The Market Oracle ::

Friday, March 24, 2023

How the Stock Market Reacts to US CPI Data Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

US CPI Data released for October, November, December and January show the CPLIE script of usually a fake out drop ahead or on release followed by strong rally on relief that whatever the data is, it was not quite as bad as it could have been and thus triggers a FOMO rally fed by bears shorting during the preceding decline rushing to cover their shorts, and so are we in for a similar event Tuesday? or is this time going to be more like December, the only time when there was a deviation from the script as it was looking rather obvious by then and hence the market did the opposite, what is obvious right now? Probably a FOIMO rally, so on face value suggests to expect the opposite which is what I have been positioning towards these past weeks.

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Friday, March 24, 2023

Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate and "The Everything Bust" / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2023

By: EWI

Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate and "The Everything Bust"
"The pressure on banks will rise"

The phrase "Everything Bust" means a bust in just about every financial risk-asset of which you can think, as well as the economy and, I dare say, the financial system itself.

Indeed, in a section titled "The Everything Bust Is on The Way," the December Global Market Perspective, a monthly Elliott Wave International publication which covers 50-plus financial markets, noted:

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Friday, March 24, 2023

U.S. Money Supply Deflates 2% Annually (What That Means) / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

The debt bomb implodes: Expect recession and deflation;

Many pundits have expressed worry about the ramifications of global debt -- and rightly so. As the Wall Street Journal noted toward the end of 2022:

The world has amassed $290 trillion of debt and it's getting more expensive to pay for it.

In the U.S. alone, the cost of servicing the national debt is expected to skyrocket over the next decade (Fox News, Feb. 27):

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Friday, March 24, 2023

Do You Have a Bad Credit Score? Here’s What You Need to Know / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

You don’t need a degree in economics to know that rising inflation, which hit 10.7% at the end of 2022, is beginning to squeeze household finances. With credit card debt reaching an average £2,290 per household in November 2022, it’s likely borrowing will increase as households try to manage their increased financial burden.

With the cost of living going up, now is a good time to look at your own personal finances for ways you can improve your financial health.

One particular area to focus on is your credit score. A poor credit score could be having a negative impact on your finances. Here, we look at what causes bad credit and how you can improve your score so that you’re in a good place should you need to borrow money in the future.

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Friday, March 24, 2023

Battle Line Drawn: Gold Bulls Look to Push through $2,000 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: MoneyMetals

Gold prices surged to test the $2,000/oz level early this week before retreating ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.

Fed policymakers opted for another 25 basis-point hike -- disappointing investors who had hoped for a pause in the wake of high-profile bank runs.

Stocks sold off in post-Fed trading on Wednesday afternoon. Precious metals markets, however, managed to record gains for the day.

Fed chairman Jerome Powell signaled that the central bank would likely hike one more time.

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Tuesday, March 21, 2023

Stock Market Completes Phase Transition, US Real Estate Stocks - Housing Market Part1 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Virtually everyone was open jawed last week as to why the hell are stock prices soaring on BAD EARNINGS reports and yes regardless of how the headless chickens on the cartoon network (CNBC) were reacting in trying to explain the price action they were BAD EARNINGS reports as flagged by the EGF's which had zero impact on stock prices that instead of plunging soared into the stratosphere, why? It's because earnings reports are looking in the rear view mirror at what has already happened which is why one needs to be aware of current EGF and future EGF as well as current P/E relative to the high-low P/E range for each stock as shown in my AI stocks table. Our perception of time is not linear as we flit from the past (memories) into the future (forecasts, hopes and dreams) and back into the present, in a constant state of flux and so it is for all market participants which is the true nature of the markets, everything, everywhere all at once.

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