Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, July 08, 2009
S&P 500 Stock Market Trends Analysis for July 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
When analyzing monthly stock market trends, I use the S&P 500 charts to identify important trend lines. Trend following is a proven strategy to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Technical analysis provides the tools to analyze and identify trends in the stock market. Since the S&P 500 chart is the one used by professional traders for their analysis, it is important to understand how it is performing.
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Wednesday, July 08, 2009
How's Your Investment Portfolio Doing? Seven Long-Term Indicators / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Before Wall Street and the media combined to make investors think of calendar quarters as "short-term" and single years as "long-term", market cycles were used as true tests of investment strategies over the long haul. Bor-ing.
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Wednesday, July 08, 2009
The Stock Market and Economic Dead Cat Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In economics, as in many other “soft sciences,” facts are often overshadowed by theories. The dominant economic theory currently in vogue is that the massive government stimuli orchestrated by the Bush and Obama administrations would produce an economic recovery by the end of this year.
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Wednesday, July 08, 2009
Upside Ahead for SRS UltraShort Real Estate ETF / Stock-Markets / Housing Stocks
The ProShares UltraShort Real Estate ETF (NYSE: SRS) three-month pattern shows the price structure climbing into a key resistance plateau between 22.50 and 23.40, which if hurdled should trigger upside continuation towards 25.00 initially, and then to 29.00 possibly thereafter. My sense is that a powerful upmove in the SRS will reflect a renewed perception of deflation that is driven by the commercial real estate sector this time around. In any case, as long as 21.15 contains any significant pullback, I want to attempt to build a long position.
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Wednesday, July 08, 2009
Comparing Job Losses and Investment Opportunities in Post WWII Recessions / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Minyanville Professor Tony Dwyer posted an interesting chart yesterday about recessions and payrolls that is worth a look.
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Wednesday, July 08, 2009
Stock Index Trading Midweek Update / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Current Positioning:
SPY: Nil (Cash)
QQQQ: Nil (Cash)
Wednesday, July 08, 2009
Five Ways to Profit From Global Warming / Stock-Markets / Climate Change
Martin Hutchinson writes: The Waxman-Markey Bill, the much-ballyhooed clean energy legislation passed recently by the U.S. House of Representatives, is an economic and political mess.
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Wednesday, July 08, 2009
How Green Was My Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The second big selloff in three days signals the reflation trade is dead and volatility is back with a bang (the VIX was up 6.5% yesterday) as reality intruded on the over-hyped green shoots guff. The Nasdaq was the big loser for the day, falling 2.3%, but it remains the only major US index still in the black for the year. Commodities and crude continue to be unloved and now the markets are fretting that the economy may need a fresh stimulus package. Such talk is killing confidence. With the S&P 500 now trading below its 200 day moving average, stocks may well trade heavy with selling on upticks.
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Wednesday, July 08, 2009
Stealth Stocks Bull Market Summer Correction Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The analysis of April 26th concluded that the Dow is targeting a high of 8,750 by mid May 2009 which was expected to be followed by a significant correction of 14% towards a Dow target of 7,500. The Dow hit the target on 2nd of June which was confirmed in the quick update at the time, and therefore expectations were for the significant correction to materialise.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Stock Market Price Charts Can be Confusing ... Can't They? / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis
Take the Relative Strength for example. It moves from zero to 100. The half way point has to be ascertained visually, because 50 is a critical level. So, you have to watch for 51 or 49 to know when you are above or below that critical mark.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Where Are We in This Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The short answer: somewhere around halfway through it. The long answer follows. The price to earnings ratio for the S&P 500 is currently greater than 100 and earnings are not coming back strong in the next few quarters, I can assure you. If you think so, stop reading here and go back to CNBC to get your analysis. Cramer has a hot stock tip for you right now!
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Significant Low for Nasdaq Q's? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
The PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQQ) are approaching important near-term support between 35.00 and 34.75, which must contain forthcoming selling pressure to avert sell signals that will point to a retest of the May low at 32.96 next. The ability of the Q’s to hold above the 6/23 low at 34.77 will leave open the interpretation that all of the action off of the 6/11 high at 37.29 could be a correction of the May-June upleg (32.96-37.29) rather than a top formation.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
The Average Joe’s Take on Government Bailouts – and More / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
A story is making the rounds on the internet these days describing the practical interpretation the average Joe (and plain Jane, too) is putting on the way in which the U.S. government is dealing with the country’s current financial woes. I’ve done some editing and enhancing and present it below for your amusement and enlightenment and have added a segment with some insights and suggestions on how we can all potentially recoup the losses we incurred in 2008.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Stocks Bull Market Sectors at Risk / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
In "6 Leaders For The Next Rally Phase", I highlighted those sectors that had the potential to lead the next bull market phase if and when that comes. This group focused on new leadership such as semiconductors and airlines. It did not focus on the old leadership of the past bull market such energy, metals and financials.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Stock Markets At an Important Line in the Sand / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Brian Hunt writes: It's time to check in on one of the "must watch" charts for the trader: The all-important S&P 500.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 07, 2009
How Taiwan's China Deal Will Magnify Investor Profits / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Just last week - for the first time in 60 years - Taiwan opened its doors to investments from Mainland China.
The impact was almost immediate.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Stock Market Bounces as it Closes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
After a rocky start following on from equity weakness in Asia and Europe, US stocks ground higher following a better than expected read on the ISM’s June non-manufacturing (services) index of activity. What strikes me as curious is that commodities and equities are telling two different stories with notable weakness in crude, oil, gold and copper prices yesterday pressuring producers, refining and mining stocks as the re-flation trade gets pricked and traders realise how much the prices of these stocks got ahead of themselves. After the bell last night Discover Financial Services (a credit card company) announced a $500m rights issue. This may pressure the market at the off today.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Inflation, Stock Market sentiment and the Kress Cycles / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Despite a 40% market recovery and an abatement of the credit crisis, a climate of high fear abounds among market participants. Investor sentiment polls continue to show an excess of bears over bulls as few believe that a recovery can be sustained.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Blue Chips Lead Stock Market Rally After Early Sharp Setback / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices put on a steady rally all session after early morning sharp weakness, and ended in the positive column, other than the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) and Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX). The blue chip indices, in particular, rallied back steadily to end near the highs of the intraday 5-wave rally.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
The Three Best and Worse Investment Sectors for the Next Five Years / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Larry Edelson writes: I often get the question, “Larry, what do you think will be the best and worst sectors to invest in for the next five years?”
So this morning, I’m going to answer that question. For many of you, my answer won’t come as a surprise. For many, it will. Either way, it’s important you know my longer-term forecasts.
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