U.S. Stock Market and Gold, Post Tomahawks and MOAB - 21st Apr 17
An In Depth Look at the Precious Metals Complex - 20th Apr 17
The Real Story of China’s Strong First-Quarter Growth - 20th Apr 17
3 Types Of Life-Changing Crisis That Make You Wish You Had Some Gold - 20th Apr 17
The Truth is a Dangerous Thing - 20th Apr 17
2 Choke Points That Threaten Oil Trade Between Persian Gulf And East Asia - 20th Apr 17
Gold’s Next Downside Target Is Around $700… Even if It Breaks Up First - 19th Apr 17
SPX May be Completing its Corrective Pattern - 19th Apr 17
Silver Production Has “Huge Decline” In 2nd Largest Producer Peru - 19th Apr 17
Soothing East Asia's Nerves as Trump's Administration Reaffirms US Power in Asia-Pacific - 19th Apr 17
The Brexit War - Article 50 Triggered, General Election 2017 Called - Let the Games Begin! - 19th Apr 17

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Why 95% of Traders Fail

Is Now a Good Time to Invest in the US Housing Market?

Housing-Market / US Housing Mar 23, 2017 - 06:49 PM GMT

By: Nicholas_Kitonyi

Housing-Market The US housing market has maintained its subdued growth following Trump’s election to The White House. Towards the end of last year, especially in the run-in to the US presidential elections, there was what appeared to be a strong belief that Trump would be bad for the stock market if elected as president, and by extension the overall economy of the US.

However, the US stock market has experienced one of the best runs in history repeatedly breaking the all-time highs from one week to the next. The housing market, on the other hand, has experienced a rather slower growth since Trump’s election, but the point is that it’s been growing, nonetheless.


This has been characterized by a rise in the US House Price Index, as demonstrated on the following chart by Freddie Mac.

Based on the Freddie Mac House Price Index curve above, the US housing prices have just gotten past the highs of the pre-2008 period by nearly two percentage points. This also puts it more than 38% above the levels reached during the 2008 global financial crises, which brought the world markets to their knees.

Now, given the current circumstances in the US housing market, many are wondering whether it could be the best time to invest in the industry. On the other hand, there are also those who are thinking of cashing out on their property investments with housing prices already appearing to have peaked in the last couple of years.

For those looking to profit off their investments, then that would mean selling. However, based on recent data, selling property in the US has not been particularly easy. Research shows that old houses are now taking longer to sell than before with the owners probably being forced to sell at a discounted price. In addition, some people looking to sell their properties do not understand well the contents of a listing contract agreement, and this has led to some having to re-list their houses.

Nonetheless, the real estate market is composed of different players including agencies that offer to buy houses from individual sellers right away without having to wait for a buyer. As such, it would appear that probably the fastest way to sell your house in the US right now would be via these buy and hold agents, rather than a listing real estate agency.

The growth of the US housing market appears to be settling down to moderate levels and the house price index is also mirroring the same trajectory. The annual change in Freddie Mac house price index currently stands at 6.5%, which is a slight increase from 5% recorded in 2015. In late 2013, the Freddie Mac House price index was registering a change of more than 10% after experiencing a sustained growth for a period of over two years.

Given the indicative stability in the US house price index over the last two years, it is now easier to plan on buying a house than it was a couple of years ago. As such, buying a house in the US is probably now easier than selling one. Mortgage rates remain low at just over 4.4% despite the recent interest rate hike and the lending market continues to attract more players.

The US housing market is one of the country’s main economic indicators. A continuous growth shows that the economy is still growing and this is one of the reasons why the Federal Reserve was able to increase interest rates in March. More rate hikes are planned before the year end, but again, this will depend the kind of signals the market sends with regard to investor sentiment on more rate hikes.

While this uncertainty continues to hover around the US housing market, the decision on whether to buy or sell a house as an investment will rest on the predictability of the House price index, the mortgage rates, and the trend in the small loan market.

Conclusion

In summary, the US housing market is not only an economic symbol for the country, but also a global economic indicator. The US attracts investors from all over the world, with several of them investing in the real estate market.

Currently, Canada, Asia, Europe and Latin America are the leading foreign investors in the US real estate market. A decline in investments these foreigners could be a signal that the global real estate market is slowing.

As for now, it looks like it’s a good time to invest in the US housing market. There are growth opportunities in various suburbs and metro areas while urban and high-end markets continue to experience a higher price index.

By Nicholas Kitonyi

Copyright © 2017 Nicholas Kitonyi - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2016 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife