Monday, May 21, 2018
Financial Conditions are Still too Easy for the Stocks Bull Market to End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Investors and traders love to fixate on the absolute level of interest rates.
- “It’s all over when the 10 year yield reaches 3%”.
- “It’s all over when the 10 year yield reaches 3.25%”.
- “It’s all over when the 10 year yield reaches 4%”.
- “It’s all over when the 10 year yield reaches 4.5%”.
Instead, investors and traders should focus on how interest rates are impacting various aspects of the economy right now. Focus on the RELATIVE relationship.
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Sunday, May 20, 2018
US Stock Market Elliott Wave Predictions for 2018 and Beyond / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently, an interesting concept was discussed among our research team – a very interesting concept about the markets. As many of you know, part of the process or research is to test conclusions that may lie outside common thinking. While we were discussing the Fibonacci and Elliot Wave structures of the US market using longer-term charts, one item kept intriguing our research team. This one item could change everything in terms of how we are thinking about the US markets and Global markets.
Almost everyone knows that Elliot Wave (EW) theory consists of Five Waves to complete a major EW Cycle. The most common form of EW price cycles is A, C & E (or 1, 3 & 5) waves advancing and B & D (or 2 & 4) waves declining for an uptrend.
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Sunday, May 20, 2018
Saudi Arabia Stock Market Technical Update: Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia
By: MarketsToday
Larger advance stalls at the 50% retracement zone. - Deeper short-term pullback may occur.
- Followed by advance to new highs.
Sunday, May 20, 2018
Are You Still Fearful of Cryptos? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Avi_Gilburt
Ryan Wilday: Since leaving my job as a corporate design manager to analyze and trade cryptos (among other things), I’ve gained new attention from old colleagues. In circles of my former profession, I’m the guy that retired to trade for a living. While my departure from corporate life was something I planned for many years, cryptos certainly gave those plans a shot in the arm.
Regardless of how it came about, my early ‘retirement’ carries some lore; ‘He must have made millions on Bitcoin’ I’m sure some say.
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Sunday, May 20, 2018
US Stocks - Why I am Short-term Bearish, Medium-term Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
To be clear: the Medium-Long Term Model currently states that:
- The S&P 500 (U.S. stock market) is still in a bull market.
- This 11.8% “small correction” won’t turn into a “significant correction”. Hence the stock market’s medium term downside is limited.
The Medium-Long Term Model predicts “significant corrections” based on a set of conditions. When none of those conditions are met (i.e. right now), it is highly unlikely for a “small correction” to turn into a “significant correction”. This means that the stock market will eventually make a new high given enough time.
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Sunday, May 20, 2018
Looking for a Turn in Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, reflect on market factors that are driving current fluctuations in the gold price.
For nearly four months now, gold has been pressured lower by a rising dollar; the inverse correlation has been almost exact. Gold has dropped 5.2% from its January 25, 2018 close of $1,362 to its May 16 close of $1,291.50. Meanwhile, the US dollar index has risen 5.4% from this year’s low close of 88.50 on February 15, 2018, to its close on May 16 at 93.26. In the past few days, shorts have jumped in to press their luck, judging from the increase in CME open interest while the price is falling.
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Saturday, May 19, 2018
GDX Gold Mining Stock Fundamentals 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
The major gold miners’ stocks are still largely grinding sideways, mired in a bearish sentiment wasteland. Traders tend to assume low stock prices must be righteous, reflecting weak fundamentals rather than poor psychology. But once a quarter earnings seasons’ bright fundamental sunlight parts the obscuring fogs of popular sentiment. The gold miners’ just-reported Q1’18 results prove they remain deeply undervalued.
Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports. Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 45 calendar days after quarter-ends. Canadian companies have similar requirements. In other countries with half-year reporting, many companies still partially report quarterly.
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Saturday, May 19, 2018
Semiconductor Stock Market Canaries: Chirp, Warble… Soon a Croak and Silence? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
In light of earnings reactions in the Semiconductor Equipment sector, it’s time for an update of a theme we have had in play since November, 2017
The canary is no longer chirping in a healthy manner and the economy’s coal mine has a toxic gas leak. While the recent Lam Research (LRCX) earnings report was pretty good and there were positive aspects to that of Applied Materials (AMAT), these highly cyclical companies that have been at the front end of the entire economic cycle that had its beginnings in 2013 are showing signs of wear.
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Saturday, May 19, 2018
Bitcoin Beyond the Bubble - Video / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Jeff_Berwick
You know what’s almost as rewarding as being right about Bitcoin? The satisfaction of saying “I told you so” to all the powerful naysayers who scoffed at crypto years before it became today’s most profitable trend.
And that’s what the new documentary “Bitcoin: Beyond the Bubble” does so well, capturing the establishment freakout we in the crypto world have painstakingly endured for so many years.
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Saturday, May 19, 2018
Welsh Gold Being Hyped Due To Harry Meghan Royal Wedding? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: GoldCore
– Welsh gold and the misconceptions surrounding it – GoldCore speak to China Central Television (CCTV)
– Welsh gold mired in misconceptions, namely that it is ‘rarest’ and most ‘sought after’ gold in world
– Investors to be reminded that all mined gold is rare and homogenous
– Nothing chemically different between Welsh gold and that mined elsewhere
– Investors led to believe Welsh gold is more valuable, despite lack of authenticity in some Welsh gold products
– Peak gold: We tell Beijing’s largest TV network that Welsh gold is limited but so too is gold everywhere
Friday, May 18, 2018
Three Drivers of Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
We cannot value gold. It does not generate any cash flows, which we could discount. But it doesn’t mean that the price of gold changes randomly. Market sentiment is powerful in the precious metals market – but the same applies to other markets (after all, humans are emotional creatures). However, it does not operate in a void. Actually, there are some important fundamental drivers at work. Just like in the cosmos. It seems to be empty space – but gravity works there. Similarly, the precious metal market seems to be very emotional and without any logic, but when you look closely, you will discover important forces in action. What are they?
Friday, May 18, 2018
Bringing the Wild West back to Alaska / Politics / US Politics
By: Stephen_Merrill
Amid Alaska's deep recession with no end in sight, it is the city of Anchorage that suffers the most. Beyond losing jobs and longtime residents on a sharp curve downward, Anchorage has been afflicted by a spike in crime, including violent crime. Downtown Anchorage is dying slowly.
That is quite a conundrum for a place that fate seemed destined to reward as beautiful and prosperous forever, given what the natural world already provides. The remedy I'd like to suggest for Southcentral Alaska is one that has brought sudden, massive economic growth to places far less likely to succeed than Anchorage.
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Friday, May 18, 2018
Natural Gas Flashes Buy Signal with Cycles Confirming / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research team has been following the energy sector quite intensely with Oil and Natural Gas making an impressive move. A little known seasonal pattern in Natural Gas has setup recently and we have alerted our members to this play which is already up over 16%. Our advanced price modeling systems and Adaptive Dynamic Learning Cycles have recently triggered another buy entry point which we share in this article but first look at the seasonal chart showing the month which Natural Gas is generally strong.
Friday, May 18, 2018
We FINALLY Got Our Pullback In Gold GLD ETF / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
As the title notes, we are finally getting that 5th wave down in the GLD after weeks of meandering. Moreover, not only are we getting that 5th wave down, the 3rd wave within this 5th wave down extended beyond the 3.618 extension of waves i and ii down. And, such a strong extension is certainly doing its job in getting even more people souring on this complex.
Moreover, as I am reading out there in the blog-world, it seems many are turning quite negative with gold breaking below its 200DMA. Clearly, this is EXACTLY what we want to see to strike a bottom in the complex.
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Friday, May 18, 2018
GOLD Bullish Opportunity – Unrivaled for years to come! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Enda_Glynn
Hello everyone,
Well, the headlines were piling on strong today with doomsday predictions for GOLD and pie in the sky predictions for Crude oil!
Of course this is perfect timing as usual because;
Extreme sentiments always appear at the end of a trend,
when people tend give in to the unrelenting price move, which has already happened!
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Friday, May 18, 2018
Gold Market in First Tertile of 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The first four months of 2018 were positive for the gold market. The price of the yellow metal has gained about 2 percent in that period. As one can see in the chart below, the rally started in mid-December.
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Friday, May 18, 2018
HFC HollyFrontier Corporation Impulsive Elliott Wave Rally / Companies / Company Chart Analysis
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
Holly Corporation and Frontier Oil merged in July 2011 to form HollyFrontier Corporation (NYSE: HFC). The company is a petroleum refiner and distributor of petroleum products, from gasoline to petroleum-based lubricants and waxes.
Over the past 2 years, Hollyfrontier Corp performed better than majority of its peers in the Oil & Gas Refining and Basic Materials sector. Its stock price is already up 34.4% year-to-date and still expected to see more gains as Oil price is also up 20% this year which helped the petroleum companies to perform well recently.
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Friday, May 18, 2018
Flattening Yield Curve is Good / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Axel_Merk
In recent months, pundits have cautioned about a flattening yield curve, suggesting it may signal the end of the economic expansion, the end of the bull market, possibly even the end of the world as we know it. There's plenty to worry about in the markets, but in the spirit that knowledge is the enemy of ignorance, let's clear up some myths.
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Friday, May 18, 2018
Stock Market Indexes Fill Tuesday Price Gap Now Where? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The 30-minute chart price pattern with a large gap down in price on Tuesday morning created what we call a “Gap Window”. Almost all gaps in the SP500 get filled eventually, and both the top and bottom areas of a gap window become short-term resistance or support.
A three-wave a-b-c correction is generally what causes stop orders to be run, panic selling, and creates a pivot low. This is displayed with a red line on the chart.
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Thursday, May 17, 2018
What Happens Next When Small Cap (Russell) Leads the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Small cap stocks (Russell 2000 Index) made a new all-time HIGH yesterday even though mid/large cap stocks (S&P 500) are still lagging. The S&P is still 5% below its all-time high.
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