Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, June 30, 2017
Grant Williams Warns Get Out of Stocks Before Boomers Are Forced to Sell Them / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : Last year, the first baby boomers turned 70 and that spells trouble for investors.
Speaking at the Mauldin Economics Strategic Investment Conference, Grant Williams, Co-Founder of RealVision TV, warned investors about the wave of forced selling by millions of retirees and the impact it will have on their portfolios.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Half Of S&P 500 Earnings Growth Can Be Attributed To One Sector, Which Can’t Keep It Up / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : US stocks hit new all-time highs this month. Despite rich valuations, buyers think they’ll still go higher.
One reason for this exuberance is the rise of passively indexed ETFs.
Rather than go to the trouble of picking individual stocks, people dump their cash into index ETFs. The ETF sponsor then buys every stock in the index—even the ugly ones.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Stock Market VIX Spike Prediction Revisited / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Nearly 2 weeks ago, we issued a research/analysis report indicating our analysts had seen a VIX pattern that forecasted a VIX spike on June 29th of this month to coincide with a potential explosive move in the markets. Today (June 29th) the vix spiked over 45% exactly as we has predicted, so we thought we would revisit this analysis and update our valued followers.
Recently, as many of you already know by being ATP members, the US and global markets have rotated on a number of news items and concerns. First, the IMF revised US economic expectations to address slower than expected economic activity. Next, NASDAQ technology stocks have recently been very volatile in relative terms and have driven some very big moves. Additionally, just last weekend two banks in Italy have been closed as a result of failed ability to raise capital levels to support activities/risk. Lastly, the BITCOIN drama seems to be continuing with this recent ransom-ware outbreak originating from within Ukraine. All this uncertainty and risk is a bit concerning for the markets in terms of volatility.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Three Main Lies About Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Adam_ODell
Volatility gets a bad rap.The media typically portrays it as the financial world’s evil villain personified, saying things like…
“Volatility reared its ugly head on Monday.”
Or…
“Volatility is striking fear into the heart of the masses.”
You can almost picture the CGI monster Hollywood would create – the “Volatility Viper” – with its ten snake heads and blood-dripping fangs, snapping at Wall Street suits as they run for their lives.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Yellen’s Delusional Statement Guarantees Stock Market Crash Around the Corner / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Harry_Dent
Janet Yellen Said What!?She just had to do it!
Human behavior and its accompanying delusion is just so predictable! Earlier this week, she straight up said that “she does not believe there will be another financial crisis in her (our) lifetime…”
WHAT?!
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Thursday, June 29, 2017
The Fed Has Officially “Rung the Bell” For the Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Graham_Summers
The Fed just “rang the bell” on the market top.
Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s right hand man, John Williams made the following statement yesterday:
“The stock market seems to be running pretty much on fumes,” San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams said in an interview carried on Sydney’s ABC News affiliate and available on the internet on Tuesday. “It’s something that clearly is a risk to the U.S. economy, some correction there — it’s something we have to be prepared for to respond to if it does happen.”
Thursday, June 29, 2017
Stocks Rebounded Off Tuesday's Low, New Uptrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, June 29, 2017
Stock Market Correction May Complete Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are mildly positive this morning. In addition, the quarter end and the Cycles Model are positive for at least another day. That suggests Wave [c] may complete near the Cycle Top today in an expanded flat correction, dominated by a very long Wave [b].
The Summer quarter end is usually positive. As mentioned earlier, early short entries are usually subject to draw-downs. The VIX and Hi-Lo have not made sell signals, yet. Thus, only partial positions have been recommended. That will change very soon.
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Wednesday, June 28, 2017
Stock Market Direction Update and What I Have Been Up To... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: David_Petch
I had a number of people email requesting what I have been up to (did I die, am I ill) so here it is...Back in April 2016, after being a part of TreasureChests for 13 years I decided to hang up my pen and pursue other things. As many know or do not know, TreasureChests is shutting the doors at the end of this month. It was a pleasure working with Captain Hook and we still keep in contact on a regular basis to discuss what is going on with the stock markets. Since I have been busy the past year with a side project that is morphing into something bigger, I miss not writing…so here is an update.
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Wednesday, June 28, 2017
Is the Tech Stock Market Bloodbath is Finally Here? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Graham_Summers
Tech is ready to implode.
The NASDAQ ETF (QQQ) has broken its bull market trendline. Even worse, it has failed to reclaim this line despite a strong bounce. This is a MAJOR warning that the upwards momentum is gone.
The next leg down should be a doozy (the target is the red circle on the chart below).
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Wednesday, June 28, 2017
Is the Stock Market About to Post a Major Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Graham_Summers
The market has been sending “topping” signals for weeks now.
They include:
1) Fewer and fewer companies participating in the rally.
2) High yield credit, which leads stocks, rolling over.
3) Weakening momentum.
4) Dwindling volume.
5) Market leaders (the big 5 Tech) beginning to correct.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Charts Show Why Emerging Markets Will Be an Essential Part of Your Portfolio Going Forward / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : A major theme at the 2017 Strategic Investment Conference was the shift in economic power from developed markets to emerging markets (EMs).
For example, in 1960, the combined GDP of China and India made up only 5% of global GDP; today, it’s 30%.
In 1970, the G7 bloc made up half of global trade; now it makes up just 30%. It’s no wonder emerging markets are growing at almost three times the rate as the G7.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Former Lehman Brothers Trader: I Bet My Reputation That Stocks Bubble Will Pop In A Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : It wasn’t always this way. We never used to get a giant, speculative bubble every 7–8 years. We really didn’t.
In 2000, we had the dot-com bubble.
In 2007, we had the housing bubble.
In 2017, we have the everything bubble.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Stocks At Record Highs: Market Sentiment Still Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Stock Market Running Out of Steam / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: An ending-pattern appears to be forming.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, June 26, 2017
Crude Oil Trade & Nasdaq QQQ Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Plunger
I would like to put out a short update on the oil market and my view of the QQQs being a proxy for the Hi-Tech end of the market. With the hard sell off in the oil market of this week this would seem a logical place to give it a rest and for a short seller to step over to the sidelines for a while. Anytime the market has gotten itself to this level of being oversold we have seen a rip to the upside.
One of the keys to being a successful short seller is to know when its time to press ones bet. Extended moves to the downside come from oversold levels and I am going to show you why I believe we may have further to go to the downside before this current move is over.
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Saturday, June 24, 2017
US Stock Market Correction Could be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2433. After a gap up opening on Monday, and a new all-time high to SPX 2454, the market pulled back to 2431 by Wednesday. After a rally to SPX 2442 on Thursday the market pulled back to 2431 again on Friday. Then ended the week at SPX 2438. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.15%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.95%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the downtick: weekly jobless claims and the WLEI. On the uptick: existing/new home sales and leading indicators. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the Q1 GDP update and the Chicago PMI.
Saturday, June 24, 2017
The Swiss National Bank Owns $80 Billion in US Stocks—Here’s the Catch / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Switzerland is a small country of just 8 million people, but they make an outsized impact on economics and finance and money.
Because Switzerland is considered a safe haven and a well-run country, many people would like to hold large amounts of their assets in the Swiss franc. This makes the Swiss franc intolerably strong for Swiss businesses and citizens.
So the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has to print a great deal of money and use nonconventional means to hold down the value of their currency. Their overnight repo rate is -0.75%.
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Friday, June 23, 2017
Risk measurement? Volatility doesn’t cut it / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Submissions
Henrique Schneider writes: Almost every investor and almost every portfolio use volatility as an indication of risk. There’s nothing awfully wrong with that. But some investors and some portfolios reduce risk to volatility. And this is a serious error, since gauging on volatility is myopic, misinformed and revenue-averse. Why?
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Friday, June 23, 2017
Hedgers Net Short the Euro, US Market Rotates; 2 Horsemen Set to Ride? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
In line with our bullish forward view on USD, behold the very bearish state of the Commercial Hedger positions in the Euro (courtesy of Sentimentrader). Recent historical data speaks for itself. It appears a decline in the Euro is imminent (which, in market terms means ‘relax, it could be a while yet’ ).