Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, July 24, 2014
Stock Market Clear and Present Danger Zone / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Ding, Ding, Ding! The bell tolls, not for the 1%, but for the remaining 99% in Europe, the UK, Japan, and the US.
What Danger Zone? The powers-that-be must find a way to keep the masses under control, raise taxes, enrich themselves and monetize the debt. The result will be currency devaluations, blood, inflation, distractions (such as downed airliners and new wars), banker bonuses, continued payoffs to politicians, and so much more.
Thursday, July 24, 2014
Instability is the New Normal? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Once upon a time, there were safe havens in this world, places where investors could hide when the going got rough. If you believe this fairy tale world will persist, pinch yourself. In our assessment, not only are there no safe havens left, but instability may be the new normal. Is your portfolio ready?
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Thursday, July 24, 2014
S&P 500 Record Intraday and Closing Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short. Key indexes around the globe are exhibiting little volatility in the wake global conflict. The Nikkei and Dow closed the day down 0.10% and 0.16%, respectively. The Eurozone’s STOXX 50 was up 0.12%.
The S&P 500 took center stage for US indexes, setting new intraday and closing records despite ongoing tensions in Europe and the Middle East. The index opened higher, quickly sold off to its -0.05% intraday low and then rallied to a record intraday high, up 0.29%. After a minor lunch-hour dip, it spent the afternoon in a narrow trading range to its 0.18% gain for a record close.
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Thursday, July 24, 2014
S&P Stock Market Breakout...Barely... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Which means it's not really officially on breakout in my world. I want a breakout at least half, if not a full, percent above the necessary price. That said, it's so impressive that this market could break out on any level considering the global tensions we're facing, along with the insane amount of froth that's out there. Shows you just how strong bull markets can be. They don't need much, if any, excuses to try higher. They simply go on their merry way as the bears know the odds are usually stacked against them, especially when the Ms. Yellen has had her say about rates and where they're going.
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Wednesday, July 23, 2014
A Big Stock Market Investment Mistake You Don't Know You're Making / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
Dr. David Eifrig writes: Buy American.
It's a patriotic investment idea.
After all, you keep your money invested in American businesses. And many of the best companies in the world are based in the United States.
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Wednesday, July 23, 2014
Stock Market Final Thrust Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Good Morning!
Yesterday I commented that the final Wave needed to have 5 lesser waves in the last thrust. This appears to be it. The target for this wavelet is 2000.00 in the SPX. Round numbers appear to have a psychological attraction and this is no different.
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Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Will Argentina’s Debt Crisis Rock the Global Financial Markets? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
One of the recurring headlines adding to the “wall of worry” is the battle between U.S. hedge funds and the Argentina government over payment of the country’s bond debt stemming from the country’s 1998-2002 economic crisis. Pundits worry that a default is imminent and that the country faces a bleak future if fails to pay hedge fund managers $1.3 billion by a court-mandated July 30 deadline.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Stock Market VIX Analysis / Stock-Markets / Volatility
The CBOE Market Volatility index, or VIX, is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. The VIX moves inversely with equities so that when equities are rising, the VIX is falling and vice versa.
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Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Enough With The Stock Market Bubble Talk Already / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
So much analysis we see and hear lately is concerned with whether the stock market is in a bubble or not. A sampling of headlines in the last month or so:
‘It’s Time to Worry About a Stock Market Bubble.’
‘Five Warning Signs of a Stock Market Bubble’
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Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Stock Market Bears Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
So maybe that means we gap up tomorrow, or maybe someone will finally the initiative and run this thing one way or the other. It is absolutely ridiculous how this market is gapping up, literally, every day. Yet the market goes nowhere as the trend is your turn, and then my turn. Each side is having their single day of action, and then forfeiting it over to the other side the very next day. Unusual to say the least. This type of behavior is often seen at major tops, but you can't be sure if that's what's happening here.
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Monday, July 21, 2014
Stock Market One More Pull Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - One final high needed to produce the start of an intermediate correction.
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Monday, July 21, 2014
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Monday, July 21, 2014
Stock Market Crash Nightmare! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
My yesterdays article painted a picture of a stock market that has failed to correct the consequences of which were for sowing the seeds for a more violent future correction that could even risk triggering an end to the 5.5 year stocks bull market that began in March 2009 -
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Monday, July 21, 2014
Why the Stock Market Is STILL Cheap / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: People think U.S. stocks are expensive...
Yes, they have gone up a lot... But according to our favorite measure of stock market value, stocks are NOT expensive.
It's a simple indicator, but it encompasses the important stuff. And right now, it's telling us you could make double-digit profits in stocks over the next 12 months...
Sunday, July 20, 2014
Investment Lessons From the Portuguese Bank Panic / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
Shah Gilani writes: So what if there was some momentary panic over some bank in Portugal last week?
So what if contagion fears spilled out across the globe and markets tanked?
It's all better now. Everything has been cleared up. Really, it was nothing.
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Sunday, July 20, 2014
Stock Market in DANGER of Strangling the Bears to Death / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The 5+ year stocks bull market continues to tighten its noose around the bears throats, though despite reddening faces and bulging eyes this has not halted the increasingly exasperated calls for the stocks bull markets always imminent end to definitely end this time.
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Saturday, July 19, 2014
Nothing Can Stop this Stock Market, Until it Does / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
"Government is, or ought to be instituted for the common benefit, protection, and security of the people, nation, or community; of all the various modes and forms of government, that is best which is capable of producing the greatest degree of happiness and safety, and is most effectually secured against the danger of maladministration." George Mason
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Saturday, July 19, 2014
Choppy Stock Market in Recent Weeks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Last week we had four gap openings, three to the downside, and the market traded to SPX 1953 on Thursday before ending the week at 1968. This week we had four gap openings again, three to the upside, and the market traded to SPX 1956 on Thursday before ending the week at 1978. Meanwhile during all this volatility the SPX has yet to hit the bull market high at 1986 achieved the week before all this began. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.70%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.65%, and the DJ World index was +0.45%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negative reports nine to six. On the uptick: the NY/Philly FED, retail sales, business inventories, the PPI, industrial production, the NAHB, leading indicators and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: export/import prices, housing starts, building permits, consumer sentiment and the WLEI. Next week we get reports on home sales, durable goods and the CPI.
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Saturday, July 19, 2014
Is The Stocks Bull Market Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Well, what a hammering the markets took on Thursday! There’s always a reason for this move or that and the Malaysian Airlines crash near the border of Ukraine and Russia and its potential consequences was the main driver in this case. However, we are right smack bang in the time zone for a top so it’s no surprise to see the markets start to head down. But the question remains, is the 5 year bull market in stocks now done? Well, it is way too early to confirm that. Perhaps a better question would be, is the current cycle top in?
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Friday, July 18, 2014
Will Stock Market Investors Get Out In Time This Time? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
It is normal and understandable that investor confidence grows as paper profits in a long rally or bull market pile up. It’s therefore normal and inevitable that investor sentiment will be at its most bullish for that cycle by the time a rally or bull market tops out.
However, it is also true that as the old Wall Street legend goes, ‘They don’t ring a bell at the top’. So how can investors who want to avoid the next meltdown, and have told themselves that this time they will, know when it’s time to act?
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