Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, October 23, 2010
America has Become an Asterisk, Which means it Only Exists Conditionally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
The conditions are explained by asterisks. For instance, big banks earn a lot of money as long as minor details like expenses, losses, and derivative valuations are ignored. The governments car company, GM, will soon release an 'electric' car that gets 280 miles per gallon equivalent. However, it is not really 'electric' as it has a small gasoline motor and at highway speed, the motor kicks in. In truth, it will return mileage equivalent to a Toyota Prius. Only, the US taxpayer will have to chip in about $7k per car sold to even make it seem competitive. It is ‘electric’ with an asterisk.
Saturday, October 23, 2010
U.S. Screwflation Nation - Ben and Tim at it Again! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: PhilStockWorld
Strong dollar? Hahahahahahahahahahahaha....That is was the answer to a question I had this summer when I met with an unnamed Treasury official whose name might rhyme with Jimothy. The unnamed official nearly fell off his chair laughing when I said "So, does the US still have a strong dollar policy?" It was meant as a joke. I was sitting at Treasury with Yves Smith, John Lounsbury, Steve Randy Waldman and a couple of other writers on Aug 16th, with the dollar at 82.5, down from 88.7 in May. I mentioned in my Aug 17th post that, based on my meeting at Treasury: "we’re certainly not going to be expecting a "strong dollar" policy." At the time, I summed up the meeting saying:
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Friday, October 22, 2010
Avoiding The Trip to Q.E. Hell / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Quantitative Easing will some day be looked back upon as we now look at healing the sick through bleeding back in the 1700s. It is terrible economic policy, in fact should be considered criminal activity. Criminal for many reasons, such as debasing the value of the Dollar, but more importantly because it will be the final nail that destroys our economy. Wall Street is the key beneficiary. Households (consumers) which account for 70 percent of GDP, and small businesses, which account for 70 percent of employment, will not benefit from this fraudulent activity by the Federal Reserve. Where on earth is it right for someone to print trillions of Dollars out of thin air and then buy legitimate legally binding debt instruments in exchange for this printed paper? Anyone else doing this would be arrested and thrown in jail, with the key tossed into the deep blue sea&h
Friday, October 22, 2010
Dangers of Seeking Fast Profit in High Speed Trading / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Barry_Elias
Benoit Mandelbrot, world renowned mathematician from Harvard and Yale, passed away last week at the age of 85.
He coined the term “fractal” (a shape comprised of smaller similar shapes). He determined that derivative pricing in financial markets follows this self-similar characteristic, which leads to infinite variance (e.g., black swan, fat-tail events)
Friday, October 22, 2010
FTSE 100 Stock Market Index Forecast To Go Higher / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
Global equity markets have been bullish in recent weeks supported by expectations that the Fed will restart its QE program and buy more US Treasuries. The Bank of Japan too, recently cut rates to zero and announced a Bond purchase program which is seen as a prelude to full blown QE.
Friday, October 22, 2010
Getting Some Stock Market Perspective / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Christopher_Quigley
From a Dow Theory point of view this is the situation as I see it. The market is giving very strong signals particularly on the Transports side. My key break point is 5265 to give the first indication that the new Bull Run has commenced. We are currently at 4735. Near but not quite there. My key break point on the Dow Industrials is 13566. WE are currently at 11146 some 2420 points away.
Thursday, October 21, 2010
What's Next for the U.S. Dollar, Stocks and Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The equities market reversed to the upside Wednesday posting a light volume broad based rally. Remember light volume tends to have a neutral to upward bias on stocks, But it was mainly the sharp drop in the dollar which spurred stocks and commodities higher.
Thursday, October 21, 2010
Small Investors Miss Out on Stocks Bull Market and Hot Commodities / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: David_Banister
All investors can recall the horror during the five months from October 2008 through early March of 2009 as day after day the markets continued to make new lows. That type of catastrophic drop leaves many psychological scars and probably spooked millions of investors out of the stock market for good. To wit, since the March 2009 lows and throughout this new Bull Market Cycle, Investors are pulling money out of equity funds in droves and piling into Bonds. This is the fight or flight mentality taking hold of the herd, and as they continue to disbelieve in the new bull cycle in stocks, the market continues to power higher.
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Is a Stock Market Crash Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Bob_Clark
Assets are already inflated We are seeing some amazing imbalances in the markets. I don't remember so many different asset classes being this heavily shorted or hedged by large commercials, all at the same time. Don't get me wrong, to rise and fall together is fairly normal now. It is the extremes we are reaching that is amazing. The red line on the chart shows commercial long positions minus short positions in the various futures instruments.
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Wednesday, October 20, 2010
U.S. Mortgage Foreclosure Fiasco Weighs on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
The surprise decision by the PBoC to raise rates by 25bps (I’d now expect tomorrows GDP and CPI numbers to be upside surprises !) led to de-risking across the board and US stocks suffered their biggest setback in 2 months. The dollar (the $ index DXY +1.7 percent) was the main beneficiary as it had its biggest gain in 6 months. Commodities had a knee-jerk move lower with Gold -2.5 percent, Crude -4 percent, and Copper -3 percent. Every major S&P Subsector finished in the red with Autos (-3.3 percent), Energy (-2.4 percent), and Materials (-2.25 percent) the biggest losers. Financials (-.9 percent) held up very well over the morning, but a report released at 1:30 rattled the Banks and sent the S&P’s down an additional percent (1156 low).
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Think “Globally” For Investing Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
By: Tony_Sagami
Judging from the response, my last article on Asian IPOs caught a lot of people’s attention.
Of the top 15 performing IPOs this year, nine of them are foreign companies. Out of those nine foreign companies, one is from India: MakeMyTrip.com (MMYT). One is from the Cayman Islands: Fabrinet (FN). The rest are from China, such as SouFun Holdings (SFUN), China New Borun (BORN), and Country Style Cooking (CCSC).
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Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Bank Index Shows Clear Relative Weakness For Stock Market QE Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Claus_Vogt
The main driver of the stock market rally off the late-August low seems to be the Fed’s relatively clear announcement of quantitative easing number two. Market participants seem to think that another round of extremely easy money will accomplish what the first round couldn’t.
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Wall Street, Chaos Theory and Fractal Geometry / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
Mathematician Benoit B. Mandelbrot, the inventor of fractal geometry, died Oct. 14.
As mathematicians go, Mandelbrot was very likely the best of the last half-century. And that brilliance extended to the financial markets. In fact, his groundbreaking insights into the operations of the stock market could have been used to avert the 2008 crash - had those insights only been heeded.
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Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Stocks Have Been Riding the Feds Quantitative Easing Higher, Could be Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Steve_Betts
It’s been a while since I’ve dedicated a daily report to stocks so today I would like to spend some time discussing the Dow. Stocks have been riding the Fed’s implicit promise for more quantitative easing higher, and it now appears to me that the wave is about to wash up on shore and expire. The initial effects of easing mean more liquidity while the long term effects mean more debt heaped on top of older obligations that will never be repaid. A once great nation is now reduced to borrowing money in order to service the interest on existing arrears with no intention of paying it back. The liquidity is a result of the printing press as the Fed becomes the buyer of last resort in both the stock and bond market. A good analogy is a patient on life support just before he takes his last breath.
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Stock Market Steep Sell-Off, Though Indices Bounce Off Lows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices opened with big gaps down today, fell sharply lower, but did rally back in the morning to take back about half the losses, but that was a 3-wave corrective-looking rally. Then they rolled over late morning to early afternoon sharply, bounced a couple times, managed to hold the morning lows on the Nasdaq 100, but took them out twice on the S&P 500, reaching down just below 1160. They snapped back in the last 15-20 minutes and took back a chunk of the losses.
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Tuesday, October 19, 2010
Chinese Interest Rate Hike Spooks Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
U.S. stocks rose Monday to a five-month high, led by financial shares, after Citigroup.’s earnings topped estimates and an unexpected drop in industrial production was taken as a further sign that the Federal Reserve will help fuel the recovery with another bout of QE. Citigroup rallied 5.4%. Hasbro., the second-largest toymaker, advanced 3.8% after reporting higher-than- estimated earnings. But Halliburton, the second-biggest oilfield-services provider, slumped 4.8% as profit missed analysts’ estimates.
Tuesday, October 19, 2010
European Emerging Stock Markets Top Performers / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Frank_Holmes
Well-known author and investment consultant Roger Gibson recently hosted a webcast where he educated investors on the importance of diversifying into international markets and we believe it is an opportune time to explore new areas with your portfolio.
Global investment guru Nicholas Vardy says “there’s always a bull market somewhere” and it’s up to investors to find it. We think there’s a bull market emerging in Eastern Europe.
Tuesday, October 19, 2010
Investors Look to Emerging Markets as the Fed Diminishes the U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
The main thrust of the past two months has been the renewed collapse of the U.S. dollar.
The dollar has been on a one-way elevator ride to the ground floor since August, when U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke first warned that quantitative easing was on the horizon.
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Tuesday, October 19, 2010
Stock Market Bullishness is Paradoxically a Warning Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Brian_Bloom
One reason that charts are important is that they facilitate a view of the financial world that enables one to cut through all the background waffle. Fundamental analysis anticipates what “should be”. Technical analysis reflects what “is” – whether it should be or not.
Below are a few charts which reflect that what “is” is not reflecting what “should be”. We can shout as loudly as we like but facts are facts.
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Tuesday, October 19, 2010
Jim Rogers on Rebel Economics, Gold Refuge and Krugman Should Resign / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Videos
Whenever you print money, people look for a refuge, gold, Paul Krugman Should resign, He doesn’t know anything about economics. and neither does President Obama.