Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, April 19, 2018
Is War "Hell" for the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
Take a look at stock market behavior in times of war… and peace
Are wars bullish or bearish for stocks?
With the recent news of airstrikes on Syria and a threat of a global war, this question is extremely relevant. But does war really cause stock markets to rise and fall?
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Thursday, April 19, 2018
Breadth Study Suggests that Stock Market Bottom is Already In / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Last week we demonstrated a momentum+breadth study which supported the medium term bullish case for the stock market.
Now let’s look at the short term case for the stock market. Is the stock market’s EXACT bottom already in?
The NYSE cumulative Advance-Decline Line (one of the best breadth indicators) just made a new all-time high yesterday while the S&P 500 has yet to make a new high.
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Thursday, April 19, 2018
Allegory Regarding Investment Decisions Made On Basis Of Government’s Income Statement, Balance Sheet / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Raymond_Matison
Webster’s dictionary defines allegory as a story in which people, things or happenings have a symbolic or hidden meaning that can be used effectively in teaching or explaining difficult ideas. Accordingly, an allegoric story is used here to explain the important difference between a government income statement and balance sheet, and its application for investment decisions in financial markets.
Simplistically, the government’s income statement records all its activity over a specific period of time during which it brings in revenues, disburses some benefits and pays some expenses. Individual and corporate income taxes provide the lion’s share of those revenues. When the cost of government and its expenditures are deducted from its revenues the balance is either a surplus or savings, or as has been our experience over the last few decades – there is a budget deficit. Such deficits have to be financed, and it results in persistent issue and growth of our national debt. In our allegory the budget deficits will be represented by a not large hole in the hull of a ship, whereas the governmental debt is represented by the accumulated flow of water in the hull of a ship.
Wednesday, April 18, 2018
The Stock Market “Turn of the Month Effect” Exists in 11 of 11 Countries / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Dimitri_Speck
Dear Investor,
I first discussed the “turn-of-the-month effect” in Seasonal Insights issue 6 of March 21, 2018. The term describes the fact that price gains in the stock market tend to cluster around the turn of the month.
By contrast, the rest of the time around the middle of the month is typically less profitable for investors.
With respect to the US stock market, I also showed how the “turn-of-the-month effect”” evolved over time, when it was particularly pronounced and when it tended to wane.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2018
Stock Market Short Squeeze/Melt-Up We Predicted Started Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The US majors are all nearly 1% higher for the day with the NASDAQ up over 2.25%. Our analysis of the markets was DEAD ON. We called the 2678 level on the ES as a key resistance level to watch before any breakout to the upside would potentially happen. We also called this market bottom nearly three weeks ago on March 28, 2018 and we are up over 15% on a position to take advantage of it with our followers. We have been nailing these market reversals with incredible accuracy all year and we are just getting started with our Advanced Dynamic Learning systems we have developed.
Wednesday, April 18, 2018
Investor Alert: How to See Through the Fog of War / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: MoneyMetals
The U.S. fired 105 Tomahawk missiles into Syria on Friday night.
In other times, the salvo would have put Americans on edge over the prospect of war with nuclear-armed Russia. Our former Cold War adversary is actively defending the Syrian regime and warning the U.S. to mind its own affairs.
But, these days not much can command the attention of the complacent public.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
A Stock Market Rally on Low Volume is NOT Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Conventional trading “wisdom” states that a rally that occurs on falling volume is bearish. Conventional “wisdom” states that sustainable rallies should occur on rising volume.
This simply isn’t true. As we said in Don’t use volume for trading,
Rising/falling volume isn’t a bullish sign or a bearish sign. It just is. Volume is mostly irrelevant. It doesn’t give you much of an edge in the markets.
The S&P 500 is rallying on falling volume right now.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Watch These S&P Numbers For Clues… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Harry_Dent
On Tuesday, Rodney talked to his Triple Play Strategy subscribers about the extreme volatility we’re experiencing in the markets. He asked the question: “So, how are you feeling?” as he observed that investors are looking increasingly tired from the extreme drops and bounces we’ve endured the least few weeks. He concluded that the situation isn’t looking good and he’s admittedly turned bearish.I may be with Rodney on that.
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Monday, April 16, 2018
Bombs, Missiles and War – What to Expect Next from the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Friday night opened up a whole new perspective on the global markets with the coordinated targeted attack on Syria. It’s not that we didn’t know this was a possibility, yet the event itself changes how the markets may react on Monday and throughout this next week. Our researchers at Technical Traders Ltd. have been diligently trying to identify the price rotations that will occur early next week and we believe this research post will help to prepare all investors for what may be a wild ride.
First off, with this event playing out late Friday night and early into Saturday, there are a number of things we have to consider. The US Dollar may be under some pressure this week as a result of this event. Gold and Silver may rally as fear and panic enter the markets. Oil will likely rise on fear of a disruption or conflict related supply issue. The US stock market will likely rotate with a bit with continued large price volatility early Monday morning as traders attempt to reposition after this event. Given all of this, the long-term perspective has to be maintained in order to understand the true market dynamics.
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Monday, April 16, 2018
Stock Market Futures Bounce, But Stopped at Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures bounced back but appear to be stopped at the 2-year trendline at 2675..00-2680.00 without making a new high. The Cycles Model suggests there may be some residual strength throughout the week during which options expiration may take precedence. OpEx has the ability to increase turmoil in the markets. As a result, this period may be protected by the powers that be.
Once Wave (3) begins, it should be unstoppable. However, there may be an effort to delay its onset.
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Sunday, April 15, 2018
Stock Market More Weakness? How Much? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should now continue until May.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, April 15, 2018
Trading Markets Amid Sound of Wars / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Builderadv
Given the sound of wars both in actual terms and in economic terms, what do we see for the next few weeks into stock markets and forex markets ? We must delink our trading from event risk and be focussed on actual data and trading trends. Never trade what should happen but trade what is happening. The political situation is fluid with rumors of Trump unhappiness with Mueller investigations. Then there is the war machine which has kicked a gear with attack on Syria. This is not the end. We need to wait if this is going to go deeper if Russia responds. Then there is a underlying current of trade wars which is yet to be settled. A far lesser event is the earning season which is now upon but markets are still trading at 24x P/E so its fully priced in for a great earning season. In fact if market corrects another 10%, it is still fully valued.
Friday, April 13, 2018
Stock Market SPX May Tangle with the 50-day MA / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has been correctively chopping higher on declining volume the past four days. It has bumped against the 2-year trendline five times in the past three days without a breakout. It hasn’t broken above the 50% Fib retracement at 2677.85. Could there be a breakout this morning? The EW Wave structure does allow a boost to just under 2700.00 with the current view. The 50-day Moving Average is at 2698.64.
Friday, April 13, 2018
Crude Oil Surges Over 8%, Gold and Silver Marginally Higher, Stocks Gain In Volatile Week / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: GoldCore
– Gold & silver eke out small gains; palladium surges 8% and platinum 2%
– Oil (WTI) surges over 8% to over $66.90/bbl; supply disruption risk
– U.S. dollar and Treasuries fall; geopolitical, trade war and fiscal concerns
– Stocks rally and shrug off trade war, macro and geo-political risks
– Bitcoin, major cryptos (Ethereum, Ripple etc) rise sharply
– Russia-US tensions high: Trump warns attack ‘could be very soon or not so soon at all’
Thursday, April 12, 2018
SPX Resistance May Prompt A Massive Short Squeeze / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our analysis continues today with this research of a potential Short Squeeze in the SPX and other broader markets. As you are probably well aware, we, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, have been nailing the markets with our detailed analysis for quite a while. Our Advanced Analytical tools have called nearly every move. Nearly two weeks ago we called a massive market bottom to form in the US markets – well before just about anyone else even saw a bottom formation. In fact, we have already banked 10% profit on the first half of our best-cherry-picked setup for subscribers and it’s continuing to rally more.
Thursday, April 12, 2018
Hot War and Cold Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Raul_I_Meijer
This is turning into a comedy. A black comedy, for sure, but still. As both the Skripal novichok ‘poisoning’ case in Britain and the ‘chemical attack’ in Douma, Syria fall flat on their faces on a total and absolute lack of evidence, it’s becoming clear that western ‘authorities’ are not at all planning to let go of the privilege that in times gone by allowed them to claim whatever they wanted and demand to be believed.
And despite the insane amounts of spying that underlies their business models and will lead to their demise(s), here is where social media do play a decisive role. See, if you’re an ‘authority’, there’s nothing you would rather do than to close down those social media that let people spread news that contradicts and/or doubts what you just said, and undermines that privilege. But that also would mean you can’t spy on them anymore through social media. A toss-up?!
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Thursday, April 12, 2018
Stock Market High Volatility is Not Consistently Bearish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The stock market started off in 2018 with a lot of volatility. The S&P 500 saw 23 trading days of >1% movements in Q1 (CLOSE vs previous day’s CLOSE).
This is supposed to be a long term bearish sign for the market. See this popular tweet:
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Thursday, April 12, 2018
ADL Price Anomaly and TNA Stet-up for a 5% to 10% Stock Price Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) modeling system has been hot. Now we want to share something super exciting with all our followers – a super trade setup in the ES. Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. has identified what may be one of the best trading signals we’ve seen in a long time – a potential +100pt move. That’s right, our advanced predictive modeling system is been calling a bottom in the markets for over 10 days now and we believe the following charts show us the that S&P will be one of the leaders in the move higher. Therefore, we want to urge our followers to be prepared for a potential 100+ pt upside move in the ES within the next 3~5 days and to trade accordingly – we certainly will be.
Tuesday, April 10, 2018
Top 8 Reasons to Find the Stock Market Emergency Exit Before this Fall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Michael_Pento
The stock market was trading at an all-time high valuation of 150% of GDP this January. That was indeed the bell rung at the very top. Stocks have since started to roll over, but valuations are still at 140% of the underlying economy. And that is, historically speaking, way off the chart. The average of this metric was around 45% throughout the decades of the 70’s thru the mid-1990’s. Therefore, the market is screaming for investors to hit the sell button now while there are still ample bids left. But, if your complacency and procrastination prevent you from realizing the truly dangerous bubble in equities right now, here are eight of the most salient reasons why you’ll definitely need to find the nearest emergency exit before this fall.
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Tuesday, April 10, 2018
Stock Market Long Upward Path / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Donald_W_Dony
As the U.S. and China "trade war" continues to escalate, the current market commentary often leans toward the negative and a possible market top.
Nothing could be further from the truth.
Thought the rhetoric clearly causes concern with investors, major U.S. market indexes continue to forge higher and have posted new all-time levels in Q1.
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