Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, July 14, 2010
Corporate Earnings Season Optimism... / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
Trade Recommendations: Take no action.
Daily Trend Indications:
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Wednesday, July 14, 2010
Are Stocks Currently Cheap? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Perma-shills have been claiming of late that the stock market is now trading at an enticing valuation. Their main evidence for this, as they are fond to claim, is that the forward Price to earnings multiple is 12 times next year’s earnings for the S&P 500. And, of course, a 12 PE multiple makes stocks cheap and the overall market a buy.
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Wednesday, July 14, 2010
European Stock Markets Pause After 6 Up Days / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
U.S. stocks surged again on Tuesday, extending the longest rally for the S&P 500 in three months, as improving outlooks from companies such as Alcoa and Novellus bolstered confidence. Aluminium producer Alcoa, the first company in the Dow to report second quarter results, gained a further 1.2% as sales and profit exceeded analysts’ estimates and the company forecast stronger global demand. Novellus rose 5.8%. Infact all four S&P 500 companies that reported results between market’s close yesterday and the start of trading this morning topped the average analyst estimate for per-share profits.
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Wednesday, July 14, 2010
China Diversifying Out of U.S. Dollar Holdings / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Every month, the world buys BILLIONS of dollars worth of toys, shoes, electronics, clothes, and consumer goods from China.
Every month, China enjoys a trade surplus that brings in BILLIONS of new dollars into its coffers.
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Wednesday, July 14, 2010
Latest ECRI Economic Leading Indicator Confirms Bearish Stock Outlook! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In last week’s Money and Markets column, I recommended getting out of the stock market. This was based on my cyclical model having turned bearish. Plus there was a clear breakout of the S&P 500 and many other global indexes from their well-formed, topping formations.
On the same day my column came out, stock markets around the world started a nice rally … and in just three days the S&P 500 was up nearly 5 percent!
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Wednesday, July 14, 2010
Stock Market At trend Line On S&P 500.. Dow Above.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
And yes, it is overbought on the short-term charts. A pullback of 15 or so S&P 500 points can occur at any moment in time, or possibly even a bit more. It seems that the positive divergence on the MACD at the lows, along with the 30-RSI readings and 2% bull bear spread, has put the bottom in for this market for the short-term. It doesn't mean we don't get decent pullbacks. We will. However, it does also appear that the market can now chop its way higher back to the 1131 area over time, which will allow for decent gains on long plays.
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Wednesday, July 14, 2010
Stock Market Indices Extend Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices had a stellar day on Tuesday and extended the rally sharply. The day started out with a gap up. They pulled back, backed and filled, and then popped until mid-day to the morning highs at 1844 on the Nasdaq 100 and the 1097 area on the S&P 500.
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Tuesday, July 13, 2010
Pakistan Value and Growth Investment Opportunity,A Contrarian Investor’s Paradise / Stock-Markets / Pakistan
BMA write:
- Pakistan offers a unique investment opportunity given its geographical location
- Lowest cost land route to Central Asian countries
- Location advantage promoting infrastructure development
- Pakistan has the potential to become one of Asia’s premier trade, energy and transport corridor
Tuesday, July 13, 2010
Corporate CEOs Won't Invest in America, Why Should You? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
There is no end of economists, analysts, and reporters filling the air with investment recommendations. Is the stock market oversold? Should we invest for inflation or deflation? And so on.
That is talk. American CEOs are voting with their feet. Since they aren't investing in the United States, does it make sense for the individual stockholder or bondholder to do so?
Tuesday, July 13, 2010
Stock Markets Satisfied With Early Corporate Earnings Reports / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
U.S. stocks rose again Monday, adding to gains from the biggest weekly rally in a year for the S&P 500 Index, as analyst upgrades of technology companies boosted optimism before the start of the earnings season. SanDisk Corp. surged 6.8% as UBS advised buying the shares, while Qualcomm saw its shares jump 3.5% on a broker upgrade at Goldman Sachs who added the stock to its “conviction buy” list. Hewitt Associates soared 32% after Aon agreed to buy the consulting company. A total of 23 companies in the S&P 500, including Google, Intel. and Citigroup will report earnings this week alone.
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Tuesday, July 13, 2010
Stock Market Trend, It's All About Bonds / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
At 10 times the size of the stock market, the bond selling can continue to fuel further gains.
Bonds are a powerful force and can create a huge amount of liquidity to fuel advances. Watch what happens to oil today.
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Tuesday, July 13, 2010
Stock Market Bears Beware II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In my last article Bear's Beware I warned that shorts were running the risk of getting caught in an explosive rally as the intermediate cycle was due to bottom. Well, it did bottom and bears have watched their profits quickly evaporate as the market has surged out of the intermediate cycle low.
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Tuesday, July 13, 2010
CIVETS the New BRIC's for Investor Windfall Emerging Market Profits / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Martin Hutchinson writes: First it was the "BRICs." Now it's the "CIVETS."
In fact, the CIVETS are the "new" BRICs: Expect some of the CIVETS economies (Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey and South Africa) to be among the world's hottest markets in the decade to come. They have the potential to generate the same kind of windfall wealth as the BRIC markets of Brazil, Russia, India and China did over the last 10 years - but only if you pick the right markets at the right time.
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Tuesday, July 13, 2010
Stock Market Rally Loses Steam in Narrow Up-Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices managed to eke out a gain today, but the path to those gains was a little choppy.
The day started out with a sharp move higher. The Nasdaq 100 got to 1831.62 and the S&P 500 got up to 1080.78, and then they sold off sharply to new lows for the day. But they held right at support near 1810 NDX and 1070 SPX, and then began a move back upward. By mid-afternoon they stalled and ground back and forth, firming up a little bit in the last half hour to close in the plus column.
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Tuesday, July 13, 2010
Corporate Earnings Season, And They're Off... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The earnings season is upon us and tonight we saw the first important group of stocks report. The two most important being Alcoa, Inc. (AA) and CSX Corp. (CSX), a leading railroad shipper of goods. CSX said things weren't bad at all. Not exactly knocking the ball out of the park but nothing bad. At the time of this writing I've watched CSX stock go up a dollar after hours, then reverse two dollars to go red by one, and then back to slightly up. In other words, the market doesn't know what to do with this report. As if the market wasn't difficult enough, we're now seeing traders clueless on what to do with this puppy. Ridiculous really.
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Tuesday, July 13, 2010
Stock Market 40% Over Valued, Hussman on Valutions and Earnings Estimates / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Once again John Hussman has written an excellent weekly column. This week, in Misallocating Resources, Hussman talks about stock market valuations, PE ratios, bailouts, and other things.
Let's start with a look at stock market valuations.
Monday, July 12, 2010
Stocks Bear Market and Depression: How Close to the Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
While many people spend time yearning for the financial markets to turn back up, a rare few have looked back in time to compare historical markets with the current situation -- and then delivered a clear-eyed view of the future informed by knowledge of the past. One who has is Robert Prechter. When he thinks about markets and wave patterns, he goes back to the 1700s, the 1800s, and -- most tellingly for our time now -- the early 1900s when the Great Depression weighed down the United States in the late 1920s and early 1930s. With this large wash of history in mind, he is able to explain why he thinks we have a long way to go to get to the bottom of this bear market.
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Monday, July 12, 2010
Corporate America’s $2 Trillion Cash Pile, Let’s Kick Some Corporate Ass / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
$2,000,000,000,000 is a lot of cash.
That’s about how much America’s 500 largest NON-FINANCIAL companies have on their books. This is up about $500,000,000,000 from last year as 2010 has been very, very good for corporate profits, which are growing at a 36% pace this year and we’ll get a better insight into that this earnings season. Right now, our biggest problem is a lack of faith in the economy. As we noted last week, temp hiring is near records but real hiring is not there at all - companies are using what turnaround there is to save up for the next rainy day.
Monday, July 12, 2010
Stocks Mixed Ahead of the Earnings Season Kickoff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
After the world cup fiesta, its time for the US earnings season to kickoff with Alcoa (after the bell tonight) and Intel, Google, Bank of America, JP Morgan among the big corporations due to communicate results to the market. Over the past 10 years there have been seven quarterly reporting seasons where more than 70% of S&P500 constituents have beaten consensus forecasts, and in six the market responded favourably posting an average gain of 6.3% over a three-month period.
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Monday, July 12, 2010
Investors Profiting From Economic Schizophrenia / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
If last week’s massive price swings in the U.S. stock market proved anything, it’s that the world’s investors are massively confused.
They have every right to be. After all, even the world’s most respected authorities — the experts with access to every scrap of data an economist could ever want — are talking out of both sides of their mouths.
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