Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, June 16, 2016
China's Hard Landing Has Already Begun! / Economics / China Economy
The Financial Repression Authority is joined by Richard Duncan, an esteemed author, economist, consultant and speaker. FRA Co-founder, Gordon T. Long discusses with Mr. Duncan about the current Chinese situation and the ramifications being imposed on the global economy.
Richard Duncan is the author of three books on the global economic crisis. The Dollar Crisis: Causes, Consequences, Cures (John Wiley & Sons, 2003, updated 2005), predicted the current global economic disaster with extraordinary accuracy. It was an international bestseller. His second book was The Corruption of Capitalism: A strategy to rebalance the global economy and restore sustainable growth. It was published by CLSA Books in December 2009. His latest book is The New Depression: The Breakdown Of The Paper Money Economy (John Wiley & Sons, 2012).
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Monday, June 13, 2016
Keynesian Economics Versus Austrian Economics - Video / Economics / Economic Theory
hi it's monday jun 13 2016
home of alternative economics and contrarian views
this morning I want to talk about the difference between the cannes in school
of economics and the Austrian School of Economics because you might be thinking
what is alternative economics and in my view that's what alternative economics
is today is the Austrian School of Economics Austrian School of Economics
is based on the studies of Austrian scholars from the 19th century and it
was followed through by economist's like ludwig von mises Africa
friedrich hayek Murray Rothbard from the US and yeah that's the are strange
school that the proponents of the Austrian school usually while not
usually the proposer ask our school argue that economics is not a science
economics is based on human action and of course human action is not predictable
Thursday, June 09, 2016
The Bull in The China Shop - The World Can No Longer Absorb China's Surplus / Economics / China Economy
ISSUE #1
The good news is that China produces more than it consumes. This is the opposite of the US which consumers more than it produces.
The bad news is that the world can no longer absorb China's surplus (Production minus Consumption). Global trade has slowed dramatically impacting Chinese exports. The problem is further compounded since China as the new global economic engine, has become the dominate importer of other countries production.
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Wednesday, June 08, 2016
Will You Heed the New Signs of Economic Crisis? / Economics / Economic Collapse
Kermit Had an Excuse... But Americans Do Not. On December 7, 1941, Kermit Tyler, an untrained watch officer, was on duty when a radar operator reported to him that he was seeing a large "blip" on the radar screen headed towards Pearl Harbor. Thinking it was a flight of returning U.S. B-17 bombers, Kermit replied nonchalantly, "Don't worry about it."
The "blip" turned out to be the first wave of over 300 Japanese fighters and torpedo bombers bent on attacking U.S. naval and air assets, an act which would plunge the country into World War II.
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Tuesday, June 07, 2016
The Illusion of Falling Official 'Unemployment' Fades / Economics / Economic Statistics
Friday's employment report featured the headline unemployment rate falling from 5.0% to 4.7% - which is a huge move lower. About the only encouraging aspect of the report is that markets largely ignored the fantasy headline for a change and focused on the ugly details. Nearly everyone acknowledged the report as bad news and markets reacted accordingly.
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Monday, June 06, 2016
A Crisis of Exporters Is Brewing—and That Has Massive Global Economic Implications / Economics / Global Economy
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN
The global system has reached a breaking point. All the pressures that have built up over the months and years have finally begun to tear it apart. There is much to tell, but for today, I will mention only three countries: China, Saudi Arabia, and Germany.
From 1991 to 2008, the consensus was that more exports make an economy stronger. This was true until 2008. However, the exporter is only as strong as his customer’s appetite and ability to buy what he sells. When demand falls, what was once a strength becomes a weakness.
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Monday, June 06, 2016
3 Signs the German Economy Is Falling Apart / Economics / Germany
Germany is the world’s fourth-largest economy. It is also Europe’s largest economy, and any European economic recovery depends a great deal on Germany’s trajectory.
Germany is also the third-largest exporter in absolute terms in the G20 and is nearly as dependent on exports as Saudi Arabia and South Korea. The country, therefore, must export vast amounts to maintain social and political stability.
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Monday, June 06, 2016
The Keynesians Stole The Jobs / Economics / Employment
Late last week the markets were shocked by a surprisingly bad May jobs report - the worst monthly report in nearly six years. The experts expected the US economy to add 160,000 jobs in May, but it turns out only 38,000 jobs were added. And to make matters worse, 13,000 of those 38,000 were government jobs! Adding more government employees is a drain on the economy, not a measure of economic growth. Incredibly, there are more than 102 million people who are either unemployed or are no longer looking for work.
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Friday, June 03, 2016
Funniest BLS US Jobs Report Ever! / Economics / Economic Statistics
Only a captured government drone could put out a report showing only 38,000 new jobs created, with the working age population rising by 205,000, and have the balls to report the unemployment rate plunged from 5.0% to 4.7%, the lowest since August 2007. If you ever needed proof these worthless bureaucrats are nothing more than propaganda peddlers for the establishment, this report is it. The two previous months were revised significantly downward in the fine print of the press release.
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Friday, June 03, 2016
The Super Shemitah, Jubilee and How to Prepare For the Coming Economic Collapse - Video / Economics / Economic Collapse
I was recently on Truth Frequency Radio with Joe Joseph and we discussed a number of topics including:
- The discovery of the Shemitah 7 year cycles and the upcoming collapse, the last Shemitah
- The impact of technology and the internet
- Elite planning of society
- The disastrous war on drugs is a war on people
- Attempts to control the internet
- The ongoing devaluation of the US dollar
- US government bankruptcy
- Creating a new system that makes the old system obsolete
Wednesday, June 01, 2016
Now Japanese Prime Minister Abe Predicts Imminent Global Economic Catastrophe / Economics / Economic Collapse
We continue to report on important mainstream investors, professional and private, who have warned about an impending, global financial catastrophe. Now, add Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to that list.
George Soros, Stanley Druckenmiller, and Carl Icahn among others have all made dire statements. They’ve also reconfigured their portfolios and taken positions in gold and silver and shorted the market.
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Tuesday, May 31, 2016
Will the Fed be Blind Sided by Stagflation? / Economics / Stagflation
Most Central Bank watchers know that our Federal Reserve has a dual mandate of stable prices in the context of maximum employment. But its use of the words "stable and maximum" is somewhat misleading. For instance, one would assume that "stable" inflation would lead the Fed to pursue no change in prices and "maximum" employment would be a rate targeted at 0 percent unemployment; but this is not the case.
For some antithetical economic reason central bankers have unanimously redefined stable prices as adopting a 2 percent inflation target. The Fed has also morphed the term maximum employment rate to mean a 5-6 percent unemployment rate, clinging to the misguided belief that full employment is the progenitor of inflation, despite no supporting economic or historical evidence.
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Saturday, May 28, 2016
Deflation Is A Direct Result Of Our Attempts To Create Inflation Through Easy Money! / Economics / Deflation
John Rubino of DollarCollapse.com and FRA Co-founder, Gordon T. Long discuss the effects of the rise in eCommerce along with the rise of technology and the consequences we are facing from flawed perceptions of financial authorities.
John Rubino is author of Clean Money: Picking Winners in the Green Tech Boom (Wiley, December 2008), co-author, with GoldMoney’s James Turk, of The Collapse of the Dollar and How to Profit From It (Doubleday, January 2008), and author of How to Profit from the Coming Real Estate Bust (Rodale, 2003). After earning a Finance MBA from New York University, he spent the 1980s on Wall Street, as a currency trader, equity analyst and junk bond analyst. During the 1990s he was a featured columnist with TheStreet.com and a frequent contributor to Individual Investor, Online Investor, and Consumers Digest, among many other publications. He now writes for CFA Magazine and edits DollarCollapse.com and GreenStockInvesting.com.
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Friday, May 27, 2016
The Next Big Crash Of The U.S. Economy Is Coming, Here’s Why / Economics / Economic Collapse
Investors better be prepared as the next crash of the U.S. economy is coming. This is not based on hype or speculation, rather due to the disintegration of the underlying fundamentals. Matter-a-fact, the fundamentals are so completely AWFUL, that the next market crash will make 2008 look quite tame indeed.
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Thursday, May 19, 2016
Unintended Consequences, Part 1: Easy Money = Overcapacity = Deflation / Economics / Deflation
Somewhere back in the depths of time the world got the idea that easy money — that is, low interest rates and high levels of government spending — would produce sustainable growth with modest but positive inflation. And for a while it seemed to work.
But that was an illusion. What actually happened was textbook, long-term, surreally-vast misallocation of capital in which individuals, companies and governments were fooled into thinking that adding new factories, stores and infrastructure at a rate several times that of population growth would somehow work out for the best.
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Saturday, May 14, 2016
Transportation Recession Signals Retail Problems Ahead! / Economics / Recession 2016
Financial Repression and the Structural Concerns for the Retail Market
FRA co-founder Gordon T. Long is joined by Wolf Richter to discuss the struggling retail market and its subsequent impact on the U.S economy as a whole which are a result of the recent financial crisis.
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Friday, May 13, 2016
Atlanta Fed GDPNow +2.8% vs. New York Fed Nowcast +1.2% / Economics / US Economy
Following today's retail sales alleged blowout, to which treasury yields actually declined, comes a big GDP upgrade by the Atlanta Fed GDPNow Model vs. a smaller jump by the New York Fed Nowcast Model.
The difference between the forecasts is now a whopping 1.6 percentage points.
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Wednesday, May 11, 2016
Can You Actually Live Too Long? / Economics / Demographics
The mainstream media has your number. You make too much money, you don’t pay enough in taxes, and you get too many tax deductions.Now there’s a new charge to add to the list – you live too long.
We all know that Social Security favors low-income workers. As the graph illustrates, for those at the low end of the average wage scale, Social Security replaces a little more than 50% of their income.
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Wednesday, May 11, 2016
How Strong is The U.S. Economy Really? / Economics / US Economy
In the six years since the recovery began, there has been endless debate over the strength of the U.S. economy. There are basically two sides of the debate. Those taking the positive side maintain the economy has almost returned to its pre-crisis levels and is on a firm footing. The opposing camp maintains that while the upper classes are in fine shape, the middle class is still hurting from the residual damage inflicted by the housing bubble implosion and credit crash. Is one side entirely mistaken or is there truth to both assertions?
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Monday, May 09, 2016
Japan: An Economy of Zeros / Economics / Japan Economy
The red sun on the flag of Japan symbolizes its position as the land of the rising sun. However, during WWII that round shape was pejoratively referred to as a zero. And now, since Japans economy is emitting so many zeros it can, unfortunately, once again be referred to as the land of zeros.
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