Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, January 15, 2009
Stock and Currency Markets Risk Aversion Ahead of Obama Inauguration / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Prolonged risk aversion is expected to ensue until Tuesdays presidential inauguration brings in a temporary feel good rally. Having made their third failed attempt to rise more than 25% since the intensification of the crisis, equities, VIX and the yen are expected to further move in the direction of prolonged reduction in risk appetite (equities negative, yen positive, VIX positive). I warned in the Jan 2 nd piece Risk Appetite Pushes the Envelope that the trio of risk appetite will be constrained near 940 for the S&P500, $850 for gold (having failed to break its 8-week cycle gains) and 92.50 yen in USDJPY.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 15, 2009
Stock Markets Could Rise a Wall of Terror! / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Just How Much Money is Out There? - There's no end to the talk of how much cash is sitting on the sidelines just raring to be put to good investment use. We hear of mutual funds net cash positions at all time highs; we hear of investors turning to – of all things – bank accounts and CDs to park their cash (say it isn't so!); we hear of foreign investors loading up on treasuries as a safe haven bet; and we wonder just how much money really is out there.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 15, 2009
Wall Street Corruption & Despair Continue / Stock-Markets / Scams
Can you believe a 50 billion dollar ponzi scheme?
Seems a lot of folks prized their friendship with Bernard Madoff. He must have been “Uncle Bernie” to the scores of wealthy investors who trusted him and loved those guaranteed 10 to 12% investment returns. A real picture here of what our economy has evolved into these past 20 years. Many simply lost their fortunes and others lost their lives.
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Thursday, January 15, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 15th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower in overnight trading as it extends this week's decline and is below support marked by the reaction low crossing at 1156.25. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1097.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 1222.40 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 15, 2009
Preparing Precisely for Financial Market Bottoms / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Let me ask you something. How many times have you heard a bottom called in a market...any market? I mean, it's amazing that not only are these people still allowed to publicly express their opinions, but people still listen to them as well.
It shouldn't be that surprising. Almost every Tom, Dick, and Harry with an Ameritrade or Schwab trading account doesn't have a clue what's going on in the stock market or any other financial market for that matter. So I guess the advisers and analysts that they get their advice from only have to be slightly more intelligent.
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Thursday, January 15, 2009
Risk Aversion Returns To Haunt Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
It's now official; the horrific US retails sales numbers yesterday confirm that for many consumers Christmas was indeed cancelled. The price action in equity markets tells us that the New Year is less “hey ho, hey ho” and now “I owe, I owe, it's off to sell stocks we go”. Worth noting is that the index of banking stocks plummeted through the lows of November 2008 yesterday. There really was nowhere to hide with the broader S&P 500 and the NASDAQ faring even worse in terms of percentage declines.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 15, 2009
Stock Market Forecast 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
With the New Year comes the annual tradition of predictions on where the stock market is headed. It has been a long time since I have so much variability in forecasts. Main stream economists have abandoned the usual permabull stance and many are in fact predicting large declines. Most, however, continue with a staunch approach of buy-and-hold in the face of the biggest declines since 2001. Any buy-and-hold investor who purchased after 1997 is now officially sitting in the red.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 15, 2009
Ouch! Stock Market Takes It On The Chin / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
All things considered, the beating stocks took yesterday was quite expected. It seemed clear that support was going to be breached on the indexes. As shown on the charts below, there is one last line of defense for the Dow Jones Industrial and the S&P 500 before reaching the lows. Notice also, that volume has been picking up over the last several days. That is not a good sign for the bulls.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
Stock Market Indices Plunge and Close Sharply Lower / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Quite a negative session today. The indices plunged from the get-go as pre-market futures were sharply lower. They went lower and sharply so all morning, hit the morning lows after about an hour and a half, and then bounced around for several ours in consolidation mode. They did try to break out mid-afternoon and made slightly higher rally highs, but couldn't follow through overhead resistance and rolled over to new 6 day lows on the Nasdaq 100. The S&P 500 tested the lows but didn't confirm the NDX downside move, and they then both bounced into the close.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
Insitutional Investors Stock Index Trading Range Breakout Imminent / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
This Friday, it will be 6 full weeks that the Institutional Index has stayed within its trading range ... will it make it that long?
It was exactly one week ago when we showed you the 60 minute Point & Figure chart for the Institutional "core holdings" index. Last week's chart is posted first, followed by this week's chart.
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Wednesday, January 14, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 14th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower in overnight trading as it extends Monday's decline below the 20-day moving average. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1156.25 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 1231.42 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
Stock Markets Waiting on Obamulus / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Here is a new word for your lexicon. Obama + Stimulus = Obamulus. In a word that is what the market is focused upon plus key bellwether earnings reports due Thursday from JP Morgan, Intel and Genetech. Indices turned around yesterday after Bernanke's (“I'm all in”) LSE speech and word that Senate Majority leader Reid believes he has enough votes to get approval for the additional $350bn of the TARP. So led by financials the blue chip Dow finished only modestly lower with the broader indices and the NASDAQ getting their head above water.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
The Stock Markets Next Move / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Despite the recent sell-off in the market, when all is said and done, the S&P 500 is still caught in a range between 850 and 950. As I mentioned at the beginning of the week, if 850 is breached, the retest of the November low will likely occur. The longer the index stays in this trading range, the more significant a breakout in either direction.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
The Most Important Investment Report of 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Do you know what to expect from the markets in 2009? Are you prepared to take advantage of the opportunities – and avoid the dangerous pitfalls – that you will face this year?
Elliott Wave International, the world's largest market forecasting firm, has just released a free report that can help.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Timing the Next Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
What is it going to take before we see a bottom in stocks leading to a new bull market?Time.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Capitalism At Risk: Live Free Or Die / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has gone beyond playing with fire, and may have indeed set the house on fire. It's one thing to push interest rates to near zero to stimulate the economy; it's another to “ monetize the debt ” by printing money to buy government debt. In recent weeks, the Fed has broken outside even those boundaries and become actively engaged in managing the private sector beyond the core banking system. Worse still, the steps taken may be difficult to reverse and as such may shape the U.S. economy for a long time.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Stock and Commodity Market Investments Themes for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Larry Edelson writes: At the beginning of every new year, just as we do with our personal lives, it pays to take a few steps back … put the past year in the markets into perspective … and contemplate the year ahead.
And today, this is more important than ever.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 13th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower in overnight trading as it extends Monday's decline below the 20-day moving average. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1156.25 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 1231.67 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
How Deregulation Fueled the Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Shah Gilani writes: No one person is responsible for the credit crisis, the failure of investment banks, the insolvency of commercial banks world-wide, the implosion of the world's stock markets, or for leading us to the precipice of another great depression.
The truth is there were many.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Banking Stocks Lead Equities Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
There is more than a whiff of October 2008 about the price action yesterday with Citibank (–17%) and Bank of America (–12%) leading equities tumbling. Investors gave a clear thumbs down to the plan by Citi to sell its brokerage business to Morgan Stanley as it smelt like a desperate attempt to raise capital. Some wag called it Citi-Morg! Alcoa kicked off US earnings season and came in with numbers that missed with some style.Read full article... Read full article...