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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Friday, May 31, 2019

Smart Gold Investors Ask: Crisis or Zombification? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Many people worry about the replay of the last economic crisis. But what if we look not in the direction from which the threat will come? What if we fight the last war? We invite you to read our today’s article about the possibility that the endgame will not to be a 2008-style financial crisis, but a slow, painful and unstoppable zombification of the global economy. And find out how it would affect the gold market.

We know that there is still a lot of time to Halloween. But please come with us to the cemetery to meet some zombie friends – who knows, maybe we will learn something about the economy and the gold market from them?

The current expansion is probably the most hated period of prosperity. Since the very end of the Great Recession, the pundits have been worried about the next economic crisis. We were told that the recession was just around the corner (the sellers of precious metals often aroused such fears). We have been hearing it for ten years.

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Companies

Friday, May 31, 2019

These Three Stocks Love Low Interest Rates / Companies / Investing 2019

By: Robert_Ross

Looks like the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates soon.

Sure, the Fed announced it was leaving interest rates put last week. But I think the Fed will take this one step further and cut rates in the near future.

The Fed lowers interest rates when it thinks the economy is weak. This makes it cheaper for businesses to borrow money and employ more people.

And we’re already seeing signs of a slowing economy.

When the economy slips into a recession, which I expect to happen in the next year or so, the Federal Reserve will no doubt lower interest rates—just like it’s done after every recession since 1950.

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Commodities

Friday, May 31, 2019

Silver SIL Mining Stocks Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Zeal_LLC

The silver miners’ stocks have been pummeled in recent months, plunging near major secular lows in late May.  Sentiment in this tiny sector is miserable, reflecting silver prices continuing to languish relative to gold.  This has forced traditional silver miners to increasingly diversify into gold, which has far-superior economics.  The major silver miners’ ongoing shift from silver is apparent in their recently-released Q1’19 results.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Required by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, these 10-Qs and 10-Ks contain the best fundamental data available to traders.  They dispel all the sentiment distortions inevitably surrounding prevailing stock-price levels, revealing corporations’ underlying hard fundamental realities.

The definitive list of major silver-mining stocks to analyze comes from the world’s most-popular silver-stock investment vehicle, the SIL Global X Silver Miners ETF.  Launched way back in April 2010, it has maintained a big first-mover advantage.  SIL’s net assets were running $294m in mid-May near the end of Q1’s earnings season, 5.6x greater than its next-biggest competitor’s.  SIL is the leading silver-stock benchmark.

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Politics

Friday, May 31, 2019

The Bankers’ “Power Revolution”: How the Government Got Shackled by Debt / Politics / Banksters

By: Ellen_Brown

This article is excerpted from my new book Banking on the People: Democratizing Money in the Digital Age, available in paperback June 1.

The U.S. federal debt has more than doubled since the 2008 financial crisis, shooting up from $9.4 trillion in mid-2008 to over $22 trillion in April 2019. The debt is never paid off. The government just keeps paying the interest on it, and interest rates are rising.

In 2018, the Fed announced plans to raise rates by 2020 to “normal” levels — a fed funds target of 3.375 percent — and to sell about $1.5 trillion in federal securities at the rate of $50 billion monthly, further growing the mountain of federal debt on the market. When the Fed holds government securities, it returns the interest to the government after deducting its costs; but the private buyers of these securities will be pocketing the interest, adding to the taxpayers’ bill.

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Companies

Friday, May 31, 2019

How to Properly Utilize Makeup Business Cards / Companies / SME

By: Submissions

While the modern world acts as if online ads and social media are the only way to reach clients, the reality is that tried and true classic methods like handing out business cards and flyers still work. This is especially true in one-on-one marketing. This is why makeup business cards are essential to those in the fashion and beauty industry, whether you sell these items or provide services in this area. The question then is how to properly utilize your business cards to grow your business.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 31, 2019

The Stocks Bull Market is Over… Now Comes the Bloodbath / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Graham_Summers

The markets are a sea of red this morning…

I’ve been warning for weeks that a collapse was coming… and now it is here.

The markets have finally woken up to the fact that the US and China will NOT be reaching a trade deal… and that the global economy is contracting.

Stocks have taken out critical support (red line). The next stop will be in the lower 2,700s (blue line).

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Housing-Market

Friday, May 31, 2019

US House Prices Momentum Analysis / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The US housing market since early 2015 had been trundling along nicely on a momentum of between 4% and 6% per annum. However as of the most recent data that trading pattern has been breached with momentum falling to +3.2% as a consequence of outright falls in US house prices over the past 3 months. Therefore given the trend trajectory it is highly probable that US house prices are now trending towards 0% house price inflation and may even briefly go negative, which I am sure will send alarm bells ringing at the Fed, as it would fear that its banking brethren are about to feel some pain, and we all know what happens when the banks start to feel pain!

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Commodities

Thursday, May 30, 2019

Gold Price Trend Forecast 2019 - Current State / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Gold Price began 2019 with a continuation of it's strong December 2018 rally towards resistance at $1300 that was soon overcome propelling the Gold price higher to next resistance at $1350 by Mid February. Since when entered into a shallow downtrend all the way to the recent low of $1269. Which is particularly disappointing given that many Gold bugs had pinned hopes on safe haven demand in the aftermath of Trump trade war chaos tumbling stock markets since the start of May, not to mention a aircraft carrier group steaming towards the Persian Gulf, none of which is being reflected in the Gold price to date.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 30, 2019

This Is Why US Monetary Policy Is So Ineffective / Interest-Rates / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

Back in the 1980s and 1990s, many people thought excessive government spending and the resulting debt would bring inflation or even hyperinflation.

We wanted a hawkish Federal Reserve or, better yet, a gold standard to prevent it. Reality turned out differently.

Federal debt rose steadily, inflation didn’t. Here’s a chart of the on-budget public debt since 1970:

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Commodities

Thursday, May 30, 2019

When (Not If) Silver Has a "Bitcoin Moment" / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

In mid-May 2019 the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), was trading around $5,600. At $4,000, a prominent technician predicted it was gearing up for a run to $6,500. Yet when it reached $5,700, he recommended selling because of a technical "non-confirmation."

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Commodities

Thursday, May 30, 2019

Gold, Silver, Oil, Cryptos - Audio Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY: First, we typically see stocks sell-off and as the old saying goes, “Sell in May and Go Away!” which is what has been happening.

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Companies

Thursday, May 30, 2019

The Single Most Powerful Insight that Will Help You Find the Next Amazon, Google, or Netflix / Companies / Investing 2019

By: Stephen_McBride

If you haven’t read me before, let me briefly introduce myself to give you a little context.

I’m Stephen McBride, Chief Analyst at RiskHedge. My job is to find under-the-radar disruptor stocks that are set to dominate the world in the next 10 years… and make investors rich in the process.

Think of buying Amazon a decade ago…

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 29, 2019

Are We Looking at a Dead Cat Bounce in Crude Oil Price? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Oil bulls look to have arrested the slide as there hasn’t been a down day since Thursday. One could easily expect a more vigorous rebound, however. The nearby resistances remain and black gold has hardly gone anywhere today so far. After the long weekend, will the bulls muster more strength, or does the technical picture favor another trip south in the coming days? The answer isn’t as easy as might be inferred from the Alert’s title...

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 29, 2019

Extended Gold Mega Base Could Prompt An Incredible Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Here we go again..  We’ve been nailing the Precious Metals moves for many months and we’ve heard from many of our followers and members about our research.  Some of you might remember our November 24, 2018 prediction that Gold would rally above $1300, then stall and set up a “Momentum Base pattern near April 21~24, 2019″ .  We find it incredible that we can make a prediction about Gold nearly 6+ months ahead of the move using our proprietary predictive modeling tools and then sit back and wait for it to happen just as we predicted.

On March 28, 2019, we posted this research article regarding the “Final Buying Opportunity for Gold”.  Our researchers believe this current double-bottom setup is the last time you’ll see Gold prices below $1300 for quite some time in the future.  Again, we were warning our followers that the opportunity to position their gold trades was setting up and this low price setup may be the last time we see Gold near these lows.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 29, 2019

US is Winning Trade War with China...for Now / Economics / China US Conflict

By: Richard_Mills

The ongoing battle between the United States and China for economic supremacy isn’t only being fought in the gilded ballrooms of Washington, as trade negotiators from either side parry over automobile parts content, intellectual property rights, government subsidies and the like.

Casualties and victories are also borne out over the decks of hulking freighters that carry the commodities which make up the nuts and bolts of international trade.

Indeed, shipping statistics are often sought by economics and traders trying to predict the health of a country’s economy or the world economy. The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is one such leading indicator. Another is the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI). PMIs are a monthly survey of supply chain managers across 19 industries. An economy with a PMI of over 50 is considered to be growing; under 50 means an economy is treading water or possibly drowning.

This article is concerned with the Baltic Dry Index and other shipping statistics - such as cargo volumes through West Coast ports - that we can use to determine who, at this stage, China or the US, is winning the trade war.

The overall conclusion we, at Ahead of the Herd, came up with, is that the United States is winning, in terms of raw economic data, but at a cost to both economies of roughly $165 billion in two-way trade. The losers also include US consumers who are paying more for imported goods, and companies in both countries that can’t afford 25% tariffs for an extended period of time.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 29, 2019

Can Markets Still Drop Sharply…or Is the Fed Invincible? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: MoneyMetals

The financial markets feel as if they are totally controlled. Zerohedge recently made an observation that pretty well sums up the situation, in the context of trade: The quickest way to settle the trade war is for stock markets to drop significantly. Much lower prices will put pressure on President Trump to end the standoff.

The problem is neither the president nor the Fed have the stomach for lower prices. Investors are certain they will act quickly to prevent any major bear market.

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Companies

Wednesday, May 29, 2019

This 1.1$-Trillion Industry Will End Up Like Retail… Which Is a Huge Investment Opportunity / Companies / Banking Stocks

By: Stephen_McBride

Banks have grown very, very rich in the last 30 years—thanks to their privileged monopoly position.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM), America’s largest bank, has grown profits by 2,000%+ in the last 30 years.

Bank of America (BAC), the second-largest American bank, has seen its profits surge 4,700%.

JP Morgan Chase and Bank of America are the 10th- and 13th-biggest public companies not just in the US, but on earth.

And as we all know, bankers enjoy some of the biggest salaries around. In 2017, the top five US bank CEOs earned a combined $100 million.

But quietly, banks’ grip on money is slipping away...

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 29, 2019

Eurosceptics Gained Seats in the EU. Will Gold Shine Now? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

More than 200 million people in 28 nations voted in the second-largest democratic elections in the world. What interesting information can we glean from their vote – which way the wind blows now? Crucially, how does it reflect on gold?

Populists and Greens Gain Seats in the EU Parliament

People across the European Union have voted for in the European Parliament elections. Turnout was 50.5 percent, the highest level in 20 years. Last time, it stood just 42.6 percent. However, despite high turnout – which usually supports mainstream, big parties – the two biggest voting blocs have lost their majority in the European Parliament. The centre-right European People’s Party and the centre-left Socialists and Democrats will remain the two largest blocs, but they lost 74 seats. They had 403 of the 751 seats in the EU parliament, now they will have just 329 seats.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 29, 2019

Stocks Break Downward In Afternoon Trading / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The afternoon price breakdown in the YM (Down Futures) continues to confirm our recent analysis.  We authored a three-part research post near mid-May discussing how the global tensions would likely play out in the global stock markets. We also authored another, more recent, research post about how the US stock markets would likely find weakness as news is digested after the US Memorial Day holiday weekend.  If we go far enough back in our research, we can find a very interesting research post from March 31, 2019, where our research team suggested July 2019 would be a key date for a potential market top formation.

Today, we are going to focus on the downside price rotation that is happening in the YM (Dow Futures) and how it points to an extended sideways Pennant/Flag price formation over the next few weeks before a breakdown move may cause havoc in the markets.

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Economics

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

What Will Trump’s Immigration Fight Cost You? / Economics / Immigration

By: Rodney_Johnson

Just like investors tend to buy high and sell low, politicians tend to react to most major issues (ahem… immigration) by doing the wrong thing at the right time.

It’s no secret that almost all developed countries, and China in the emerging world, are slowing in workforce and demographic growth – many outright declining. Rodney talked about this just last Thursday. Five of the six smaller ones (which include Australia and New Zealand) that aren’t have one thing in common: strong and high-quality immigration.

You would think, with clearly predictable further slowing in demographic trends, that the developed countries would be competing for the best global immigrants. But most are restricting or fighting against it just as we need them the most. The U.S. fought against immigration going into the Great Depression. It’s doing it again now…
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