Category: Financial Crisis 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, December 06, 2017
EU Bailins Coming – 114 Italian Banks Have NP Loans Exceeding Tangible Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: GoldCore
– Italy opposes ECB proposal that holds banks to firm deadlines for writing down bad loans
– Italy’s banks weighed down under €318bn of bad loans
– New ECB rules could ‘derail’ any recovery in Italy’s financial system
– Draft proposal requires banks to provision fully for loans that turn sour from 2018
– ECB insists banks have better access to collateral on delinquent debt to solve problem
– Investors should secure assets as proposal suggests more bailins on horizon and banks remain at risk
Thursday, November 30, 2017
Five Charts That Show We Are on the Brink of an Unthinkable Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Bonfires are fun to watch, but they eventually burn out.
Human folly apparently doesn’t, so we just keep adding to the absurdities. The volume of daily economic lunacy that lights up my various devices is truly stunning, and it seems to be increasing (you can find a previous series of charts in my free newsletter Thoughts from the Frontline, which you can subscribe to here).
Let’s take a look at a series of charts I received from my “kitchen cabinet” of friends.
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Tuesday, November 07, 2017
The Next Financial Crisis Will Reveal How Little Liquidity There Is / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: John_Mauldin
This is something I’ve been pondering for some time. I think the next crisis will reveal how little liquidity there is in the credit markets, especially in the high-yield, lower-rated space.
Dodd–Frank has greatly limited the ability of banks to provide market-making opportunities and credit markets, a function that has been in their wheelhouse for well over a century.
However, when the prices of massive amounts of high-yield bonds that have been stuffed into mutual funds and ETFs begin to fall, and the ETFs want to sell the underlying assets to generate liquidity, there will be no buyers except at extreme prices.
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Saturday, October 21, 2017
The Trigger for Volatility, Rates and the Next Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: Harry_Dent
If you’ve read any of my work, you know I think the iceberg that will ultimately sink the global Titanic is China. It has the greatest overbuilding and debt bubble in history, not to mention the obvious real estate and stock market bubbles.But the Chinese government has too much control over its economy to just let it slide. No. China won’t be the first domino to fall. Rather, the dubious honor may go to lovely and charming Italy.
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Friday, July 28, 2017
Euro Bearish, Stocks Topping, Gold Bullish Interpretation / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: Enda_Glynn
My Bias: long term bearish
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave
Long term wave count: lower in wave (3) red
Important risk events: EUR: German Prelim CPI m/m. USD: Advance GDP q/q, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment.
Thursday, July 20, 2017
The 3 Best Asset Classes To Brace Your Portfolio For The Next Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: John_Mauldin
By Jake Weber : No one knows when the next financial crisis will hit.
The 2008 financial crisis originated in sub-prime mortgages. Rampant speculation in dot-com stocks triggered a market panic in the early 2000s.
What will spark the next crisis?
Fed Chair Janet Yellen said last month that she didn’t expect a financial crisis in our lifetimes…. Of course, later she downplayed her comments, but it doesn’t change the message.
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Banks Are “Pulling the Plug” On Another Debt Bubble, CRASH is Coming / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: Graham_Summers
The credit cycle is turning for the worse.
Delinquency rates are creeping up in the consumer loan and commercial/industrial loan space. This is a clear signal that both the consumer and the corporate sectors of the economy are beginning to run out of steam.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Bank Of England Warns “Bigger Systemic Risk” Now Than 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: GoldCore
– Bank of England warn that “bigger systemic risk” now than in 2008
– BOE, Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) concerns re financial system
– Banks accused of “balance sheet trickery” -undermining spirit of post-08 rules
– EU & UK corporate bond markets may be bigger source of instability than ’08
– Credit card debt and car loan surge could cause another financial crisis
– PRA warn banks returning to similar practices to those that sparked 08 crisis
– ‘Conscious that corporate memories can be shed surprisingly fast’ warns PRA Chair
Thursday, July 13, 2017
A Financial Crisis Of Historic Proportions Is Once Again Bearing Down On Us / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Financial politicians (aka central bankers) have a long history of saying the wrong things at the wrong time.
Far worse, they simply fail to tell the truth. They lie because they’re afraid of the impact the truth will have. This is a problem, because markets can’t function on false information, at least not forever.
They also face enormous pressure to “do something,” even when the right thing is to do nothing and just let the market clear.
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Thursday, July 06, 2017
Italy Has Ignored ECB Regulations And Bailed Out Its Banks Again / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2017
By: John_Mauldin
By Xander Snyder : The Italian government has bailed out its banks again. Unwittingly, it has shown just how ineffective the European Central Bank is.
Rome recently finalized a deal to save one of the country’s largest and most important commercial banks, Monte dei Paschi di Siena. In another deal, Intesa Sanpaolo, a much more stable bank, will bail out Veneto Banca and Banca Popolare di Vicenza.
Both agreements involve Italian government funds and prevent senior creditors from incurring losses. That skirts the European Union’s strictest banking regulations, which allow Brussels to impose losses on senior bondholders.
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Tuesday, June 06, 2017
Euro-zone Crisis - Deposit Bail In Risk as Spanish Bank’s Stocks Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: GoldCore
– Deposit bail in risk as stocks and bonds of Spanish bank – Banco Popular – crash
– Banco Popular stock crashes most on record – down 63% this year to 34 euro cents
– Spanish bank tells employees – “Don’t panic”
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Sunday, May 28, 2017
Subprime 2.0: Lending a $1 Trillion to People With No Proof of Job or Income / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2017
By: Graham_Summers
SubPrime 2.0 is proving far worse than even we suspected.
If you’ve not been following this story, our view is that the auto-loan industry is Subprime 2.0: the riskiest, worst area in a massive debt bubble, much as subprime mortgage lending was the riskiest worst part of the housing bubble from 2003 to 2008.
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Sunday, May 21, 2017
THREE Charts That Tell Us the Next Financial Crisis is Closer Than Most Think / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: Graham_Summers
The election night bull market trendline is about to break. The only reason stocks have held up is hype and hope for Trump’s economic agenda. With the entire MSM, establishment shills, and deep state operatives trying to derail this, the market is about to lose this prop.
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Friday, March 17, 2017
Financial Crisis, Steve Eisman: Smart, Lucky, Abrasive & Now One Of Them / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: James_Quinn
I loved Michael Lewis’ book – The Big Short – about the 2008 Wall Street created global financial catastrophe, that is still impacting the little guys on Main Street eight years after it was supposedly resolved by Paulson, Bernanke and Obama. I even wrote an article about it called The Big Short: How Wall Street Destroyed Main Street. I also loved one of the main characters in the book – Frontpoint Partners hedge fund manager Steve Eisman – a foul mouthed, highly skeptical, open minded guy who figured out the fraudulent subprime mortgage scheme and shorted the crap out of the derivatives backing the fraud, making hundreds of millions in the process.
Monday, March 06, 2017
Financial Markets Have Priced in Trump Getting EVERYTHING He Wants... What If He Doesn’t? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Michael Pento president and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies and author of the book The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the U.S. Debt Market. Michael is a money manager and who ascribes to the Austrian School of Economics and has been a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business News, and also the Money Metals podcast.
Saturday, March 04, 2017
Will Banks' Excess Reserves Fuel a New Monetary Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Don't look now but inflation and a new gold rush might be in our future
Introduction: Professional investors are selling stocks and buying gold. Small investors are buying stocks and neglecting gold. While the bulk of attention has gone to the stock market thus far this year, gold is up 7.2% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 6.2%. What is going on? In this month's issue we explore what the professional investors might know that small investors are missing?
Read full article... Read full article..."Banks in the United States have the potential to increase liquidity suddenly and significantly – from $12 trillion to $36 trillion in currency and easily accessed deposits—and could thereby cause sudden inflation. This is possible because the nation’s fractional banking system allows banks to convert excess reserves held at the Federal Reserve into bank loans at about a 10-to-1 ratio. Banks might engage in such conversion if they believe other banks are about to do so, in a manner similar to a bank run that generates a self-fulfilling prophecy. . . What potentially matters about high excess reserves is that they provide a means by which decisions made by banks – not those made by the monetary authority, the Federal Reserve System – could increase inflation-inducing liquidity dramatically and quickly." – Christopher Phelan, economist, Minneapolis Federal Reserve
Friday, March 03, 2017
The Next Financial Implosion Is Not Going To Be About The Banks! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: Gordon_T_Long
The Global Real Estate market dwarfs all financial markets by any comparison.
The Global Real Estate market being so large, it has always been stable and as such it is the favorite of institutions for long term investing - specifically Insurance companies, pensions, trusts endowments, small banks & credit unions etc. However, if it were to be destabilized only slightly it would have profound consequences globally, as well as in the US. The US Commercial Real Estate market presently approximates $13T or about one fifth the annual Global GDP.
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Monday, February 27, 2017
Dow vs Precious Metals : Where’s The Beef ? Where’s the Bull ? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: Rambus_Chartology
Before we look at some precious metals stocks I would like to show you a couple of charts which will help explain why I didn’t participate in this last rally in the precious metals stocks that started in December of last year. It’s not that I didn’t want to, it’s just the evidence shows that the $INDU, which I’m going to use as a proxy for the rest of the stock markets, is in a true bull market vs the precious metals stocks. As I have often said, ” you always want to trade in a bull market vs a bear market because it will save you from a bad trade if you enter it at the wrong time. If you enter into a long trade in a bear market it will be unforgiving and can take you to the cleaners before you know what hit you.”
Thursday, January 05, 2017
The Endgame, Trump & Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: Darryl_R_Schoon
In the bankers’ endgame, slowing economic growth and excessive central bank liquidity forces investor capital into financial markets; driving up the price of stocks, bonds and commodities and creating financial bubbles whose collapse pose a systemic threat in overly-indebted capitalist economies.
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