Tuesday, November 05, 2019
How to Fast Tame New Budgies to Sit on Your Finger - Parakeets Taming & Care / Personal_Finance / Educating Children
By: Anika_Walayat
It's only day 4 and we have already managed to to get our new pet budgie to start sitting on our fingers. So find out how to fast tame your budgie to sit on your finger in our latest Budgie / Parakeet care series video.
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Monday, November 04, 2019
Stock Market Chartology vs Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Rambus_Chartology
I’ve been holding off on writing this Weekend Report for the US stock markets until I got just a little more confirmation that the next impulse move higher is underway. Last weeks price action is strongly suggesting that the nearly 2 year consolidation phase is drawing to a close. Lets say I’m seeing some green shoots sprouting up in many different areas of the markets.
Most investors rely on the fundamentals in which to make their trading decisions because that is how its been since the beginning of trading the markets. Fundamentals do have a place in investing in the long term trend but they usually lag at the beginning of a major turn in the markets. Normally when the fundamentals turn up at the bottom of a bear market the price action has already turned up many months in advance. The same thing is also true at tops. Before the fundamentals turn down the smart money has already gotten out while those looking at the fundamentals are left holding the bag.
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Monday, November 04, 2019
The Fed’s Policy Is Like Swatting Flies with Nuclear Weapons / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: John_Mauldin
The Federal Open Market Committee had an unscheduled meeting on October 4. That happens occasionally and they often don’t reveal it occurred until the next regular meeting. That would mean Oct. 30, in this case.
But for some reason (and you can bet they had a reason) they decided to announce this one on Oct. 11.
In between, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in an Oct. 8 speech that the Fed would soon start growing its balance sheet again.
Monday, November 04, 2019
Stock Market Warning: US Credit Delinquencies To Skyrocket In Q4 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Farm delinquencies skyrocket +24% year over year as global trade issues and the ability to service credit continues to be a problem. This is a tell-tale sign that the US Fed decreased the Prime Rate recently as a result of broader credit issues related to higher interest rates for corporate and other borrowers. The last thing the Fed wants is another collapse on the lending markets similar to 2008-09.
Monday, November 04, 2019
Stock Market Intermediate Topping Process Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – There are no clear signs that the bull market is over.
Intermediate trend – Most likely building an intermediate top.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at ajg@cybertrails.com
Monday, November 04, 2019
Stock Market $SPY Expanded Flat, Déjà Vu All Over Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: ElliottWaveForecast
A Flat is one of the corrective structures in the Elliott Wave Theory. It is in our opinion the most dangerous and also less reliable structure. The reason is because a Flat allow analysts and traders to force a bias against the trend. Many times the market fails to reach traders’ correction target. When the market reacts different to the expectation and breaks into new highs or lows, analysts like to call an expanded flat as a way out. This is the last resource to prove they are not wrong in their original forecast. The structure of expanded flat looks like the following chart below:
Monday, November 04, 2019
How To Buy Gold For $3 An Ounce / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: OilPrice_Com
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Sunday, November 03, 2019
Goldman Sachs (NYSE : GS) Bulls Aiming for Strong Rally / Companies / Company Chart Analysis
By: ElliottWaveForecast
Goldman Sachs (NYSE : GS) is one of the top 5 banks in USA and it’s stock is currently up $25% year-to-date. Last year, GS was on the edge of breaking its bullish trend which was established since 2009 but the bulls took over on the right time to re-establish the main path.
The stock created a bullish higher high sequence from December 2018 low aiming for a minimum target at equal legs area $239 -$252 which is currently supporting further rally in the coming few months as GS is close to break above July 2019 peak creating another bullish sequence. June & October lows are expected to hold during short term pullback to allow the stock to continue it’s uptrend aiming for a break higher above 2018 peak.
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Sunday, November 03, 2019
Is US Dollar Topping? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: ElliottWaveForecast
The Fed’s monetary stance has turned 180 degree this year. Recall last year the Fed talked about shrinking the balance sheet on auto pilot and raising interest rate. The QT (Quantitative Tightening) of $50 billion a month, according to former Fed Chair Janet Yellen, should be boring like watching paint dry. By July this year, the $50 billion monthly rundown has ended. Instead, the Fed embarks in another balance sheet inflation to the tune of 60 billion a month. In mid-September, short term funding in repo market spiked to 10% from 2% overnight. This suggests stress in the financial system as some banks and financial institution can’t find necessary cash in the market. The Fed quickly points out this balance sheet expansion is different than asset purchase from years ago. Below is the chart of the Fed’s balance sheet. It has dropped steadily from 2017 and reverses higher this year.
Sunday, November 03, 2019
Lifting the Entitlement Burden Through Increased Infrastructure Spending / Economics / Infrastructure
By: Richard_Mills
On Wednesday the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time this year, amid continued weak growth both domestically and globally.
The federal funds rate, the baseline for credit card and mortgage borrowing, dropped 25 basis points and is now between 1.5 and 1.75%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell says the current interest rate levels are “likely to remain appropriate” (ie. on hold for the time being) to meet the Fed’s goal of 2% inflation.
Chairman Powell has been pressured for months by President Trump to continue slashing interest rates to help goose the American economy and keep North American stock markets on the boil.
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Saturday, November 02, 2019
Silver Trend Forecast 2019 Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Silver price soared during August as it played catch up to the Gold bull run, Silver peaking at a high of $ 19.75 early September before like Gold entering into a correction to a low of $16.94 late September and trending weakly higher during October to currently stand at $18.07, a 2 month trend similar to that of the gold price.
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Saturday, November 02, 2019
The #1 Reason the World’s Most Powerful Stock Is Crashing / Companies / Oil Companies
By: Stephen_McBride
What’s the greatest company in history?
You could make a strong case for shopping disruptor Amazon (AMZN). Its stock has handed early investors 100,000% gains and counting.
Some will point to phone disruptor Apple (AAPL). It invented the iPhone—the most successful product in history—and was the world’s first trillion-dollar company.
Oil giant ExxonMobil (XOM) has to be in the mix too. While its stock has “only” handed investors 15X their money, Exxon has dominated in energy for half a century.
Saturday, November 02, 2019
Are Precious Metals Beginning Another Rally Attempt? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently, the US stock market rallied to new all-time highs which prompted an almost immediate celebration. A day later, the US stock markets reacted by setting up multiple top rotation patterns. The next day, a moderate price rally set up after the US Fed decreased rates by 25 basis points. The next day, the markets sold off dramatically with heavier volume – prompting the metals and the VIX to rally.
We’ve been warning for weeks that the US markets were setting up into a Pennant/Flag formation within a tightening range biased to the upside. See our index trend analysis signals here. We believe the move in precious metals today may be indicative of a breakout/breakdown move in the markets – near the apex of the pennant formation on the Gold chart, below.
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Saturday, November 02, 2019
Fed’s Own Forecasts Again Dead Wrong as QE4 Accelerates / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
By: MoneyMetals
Precious metals markets enter November’s trading with bulls eying a potential year-end rally.
Gold and silver prices did manage to post gains on Wednesday and Thursday after the Federal Reserve announced a quarter point rate cut. But the Fed followed up its move with language suggesting interest rate policy is now on pause.
News Anchor #1: The Federal Reserve cut the benchmark rate by a quarter of a percentage point. It's now at 1.5% to 1.75%. The rate cuts come on a global slowdown; they say. Also muted inflation. Now the Fed does signal in this statement a pause for future rate cuts. The Federal Reserve statement changes the words from “act as appropriate” to “assess.”
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Saturday, November 02, 2019
Amazon Half Price Bargains or Scams? 6Tb WD Blue for Just £74! / ConsumerWatch / Amazon
By: HGR
Are Amazon half price bargains too good to be true? You know, you've seen them an item being sold for a ridiculously low prices, at less than 50% of the price it should be selling at. As I happened upon an WD Blue 6TB Hard Drive selling for just £74, an irresistible bargain! For instance the 5tb drive was selling for £175, and the 4tb for £95. So how the hell can the 6TB be selling for just £74? Is this an example of the bargains that regular browsers can happen upon or is it a SCAM! Find out in my latest money saving amazon shopping video.
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Friday, November 01, 2019
Gold Mining Stocks Winter Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold miners’ stocks have surged in 2019, blasting higher after gold’s first bull-market breakout seen in several years. That powerful summer rally left them really overbought, necessitating a correction to rebalance exuberant sentiment. That grinding consolidation lower has set them up nicely for their winter rally, this sector’s seasonally-strongest time of the year. These seasonal tailwinds will amplify their next upleg.
Seasonality is the tendency for prices to exhibit recurring patterns at certain times during the calendar year. While seasonality doesn’t drive price action, it quantifies annually-repeating behavior driven by sentiment, technicals, and fundamentals. We humans are creatures of habit and herd, which naturally colors our trading decisions. The calendar year’s passage affects the timing and intensity of buying and selling.
Gold stocks exhibit strong seasonality because their price action mirrors that of their dominant primary driver, gold. Gold’s seasonality generally isn’t driven by supply fluctuations like grown commodities see, as its mined supply remains relatively steady year-round. Instead gold’s major seasonality is demand-driven, with global investment demand varying considerably depending on the time in the calendar year.
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Friday, November 01, 2019
Tesla Is the Underdog in the Electric Car Revolution / Companies / Electric Cars
By: Stephen_McBride
If you’re not first… you’re last. You may recognize this quote from fictional racecar driver Ricky Bobby. But it could easily be straight from a business school lecture.
Many professors preach the importance of “being first” in business.
But I have to tell you… it’s mostly a lie.
Microsoft introduced the first tablet computer in 2000. Apple didn’t unveil the iPad until a decade later.
The iPad has sold 360 million units… while the few “Tablet PCs” Microsoft sold are buried in junkyards.
“Friendster” started the world’s first major social network. Facebook didn’t come along until years later.
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Friday, November 01, 2019
‘Power to the People’ and Mining Metals and Minerals / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: Richard_Mills
The 1960s and 70s were decades of incredible social upheaval.
Fed up with wars, governments out of touch with their ideals, authority figures who didn’t get them, the “flower children” of the '60s took to the streets to demand equal rights for women, civil liberties for black Americans, an end to President Johnson and Nixon’s Vietnam quagmire - all fueled by a powerful new popular culture that called for peace and celebrated the freedom of the individual to do as he/ she pleased.
Fifty years on, the world has changed in ways the “hippy generation” could scarcely imagine.
Protests today tend to be in developing countries, places where greed, graft and corruption mix with inequality in a toxic brew that frequently boils over into the streets, and is just as often violently suppressed. I’m alluding here to the Arab Spring that demanded the reform of oppressed societies, but has for the most part failed to deliver - just look at Lebanon, Egypt and Saudi Arabia.
In the West it’s not so much regime change people are after, as a change in the way governments conduct themselves. Consider the mass demonstrations in Hong Kong directed at the former British colony’s Chinese overlords, or global climate change protests. In the US, bad memories of the 1960s race riots were stirred up when racists and anti-racists confronted one another in Charlotte, North Carolina.
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Friday, November 01, 2019
Near-term bearish signs for Bitcoin Cash / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: MarketsToday
Summary
- Bearish doji candlestick pattern occurs after seven days up.
- Occurs on test of neckline of large bearish head & shoulders topping pattern.
- Potentially significant drop possible to below most recent swing low.
Friday, November 01, 2019
Fed Interest Cuts Rates, Causing Gold Price to See-Saw / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Yesterday, that was already the third time this year when the Fed cut interest rates. In response, the price of gold erased earlier losses. That sounds a bit fishy. What is going on?
Fed Lowers Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points
Yesterday, the FOMC published the monetary policy statement from its latest meeting that took place on October 29-30th. In line with expectations, the U.S. central bank cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, for the third time in 2019 already:
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