Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, December 09, 2013
The Best and Worst Investment Strategies to Battle Coming Inflation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: InvestmentContrarian
Sasha Cekerevac writes: The S&P 500 may be entering bubble-like territory: that’s what I’ve been writing for the past few months.
Now, it appears as though I’m not the only one who’s worried about asset classes beginning to form bubbles from the excess money printing. 2013 Nobel Prize-winner Robert Shiller also recently stated that he is concerned that prices have risen far too quickly across many asset classes, from real estate to stocks.
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Monday, December 09, 2013
Stock Market Rally Expanding the Distribution Phase / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - An important top formation is in the making.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, December 09, 2013
Stocks Bear Market Bottoms, Gold Smart Money Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
In this business there is no greater buying opportunity than at a bear market bottom. For those few investors able to control emotions, delay gratification, and go against the crowd, a bear market bottom is where millionaires and billionaires are made.
Unfortunately for the vast majority of traders, emotions are much stronger than logic. Most people when they see a market that has gone up for five years automatically assume that it's going to continue to go up. And because everyone else is getting rich and they don't want to be left out, they jump on board too.
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Monday, December 09, 2013
Relentless Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
After making a new all time high last Friday the market traded lower all week. Then Friday’s Payrolls report was released and the market nearly managed to get back the entire loss in just one day. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.2%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.3%, and the DJ World index lost 0.9%. Economic reports for the week were overwhelmingly positive. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing, construction spending, auto sales, the ADP, new home sales, Q3 GDP, monthly Payrolls, personal spending, the PCE, consumer sentiment, consumer credit, the M1-multiplier, the monetary base, the WLEI; plus weekly jobless claims, the unemployment rate and the trade deficit all improved. On the downtick: ISM services, factory orders, personal income and investor sentiment. Next week we get a look at retail sales, inventories and the PPI. Best to your week.
Sunday, December 08, 2013
Stock Market Christmas Rally Starts Monday! - ETF Trading Strategies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Tis the Season for the most powerful seasonality trade of the year!
Seasonal ETF Trading StrategiesWith the stock market up big in 2013 and most participants are speculating on a pullback in the next week or two, I have to say I am on the other side of that bet. Being a technical trader I focus on patterns, statistics and probabilities to power my ETF trading strategies. So with 37 years of stats the seasonality chart of the S&P 500 index paints a clear picture of what is likely to happen in December.
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Sunday, December 08, 2013
World Stocks Markets Rally Takes a Pause / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: Six of the eight indexes in my international focus group posted losses over the past week, and for the three European indexes and the Japan’s Nikkei, the declines were relatively step. The two winners were India’s SENSEX, topping our list for the second week after four weeks at the bottom of the heap, and China’s Shanghai Composite. The S&P 500 logged a fractional loss, ending an eight-week streak of gains. France’s CAC 40 fared the worst with its 3.86% selloff.
Sunday, December 08, 2013
Stock Market Big Friday Rally But Down Fractionally for the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: The big November Job Report posted headline numbers that beat the expectations of even the most optimistic analysts, especially the plunge in the unemployment rate. And then the Michigan Consumer Sentiment followed suit surprising surge. The S&P 500 opened at its intraday low, up 0.18%, and rallied to the 1800 level, where it struggled for a couple of hours. It then rose to its 1.18% intraday high around 2 PM. Some afternoon selling reversed in the final minutes, and the index posted a 1.12% gain for the day, thus snapping a 5-day losing streak. But today’s rally was a tad shy of logging a gain for the week, which thus ended an eight-week winning streak — the longest string of weekly gains in 2013.
Sunday, December 08, 2013
Why 401K Stock Investors Should Move to Cash / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
By: EconMatters
Actively Monitor 401k Designations
The stock market is so corrupt, such a gamed enterprise it is comical and is no place for 401k type investors to have their life savings and only retirement funds at risk with the lunatics and absolute corruption of the US stock market.
I am an experienced market participant so I know all the tricks from the inside, and even I am fooled by Wall Street shenanigans from time to time, and I have seen it all and have historical data and sophisticated tools that the mom and pop investor has absolutely no ability to access.
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Saturday, December 07, 2013
Stocks Rise On Peachy U.S. Jobs Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
Stocks rose sharply on better-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls report.
What happened to all the fear about the taper?
The tape will be painted into the year end. There are a lot of hedge fund and trading desk bonuses at stake.
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Saturday, December 07, 2013
Jobs, Jobs and More Jobs.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
The market was keyed in to this report for many reasons, some of them for the wrong reason and some for the right reason. The wrong reason is worrying about tapering. Tapering is good news, and only fools will sell when that becomes a reality. The good reason is clear. More jobs means more people who aren't struggling. That should be ultimately what it's all about. The Jobs Report came in at two-hundred thousand new jobs created versus the consensus of a hundred and eighty thousand expected. Not too hot so folks weren't too unnecessarily worried about tapering. On the other hand, it was strong enough to show the economy is improving. Goldilocks report, and with it the futures rocked, fell, and then blasted up again. It was strong all day, and is set up to possibly break out again, although that's still unclear.
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Friday, December 06, 2013
Stock Market Pop-n-Drop Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The action this morning may be clarifying the Elliott Wave structure. It also sets up the SPX for a Minute Wave [c] pop to 1797.64 – 1800.00.
The Monthly Employment Situation Report is bringing Tape talk back…big time.
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Friday, December 06, 2013
Stock Market Short Term pull-back Developing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Christopher_Quigley
It is highly probable that a short-term correction is developing in the markets.
The price point to watch on the Dow Industrials is 15750 and on the Transports it is 7100. If these levels hold solidly over the next few days then we will more than likely have a year-end rally. However, if they break over the next week or so the Industrials could quickly fall by 1000 points to the October lows.
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Friday, December 06, 2013
The Mother of All Bubbles? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes: As I often harp on about in these pages; economic growth occurs when the general standard of living in a country gets better. You can’t say an economy is improving when a significant portion of the population is suffering. You can’t claim there’s economic growth when the poverty rate is increasing. You can’t say the economy is improving when personal incomes and savings are declining.
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Thursday, December 05, 2013
Will the Least Loved Stocks Bull Market Throw a Taper Tantrum? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Gary_Dorsch
It’s been dubbed the “Least Loved” Bull market in history. The US-stock market rally is now 57-months old, and over this time period, the S&P-500 index has climbed a “wall of worry,” rising +170% from its March 9th, 2009 low, and hitting an all-time high, above the 1,800-level. But only this year, did it begin to earn the grudging respect of smaller retail investors. They’ve plowed $175-billion into equity funds so far this year, after withdrawing $750-billion in the previous six years. The “Least Loved Bull” now ranks as the fourth biggest percentage gainer in history. If it can manage to avoid a -20% swoon over the next three months, it would become only the sixth Bull market to celebrate its fifth birthday.
Thursday, December 05, 2013
Fiat Currencies, Debt, Liquidity Become Credit and Credit is Debt / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2013
By: Gordon_T_Long
Perceptions of FLOWS have now taken control of the global financial market. Investors must carefully consider where the Risks are looming and rapidly growing.
In the new world dominated by Fiat Currencies and Debt, Liquidity has become Credit and Credit is Debt.
Credit and Debt are often used interchangeably as simply the opposite sides of the same coin, but there are important differences and the distinctions are critical to understanding when this game will end and why.
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Thursday, December 05, 2013
Is U.S. Inflation Running at 7.7%? / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes:
Can you believe this?
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports the U.S. economy experienced deflation in October. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), a widely followed government measure of inflation, declined 0.1% in October.
The Producer Price Index (PPI), which measures the change in prices that producers pay, also declined in October—by 0.2%, continuing its slide from September when it declined 0.1%. (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics web site, last accessed December 2, 2013.)
Thursday, December 05, 2013
Stock Market Bears Came Oh So Close.....Sentiment Out Of Control... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
But they didn't get it done. It looked good for them. They had the S&P 500 well below the 20-day exponential moving average, but they just couldn't keep it below far enough to give them some confidence going forward. The problem being each time the S&P 500 got to 30 RSI on the 60-minute short-term chart it bounced hard. The bears ultimately needing to keep the market oversold for an extended period of time to get that break down below the 20's and head lower with force. It shouldn't be hard, one would think, when markets get complacent, but the bears haven't been able to accomplish anything yet. You know they will in time because there's no other alternative. Sentiment will get unwound in time.
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Wednesday, December 04, 2013
Russia Investment Opportunities, Stocks Selling at Deep Discounts / Stock-Markets / Russia
By: DailyWealth
Kim Iskyan writes: Last month, I caught up with an old friend in Moscow.
My friend is a banker. He has lived in Russia for 10 years... and he has seen all kinds of economic swings in what was the old Soviet Union. He has also seen an extraordinary turn of events...
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Wednesday, December 04, 2013
German DAX Stock Index And AUDUSD Look Weaker / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Gregor_Horvat
Traders, the stock market is looking weak for the last 24-48 hours. We have seen DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ all down between 0.2 and 0.6%. The similar pattern was also seen during Asian session with NIKKEI and HSI down 2.17 and 0.76%. German DAX also reversed significantly lower in this week so it seems that stocks are turning slightly bearish but most likely only for another correction. On German DAX daily chart I see wave four unfolding back to 8970/80 region.
Wednesday, December 04, 2013
Stock Market Indices Uptrends Are Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. This is an update of the bullish trend in stocks that I have been monitoring for some time. First let me say I fully understand the macro-headwind of enormous debt. I’m also aware some argue there remains excessive leverage and risk-taking in the economy, poor demographics (e.g. large generation retiring), and less than stellar growth, which is often referenced by those in disbelief of the current rally. I also understand that weekly economic reports are often contradictory to this stock market rally. But one thing remains quite clear — the trend is up until it isn’t (Thanks Yogi).