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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Personal_Finance

Thursday, June 13, 2019

UK Savings, Mortgages and Credit Card Picks of the Week / Personal_Finance / Money Saving

By: MoneyFacts

The Moneyfacts.co.uk Pick of the Week showcases the best of the latest products or rate changes to hit the consumer finance market.

Brief product details, together with independent Moneyfacts analysis, can be used with confidence in your finance sections. You can select one or two products to sit beside a relevant story or use them all as a general feature provided they are sourced to our expert at Moneyfacts.co.uk.

This week, our resident Finance Expert, Rachel Springall, has analysed the following deals, and any perks, that have appeared this week:

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Commodities

Thursday, June 13, 2019

How Socialism Presidential Election 2020 Could Affect the Gold Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

The 2020 presidential election is already shaping up to be one of the most bitterly contested in history. The outcome could have enormous ramifications for all asset markets, including precious metals.

In the meantime, a lot can happen before November 2020 – especially with the Federal Reserve apparently set to turn dovish and cut interest rates this summer.

Some historical research into presidential election cycles suggests that the stock market tends to perform well heading into an election year. The incumbent administration tends to focus on padding economic statistics.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, June 13, 2019

Top Best VPN Services You Can Choose For Your iPhone / Personal_Finance / Mobile Technology

By: Submissions

Ever wondered if the device in the palm of your hand ever needed protection when streaming movies or videos fromFirestick? However silly it may seem your mobile phone, the iPhone, for example is a marvelous invention offering a wide range of features, from a top-class camera to a highly refined user OS, which seem to contain everything that prevents you from doubting its worth in your hands.

However stable and secure the iOS may seem, it tends to have its disadvantages that make it vulnerable to threats concerning security and privacy of the user. For this reason, the best iPhone VPN needs to be sought after in order for you to enjoy entertaining streaming services on your iOS.

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Politics

Thursday, June 13, 2019

Tory Leadership Contest Betting Markets Forecast - Betfair / Politics / UK Politics

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The worst Prime Minister in British History who has literally clung onto power by her finger tips for the past 6 months is set to resign as Tory party leader tomorrow, Friday 7th of June in the wake of the disaster that were the EU elections, which will mark the start for a 6 week long tory leadership contest with the objective of whittling down a wide field of 11 candidates to just 2 from whom the 100,000 or so tory party members will vote to choose to become the next Tory Leader and thus British Prime Minister set to take office late July as Britain counts down to the 31st October 2019 deadline. A deadline that most candidates have already declared they will seek to extend as a remainer parliament continues to do its utmost to subvert Brexit by taking a NO DEAL Brexit off the table and thus wasted the last 3 years instead of just declaring Independence as I concluded several years ago is what Britain should do to win the Brexit War.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 13, 2019

US Stock Market Setting Up A Pennant Formation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As we’ve been warning over the past few weeks and months, the current price rotation in the US stock market is very much related to the strength of the US Dollar and the continued Capital Shift that is taking place as trade issues and currency valuations drive investors into the US equity and debt markets as protection against risk.  We talk about some of these new Super-Cycles starting and how we can take advantage of them in this new guide.

The US Dollar stalled today after a recent price decline from just above $98 to a current level near $96.60.  Over the past 15+ months, the US Dollar has risen from lows near $88 to highs near $98 – an 11.2% price rally.  Meanwhile, many other foreign currencies have collapsed over this same span of time.

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Companies

Thursday, June 13, 2019

Which Stocks Will Lead The Cannabis Rebound? / Companies / Cannabis

By: Submissions

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Economics

Wednesday, June 12, 2019

The Privatization of US Indo-Pacific Vision - Project 2049, Armitage, Budget Ploys and Taiwan Nexus / Economics / Asian Economies

By: Dan_Steinbock

In the Shangri-La Summit, the Trump administration introduced a new, muscular Indo-Pacific strategy. It is fueled by private interests of corporations, defense contractors and foreign governments - not by the interests of the United States, China or emerging Asia.

Recently, the Pentagon and State Department informally notified Congress of a potential $2 billion deal with Taiwan, which includes the first-time sale of one of the US Army’s top tanks, drawing protests from China.

In the Shangri-La Dialogue, which took place only days before, Acting Defense Secretary Patrick Shanahan pledged the United States would no longer "tiptoe" around Chinese behavior in Asia and warned about the new US “toolkit of coercion.”

Here’s the real key to the new Indo-Pacific stance, however: While emphasizing US commitment to the region, Shanahan urged US allies and partners to increase defense spending. What the Trump administration calls “burden sharing” is predicated on the idea that Asian economies should increasingly "buy American" military hardware from Pentagon contractors, even if it would split the region and undermine the promise of the Asian Century.
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Commodities

Wednesday, June 12, 2019

Perfect Storm Brewing for Price Inflation / Commodities / Inflation

By: MoneyMetals

A “perfect storm” is brewing for midwestern farmers. Unending rains have led to the flooding of tens of millions of acres of farmland. The deluge comes on the heels of years of low crop prices.

It has the makings of an agriculture disaster on a scale never seen before.

The nation may see a “perfect storm” in terms of food inflation. Prices for some farm commodities figure to be a lot higher in the months ahead as markets adjust to dramatically lower crop yields. This will be coupled with price hikes associated with tariffs on all manner of goods from China and elsewhere.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 12, 2019

Gold Price Breaks to the Upside / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Michael_J_Kosares

COMEX speculator positions post largest single gain on record

Gold suddenly broke to the upside on the morning of Thursday, May 30th, 2019. After rising nearly $70 – a 5.4% gain and eight-straight days of posting gains, it took a breather on news that Mexico would take steps to stem migrant flow to the United States, thus avoiding the imposition of new tariffs.  We asked Zac Storella from Counting Pips, a widely-acknowledged expert on the COMEX Commitment of Traders reports, what he saw in last week’s numbers.  His response is worth  noting:

“This week’s change in speculative positions (Commitment of Traders) for gold jumped by a total of +69,427 net contracts. This is the largest one-week gain on record, according to the CFTC data dating back to 1986. The current net position (long positions minus short positions) is now at the most bullish level in over a year – showing that sentiment for gold is coming back into favor.

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Companies

Wednesday, June 12, 2019

Top Publicly Traded Casino Company Stocks for 2019 / Companies / Gambling

By: Submissions

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 12, 2019

Silver Investing Trend Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Silver price reluctantly followed the Gold higher early in the year to a late February peak of $16.20, following which it abruptly gave up all of its hard won gains for the year by making a new low early March at $15, breaking the preceding low of $15.45 and thus entering into a downtrend of a series of lower highs and lows where it remained until the Gold price came alive at the end of May 2019. Following which the Silver price busted out of its 2019 downtrend by hitting a recent high of $15.15 before succumbing to selling to bring the price down to its last close of $14.74 DOWN 5% for the year which compares against the Gold price up 4% for the year which illustrates the persistent under performance of the Silver price against the Gold price.

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Companies

Wednesday, June 12, 2019

Why Blue-Chip Dividend Stocks Aren’t as Safe as You Think / Companies / Dividends

By: Robert_Ross

A man pulled a gun on me last week.

I was in the Ipanema neighborhood of Rio de Janeiro.

Ipanema is one of the wealthiest areas of Rio. You get iconic views of the Brazilian shore line and white sand beaches.

I was two blocks from Ipanema Beach when a man on a bike pulled in front of me. 

At first, I thought he was going to sell me something. Then I saw him starting to pull a gun out of his backpack.
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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 12, 2019

Technical Analysis Shows Aug/Sept Stock Market Top Pattern Should Form / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We have been pouring over the data and currently believe our earlier prediction of a July/August 2019 market top should be revised to an Aug/Sept 2019 expected market top pattern.  The following research posts we authored recently suggested a top may form in July/Aug 2019 and believe this critical top formation would form at new all-time highs.  We still believe this is possible regarding the price predictions, yet we believe the price top will now form near the end of August or early September after an extended Pennant/Flag formation is completed.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 12, 2019

FTSE 100: A Top European Index / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Justin_Weinger

Get the lowdown on the FTSE 100 in this news article from Vestle. Find out why many people including traders and bankers follow its every move. 

European Indices: Read all about it

Every morning in London, it’s the same: amongst the throngs of suited men and women flooding out of the tube stations, you can’t help but notice a light pink bundle tucked under an arm or sticking out of a tote bag. Get a little closer and you’ll see the title, broadly displayed in a classic serif font: FINANCIAL TIMES. Or “FT” for short. This is where anyone and everyone who deals with money gets the inside scoop on market activity, investment performance, and how such things as geopolitical factors and monetary policy can affect them.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 11, 2019

Gold Surprise! / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: The_Gold_Report

Sector expert Michael Ballanger describes why he has swung from long to short on the precious metals and miners. Before we go any further, let it be known that in the days leading up to this missive, i have gone from "net long" to "net short" on gold, silver and the miners. Those receiving my email blasts and those following me on Twitter (@Miningjunkie) have been put on notice that this advance, while impressive in its blunt-force trauma, lacks the perfection of the Q4/2015 advance, which arrived from multiyear polar extremes in sentiment and COT structure setups.

All last week I was emailing and tweeting how frail this advance looked and why I was a seller. With Friday's COT, you have the reason:

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 11, 2019

How Forex Indicators are Getting Even More Attention in the Market? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submissions

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 11, 2019

Stock Market Storm Clouds on the Horizon / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: The_Gold_Report

Sector expert Michael Ballanger discusses macroeconomic factors and his trading decisions. I have had more than a few emails asking me what I think of the current set-up for stocks, bonds, currencies and gold since everything began to re-inflate a few days ago and without going off on a literary tangent, it is obvious that the banks are absolutely freaking out over the declining high-end real estate numbers coming in from not only the money centers but also the fringe regions. Mortgages, the bulk of the loan portfolios for the global banking industry, are only as sound as the collateral upon which they are hypothecated (secured) and if you go back to the sub-prime crisis of 2008, the big revenue drivers for the banks were the sheer volume of homes being financed. Like every masterfully run Ponzi, the Greater Fool Theory is allowed to sustain itself only as long as the banks and the regulators all agree that there are "no limits" and with that, "no rules."

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, June 11, 2019

Is Your Financial Security Based On A Double Aberration? / Personal_Finance / Financial Risk

By: Dan_Amerman

One way of looking at financial history is as the battle of two four word phrases: "this time is different" versus "reversion to the mean." "This time is different" is enormously popular, and it has become the dominant belief system many times over the centuries. It has also ultimately led to crushing and life-changing losses for throngs of investors, many times over the centuries.

"Reversion to the mean", which is simply a return to average valuations, is a bit more on the geeky side. It is often unpopular, particularly when its opposite is in the ascendancy. But it nonetheless has consistently ended up being the winner, as a return to the normal and usual almost always triumphs over the aberrations, given enough time.

So, which four word phrase is the source of genuine financial security?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 11, 2019

What If Stocks Are Wrong About Interest Rate Cuts? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Graham_Summers

Stocks have now cleared the all-important level of 2,900 on the S&P 500. The index just peeked above critical resistance (top red line in the chart below).

Overbought and overextended, stocks are now due for a correction/ consolidation. It would be completely normal to see the S&P 500 fall to retest support at 2,850 here (blue line in the chart below).

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, June 11, 2019

US House Prices Yield Curve, Debt, QE4EVER! / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Yield Curve

The yield curve (spread between 2 year and 10 year US bonds) continues to flirt with inversion, currently standing at 0.23%. Clearly the housing market is not comfortable with an inversion given the slowing trend since 0.5%.

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