Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, February 05, 2009
Economic Implosion in Canada and Ireland as Workers Revolt / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Inquiring minds are noting similarities between the implosion in Ireland and the implosion in California. Let's take a look starting with In Ireland, "the game is up"
DUBLIN — At 2 a.m., with time for compromise running out, the Irish prime minister finally presented his emergency plan for the floundering economy to the country's trade union leaders.
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Wednesday, February 04, 2009
Pessimism Ahead of Friday's NonFarm Payrolls Jobs Report / Economics / US Economy
Any Hope for Job Growth? - This Friday's release on nonfarm payrolls will shine a burning light on our nation's need to promote growth and create new jobs. After losing 2.7 million jobs in 2008, projections are to start off 2009 with a 1/2 million reduction in payrolls. The unemployment rate which closed the year at 7.2% is expected to climb to 7.4% in this latest report.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 04, 2009
The Money Printing Secret- Collapse in the Money Multiplier / Economics / Money Supply
Heroes And Villains - In June of 1966 (similar to the warm sunny days of summer in 1929 and 2007 ), Brian Wilson produced the Beach Boys' single “Good Vibrations.” Capturing the positive feelings of the day, it quickly became a number one hit. But something had changed in 1967 when the Beach Boys moved on to their next album: Smile .Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 04, 2009
Real Interest Rates Soar as Case Shiller CPI Crashes to Minus 5% / Economics / Deflation
The following chart shows the effect if one substitutes the Case-Shiller housing index for Owners' Equivalent Rent in the CPI.
Case-Shiller-CPI (CS-CPI) vs. CPI-U
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Wednesday, February 04, 2009
Exposing Three Myths of Deflation and Recession / Economics / Deflation
This article is part of a syndicated series about deflation from market analyst Robert Prechter, the world's foremost expert on and proponent of the deflationary scenario. For more on deflation and how you can survive it, download Prechter's FREE 60-page Deflation Survival eBook , part of Prechter's NEW Deflation Survival Guide.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 04, 2009
How to Predict Inflation and Deflation Using the CRB Index / Economics / CRB Index
The #1 Predictor of Inflation or Deflation.There is an indicator which has been around since 1957. It has accurately forecasted every inflationary and deflationary cycle since. This is my number one indicator for large cyclic trends. You may want to watch this index carefully should you want to invest in certain stocks and commodity related markets.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 04, 2009
The Economic Deflation Survival Guide / Economics / Deflation
Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just put together an expansive NEW Deflation Survival Guide . The free 60-page eBook is packed with Robert Prechter's most important teachings and warnings about deflation. This is one of the most valuable resources EWI has ever offered at no cost. Learn more below or download it now – for free .Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 03, 2009
Political Elite on Guard Against Global Economic Depression and Gold Safehaven / Economics / Economic Depression
“If you want to continue to be the slaves of bankers, and pay the cost of your own slavery, then let bankers continue to create money and control credit,” warned Sir Josiah Stamp, former chief of the Bank of England in 1927. Indeed, the world economy is now held hostage by an elite banking cartel, whose reckless pursuit of speculation and bloated profits, has precipitated a breakdown of the global financial system, and is plunging the world towards a “Great Depression.”Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 03, 2009
Irrational Investors Buying into Deflation Scenario / Economics / Investing 2009
Glory Days? As I write this article on Super Bowl Sunday morning, I am looking forward to both the football game and the half-time show by Bruce Springsteen. When I think of the Boss - Bruce Springsteen, I always think of his classic song called Glory Days .
Perhaps Glory Days should replace the Star Spangled Banner as our national anthem. Old Uncle Sam could reminisce about his glory days . Such as the days when our country did not have Treasury secretaries from Goldman Sachs or not have a system-gaming, new Treasury secretary appoint a Goldman Sachs lobbyist as his top aide.
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Tuesday, February 03, 2009
UK Heading for Worst Recession Since World War2 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
What makes this recession so different?2009 is turning into a record-breaking year – and we're only just into February.
We're facing the worst recession since the Second World War and now we've been landed with the heaviest snowfall since the last recession in 1991.
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Monday, February 02, 2009
Real Cures for Our Economic Disease / Economics / Economic Stimulus
I have recently had several opportunities on various news programs to discuss the economy and what is wrong with the so-called economic stimulus package. I have said over and over what we shouldn't be doing, and now I'd like to explain what we should be doing.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 02, 2009
Is the World Finally Ready to Accept the Deflationary Scenario? / Economics / Deflation
This article is part of a syndicated series about deflation from market analyst Robert Prechter, the world's foremost expert on and proponent of the deflationary scenario. For more on deflation and how you can survive it, download Prechter's FREE 60-page Deflation Survival Guide now .Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 02, 2009
Washington Replacing Wall Street as the City that Drives America? / Economics / Economic Stimulus
William Patalon III writes: Washington replacing New York – and more specifically, Wall Street – as the city that drives America?
The question, raised in a new Reuters piece , is certainly a good one – and a fair one. As the United States suffers through perhaps its worst financial crisis ever – a crisis caused by the combination of rampant greed and some ill-conceived financial engineering – Wall Street's reputation has been badly tarnished, perhaps forever.
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Monday, February 02, 2009
Obama's Ignorance of Economic History Could Wreck U.S. Economy / Economics / Economic Stimulus
In a recent talk he gave at the London School of Economics Bernanke basically laid out the thinking behind his monetary strategy with the statement: "Put out the fire first and then think about the fire code." This is code for flood the US economy with dollars and then worry about the inflationary consequences for the country. No wonder he saw nothing wrong with letting the monetary base explode by 107 per cent (from just under one trillion dollars to nearly three trillion dollars) from 8 August last year to 9 January.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 01, 2009
So, Who's Going to Bail Out the Consumer? / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts
Since the consumer is now and forever the great engine of all economic activity and growth representing approximately 70% of GDP, doesn't it make sense to re-liquify the balance sheets of the consumers/taxpayers who are arguably in worse shape than any bank, corporation or local/state government?Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 01, 2009
The Paradox of Savings and Spending Competing with Socialism 2009 / Economics / Economic Stimulus
“Words from the Wise” this week comes to you in a shortened format as pressure from my “day job” precludes me from doing my customary commentary. However, a full dose of excerpts from interesting news items and quotes from market commentators is provided. (For more discussion about economies and financial markets, also see my post “ Video-o-rama: Global economy - banked into submission “.)Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 01, 2009
U.S. Unemployment Government Statistics Hiding the Dismal Truth / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Don Miller writes: The dismal U.S. unemployment numbers have gotten more airtime recently than Jerry Springer.
And why not?
The numbers are mind-numbing.
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Saturday, January 31, 2009
Yikes! We're caught in a liquidity trap. What the Heck is That? / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
Since the Fed increased the monetary base by, oh, about a Trillion dollars, why aren't we having massive hyperinflation?Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 30, 2009
Peter Schiff, WSJ and Countries Must Un-peg Before They Decouple / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
The Wall Street Journal ran a piece today titled: “Right Forecast by Schiff, Wrong Plan?”
Peter Schiff is the president of the Darien, Connecticut broker-dealer firm, Euro Pacific Capital Inc., which specializes in investments in foreign dividend paying stocks. He has come under some criticism recently concerning the performance in 2008 of foreign stocks tied to his investment strategies – namely, that the U.S dollar would weaken significantly and that foreign economies and stocks would outperform those in the U.S.
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Friday, January 30, 2009
Gold Outlook: Currency Debasement Risks Inflation Spiraling Out of Control / Economics / HyperInflation
Gold rose by just over 1% yesterday to over $900/oz as renewed risk aversion saw stock and bond markets come under pressure.Gold subsequently traded sideways in Asia prior to another strong rally at 0800 GMT when gold surged from $901/oz to $926/oz in the hour. It has since given up some of those gains but remains above $920/oz. Demand remains very high internationally for etf's, gold certificates and bullion coins and bars.
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