Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, July 07, 2017
The Fed Just Admitted, On RECORD, Stocks Are In a Bubble / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
Yesterday, the Fed made the single largest announcement of the last 10 years.
The media didn’t catch it. Nor did the markets.
The reason?
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Friday, July 07, 2017
A Crash is Coming.... Last Time This Happened Was Spring 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Perhaps the single most accurate predictor of the economy has rolled over into recession territory.
I’m talking about tax revenues.
GDP growth, unemployment data, ISM surveys… all of these can and are massaged by statisticians to create a rosier picture of the economy than reality. By way of example, we recently noted that 95% of all net job growth since 2008 was in fact created via an accounting gimmick. In reality, the jobs were never created at all.
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Thursday, July 06, 2017
Stock Market Uncertainty Near Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,510, and profit target at 2,300, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, July 06, 2017
Mark Yusko Warns to Get Out Of Stock Index Funds Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : The market cap of FAANG (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google) are up $260 billion since March 1. Meanwhile, the market cap of the other 495 companies in the S&P 500 are down $260 billion.
This is a textbook example of unsustainable growth, yet it has largely fallen on deaf ears for many investors.
Speaking at the Mauldin Economics’ Strategic Investment Conference, Mark Yusko, Founder and CIO of Morgan Creek Capital Management, dissected this and the other biggest risks—along with opportunities—in financial markets today.
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Wednesday, July 05, 2017
Stock Market Post-holiday Hangover? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Good Morning!
The bank-heavy Dow made a new all-time high on July 3 in light trading. It was aided and abetted by its largest holding, Goldman Sachs, up 2.42%.
This high may be called an “echo Cycle” since June 29 is exactly 8.6 years from the bottom of Wave 3 of (C) on November 21, 2008. I have seen this before in gold and crude, where we have witnessed “double tops.”
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Tuesday, July 04, 2017
Robo Advisors Shape the Future of Portfolio Management / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
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Tuesday, July 04, 2017
Stocks Bear Market Is One Step Closer / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
My Bias: market topping process ongoing
Wave Structure: Impulsive 5 wave structure, possibly topping in an all time high.
Long term wave count: Topping in wave (5)
Important risk events: USD: N/A.
Tuesday, July 04, 2017
Dow 50,000, Then a Colossal Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The markets are heading higher, says Tom Beck, founder of Portfolio Wealth Global, who explains why and discusses the actions that he is taking.
Portfolio Wealth Global wants to show you today why stocks are in the final innings of a "blow-off top" set-up and why the "blow-off top" has begun for all major indices—it is global.
Monday, July 03, 2017
Wall Street Is Now Ruled By Physics PhDs, Not Traders / Stock-Markets / HFT
BY JARED DILLIAN : One of the reasons I am where I am today is because I did not study hard in school.
I was barely in the top 10 percent of my high school class. I probably could have been number one, but I was too busy screwing around.
I intentionally failed physics my senior year because I didn’t like the teacher.
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Monday, July 03, 2017
Wall Street Stock Market Correction Looms on the Horizon / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The following S&P500 Index - 90 Year Historical Chart shows the yearly gain or loss from 1929 through 2016. The following conclusions may be drawn from this very illustrative bar chart of Wall Street’s yearly stock performance during this prolonged period.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 03, 2017
Stock Market Positive Expectations Ahead Of Shortened Trading Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, July 03, 2017
Kuwait Stock Exchange Index (KWSE): Watch out below! / Stock-Markets / Middle East
The Kuwait Stock Exchange Index (KWSE) is sitting on the edge of a cliff. We may soon see a decisive reversal of the uptrend begun from the January 2016 low. Following the January 2016 low the KWSE advanced as much as 44.4 per cent as of the 7,091.46 peak reached in early-April. That high completed a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the long-term downtrend.
During the rally the index moved well above the pivotal 40-week exponential moving average (ema), and as of January broke out above the long-term downtrend line. This is all bullish behavior for the long-term.
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Monday, July 03, 2017
Is this the Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: An ending diagonal appears to be forming.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, July 02, 2017
Are Central Bankers Going to Intentionally Crash the System? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Since 2007, the world has packed on a truly staggering amount of debt. That year (2007) is now commonly referred to as a debt bubble. And at that time, global debt was $149 trillion.
Today, 10 years later, it stands at $217 trillion.
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Saturday, July 01, 2017
US Stock Market Correction Appears to be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The market started this volatile week at SPX 2438. After a gap up opening on Monday the market rallied to SPX 2450 before reversing into a 2419 low of Tuesday. Wednesday provided another gap up opening as the SPX hit 2443. After retesting that high early Thursday the market sold off to SPX 2406 before reversing into the close. Friday had another gap up opening as the market rallied to SPX 2433, before declining to 2423 to end the week. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.40%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.35%. Economic reports were slightly positive. On the downtick: durable goods, Case-Shiller, pending home sales, the Q2 GDP estimate, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: consumer confidence/sentiment, Q1 GDP, personal income/spending, the CPI and the Chicago PMI. Next week, shortened by the 4th July holiday, we’ll get reports on Payrolls, the ISMs, and the FOMC minutes. Best to your weekend!
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Stock Markets Hyper Risky / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The US stock markets have enjoyed an extraordinary surge this year, shattering all kinds of records. It’s been fueled by hopes for big tax cuts soon from Trump’s Republican government. But such relentless rallying has catapulted complacency, euphoria, and valuations to dangerous bull-slaying extremes. This has left today’s beloved and lofty stock markets hyper-risky, with mounting potential for serious selloffs erupting.
History extensively proves that stock markets are forever cyclical, no trend lasts forever. Great bulls and bears alike eventually run their courses and give up their ghosts. Sooner or later every secular trend yields to extreme sentiment peaking, then the markets inevitably reverse. Popular greed late in bulls, and fear late in bears, ultimately hits unsustainable climaxes. All near-term buyers or sellers are sucked in, killing the trend.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Grant Williams Warns Get Out of Stocks Before Boomers Are Forced to Sell Them / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : Last year, the first baby boomers turned 70 and that spells trouble for investors.
Speaking at the Mauldin Economics Strategic Investment Conference, Grant Williams, Co-Founder of RealVision TV, warned investors about the wave of forced selling by millions of retirees and the impact it will have on their portfolios.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Half Of S&P 500 Earnings Growth Can Be Attributed To One Sector, Which Can’t Keep It Up / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
BY PATRICK WATSON : US stocks hit new all-time highs this month. Despite rich valuations, buyers think they’ll still go higher.
One reason for this exuberance is the rise of passively indexed ETFs.
Rather than go to the trouble of picking individual stocks, people dump their cash into index ETFs. The ETF sponsor then buys every stock in the index—even the ugly ones.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Stock Market VIX Spike Prediction Revisited / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Nearly 2 weeks ago, we issued a research/analysis report indicating our analysts had seen a VIX pattern that forecasted a VIX spike on June 29th of this month to coincide with a potential explosive move in the markets. Today (June 29th) the vix spiked over 45% exactly as we has predicted, so we thought we would revisit this analysis and update our valued followers.
Recently, as many of you already know by being ATP members, the US and global markets have rotated on a number of news items and concerns. First, the IMF revised US economic expectations to address slower than expected economic activity. Next, NASDAQ technology stocks have recently been very volatile in relative terms and have driven some very big moves. Additionally, just last weekend two banks in Italy have been closed as a result of failed ability to raise capital levels to support activities/risk. Lastly, the BITCOIN drama seems to be continuing with this recent ransom-ware outbreak originating from within Ukraine. All this uncertainty and risk is a bit concerning for the markets in terms of volatility.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Three Main Lies About Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Volatility gets a bad rap.The media typically portrays it as the financial world’s evil villain personified, saying things like…
“Volatility reared its ugly head on Monday.”
Or…
“Volatility is striking fear into the heart of the masses.”
You can almost picture the CGI monster Hollywood would create – the “Volatility Viper” – with its ten snake heads and blood-dripping fangs, snapping at Wall Street suits as they run for their lives.
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