Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, February 13, 2021
US Economic Data Tempers Expectations on the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
Snapshot of the US Economy: Movers and Shakers
The performance of the US economy at any point in time is predicated on a series of economic indicators. Several important metrics must be assessed to gain a better understanding of US equities markets, and the economy at large.
Chief among them are the GDP growth rate, the unemployment rate, non-farm payrolls, the inflation rate, and interest rate. As it stands, theGDP growth rate is currently at 4%, the unemployment rate is at 6.3%, NFP data is at 49, and the January 2021 inflation rate remains unchanged at 1.4% (same as December 2020).
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Thursday, February 11, 2021
Millennials Will Propel Stocks Higher For Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Stephen_McBride
A message board destroys a top Wall Street hedge fund. You’ve surely heard about the WallStreetBets/GameStop saga by now. Many investors see it as a sign markets are headed for a crash.
In fact, Google searches for “stock market bubble” just hit the highest level ever. And a new E-Trade survey found two-thirds of investors think the market is in a bubble.
What if I told you this is the start of a megatrend that will propel disruptor stocks higher for years? As I’ll show you today, this story runs much deeper than a bunch of average Joes crushing the pros.
I think it’s jet fuel that will propel the stock market higher for a long time. And it all has to do with today’s generation of young adults, aka “millennials.”
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Thursday, February 11, 2021
What Are the Top Stocks to Watch in February? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
Stimulus + Stimulus = Robust Recovery in the Stock Market
With 2020 behind us, 2021 is shaping up to be a better year for the financial markets. Trader and investor optimism have strengthened, across most markets, including Emerging Markets, the Eurozone, and the United States. The ravages of a short-lived bear market were devastating, but the bulls are stomping their hooves.
This year, markets are expected to rebound on the back of several key elements, notably mass vaccinations of the global populace, multiple government stimulus efforts, and the development of a robust new-age, digital economy. All of these factors are coalescing to create new economic opportunities for growth.
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Wednesday, February 10, 2021
Another Stock Market Short-term Dip Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some good evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first quarter of 2021 before coming to an end.
SPX Intermediate trend: May continue until SPX reaches ~ 4150.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2021
Stock Market S&P 500 Continues To Climb, See What Sectors Are Set to Climb Even Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
While you may not have been paying attention, some of the strongest sectors are already showing great strength and setting up for new breakout rallies. Over the past 30+ days, sector trends have rotated as the market volatility has increased. Right now, we are seeing strength in some of the same sectors that were leading the markets 60+ days ago: Discretionary, Comm Services, Technology, Energy, Financials, and Real Estate. If you are not paying attention to these trends, you may miss some of the best assets to trade given big sector ETF moves we’ve seen in early 2021.
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Monday, February 08, 2021
Mid-Caps & Transportation Show Upside Targets For Next Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
An important technical conclusion stemming from the recent volatility spike is that prices must continue to push higher, above previous highs, in order to confirm the continued upside price expectations. The recent volatility spike and downside rotation in the US major stock market were big enough to reset many trending systems and prompt new upside price targets. In this research article, I will share our targets on the Mid-Caps and the Transportation ETFs to show you want we expect from the potential rally.
IWM Breakout Above $218.35 Suggests Rally Is Just Starting
The IWM, the Ishares Russell 2000 ETF, Daily chart highlights the recent rotation in price and shows a Fibonacci price extension range from the late December 2020 lows to the recent late January 2021 highs. I use these Fibonacci price extensions as a means of measuring potential upside or downside price targets, which seem to be fairly accurate. Watching what happens near the 61.8% level on the chart will guide us in determining if the 100% target level will be reached quickly or after a bit of consolidation.
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Monday, February 08, 2021
Prepare for "The Changing World Order in 2021" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
Every so often, the financial markets -- and usually, the entire world -- come to important pivot points.
You can think back to the year 2000, or 2007, or 2009 as recent examples.
And now, our friends at Elliott Wave International -- the world's largest independent market-forecasting firm -- say that 2021 may also join that list.
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Monday, February 08, 2021
When Will the Stock Market Party End? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Michael_Pento
I’d like to explain why these already-stretched markets could crash by the start of the 3rd quarter. I’ve been warning over the past month, or about, that my Inflation/Deflation and Economic Cycle Model SM is forecasting a potential crash in equities around the start of Q3 this year. Of course, this timing could change and I would only take action in the portfolio if the Model validates this forecast to be correct. Nevertheless, here’s why the bubble we are currently riding higher in the portfolio could burst around that time.
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Sunday, February 07, 2021
Volatility Spike Shocks Markets – Resets Trend Systems / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The recent volatility spike in the VIX prompted a very quick downturn in price levels across all US major Indexes over the past few trading days This sharp decline, although only lasting four trading days, prompted many systems to warn of a potentially much deeper price correction. As of the close of trading on Friday, January 29, 2021, it looked like a deep correction in price was setting up. Our proprietary BAN Trader Pro system also generated a “trend reset” trigger on Friday. This means our systems expected a change in trend, suggesting a bearish price trend was setting up, based on this spike in volatility and what appeared to be a moderately deep price trend.
VIX Hiccup Shocks Market Traders
The reality is that this downside trend move took place while a number of other factors were playing out. First, the Reddit group was targeting certain sectors/symbols in addition to the fact that the markets had already rallied a substantial amount since the November 2 election. This spike in the VIX index shocked a number of people and suggested a change in price trend.
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Friday, February 05, 2021
Stock Market Bears Losing The Battle / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Ricky_Wen
Monday's action retraced all losses from Friday as the Emini S&P 500 (ES) formed a double bottom during Sunday night at 3650 key level. The next two sessions will be pivotal in confirming whether it's risk on again or whether we need to wait a bit. Right now, bears are losing the battle before price action is back to neutral mode given the V-shape recovery into 61.8-78.6% retracement of the 3860s-3650s range.
The main takeaway is that this is healthy consolidation in the bigger picture because it allows the market to reset and take out some novices and shake the tree a bit. It clears out the newish traders that keep on buying calls and getting paid easily for the past few months. It ain’t gonna be as easy and simple as that going forward. At least not until price action confirms the stabilization/higher lows. During Sunday night, the market held the 3650s and formed a temporary double bottom setup. This was no surprise because we’ve been saying the 3650 area has been a key level for the past few weeks. It is the confluence of the January monthly lows.
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Friday, February 05, 2021
Did GameStop Mark the Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Stephen_McBride
“You do stocks, huh? I’m thinking about ploughing a few grand into GameStop. That thing’s going to the moon, bro!”
The guy on the treadmill next to me was clearly excited. Then he told me all about another opportunity as he wiped sweat off his face.
“The next Tesla,” he said, grinning from ear to ear. And he wasn’t the only one. I had at least four conversations about stocks at my local gym last week. (It’s not exactly a hotbed of investors. In fact, I’ve never talked about stocks there until recently).
Another guy told me he bought $5,000 worth of Royal Caribbean Cruises. Why? It “went down a lot.” And he thinks it’s a “lock” to bounce back.
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Friday, February 05, 2021
Stocks Need to Consolidate Now, And Gold Will Anyway / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Submissions
After Monday‘s great rise, stocks continued without much of a pause yesterday too. Did they get ahead of themselves, or not really? And what about those correction calls, is the alarm over now? As said yesterday, the bulk of the correction in stocks, is over.
Is it clear skies ahead now? In my very first 2021 analysis 10 days ago, I‘ve called for a not so rosy February ahead. Last Friday, options expired with stocks taking a plunge, so the current month will get an optical boost. I am looking for higher prices, and no correction around the corner.
Gold is in a different situation, still basing and unable to keep intraday gains. Having predictably given up the silver short squeeze boost, the search for the local bottom in largely sideways price action continues. That‘s likely to be the case given that the dollar has stabilized and is peeking higher (before eventually moving to new lows, is still my call).
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Wednesday, February 03, 2021
Here’s What’s More Important than the Recent Reddit GameStop Mania / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: P_Radomski_CFA
GameStop! Reddit! Silver manipulation (that’s been discussed for over two decades)! It’s exciting but pay attention to these more important factors.
Is the above really the key thing that’s happening in the markets right now? No, it’s only the most interesting thing. I admit, what we’re seeing on the Internet right now is truly absorbing, but one should realize that it’s what used to happen multiple times in history. This time it’s simply more visible as the conversations and associated images are publicly available and widely distributed.
In yesterday’s intraday Alert , I commented on the issue of the likely implications of these cumulative purchases on the precious metals market as a whole and what difference they are likely to make over the course of the following months and weeks – next to none.
Well, there is one effect that I’m expecting to see. It’s the increased volatility during the following price declines – likely proportionate to what was so vigorously bought in the last few days.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2021
The Wolf is At the Door (Or How to Protect Yourself Against This Bubble) / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Paul_Lamont
More than1 Trillion shares traded in speculative over-the-counter (pink sheets) stocks in December. In the options market, option trading by retail investors registered 46 million contracts in one day in early January. Reporters forBloomberg described events as "another day of euphoria" in "Day-Trader Heaven." Non-profitable tech companies have gone bonkers (see below).
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Wednesday, February 03, 2021
Why Next Wave of Margin Calls Will Be FAR More "Disruptive" Than in 2000 or 2007 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: EWI
"Can investors afford to borrow anymore?"
Financial history shows that every bear market has been followed by a bull market and vice versa.
So, the current bull market will end sooner or later.
The prior two bull market tops occurred in the years 2007 and 2000. One of the characteristics of each of those tops was investors' ramped up use of margin. In other words, market participants were borrowing heavily to buy stocks.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2021
Stock Market Bump in the Road? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some good evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first quarter of 2021 before coming to an end.
SPX Intermediate trend: May continue until SPX reaches ~ 4150.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2021
Stock Investment in 2021 — Finding the Best Stocks to Invest in / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
Everyone wants to try their luck in the stock market. It gives them the chance to get some extra bucks that they can throw in their savings account. But the stock trading game is not an easy one to play. You have to be really strategic and resilient, and the stock market will be your cash cow.
As a beginner in stock trading, your biggest challenge is to find the best stocks to invest in. The stock market keeps changing every day. There is a wide range of investment opportunities to choose from. You have to pick the one that’s most profitable for you. But how exactly do you do that? Here is a quick guide to get you started.
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Saturday, January 30, 2021
VIX and Defensive Sectors React To Perceived Stock Market Trend Weakness / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Since early November 2020, the VIX has continued to decline and consolidate near the 22 level. Late in December 2020 and beyond, the VIX started setting up series-high price spikes – which indicates a flagging downside pattern is setting up. You can see this setup across the recent VIX highs drawn in MAGENTA on the chart below. Additionally, the VIX has “stepped” higher – moving from lows near 19.50 to higher lows near 21.00. This upward stepping base is indicative of a shift in volatility.
VIX Sets Up Pennant/Flag Pattern
My research team and I interpret this data as a sign that trend weakness is starting to build after the strong rally that initiated in early November 2020. Although we have not seen any clear sign that the markets are about to reverse or decline, this move in the VIX is suggesting that volatility is increasing. The high price “breakout”, yesterday, in the VIX suggests the MAGENTA flag setup is nearing an Apex/breakout point.
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Friday, January 29, 2021
7 Must-Have Apps for Day Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Submissions
The past few years have seen a series of changes take place. The most impactful of them all is the increase in the importance of the Internet in our lives. As everything is moving online, the popularity of online trading has also increased significantly. Today, most people interested in making money by buying and selling shares, stocks, equities, etc. prefer to carry out their operations online. The main reason behind this change is the rise in popularity of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
The biggest advantage of online trading is that you can take part in the actions irrespective of your location if you have a mobile device and a healthy Internet connection. To make the process of online trading even easier for traders, developers have come up with several apps. You can use some of them to boost your market intelligence and trading profits. The section below talks about seven apps day traders must have on their phones.
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Thursday, January 28, 2021
Russell 2000 ETF Initiates New Stock Market Rally Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last week my team and I alerted our readers to the current trends and shifting sectors that are getting hotter every day. Technology, Energy, Financials, Industrials and others are experiencing bullish trends we haven’t seen in years. The Russell 2000 ETF, URTY, is starting a new breakout uptrend just after our BAN Trader Pro system suggested the SPY may initiate a new bullish rally. You can read relevant research posts here: RECENT TRIGGERS IN THESE SECTORS SUGGEST US STOCK MARKETS MAY ENTER A RALLY PHASE and TECHNICAL TRADERS ARE USING THE BAN HOTLIST TRIGGERS WITH HUGE SUCCESS USING REGULAR ETFS, LEVERAGE ETFS, AND OPTIONS.
As we can see in the chart below, the Russell 2000 has been one of the top performers since just after the November 2020 elections. Originating a breakout trigger on November 3, near $43.46, and confirming a “New High Breakout” on November 9, near $51.37, the Russell 200 sector has been rallying very strongly over the past 60+ days. The current “New Price High” breakout suggests this rally may continue. Fibonacci price extensions show a peak may target levels near $125~$130 – nearly 20%+ higher than current prices.
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