Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, October 14, 2013
Stock Market Trifurcation Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Toby_Connor
Another wild week as the trifurcation of the major indices continues. The market gapped down from SPX 1691 on Monday, continued lower until Wednesday hitting 1646, then reversed like a rocket into Friday’s 1703 close. In the meantime, the government shut down moved into its second week and the debt limit looms large this Thursday.
For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.95%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.35%, and the DJ World gained 0.8%. On the economic front reports were sparse, only four, and negatives outnumbered positives 3 to 1. Consumer credit increased, but consumer sentiment and the WLEI declined, while weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we may/or may not get reports on Housing, the NY/Philly FED, Industrial production and the FED’s Beige book.
Sunday, October 13, 2013
Repo Market Implosion Financial Collapse Nightmare Scenario / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
By: Mike_Whitney
October 11, 2013 "Information Clearing House - President Barack Obama is determined to prevail in his battle with GOP congressional leaders on the debt ceiling issue, but not for the reasons stated in the media. Obama is less concerned with the prospect of higher interest rates and frustrated bondholders than he is with the big Wall Street banks who would be thrust back into crisis if there is no resolution before October 17. Absent a debt ceiling deal, the repurchase market–known as repo–would undergo another deep-freeze as it did in 2008 when Lehman Brothers defaulted triggering a run on the Reserve Primary Fund which had been exposed to Lehman’s short-term debt. The frenzied selloff sparked a widespread panic across global financial markets pushing the system to the brink of collapse and forcing the Federal Reserve to backstop regulated and unregulated financial institutions with more than $11 trillion in loans and other obligations. The same tragedy will play out again, if congress fails lift the ceiling and reinforce the present value of US debt.
Sunday, October 13, 2013
Stock Markets Back in Rally Mode / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Despite the political fisticuffs in the US over the government shutdown and debt ceiling, all eight world markets on my watch list closed the week higher, the sixth such occasion in 41 weeks so far in 2013. India’s SENSEX was the standout with its 3.08% advance, followed by two other Asia-Pacific indexes — the Nikkei up 2.71% and the Shanghai Composite up 2.46%. Two of the European indexes, hit new highs; France’s CAC 40 rose 1.34% to an interim high, and Germany’s DAXK hit an all-time high with its 1.18% gain.
Saturday, October 12, 2013
Stock Market Deflationary Crash Mounting Risks / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
So many financial markets; so little time to follow them. The one forecaster I know who will put it all in perspective is EWI's Robert Prechter. Read his reports and you will get a clear idea of what really drives the markets and the U.S. economy – and why the Fed is beating its head against the wall.
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Saturday, October 12, 2013
Stock Market Wash and Rinse on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
VIX took a dive as Wall Street celebrated the end to the debt ceiling crisis in advance.
Actually, taking a peak at what the little people were doing, the wiseguys saw a great opportunity for a wash and rinse. Plus the private words out of Washington is that the debt ceiling fight will come to nothing, never fear.
Saturday, October 12, 2013
Buy Emerging Markets, But Carefully / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Sy_Harding
Emerging markets were under pressure all summer from fears that the U.S. Fed would begin to taper back its QE stimulus. More recently, it was widely expected the battle in Washington over raising the debt-ceiling would add to the selling pressure.
However, charts reveal what a market is actually doing, not what people think it should be doing. And in reality, emerging markets in general have been rallying off an oversold condition beneath 20-week moving averages, even as the U.S. market was pulling back from its September peak on the new debt-ceiling worries.
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Saturday, October 12, 2013
Preparing for The Big One - U.S. Dollar Revolt / Stock-Markets / Fiat Currency
By: DeepCaster_LLC
”Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke has been tap dancing on a land mine since 2008. He has avoided detonating an intensified banking-system crisis, so far, but the cost has been that of locking the Fed into near-perpetual quantitative easing and monetization of U.S. Treasury debt, with horrendous implications for future domestic inflation and U.S. dollar debasement…. the Fed has locked itself into quantitative easing for some time to come, irrespective of any jawboning to the contrary….
Friday, October 11, 2013
Diabolical Stock Market Pattern, Hard Down on Monday! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has just crossed above mid-Cycle resistance at 1692.30 after a struggle. The next resistance is at the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge (and round number resistance) at 1700.00. I suspect that this will be the final resistance of the rally, if it doesn’t run out of steam (or greater fools) before then.
Friday, October 11, 2013
U.S. Debt Deal Hopes Trigger the 2nd Best Stock Market Gain of 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Early hints of negotiations over the debt ceiling sent today’s market on a tear. The S&P 500 opened at its intraday low and closed at its intraday high for an impressive gain of 2.18%. This was the biggest rally since its 2.54% surge on January 2nd in celebration of dodging the Fiscal Cliff. Of course, that rally came with an actual resolution. Today’s relief rally was closer to a “buy the rumor” event. Perhaps the market will now pay closer attention to earnings season, which got underway this week.
Friday, October 11, 2013
Stock Market Rally Stalls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has now stalled at mid-Cycle resistance, halfway between the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels.
This action is reminiscent of the 2011 summer lows. Once the 50-day moving average was re-crossed in late July 2011, it took 13 market days to the August 8 low making nearly a 20% decline.
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Thursday, October 10, 2013
World Bank Concerned About U.S. Debt Ceiling and Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Bloomberg
World Bank President, Jim Yong Kim, joined Bloomberg Television’s Sara Eisen live from the IMF this morning and said he expects staff reductions as the institution seeks to cut its budget by $400 million annually for three years.
Thursday, October 10, 2013
Stock Market Wave C Plunge Comes Next! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
Yesterday I had been working under the assumption that the declining pattern was not yet over. I was wrong. The EW pattern from the top was a rare 3-3-3 (A-B-C) pattern that confounded all the analysts. I had proposed the pattern, but had anticipated a 3-3-5 decline, which never materialized.
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Thursday, October 10, 2013
VIX - Trading Above the U.S. Debt Row / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
It's time to learn something all serious investors should know: how to trade the volatility index, the VIX.
While most investors are scrambling to figure out whether the market is headed up or down, savvy pros use the VIX both as means of protection and a source of profit.
The VIX not only gives you an idea of how uneasy people are about the markets... it tells you whether or not the markets have reached an extreme level of sentiment - either bullish or bearish.
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Thursday, October 10, 2013
Stock Markets Point of No Return / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: If you're like most folks, there's a nagging fear at the edge of your brain that's trying desperately to make sense of what's happening each day the market drops further.
It's tough to control under normal circumstances, but even tougher to dismiss against the backdrop of Washington's infantile behavior.
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Thursday, October 10, 2013
Options Market Forecasting Future Stock Market Price Action Direction / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
By: J_W_Jones
By now the major media outlets have made sure to inform the public that the U.S. government is shut down, or partially shut down depending on your political perspective. Most financial pundits are looking to the recent past for clues about what to expect in the future.
While the situation appears to be similar to what we witnessed in 2011 with the debt ceiling debacle, the outcomes may be significantly different. I am a contrarian trader by nature, and as such I am constantly expecting for markets to react in the opposite way from what the majority of investors expect.
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Thursday, October 10, 2013
The Yellen Stock Market Doji / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: With no change in the congressional deadlock, the S&P 500 traded in a narrow range during the first 30 minutes and then sold off to its -0.54% intraday low in the late morning. The index then reversed gears and rose to its 0.42% intraday high, hitting it twice shortly before the 2 PM release of the September FOMC minutes, in which the word “fiscal” appears 16 times, most conspicuously in reference to the considerable risks surrounding fiscal policy. As expected, about an hour later President Obama nominated Janet Yellen to replace Bernanke. Curiously, market sold the Yellen news, and the index slid back into the red, briefly, before recovering to its 0.06% gain for the day.
Wednesday, October 09, 2013
Mounting Risks of a Deflationary Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Deflation
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
So many financial markets; so little time to follow them. The one forecaster I know who will put it all in perspective is EWI's Robert Prechter. Read his reports and you will get a clear idea of what really drives the markets and the U.S. economy – and why the Fed is beating its head against the wall.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 09, 2013
The Cheapest Stocks In the World / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: DailyWealth
Today's chart displays a stock rally happening in a place you'd never expect. It shows the rally in Greece.
Most folks know the current "Greece story." It's an economic basket case. It has spent and borrowed its way into a depression. Unemployment is over 20%. Things seem hopeless to lots of people there.
Wednesday, October 09, 2013
QE Exit and Emerging Markets Future / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Sahil_Hafeez
Emerging market economy could be in the early phases of another crisis. Once again, the US Federal Reserve is in the eye of the storm. As a major central bank in the world, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has a compelling impact on the emerging markets. Withdrawal in the US Federal Reserve's quantitative maneuvering is seen as one of the most terrific dangers to the emerging markets not long from now. According to the Federal Reserve Chairman's evidence of the passageway of quantitative moving, economists take an ideal standpoint of what's to come in 2013-14.
Wednesday, October 09, 2013
Rehypothecation of Collateral / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: BATR
Before you get a headache or a pain in your side, rehypothecation is not as difficult to understand as spelling the word. Definition of 'Rehypothecation':
“The practice by banks and brokers of using, for their own purposes, assets that have been posted as collateral by their clients. Clients who permit rehypothecation of their collateral may be compensated either through a lower cost of borrowing or a rebate on fees.
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