Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, August 24, 2015
Dow Theory Stock Market Sell Signal Reconfirmed / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
If ever there was proof of the continued relevance of Dow Theory, the price action of the last 3 days provides all the evidence required.
Today’s market collapse at the open took out the October lows in both the Dow Transports and the Dow Industrials. This move to ever lower lows reconfirms the initial Dow Theory Sell signal triggered earlier this year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 24, 2015
Chinese Stocks Crash, Lose 60% of Gains This Year / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Chinese stock plunged another 296.55 points today (8.45%) to 3211.20. The market was once up over 60% on the year in June, but is now negative.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 24, 2015
Stock Market Blockbuster Right From the Open... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Morning!
The Dow futures fell to a low of 15762.00 shortly after 8:00 am, more than 4%. Since I cannot imagine any smart buyers out there trying to catch falling knives, I would have to imagine the Fed may be buying at this point, with small success. The Premarket is showing a 60-80 point bounce off the lows. That’s hardly enough to inspire confidence in the markets when they open.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 24, 2015
How Many Hedge Funds Will Die Next Year? / Stock-Markets / Hedge Funds
For those who keep hearing about hedge funds but aren’t quite sure what they are: Think mutual fund with no rules. A hedge fund is an investment company that can do pretty much anything, from shorting currencies to betting on biotech takeovers to writing credit default swaps.
This kind of freedom, as you can imagine, requires a fair degree of creativity, if not genius, on the part of fund managers. And therein lies the problem. As the concept has gotten popular the number of hedge funds and the money they manage have soared. There are now 11,000 of them running about $3 trillion.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 24, 2015
Stock Market Crash Or Short-Lived Panic? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified
Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. However, our medium-term outlook is now bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, August 24, 2015
Why the Stock Market Sell-Off Happened – and How to Make Money on It / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: It shouldn't come as any surprise that U.S. stocks went into free-fall mode last week.
The signs were everywhere. I'll prove it to you in a moment.
What's likely to happen next is no less frightening, so investors better look for cover.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 24, 2015
Stock Market Black Monday Crash, The BIG ONE? It Doesn’t Matter / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
After losing 11% last week, Shanghai this morning was down almost -9% at one point, after lunch went back up to -6.5%, and ended its day at -8.49%. A Black Monday for sure, but is this the BIG ONE? It really doesn’t matter one bit. Unless perhaps you persist in calling your self an investor, in which case we pity you, but not for losing your shirt. Because God knows we’ve said enough times now that there are no functioning markets anymore, and therefore no-one who can rightfully lay claim to the title ‘investor’.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 24, 2015
Stocks Correct, Panic Ensues. The End Of The World? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The four major U.S. stock market indices finally corrected after a 9-month sideways trend. The ‘big’ news this week for stocks was undoubtedly that the four indices all closed below their 200-day moving average, which IS an important breakdown.
At Secular Investor, we believe the TED-spread is one of the most reliable indicators of stress in the financial system. It should be considered a ‘seismograph’ signaling that something is brewing, as explained some time ago here.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 24, 2015
S&P 500 correction Compared to 2010 and 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Following the August 7, 2015 Market Minute titled "Volatility", the current market pullback of the benchmark S&P 500 may seem severe, but it is still far less than the 2010 and 2011 corrections.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 24, 2015
Stock Market - The Sky IS Falling / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Before we look at some charts I just want to second Sir Fullgoldcrown’s Friday night post at the forum. We created Rambus Chartology so we could have a community of like minded investors who want to learn as well as share what they have experienced in their own investment world. We are all equals when it comes to the investment world which can humble even the most experienced traders on the planet. That’s the nature of the game we’re playing. Sharing ideas in which everyone can benefit from is the corner stone of Rambus Chartology. I know we have a lot of lurkers at the forum and if you have any good ideas you would like to share with the rest of the members please feel free to post what you have without fear of ridicule or embarrassment. As Sir Fully likes to say, “It’s all for one and one for all.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 24, 2015
SP500, DAX, FTSE - When Stock Markets Talk, Pay Attention / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Unlike government supplied statistics, which are always favorably skewed to misrepresent the lies being told, markets do not lie, not even manipulated ones like the stock market, actually pick almost any market. We gave up on the S&P as our primary market coverage a few years ago, unable to abide by the then Permanent Open Market Operations that were the impetus behind keeping stocks propped up. Faux government support kept on building, but we could not abet and support being long to help out. Our absence never mattered, except in the loss of followers, but the reasons mattered to us.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 24, 2015
Stock Market Black Monday - Full Crash Alert! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
We are now in the “full on” market crash phase predicted and earlier prepared for on clivemaund.com many weeks in advance – it comes as no surprise to us whatsoever. The purpose of this update is to consider what is likely to happen over the next few days and especially tomorrow, Monday.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 23, 2015
Stock Markets Implode as China Literally Explodes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The smouldering stock market correction that started with the Greek debt crisis a couple of months ago has literally exploded with China as one of its major ports is destroyed leaving behind what resembles a nuclear mushroom cloud that shatters the illusion of what China is, namely a rival for the West, when the reality is one of a mere mirage of the West of which all are slowly waking up to the reality of China.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 23, 2015
An Easy Way to Eliminate Financial Uncertainty / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Andrew Snyder writes: Your personal definition of wealth is what will truly liberate you. It’s a complex idea... so let me explain.
A couple weeks ago, I wrote about my “broken bowl” theory. The idea is simple: Ensure your outgo is always much less than your income.
Do it right, and the following quote could come from your mouth...
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 23, 2015
Stock Market Bloodbath - The Feds Gonna Need A Bigger Balance Sheet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Driving home from work on Friday night I found it terribly amusing listening to the “business journalists” on the local news station trying to explain the 531 point plunge in the Dow and the 1,105 point plummet from the Tuesday high. The job of these faux journalist mouthpieces for the status quo is not to report the facts, analyze the true factors underlying the market, or seek the truth. Their job is to calm the masses, keep them sedated, and paint the rosiest picture possible.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 23, 2015
Stock Markets Plunge - The Economic "Red Wedding" Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: I love being right…Does that make me a bad person?
I have been warning for months that the market is overvalued, that the global economy is sick, and that stocks are headed for a fall. While CNBC and the rest of the clueless bulls break out the arm-bands, readers at Money Morning – who have been paying attention – should not have been surprised by what happened last week.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 23, 2015
Stock Market Due For A Breather (But More To Go) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend – SPX has started an intermediate correction
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 23, 2015
Stock Market 20% Bear Market in the Works / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last week, I wrote that I would share the IMP pattern with you and also more about TLC (Trend Line Convergence) and how it identifies bottoms (or buy points) in the stock market. First, the week in review: the astro Friday was especially bad as the Sun sq.'d Saturn. We also broke below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern top. In the charts below, I also had noted to my subs that there was a TLC low due August 21. The next one is due on August 31, which also is a very negative astro with the Sun opposing Neptune while the full moon on August 29th reaches perigee. It is my opinion that August 31st will trump August 21st for being a real bad day in the market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 22, 2015
Stock Market Primary IV Underway? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market started the week at SPX 2092. After a gap down opening on Monday the market quickly recovered to hit SPX 2103. It traded at that level again on Tuesday, and then ran into three straight gap down openings for the rest of the week. On Friday the SPX hit 1971 and closed there. For the week the SPX/DOW were -5.8%, the NDX/NAZ were -7.1%, and the DJ World index was -5.3%. On the economic front reports came in slightly to the positive. On the uptick: the NAHB, the CPI, housing starts, existing home sales, the Philly FED and the GDPN. On the downtick: the NY FED, building permits, leading indicators, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the next report on Q2 GDP, Durable goods, and PCE prices.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 22, 2015
Stock Market Dow Theory - The Reckoning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Dow Theory non-confirmation that began forming in February has been a warning. The Great Dow Theorist Robert Rhea once said, "a wise man leaves the market alone when the averages do not agree." Few really understand Dow Theory and it seems that most people who are familiar with it tend to discount it as some antiquated relic of the past. The current market environment and the developments since February are a perfect example. The Dow Theory has been warning, but as is always the case, those warnings have not been understood or heard.
Read full article... Read full article...