Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, January 29, 2014
Is U.S. Fed Responsible for Emerging Markets Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Axel_Merk
From the bully pulpits in São Paulo to the blogosphere in cyberspace, the Fed is blamed for the turmoil in Emerging Markets (EM). That’s a bit like blaming McDonald’s for obesity. Blaming others won’t fix the problems in EM economies, it won’t fix investors’ portfolios and it is an unlikely way to lose weight. Investors and policy makers need to wake up and realize that they are in charge of their own destiny. Let us explain:
Wednesday, January 29, 2014
How Does This Stocks Bull Market Rank Against Past 100 Years Rallys? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Today’s chart of the day is a simple analysis using Prof. Robert Shillers stock market data to look at where the current stock market rally exists in relation to previous market rallies following either cyclical or secular bear market corrections. I have analyzed the data using both nominal and real (inflation adjusted) prices.
If we look at nominal market prices going back to 1900, we find that the current rally of 135.23% (as of January 27th close) ranks as the 7th longest rally in history. As shown in the chart below the current rally ranks behind the 1920-29 market bubble, the post-WWII bull market and the “tech boom” of the 90′s.
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Tuesday, January 28, 2014
The Hottest Investable Market on Earth 2014 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Money_Morning
China has been dominating the headlines in recent days.
And not in a good way.
Since late last week, worries about slowing growth, financial-system shenanigans and the potential for an “Asian-Contagion” type spillover have whacked global stocks – and have left folks wondering if the “China Miracle” is over.
But China’s kind of like a still-young tech venture: There are going to be reversals, it’s going to be volatile, and it’s normal to expect this kind of whipsaw market action.
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Tuesday, January 28, 2014
Stock Market New Head and Shoulder Formations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
A Very Chilly Good Morning!
I don’t know whether it is because of the -30 degree wind chill or some other problem, but a lot of things don’t work this morning, including my cable internet.
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Tuesday, January 28, 2014
Global Market Forecasts 2014 for Stocks, Bonds, Currencies and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: EWI
Dear investor,
Consider yourself warned.
The global market outlook is far less rosy than the so-called experts would have you believe.
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Monday, January 27, 2014
Stock Market Fear - One Last Shot For The Fed? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Marty_Chenard
Friday was a scary down day for many and Market fear was in the air.
But the Fed may still have one shot to hold the market from a bad day today. That hope comes from the support line on the New York Stock Exchange Index (NYA).
Monday, January 27, 2014
When Bubbles Bite - Debt Rattle 2014 / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Raul_I_Meijer
I guess I may be getting myself in a bit of a jam here, since I posted no Debt Rattle yesterday, but did do the Daily Links, and I do have things to say about some of those. For instance, I think it’s a big piece of news to see Stephen Hawking say black holes don’t exist, and I also think that Mish’s line “Bubbles burst when the pool of greater fools runs out” is important to note, certainly in view of recent events. So this will be a lightly longer Debt Rattle, in all likelihood. I’ll just get started, and let’s see where this goes. Please do note that present bubbles in finance have an incestuous releationship with those in energy: when one pops, the other starts biting.
Monday, January 27, 2014
Stock Market Heading Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gregor_Horvat
A sharp fall down to 1783 on Friday suggests that the S&P is heading lower now in wave 4. Wave 4 is a corrective leg so this can be only a temporary weakness but we still need three legs down, (a)-(b)-(c), before we may turn bullish again. Ideally a three wave pattern will find a support around 1740/55 area.
Monday, January 27, 2014
Gold Improving Bullish Sentiment, Could Witness Stock Market Bloodbath / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Clive_Maund
Gold's technical picture has improved since the last bullish update just over a month ago, but it has still not broken out the intermediate downtrend that started back last August, which we can see drawn on the 8-month chart shown below.
On Friday the gold price arrived at a short-term target at the upper boundary of the downtrend, which is a good point for it to turn down again, especially as its moving averages are still in bearish alignment, and world markets have started to tank, which was predicted on the 2nd January on the site in the article, more about which later. If it does turn down again shortly bulls will want to see continued basing action above its lows of last June and July, and December leading to an upside breakout from this downtrend.
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Monday, January 27, 2014
Stock Market Anticipated Intermediate Decline Has Started / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - The anticipated decline into late February has started.
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Sunday, January 26, 2014
Robert Prechter's The Next Big Drop Stock Market Warning / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: EWI
On January 24, the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ all lost close to two percent. On a day like that, it's worth talking about the one indicator they don't often mention on financial networks - namely, market sentiment.
When is the best time to get out of the stock market? When everyone else is invested and extremely optimistic. When is the best time to buy, then? Exactly: when you see the opposite sentiment.
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Sunday, January 26, 2014
Another Big Stock Market Slide on Global Growth Jitters / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
"There was a strange temper in the air. Unsatisfied by material prosperity, the nations turned fiercely toward strife, internal or external. National passions unduly exalted in the decline of religion, burned beneath the surface of every land with fierce if shrouded fires. Almost one might think the world wished to suffer. Certainly men everywhere were eager to dare." -
Winston Churchill
Sunday, January 26, 2014
Stock Market Crash - Dow Crashes 450 in 2 Days / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: WavePatternTraders
Anyone reading that headline would think it's some sort of surprise to most traders that the markets crashed 450 points in 2 days, but for us a wavepatterntraders.com we have been looking for a reversal in the markets for a few weeks and it was only a matter of time before things reversed. So it's no surprise to us, it was expected and I expect much more if a top is in place.
Is this the start of the large move lower that I am expecting? Well to answer that question honestly, it's too early to say, but regardless of the answer, what we can say for sure is that if it is the start of something sinister, we will be riding it lower.
Sunday, January 26, 2014
Forecast 2014 - The Second Most Expensive Stock Market in the World / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
South Africa's Cape of Good Hope is one of the most dangerous stretches of coastline anywhere in the world, where the warm Agulhas Current (also called the Mozambique Current), rushing down from the Indian Ocean, meets the cold Benguela Current, pushing up from Antarctica. The difference in water temperatures alone is a recipe for legendary storms, but the two opposing ocean currents just so happen to converge where the African Continental Shelf drops off into a deep abyss.
Sunday, January 26, 2014
The Most Dangerous Stock Market Chart in the World / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
Last month I warned about the bubble in the stock market, and what was going to happen when it popped. Make no mistake the chart of the S&P is the most dangerous chart in the world. When this parabolic structure collapses, it is going to bring down the global economy.
Sunday, January 26, 2014
Stock Market Primary Wave IV? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The last two days, of a holiday shortened week, resulted in a nasty decline for the entire week. The market started Tuesday with a gap up opening, hitting SPX 1849 in the opening minutes. Then bounced around between SPX 1832 and 1847 by Wednesday’s close. Thursday, however, started with a gap down opening and the market continued to decline into Friday’s close. For the week the SPX/DOW were -3.05%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.55%, and the DJ World index lost 2.55%. Economic reports for the week were sparse. On the uptick: FHFA housing prices, leading indicators and the WLEI. On the downtick: existing home sales. Next week is a busy one. We have the FOMC meeting tues/wed, Durable goods orders, the Chicago PMI, and Q4 GDP. Best to your week.
Saturday, January 25, 2014
A Bank Run in London? Debt Rattle 2014 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Raul_I_Meijer
It seems to come as a surprise to some, but when you think about it, it seems obvious that it only makes sense that if you try to hide a crisis behind huge amounts of money and credit leaked into global financial markets, those markets become addicted to credit injections faster than you can say taperworm.
There may be something to say for stimulus and Keynesianism in certain situations, but not in all cases, and certainly not in a world already drowning in piles of leveraged debt. There it merely serves to further distort economic systems, a distortion that makes it so difficult for people to see what is real and what is not, that it can and will safely be used by the financial industry to dump its part of the debtload on everyone else. It is then inevitable that cracks will appear, first among the weaker parties involved: Argentina, Greece, Venezuela.
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Saturday, January 25, 2014
Stock Market Tumble Baked in the Cake Years Before / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Fred_Sheehan
When markets tumble, the immediate cause is often baked into the cake years before. The structural (decades old) trouble with large, U.S. publicly traded companies is managements that care first, second, and third about boosting the stock price today: carpe diem, and so forth.
In 2013, IBM's net income was $16.5 billion. The company spent $13.9 billion repurchasing its own shares during the year: 84% of its profits were used for these purchases. Buying back shares, all else equal, boosts per share earnings, thus the share price.
Saturday, January 25, 2014
Stock Market Big Selloff, Is a Correction Underway? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 opened lower and traded steadily lower, closing at its intraday low for a loss of 2.09%. That’s the biggest daily decline since the 2.50% drop on June 20th. The holiday-shortened four-day week was down 2.63%. That’s the biggest weekly decline since the 3.02% drop in May of 2012.
The question on everyone’s mind is whether we’re seeing the start of a significant correction. And Fed watchers are no doubt wondering whether the central bank might rethink the taper timetable.
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Saturday, January 25, 2014
Stocks Plunge, Horrific Jobs, Was The Fed Too Hasty With Its Taper Decision? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
The Fed surprised markets with its December decision that the economy is strong enough to stand on its own with less stimulus. The majority of economists and analysts expected it to wait until March for more evidence to accumulate.
In the month since the decision, economic reports from key areas of the economy; jobs, housing, auto sales, and consumer confidence, have not been impressive.
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