Category: Stock Market 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, January 03, 2018
FAANG Executives Selling Their Stock Is a Warning Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
BY JARED DILLIAN : Nobody has a better insight into the future prospects of a company than its top-tier employees.
Executives will always boast about their businesses, but it’s what they do with their own money that really matters.
I’m talking about insider trading.
Not the illegal kind, but rather planned buys and sells of stock by the company’s insiders—the directors, executives, and founders.
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Sunday, December 31, 2017
Stock Market Q1 2018 Outlook: We’re Gonna Need a Bigger Slide / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
If 2018 rings in a bear market, it could look something like the Kennedy Slide of 1962.
That was my conclusion in “Riding the Slide,” published in early September, where I showed that the Kennedy Slide was unique among bear markets of the last eighty years. It was the only bear that wasn’t obviously provoked by rising inflation, tightening monetary policy, deteriorating credit markets or, less commonly, world war or depression.
Moreover, market conditions leading up to the Slide should be familiar—they’re not too far from market conditions since Donald Trump won the 2016 presidential election. In the first year after Kennedy’s election, as in the first year after Trump’s election, inflation seemed under control, interest rates were low, credit spreads were tight, and the economy was growing. And, in both cases, the stock market was booming.
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Friday, December 29, 2017
Stock Market 2018 First Quarter Technical Analysis Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
As 2017 draws to a close, our analysis shows the first Quarter of 2018 should start off with a solid rally. Our researchers use our proprietary modeling and technical analysis systems to assist our members with detailed market analysis and timing triggers from expected intraday price action to a multi-month outlook. These tools help us to keep our members informed of market trends, reversals, and big moves. Today, we are going to share some of our predictive modelings with you to show you why we believe the first three months of 2018 should continue higher.
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Friday, December 29, 2017
Stock Market Positive Expectations, But Will S&P 500 Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Wednesday's intraday trading outlook was neutral. It proved accurate, because the S&P 500 gained 0.1% following neutral opening of the trading session. The broad stock market extended its short-term fluctuations. We still can see medium-term technical overbought conditions. However, there have been no confirmed negative signals so far. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market again, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Monday, December 25, 2017
SPX at Key Support Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
Intermediate trend – Possible short-term high.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Friday, December 22, 2017
Economic And Technical Outlook Of Indian Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Macroeconomic Fundamentals
India is the sixth largest in terms of nominal GDP already. Moreover it has shown a outstanding momentum in its GDP growth rates. The country is the world’s fastest growing major economy.
Future prospects are magnificent. India is right in the sweet spot of the „new economy“ that the world is going to. It has a very young and well-educated workforce, which is already a major exporter of IT and outsourcing services.
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Friday, December 22, 2017
Stock Market Importance of the Final Hour / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Here is some information that I thought I’d pass along.
The first is an article by ZeroHedge, which begins, “For months, the so-called "Smart Money" has been on-board with the incessant rally in US equity markets, buying every dip - no matter how shallow.
However, since the end of November, a very different regime appeared to take hold.”
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Friday, December 22, 2017
The Stock Market Train Left the Station Years Ago, Now What? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Chad Champion writes:The S&P 500 hit record highs 53 times this year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) had 70 record closes this year.
It’s tempting to jump in.
Here’s 2017 summed up by the Wall St. Journal in yesterday’s piece, This Year in Review:
A global stock-market surge powered by corporate earnings and economic growth sent major indexes to repeated records this year, defying predictions that the rally would peter out.
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Thursday, December 21, 2017
Stock Market Topping Pattern Or Just Consolidation - Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Wednesday's intraday trading outlook was neutral. It proved accurate, because the S&P 500 lost 0.1% following slightly higher opening of the trading session (+0.2%). The market fluctuates after its Friday-Monday rally. We still can see technical overbought conditions. However, there have been no confirmed negative signals so far. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market again, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook is neutral today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Wednesday, December 20, 2017
Trading View: Is It Time To Take Profits From This Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
I have been teaching investment and trading technique since 1995 and in all those years never have I sensed such anxiety in students, colleagues and readers. For the last 6 months, almost on a daily basis, I have been asked the same question: is now the time to get out of this market and go to cash?
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Wednesday, December 20, 2017
Stock Market Trap Has Been Set / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The problem with Triangle formations is that many are irregular as is this one. The six-week-long whipsaw is about to end badly for many traders who are short treasuries. In fact, this “breakout” will bring in more shorts who do not know that this is a reversal signal. Wave [c] will be a powerful one because of this crowded short trade that will only realize too late that they are trapped going the wrong way on a one-way street.
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Tuesday, December 19, 2017
Stocks Extended Friday's Rally, Topping Action Today? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Monday's intraday trading outlook was neutral. It proved partly accurate. The S&P 500 gained 0.5% following higher opening of the trading session (+0.4%). Overall, the intraday trading range was relatively tight following daily gap-up opening. The S&P 500 index got close 2,700 mark on Monday. We still can see technical overbought conditions. However, there have been no confirmed negative signals so far. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market again, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook is neutral today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
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Tuesday, December 19, 2017
FTSE 100: UK Stock Markets Influenced By Shifting Earnings Performance / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Dividend Investments writes: Those that are looking to trade or invest in UK markets will need to contend with the possibility of higher interest rates when structuring your positions. Instruments like the FTSE 100 are highly indicative of corporate earnings performance within the region and these types of assessments are critical given the fact that the region is still sifting through the long-term ramifications of the Brexit event.
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Sunday, December 17, 2017
Stock Market Final Thrust is Likely / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
Intermediate trend –Final top next week?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Friday, December 15, 2017
Stock Market Aggressive Sell Signals, but Discretion is Warranted / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX futures are higher with the expectation of the passage of the tax reform bill. Yesterday’s decline may not be impulsive and did not make it to Short-term support. Let’s see how the bounce develops before taking positions. I would suggest that Short-term support should be broken before short positions are added.
ZeroHedge reports, “U.S. equity index futures point to a higher open, having rebounded some 10 points off session lows with the VIX stuck on the edge between single and double digits, while European and Asian shares decline as investors assess central banks’ shift toward tighter monetary policy and concern over tax overhaul ahead of final plan. “
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Friday, December 15, 2017
Stock Market Decline Signals are Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX appears to have begun its decline. However, it may bounce at the two trendlines intersecting with Short-term support at 2644.74. Relief may be coming for those who have remained short the past two weeks.
While I will be discussing the signals from the VIX and Hi-Lo, I wish to point out that the best short entries are often at a bounce. Aggressive short entries will be subject to whipsaw. Thus, smaller portions are recommended until fully confirmed.
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Wednesday, December 13, 2017
Stock Market Elliott Wave Forecasts - Is the World coming to the end? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
We now live in an interesting time. Every day we wake up with the news about either World Indices make all-time records or bad news about terrorist attack and nuclear test. Historically, humans have gone through these stages and we were able to withstand all these events. At ElliottwaveForecast.com, we try to ignore all these events because, at the end, we believe in the Market Nature or code.
The Market or World Indices is not ready for a crash and we have been saying that for a while. $SPX had a chance for a major correction when it reached the 100% extension at 2234.00 area, but the Index hasn’t done anything and keeps going higher. We believe that the Market works as a whole and that looking only at the $SPX or an individual Index is not enough. For the last 6 years, many Elliott wave Theory participants have been calling for a 50% crash and the crash has never happened.
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Tuesday, December 12, 2017
Epic Stock Market & Fixed Income Bubble Will Not End Well / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Michael Pento, President and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies and author of the book, The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the U.S. Debt Market. Michael is a well-known and successful money manager and has been a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business News, and also the Money Metals Podcast, and shares is astute insights on markets and geopolitics from the perspective of an Austrian School economist's viewpoint.
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Monday, December 11, 2017
Have Stocks Reached A Permanently Rigged Plateau? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
A painting recently sold for a record $450 million, a blanket recently sold for $1.5 million, Bitcoin has gone ballistic, and Cramer thinks there are ‘bubbles’ everywhere except stocks. Are these the types of signals that bears have been waiting for? In a word, maybe.
The problem with calling for an end to the good times is that there has been so many false contrarian signals in recent years it is as if the very idea of “risk/reward” has been temporarily laid to waste. To use a quick example, in early 2016 alarm bells were ringing as junk bonds were imploding, confidence was sliding, and technical market levels were being struck. At the time it looked like the big bad bull was done.
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Monday, December 11, 2017
Investors Why Do You Keep Doing This To Yourself? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
As I am known to do, I will peruse articles on the web to find some interesting tidbits. And, I found one in one of Lance Robert’s recent posts.
Within this article, he cited a Doug Kass note, which stated:
“Despite many who are suggesting this has been a 'rational rise' due to strong earnings growth, that is simply not the case as shown below . . . Since 2014, the stock market has risen (capital appreciation only) by 35% while reported earnings growth has risen by a whopping 2%. A 2% growth in earnings over the last 3-years hardly justifies a 33% premium over earnings.
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